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The Real timschochet

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Everything posted by The Real timschochet

  1. https://science.nasa.gov/climate-change/evidence/
  2. The Real timschochet

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    Better version on his live album.
  3. The Real timschochet

    Dallas Mavericks Trade Doncic for Lakers Anthony Davis

    It was unlikely the Lakers were going to win two games in a row against the Thunder on the road.
  4. Ah, the old “not even debatable” line. Guess what? I refute you. I don’t think she’s a racist at all, and I’m willing to debate you.
  5. But it also led to an explosion of slavery. It actually created the agricultural system of slavery that the South fought so hard to maintain.
  6. The Real timschochet

    LIBERATION DAY: USA and China agree to a 90 day pause on most new tariffs

    How about no war with China?
  7. The Real timschochet

    LIBERATION DAY: USA and China agree to a 90 day pause on most new tariffs

    I wouldn’t use that word. But the folks defending Trump’s tariffs do have something wrong with their thinking for sure.
  8. Lol you’ll have to show me the connection between what I wrote and Hitler. Because yeah I guess I’m too dumb to see it. Or something like that. Certainly there is dumbness in this conversation somewhere…
  9. It’s exactly the opposite of what you’re saying: all of those Social Security numbers issued to non-citizens that you listed represent money going INTO the system not coming out. If you stop to think about it just for a moment you will realize this.
  10. This is a strange comment. The cotton gin is what created the mass number of black slaves picking cotton, which is what she is referring to. The cotton gin is a warning sign from history that not all technological advancement is benign; it caused tremendous human misery.
  11. What did she say that was racist? She said we need immigrants to perform manual labor jobs because the people that previously performed those jobs, like black people, are advancing in our society. Years from now the people coming in now will be advancing as well, and we’ll need new people for manual labor. That’s the way it’s supposed to work. Only it makes some white people uncomfortable: a changing diverse society. A lot of folks fear this; it’s part of the reason Trump was elected. They would prefer to slow down or stop immigration, keep minorities in their place. They hate diversity. Jasmine gets it. And she speaks her mind and doesn’t take any sh!t. And there’s nothing racist about her.
  12. Haha no. I want them fined and allowed to stay. This is more performative crap.
  13. The Real timschochet

    I have Cancer :/ -- now not so great, new nodule 3/18/25

    Great to hear this news. Hang in there.
  14. The Real timschochet

    LIBERATION DAY: USA and China agree to a 90 day pause on most new tariffs

    Trump wrote on Truth Social that China is “begging for a deal”. But China says they’re not interested. NBC is reporting that it is the White House that is trying to reach out to China imploring them for a way out of this- to no avail. I think Xi can’t agree to Trump’s demands: both he and China would lose so much face that he would be removed from power if he did. So China has to respond the way they are: with more trade war, not less. This is what happens when you treat other countries like vendors you’re trying to avoid paying. Trump has put us in a huge mess here.
  15. The Real timschochet

    Why Trump's tariff chaos actually makes sense (big picture)

    This is wrong. I say it will be very bad because that’s what every economist I can find tells me. I don’t think we will collapse.
  16. The Real timschochet

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    Agreed. At least you understand that tariffs are not a good thing in themselves. You’re a step ahead of the President.
  17. The Real timschochet

    Why Trump's tariff chaos actually makes sense (big picture)

    It’s funny; I’ve been accused of hyperbole here. I’ve used words like “disastrous” and “catastrophe” to describe these tariffs. But based on what I’m reading I’m not being hyperbolic enough. So here’s the deal: Donald Trump is not a good businessman. He drove several casinos into bankruptcy. Now he is literally trying to drive the USA into bankruptcy. He’s a moron. Those of you who voted for him are suckers; he has no idea what he’s doing. And we’re screwed.
  18. The Real timschochet

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    Because there are no specific demands.
  19. The Real timschochet

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    What I’ve never seen, and what I believe the world has never seen, is the market reacting to the actions of one man so directly. This is a completely unnecessary disaster. As of midnight tonight President Trump is imposing 104% tariffs on China. Nobody has made him do this. It’s not close to reciprocal. It’s completely arbitrary. I have no idea how the market will react tomorrow. I don’t imagine well, do you?
  20. The Real timschochet

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    Wow, the gain has completely disappeared. I was not expecting this.
  21. The Real timschochet

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    What I’m saying is that it’s going to take a very long time for it to go back up to the level it was before last Wednesday. And maybe it won’t for the forseeable future. If anything it’s likely to go down more. I certainly hope these “deals” come to fruition. But keep in mind even if they do they’re simply a face saving mechanism which would allow Trump to reverse himself. Most of these nations aren’t offering anything that they didn’t already give us. For example Israel had no tariffs on us, and Vietnam offered to remove all tariffs long before last week (see the Trans Pacific Partnership- we could have had a tariff free zone in the Pacific Rim that would have threatened China- Trump killed it during his first term- called it the worst deal ever. Nothing he negotiated now with Vietnam, Japan or South Korea will be as good as that deal would have been.)
  22. The Real timschochet

    Stock Market bubble - will crash

    No it really isn’t. 6 trillion dollars were lost on Thursday, Friday and Monday. That’s real money that belonged to regular people, their retirement funds. It was lost unnecessarily because of the asinine decisions of one man that almost everyone, including most of his closest advisors, tried to talk him out of. It wasn’t inevitable. Now this morning the market is up 600 points based on the hope that Trump reverses himself. But even if that happens the 6 trillion is probably not coming back. That’s lost, the initial damage is done. This is no game.
  23. The Real timschochet

    Musk versus Navarro

    Musk is wrong about a lot of things, especially lately, but he is 100% right about the tariffs. His posting yesterday of Milton Friedman’s brilliant pencil speech was spot on. Friedman got it. Musk gets it.
  24. The Real timschochet

    Why Trump's tariff chaos actually makes sense (big picture)

    I don’t think you or @avoiding injuries or most people reading this realize the long term changes (bad ones) that are coming to our society if these tariffs stay in place very long.
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