The Real timschochet

Not the best look for you sir

I didn’t know it all along but when you think about it it makes sense. Actually way more sense than the Last Supper (which again isn’t even the Last Supper but Da Vinci’s depiction of same.)

Damn. I used to think you were smarter than this. Guess you’re not.

@Strike isn’t very good with actual facts.

Am I worried about him hanging around for longer than 2028? Or ending elections? Nah. Because even if he wanted to, the vast majority of those voting for him, even the MAGA crowd, don’t want to change our system and would never allow it. They believe in it too. The bigger point is that Trump is a rambling idiot and for the life of me I will never understand his attraction to some of you. Guys a fraud, a crook, a bigot, incompetent, a bad businessman, and an awful human being. How can you possibly vote for him again? Do you truly hate liberals and the rest of us that much?

First part of your post is not true. There are polls taken in the last few days of some of the swing states that are good for Trump and which I find disappointing. I’m hoping those fade away in couple of weeks but if they stay steady Kamala is in trouble. The second part of your post could be true so long as you’re willing to share.

Yes I did. But it also had polls from before last week and included those in the aggregate. Hence my post.

Olympic organizers apologize to Christians: https://amp.theguardian.com/sport/article/2024/jul/28/paris-olympics-organisers-apologise-to-christians-for-last-supper-parody I don’t think the apology was necessary. The trans lady was supposed to be Dionysus, not Jesus. Therefore they weren’t attacking Christianity. It was supposed to be plea for love, peace and tolerance. By apologizing they’re giving in to the intolerant mob IMO

I don’t think any polls taken before the middle of last week are relevant at all. By Wednesday or Thursday the public had absorbed the fact that Kamala Harris is the nominee and a lot of folks had listened to her speak for the first time. Any polls taken before that reflect a completely different election and don’t matter in the slightest.

It’s been a week since Biden quit the race and we’re finally starting to get a few poll numbers that can be trusted: they’re still in flux, but as I wrote, look at the trend lines. https://abcnews.go.com/amp/Politics/harris-sees-boost-favorability-after-biden-drops-race/story?id=112306763 One week ago, before Kamala became the presumptive candidate, she had an approval rating of 36% and a disapproval rating of 51%. Remember this is before she was seriously exposed to the public and her numbers are closely tied into the public’s negative view of Joe Biden. As of this morning her approval rating is 43%, disapproval rating 42%. After one week! And IMO this is only the beginning.

So the more I read, the more I’m convinced it’s going to be Mark Kelly, for a long list of reasons: 1. Astronaut, combat pilot, hero (in Iraq). He’s the real deal, people love him. 2. Married to Gabby Giffords. 3. Wins Arizona. 4. Highly respected by McCain Republicans which still represent about 15% of conservatives in Arizona and Nevada and will also peel off a chuck of Haley voters nationwide. 5. Expert on the border which will help neutralize Kamala’s biggest weakness. I think this is the guy.

For the last 20 years Seymour Hersh’s reporting has been completely discredited. His pro-Russia reporting on the Ukraine War in particular has been proven to be filled with fabrications and it’s strongly believed that he is in the pay of Putin.

Link to when I wrote that Hamas wants peace?

I didn’t say he was a conservative. I said I don’t know if he’s gay and even if he is, he doesn’t represent the “LGBTQ+ community.”

No idea who this is but she sounds like an idiot because she’s using the word “we”- as if this was done by the LGBTQ+ community as a whole. In fact it was designed by one French dude and I don’t even know if he was gay. It’s a typical conservative thing: when Trump was shot “they” did it. When an undocumented immigrant commits a violent crime (a rare occurrence by the way) it’s “illegals did this”. The 2020 rioting was supposedly done by the BLM movement. Conservatives, who supposedly champion individualism (at least they used to) collectivize everything and blame groups of people.

I’m certainly opposed to religious persecution of gays and trannies. But I don’t separate out Catholics. Muslims are the worse in this regard- they murder them. Catholics, Protestants, Mormons and Jews have all contributed to persecution. I’m against that but not against the people. Most of them aren’t mean-spirited; they’re just wrong. They’re not evil.

I’d like to think not…

And a lot of good stuff. I disagree with @jerryskids about how great the missionaries were (I recommend James Michener’s Hawaii for anyone who wants to learn about the American ones in particular) but overall, post-Enlightenment, I’d say the good outweighs the bad. But your hostility to Catholics is pretty repulsive.

Also, the anti-Catholic bigotry in this thread is really offensive and total BS.

Christianity has done great things. It was Christians who were behind the abolitionist movement and the civil rights movement. It was Christians who hid Jews during the Holocaust (in some countries anyhow.) I disagree with some of your points but I don’t want you to think I am anti-Christian.

Yeah those French bishops have a nice history. They participated in Vichy and the Holocaust and allowed Jews to be deported to death camps and even informed on their hiding places in some cases. And they refused to apologize for any of it. But now they deplore this? F them.

Still won’t commit to a debate. Some alpha.

I think the indigenous populations of most of the Americas, as well as parts of Asia and Africa, might have an issue with you. If they were still alive that is.

If the betting odds are unchanged in 3-4 weeks I will start to think again that Trump will win. Let’s see what happens.

What’s important there is the trend line, she’s shot way up. I expect her to exceed 50% in the next few weeks. Conversely, Trump at 47% has reached his height as a result of the shooting and convention. He can only go down. I think he goes way down.