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The Real timschochet

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Everything posted by The Real timschochet

  1. They’re not going to end the filibuster. And the reason that Trump keeps repeating that they should is so that, when things continue to get worse, he can start blaming Republicans.
  2. The Real timschochet

    Charlie Kirk was just shot

    Why don’t you make a prediction about it? That way you can deny it later on.
  3. The Real timschochet

    Election Night 2025

    Hey you guys forget that it’s one of the classic Disney movies. Hayley Mills makes everyone in the town feel a lot better.
  4. The Real timschochet

    Election Night 2025

    I agree in part. Trump will be inclined to do this but I think Republicans will talk him out of a lot of it. Not because they’re in any way opposed but because they’re terrified of public opinion. Trump doesn’t care about polls, but they do.
  5. The Real timschochet

    Election Night 2025

    Look all of this is important (what happened Tuesday) even though the MAGa folks will deny it. But ultimately it won’t change the facts which are these: unless prices somehow come way down over the next year, Democrats are going to win big time next November. If prices come way down, the GOP has a shot to hold the House. Not a great shot but a shot. Everybody knows this on both sides. It’s why Republicans are starting to suggest, softly, to Trump that he needs to cool it on tariffs and what ICE is doing (the two biggest drivers of our current inflation and, in terms of ICE, the main reason why Latinos are now voting Democrat as seen on Tuesday). But they won’t say it loudly (except maybe Greene who doesn’t care) because they’re terrified of the MAGA base, especially about the ICE part. That’s why Republicans are probably screwed.
  6. The Real timschochet

    Nancy Pelosi plans to retire in 2027

    I think I wrote that Hillary was our greatest female political figure in American history and that remains true though Pelosi comes close. Due to sexism the sample is, unfortunately, pretty small. I doubt I ever would have written that Hillary is a good politician. She is pretty awful at that, as both 2008 and 2016 clearly demonstrated. As for Pelosi, I don’t think my assertion is even that debatable. Sam Rayburn was generally regarded as the greatest speaker mainly because of the New Deal and Lend-Lease , but he had strong majorities through most of his time and never had to fight the battles Pelosi did. She exceeds him IMO.
  7. The Real timschochet

    Official Zohran Mamdani NYC Mayor Thread

    My guess is he probably will fail on affordability, because the main causes for that are out of his power to control or influence. But let’s see.
  8. The Real timschochet

    Nancy Pelosi plans to retire in 2027

    She will go down as the greatest speaker of the house America has ever had.
  9. The Real timschochet

    NYC Mayor Race

    It’s delusional that you continue to believe that the current anti-free trade, anti-immigrant, pro-corporatist Republican Party is at all connected with capitalism.
  10. The Real timschochet

    ICE Agents Detain Chicago Preschool Teacher Amid Crying Children

    That doesn’t make any sense. Care to be more specific?
  11. The Real timschochet

    ***Official Jack Smith Thread***

    What happened to the other Jack Smith thread? I asked @HellToupee a question he apparently couldn’t answer and the thread got removed?
  12. The Real timschochet

    ICE Agents Detain Chicago Preschool Teacher Amid Crying Children

    If she entered the country illegally how did she get a work permit? And if she wasn’t a violent criminal why were they after her in the first place? And if they don’t know or care where she worked why this mention of her work permit? And if she is here illegally how did they know that she sent for her kids? Exactly how did she send for her kids? And how did they know about her in the first place? Im guessing there is much more to this story.
  13. The Real timschochet

    Real reason we are bombing Venezuelan ships

    Their fried plantains (“maduros”) are tasty? (Works for me.)
  14. The Real timschochet

    France celebrates the Mamdani victory

    Once again you’re collectivizing here- despite your insistence that you’ve worked with “good” Muslims. I don’t disagree with you about the different histories of Christianity and Islam. Your point about the lack of an Islamic reformation is a powerful one. But it doesn’t change the fact that the vast majority of Muslims who come to live in this nation and other western nations adopt our culture and our values while maintaining their identity and religious beliefs, just as all cultures do. It’s not the other way around. They do not threaten us. Mamdani himself is proof that you’re wrong. As you continually point out he was raised as a child in an anti-western culture. But he has lived most of his life in this country and look at the result: he is pro-democracy (he is a Democratic socialist, an ideology incompatible with Islamist beliefs), pro-women, pro-LGTBQ, pro-diversity. When it comes to any clash of values in the mind of Mamdani, we, meaning the West, have already won. Just as we win everyone of these battles with immigrants from all over the world. They conform to us, and strengthen us.
  15. The Real timschochet

    Here come the tariffs

    One great question asked by one of the conservative justices (I think it was Gorsuch): Trump is claiming that the “emergency” gives him broad powers to impose tariffs without any restrictions based on the 1977 law. Gorsuch asked, under that interpretation could a future Democratic President decide that climate change is an emergency and tariff all gasoline fueled cars completely out of existence without Congress weighing in? The answer of course is yes. Trump is claiming all authority to himself in the name of the emergency. I doubt Trump helped his argument by threatening to tariff Brazil if Bolsonaro went to prison, and tariffing Canada because of a commercial he didn’t like. But I don’t know if these instances were brought up or not.
  16. The Real timschochet

    Here come the tariffs

    I’m going to correct this- I now think it’s going to go 6-3 with Alito, Thomas and Kavanaugh in dissent.
  17. The Real timschochet

    France celebrates the Mamdani victory

    Then don’t bring up 1500 years.
  18. The Real timschochet

    France celebrates the Mamdani victory

    Ultimately @HellToupee your problem is not that you’re a bigot (though in this instance you’re expressing very bigoted views) but that you’re a collectivist. In both the case of Muslims and undocumented immigrants, you’re categorizing groups of people and blaming them for evil acts rather than blaming the individuals who cause those acts. And you’re very selective when you do this. You would never blame Christianity for the acts of a few wacko Christians and you would never blame MAGA for the act of a crazy Trump supporter. Nor should you. This country of ours is supposed to be about individualism. Your collectivism is no different from Mamdani’s socialism. In many ways it’s worse. You are actually more of a Marxist than he is.
  19. The Real timschochet

    France celebrates the Mamdani victory

    And what about the Muslims that don’t do those things? Are they savages as well?
  20. The Real timschochet

    France celebrates the Mamdani victory

    You really don’t want to go back 1500 years when comparing Islam to Christianity. Trust me on this.
  21. The Real timschochet

    France celebrates the Mamdani victory

    If on the day of the Charlie Kirk murder I had posted “Christians in Utah celebrate Trump’s victory” and “Christianity: the religion of peace”, I would have been condemned and probably suspended, perhaps permanently, from this forum. But we have a double standard where Islam is concerned. It’s OK to condemn a billion people for the actions of a few.
  22. The Real timschochet

    Here come the tariffs

    So based on what I’m reading, the 3 liberal judges are highly skeptical while Alito and Thomas are, naturally, in favor of Trump’s position. The remaining 4 expressed some skepticism though Kavanaugh seemed open to the foreign policy argument. This looks to be a 5-4 decision either way.
  23. The Real timschochet

    Official Zohran Mamdani NYC Mayor Thread

    Mississippi, to me, means one thing: the home of the Delta Blues. Never been there but will always be a fan. I also enjoy John Grisham. Faulkner, not so much.
  24. The Real timschochet

    Official Zohran Mamdani NYC Mayor Thread

    Oooh what a comeback.
  25. The Real timschochet

    Official Zohran Mamdani NYC Mayor Thread

    I was so impressed by Mamdani’s speech last night. Still don’t agree with many of his ideas but what a powerful speaker he is! Rooting for him, let’s see what he can do.
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