The Real timschochet

Yeah but they’re losing almost all of these challenges. And early voting in Georgia is setting records. I think she’s got a good chance to win there.

If @Engorgeous George changed his mind I would pay him right now, immediately. I always honor my debts.

@Strike is lying. There is not a single person that I owed money to that I didn’t pay immediately. In the case of @Engorgeous George there was a dispute. I didn’t think the result was fair so rather than pay at first I turned it over to others to judge, @Strike included. When @Strike ruled against me I immediately offered to pay but EG declined to accept payment. There is nobody here that I owe money to. I have NEVER welched on a wager.

They don’t have Trump leading.

And they have Wisconsin even and Pennsylvania even. And Harris up by 2.9 nationally. And only down by 1 or 2 in Georgia and North Carolina, within the margin. So who is lying? She’s still in better shape than him.

Good article on why we shouldn’t believe the bullsh!t that @Strike and @Horseman are spewing: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/article/harris-vs-trump-polls-dont-believe-trump-momentum-hype.html Basically Harris remains in a steady but slight lead. She hasn’t pulled away but she’s not losing either. So stop with the crap already.

But not in the 538 average. And a few days ago you wrote you didn’t care about polls. What a hypocrite you are. And a cherry picker. Everything you accuse me of you’re far guiltier than I am. Not a serious poster.

I’ve been working dude. But doesn’t matter because I’ve got nothing to prove to you. You’re not very smart, you’re kind of boring to read, and it just doesn’t interest me. Your opinion of me is amusing at times, that’s all.

I strongly doubt this. I watched her last night. She appears to be really enjoying herself, having a great time. She may certainly regret past mistakes but her opinion of Kamala Harris is extremely high. She loves her.

I read it. It made sense to me. It makes you look like an idiot but that also, frankly makes sense to me and has for a while. Here is another article from Market Watch that also questions your ability to analyze what’s happening: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/betting-markets-put-chance-of-trump-win-at-3-month-high-but-analysts-express-some-skepticism-b27556c8?mod=home-page

The Fox Poll released yesterday which has Trump leading by 2 points nationally also has Harris leading by, and I quote, “6 points in the swing states.” What does this even mean? What swing states and what is the lead in each? I can’t seem to find any more info. It would be absolutely hilarious if Harris lost the popular vote but won the electoral college. I would honestly pay good money for that outcome.

Could be. I only read English. I don’t read MAGA code or whatever bullsh!t language you’re reading.

@Strike gets things wrong all the time. So do I; it happens when you’re trying to read too much information at once. The difference is nobody calls him a liar for doing so.

That article has a depressing headline for Kamala but if you read it the news isn’t that bad for her at all. And the final conclusion is…dead heat. In other news, latest poll from Pennsylvania this morning: Kamala 46, Trump 45. As tight as it could be yet in almost all of these Pennsylvania polls, Harris is constantly the one ahead.

All of the pollsters tell us that this time around they’re taking into account the hidden Trump vote- it’s already factored in. Yet everybody keeps assuming they aren’t. Myself, I think there’s a hidden anti-Trump vote, or Harris vote. We’ll know shortly.

I strongly dispute the argument that everyone seems to be implicitly accepting in this thread, which is that the Biden Administration’s decision to reverse Trump’s border policies when they got into office was a mistake. It was a good decision IMO, a moral one, even if it led to more border crossings. They should not have to apologize for it.

Consistent opinion is that Kamala slayed it tonight in the Fox interview.

Quinnipiac: Georgia: Trump by 7 North Carolina: Harris by 2 7 pts either way seems very unlikely.

So are the polls.

She and Biden were handed a huge mess to clean up. They did as good a job as they could with that. Now you want to fire them and reinsert the guy who made the mess in the first place, a guy whose only promise is to make an even bigger mess this time around. Yeah that makes a lot of sense… if you’re a total moron.

I thought she answered all of them except when she was interrupted.

Two more national polls: Fox- Trump by 2 points. Marist: Harris by 5 points The Fox poll is the first one in 2 weeks that shows Trump ahead nationally, making it an outlier by definition. The Marist poll represents Harris’ largest lead so it may be an outlier as well.

I thought she did an excellent job with some very tough questions. But even if I’m completely wrong about that and you guys are right, “BUT TRUMP” remains a reasonable response, more important than any other argument.

I give you credit for using the word “slattern”. I feel like watching Les Miserables now,

Glad you can see her objectively.