The Real timschochet

This would be true except that you’ve never come up with a single example of me lying. You’ve shown times where I was wrong about stuff. I’ll own that. Sometimes I forget stuff I wrote months or years before. I’ll own that too. But deliberate lying? Never. On the other hand you’re deliberately lying in this thread by accepting @HellToupee’s argument, which is clearly false. @Strike who also accuses me constantly of lying, lies all the time, including this thread and another thread just the other day. It’s a pattern with you guys.

If they were on probation, they were given papers. They came in legally. You may disagree that they were allowed in but they are NOT ILLEGAL, they are NOT UNDOCUMENTED. That is why what you wrote is a lie. And I strongly doubt that the two murderers you mentioned at the start of the discussion were part of this program, which makes it an even bigger lie.

If you agree with @Strike you’re as big as a liar as he is. But we already knew that. Biden didn’t fly any undocumented immigrants into this country. He didn’t import any undocumented immigrants into this country. As usual you guys are spreading falsehoods and it’s pretty ugly garbage, reflecting nothing but your ignorance and bigotry.

He literally didn’t import anyone without documents. Talking about making sh*t up. You’re just lying, as usual.

Yes it is. President Biden didn’t import any undocumented immigrants. It’s a lie.

This part is a lie.

Judge rules that SNAP benefits must be released; Trump’s Justice Department is appealing. I gotta say nothing helps public approval like appealing having to release SNAP benefits. JFC

Not at all. I’m pretty sure she’s been engaged in insider trading. Nobody however has any proof. Does that put a blot for me on her record? Of course. Does it change my estimation of her as the greatest Speaker ever? It doesn’t. Does it in any way excuse the shameful and juvenile and offensive attacks made against her and her husband here and elsewhere? It does not. And it’s really hard to take you guys seriously when you defend every corrupt thing the President does.

If somebody proves it fine. Right now it’s all innuendo. But if you’re going to go after people for this stuff go after all of them regardless of party. Right now it APPEARS that our current President is more corrupt than anyone in the history of American politics by far- but again, all innuendo. But even if Nancy Pelosi were proven to be a criminal, found guilty and sentenced to prison, it would not change my estimation of her amazing effectiveness as Speaker.

Not really. I don’t think that most of the ideas I don’t like will be enacted, so I’m not worried about that. But outside of economics I like a lot of the stuff he’s for, particularly when it comes to immigration issues. And I like him. I’ve heard him interviewed and I generally think he’s a good guy. So I’m rooting for him to succeed. Keep in mind, however, that I root for President Trump to succeed as well, even though I don’t like him and don’t think he’s a good guy, because he is my President.

The comments in this thread are unsurprising and shameful. But on the other hand they’re also a testimony to the achievements of this remarkable woman. There is a reason why so many conservatives can’t stand her.

Look if Trump is right about the economic benefits of tariffs let him convince Congress. He’s got a Republican House and Senate for another year. Should be easy.

I am not. But I am also of the opinion that they don’t do as much damage as you might think. I am indeed a capitalist. But I will hammer the point over and over: the most important aspect of capitalism is free trade. When there is a free or lightly restricted flow of goods, the amount of socialist benefits that a government imposes won’t do that much harm. This is not my idea; I learned it from Milton Friedman, Ludwig Von Mises, and to a certain extent, Ayn Rand. Friedman in particular made the point that he was willing to support Democratic politicians who were in favor of the New Deal and the Great Society so long as they supported lower tariffs. Because he understood the principle. Of the “arsenic” Mamdani is proposing, the most poisonous is anything to do with price controls: rent control, the supermarkets , etc, assuming he can actually do it (which seems doubtful based on the article above I linked.) But the fact that it would be limited to New York City makes the damage minimal IMO. To put it another way: it’s estimated that Trump’s tarrifs will cost every American household around $2,400 a year, including New Yorkers. (https://www.americanprogress.org/article/8-ways-trumps-turbulence-tax-is-costing-the-economy/ Now if Mandami gets everything he wants, he might initially save New Yorkers around $500. But you and I know that this savings won’t last; price controls don’t work, eventually the New Yorker who thought he was saving $500 will end up paying $700. But compared to the tariff cost of $2400, the loss of $200 isn’t really worth discussing and it will hardly bring about the apocalypse. Priorities.

