The Real timschochet

See my above comment.

Well Axios is much more fair. They note that these are comments by a few stray Dems and that the leadership (led by Jeffries) have no intention of challenging anything. Gateway Pundit on the other hand implies that it’s all Democrats and @RLLD made the same assumption in his commentary.

I changed the title again, and this may be the last time before the election. I think everyone, including me, is making too much of a big deal when either candidate jumps ahead in a swing state or nationally by a couple of points. It’s all within the margin. There is no serious person claiming this isn’t going down to the wire. That said, either Trump or Harris COULD dominate- by winning most of the swing states by a point or two. But we won’t know until the night of or a few days later. I

You responded to news from that source which Is why I asked.

Do you believe that The Gateway Pundit is an accurate source for reporting Democratic Party intentions?

FTR I have no idea what internal polling shows, I was repeating what some reporter said.

You’re right. A self professed, self made multi millionaire like yourself is just so much smarter than me.

Good rebuttal.

Hmm https://jacobin.com/2024/10/harris-trump-pa-workers-election-poll

It is not possible with Trump. It is possible with Harris, over many years, if we begin the process of finding alternatives to oil and gas. A Trump Presidency will result in a rise, not decrease, in fuel costs (and all other costs.)

Around 2/3rds of it. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Munich_Agreement

It seems like in all my posts in this forum you would have encountered my concerns already. But here goes, in no particular order: 1. I think he’s going to impose new high tariffs that will severely damage or collapse the economy. 2. I think he’s going to force Ukraine to surrender to Russia. 3. I think he’s going to try and deport millions of people, among them personal friends of mine. I also think he’s going to separate families and cause terror to innocent people. 4. I think he’s going to reverse Biden’s actions to try and control climate change, and this is going to lead to more human misery on a grand scale. Theres more. A lot more. I hope I’m wrong about some of this or all of it. But the above represent my personal biggest concerns.

They do if you’re guarding a castle.

Nope. The polls were wrong. I wished President Trump well and hoped for the best, that he would succeed in making things better for the country. If he wins I’ll do the same this time.

Yeah that must be it.

She is.

I’m scared to death too. Who isn’t scared at this point, if you care about this country and think that a second term for Trump would be a total disaster? Of course I’m scared. She has the lead. I think she will win. But it’s tenuous. It’s way too close. Nobody knows what’s going to happen. I’m nervous as Hell.

You keep repeating the same thing. It’s all from Polymarket and it’s based on their (IMO) overreaction to couple polls from Pennsylvania (which don’t represent the majority of polls there.)

Obama campaigning in Pennsylvania tonight.

Whose design?

I won’t have any excuses. If Trump wins then some of the polls were wrong. That’s all.

Been busy all day. Just noticed it now. I was going to correct it but I kind of enjoy the jokes.

I used 538: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/pennsylvania/ Aggregate for Pennsylvania is Kamala by 1. Vast majority of polls has Kamala ahead. So I don’t know what to tell you. She’s ahead. She’s winning. If these numbers hold she win the election. Sorry to disappoint you guys.

I don’t need to try to sound smart. Especially when I’m responding to you.

He’s not connected with 538 anymore. And I pointed out his comment because I was pointing out that if the YouGov poll is correct that’s great news for Harris. And dude don’t even try to tell me how to analyze polls. I’m better at this in my sleep than you could ever be.