The Real timschochet

I give Kamala about a 55% chance of winning. Hopefully those odds will go higher. i’ll leave when I get bored. But I’m surprised you’d want me to leave. So many of your posts are addressed to me, after all.

Worst insult you could offer me. I’m a huge Curtis Mayfield fan. And apparently Kamala has been a fan her entire life; what’s new is she’s buying vinyl records, which is kind of a cool trendy thing these days. My daughters just purchased a few Fleetwood Mac albums on vinyl. I don’t own any myself. How about you?

Ooh I wouldn’t go there. Not a good analogy for you.

OK let’s put aside your second paragraph because we obviously see the world very differently and we will never agree on that. Let’s go back to your first paragraph: this is more of an objective question. You were not impressed by her speeches so far, but I think you would agree that you’re not the target audience. The target audience is independents and her base. I would say that her base has been electrified by her speeches and whatever they thought of her before, they love her and embrace her now. I would argue that independents like what they hear so far and are open to her candidacy while still ultimately undecided. Would you agree with these two assertions?

No, just racist and fascist and criminal. Also, as I’ve pointed out before, Trump is far more Marxist than most Democrats. His proposals are anti-capitalism to the nth degree.

Yep I am waiting a couple of weeks for real news. But this is still amazing. Also her policy and her record is exemplar. And when you compare them to her opponent…

They tried this with Obama’s family too. Shall we discuss Trump’s corrupt relatives? Do you want us to look at what kind of man Trump’s dad was like? Good luck with this crap.

Too early to make much of this but DAMN: https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-erases-donald-trump-gains-hispanic-voters-1930682

Blowing up TikTok: https://www.newsweek.com/kamala-harris-joins-tiktok-followers-first-video-1930586

Scared to bet your own money? Of course you are. Because you know how this is likely to turn out.

2024 version of “Fired up, ready to go.” She is killing it.

Never said they were wrong. They have a formula and it’s very accurate. Let’s see what the odds are in 3 weeks, in a month, and on the eve of the election. If they’re the same as now then I’ll agree that Trump will likely win, obviously. But I think they will change.

Got my truck ready. I’m loading up all my undocumented friends and we’re heading to Arizona. Gonna hit as many polling booths as we can. All my Jewish buddies are doing the same. Soros has promised to pay for the gas, lodgings, food, everything. Gonna be a great time.

Yeah those odds will change as we get closer. They’re still using factors that no longer apply.

Nope. I give it even odds. But no more wagers. Except for @Strike if he wants one. But I do think she will win. And I think it’s going to really bother the hell out of you and all the other bigots. Not that this is the reason I’m supporting her, it’s just an added plus.

Your nickname is dumb. Not as dumb as “Hitlerly”. You’re not good at this at all.

Badly? Kamala is black and Indian woman married to a Jew. And she’s going to be President. I love this for you especially.

She’s backed down from both positions and even if she hadn’t there’s no way she could get either through Congress even with Democratic majorities. There are so many things that excite me about her campaign that it would take too long to list them here. But of course the very top of the list has not changed: Kamala’s victory means Donald Trump loses. I don’t hate Trump, but I believe several of his policies, which he WILL have the power to pursue if elected, will be terrible for this country.

The neat thing about this short election cycle is that we will very quickly know which of us is right about this. In terms of one of your predictions (popular support), we will know in a few weeks or less how much she truly has. If I turn out to be wrong about this I will come here and admit it. Hope you’ll do the same.

Talk about whatever you want. All I wrote is that I personally have no interest in defending every action good or bad. I’m not going to spend the next few months doing it. Boring and a waste of time.

Well then I guess they’ll be surprised. I know you will be.

A lot of business leaders supporting Kamala. Apparently they don’t think she’s too leftist: https://www.businessinsider.com/election-business-leaders-billionaires-backing-kamala-harris-president-2024-7 A big part of this is that they know what a complete disaster Trump’s proposals would be, especially the ones regarding trade and deportations.

No problem discussing policy. This isn’t that.

Yes. And other Democratic strategists urge caution as well. And they may be right. Let’s see what everyone is saying in a few weeks. But what I wrote is that the Harris team expects to win this election. Of course they do. To think otherwise makes no sense.

And in terms of 2020 they won’t or can’t. And it’s deliberate.