What were the terms of the wager?

Best NYC apocalypse movies: 6. Cloverfield Kind of a silly film but we do get Lady Liberty’s head lopped off. 5. Godzilla (1998) In which our favorite reptile gets bored with attacking Tokyo and heads for the Big Apple instead. Critics panned it but I enjoyed him stomping through Times Square. 4. King Kong The original or any of the remakes, take your pick. What else is the Empire State Building there for if not to climb? 3. I Am Legend Will Smith fights off hordes of zombies on the Brooklyn Bridge? Yes please. 2. The Day After Tomorrow Such a cheesy movie but I loved it. Watching the New York Public Library freeze over- great stuff. 1. Escape from New York How could this not be #1 with a bullet?

I think we need a new Kurt Russell movie.

He should be next. Not because of ideology but because of energy. Frankly, young people have more energy that old fogies like Schumer, Pelosi, and myself. Time to move on.

So regarding what Mamdani can and cannot do, I got this from an article in National Review by Jim Geraghty, a center-right guy who is usually pretty accurate: https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/republicans-have-good-reason-to-worry/ You have to scroll down to the middle of the article to get to it, but here is a summary: 1. Property taxes can only be raised by the New York City Council, not the mayor. 2. Personal income taxes can only be raised by the state legislature in Albany, not by the mayor of NYC. 3. Bus fares are controlled by the MTA, a quasi-government authority. The mayor has some influence over this but does not control it. Mamdani has promised free bus fare but this will be difficult to achieve. 4. He can get more city run grocery stores established through Economic Development Agency which he controls but they will be a limited number. Right now there are 4. Even if he establishes a dozen more, while it will be beneficial to some very poor people I can’t imagine it will impact the lives of the average New Yorker. So my suspicion is this based on what I’ve read: very much like Trump, a lot of what Mamdani will do his first year will be for show: it will make much news, please his supporters and inflame his detractors. But very little about New York City will actually change.

They’re not going to end the filibuster. And the reason that Trump keeps repeating that they should is so that, when things continue to get worse, he can start blaming Republicans.

Why don’t you make a prediction about it? That way you can deny it later on.

Hey you guys forget that it’s one of the classic Disney movies. Hayley Mills makes everyone in the town feel a lot better.

I agree in part. Trump will be inclined to do this but I think Republicans will talk him out of a lot of it. Not because they’re in any way opposed but because they’re terrified of public opinion. Trump doesn’t care about polls, but they do.

Look all of this is important (what happened Tuesday) even though the MAGa folks will deny it. But ultimately it won’t change the facts which are these: unless prices somehow come way down over the next year, Democrats are going to win big time next November. If prices come way down, the GOP has a shot to hold the House. Not a great shot but a shot. Everybody knows this on both sides. It’s why Republicans are starting to suggest, softly, to Trump that he needs to cool it on tariffs and what ICE is doing (the two biggest drivers of our current inflation and, in terms of ICE, the main reason why Latinos are now voting Democrat as seen on Tuesday). But they won’t say it loudly (except maybe Greene who doesn’t care) because they’re terrified of the MAGA base, especially about the ICE part. That’s why Republicans are probably screwed.

I think I wrote that Hillary was our greatest female political figure in American history and that remains true though Pelosi comes close. Due to sexism the sample is, unfortunately, pretty small. I doubt I ever would have written that Hillary is a good politician. She is pretty awful at that, as both 2008 and 2016 clearly demonstrated. As for Pelosi, I don’t think my assertion is even that debatable. Sam Rayburn was generally regarded as the greatest speaker mainly because of the New Deal and Lend-Lease , but he had strong majorities through most of his time and never had to fight the battles Pelosi did. She exceeds him IMO.

My guess is he probably will fail on affordability, because the main causes for that are out of his power to control or influence. But let’s see.