Sean Mooney

What the hell are you talking about? Who said anything about a "think tank"?

I mean the article is just the writer laying out what is in the Penn Wharton Budget Model. So it is just laying out facts and pretty devoid of opinion of any kind.

The American Mind (a publication of the very conservative Claremont Institute) had an interesting article about the view of this election. It touches on the 5 main topics at play in this election which are: inflation, immigration, crime, abortion, and world affairs (it says 4 of 5 favor Trump. I'd say 1 clearly favors him, 1 does not, the other 3 vary depending on how you want to interpret data or view the scenarios). But with so much favoring Trump you'd think he would walk- but he is an historically disliked President. "exit polling from the 2022 midterms found that 28% of voters cast their House vote to “oppose” Trump, who was no longer even in office and wasn’t yet a declared presidential candidate. That opposition to Trump was enough to negate seven-eighths of the anti-Biden vote. Similarly, in polling conducted about a year ago, independent voters were asked, “Who are you hoping will NOT be nominated by either party for president?” Thirty-nine percent listed Trump as the person they most hoped wouldn’t be nominated, surpassing even the 37% who listed Biden." So to them this becomes an issues-vs-intangibles election. How do voters view Harris- is she a next in line or new blood candidate? Over the past 30 years, next-in-line nominees—those who were the runner-up during their party’s previous open nomination process (one not featuring an incumbent president of that party) or else had served as vice president—have notched one win and five losses (a .167 winning percentage), winning an average of 41% of the electoral vote. Over that same span, new-blood candidates—George W. Bush in 2000, John Kerry in 2004, Barack Obama in 2008, and Donald Trump in 2016—have posted three wins and one loss (.750) and have won an average of 56% of the electoral vote.

People are not communists and fascists....that is a dumb scare tactic people use when they aren't serious about having a real conversation.

The latest Cook Political Report has North Carolina moving to a "Toss Up" from "Leans Republican." Barack Obama, the 1st time running, was the last Democrat to win that state. RCP has it at Trump +.9- well within the margin of error. I'm not going to assume she wins that state because it would be a fool's bet at this point. If she does however, then you are looking at a map that expands a lot of possibilities for Kamala to win the Presidency- - Win NC, and hold WI, MI, PA you win pretty comfortably by a pretty similar margin to 2020. - Win NC, Hold Georgia, it allows you to lose one of the Rust Belt states and still win the Presidency- even losing Arizona and Nevada. (In some scenarios you could lose 2 Rust Belt states and carry the win - Win NC, HOLD Georgia, keep Arizona and Nevada and it allows you to lose the Rust Belt states completely and still win the Presidency - Not to mention the chaos scenarios where winning NC and the right combination of other wins and losses could lead to the 269-269 tie. But in some scenarios winning NC could give you some wiggle room outs if one of the Rust Belt states falls away from you.

No one believes you were a cop either. You can stop now.

Which is dumb policy to enact from here and it's dumb policy when Trump says it as well. Honestly- neither one has really advanced an adult economic plan yet. It's all political posturing nonsense

You dug up a thread from 5 years ago for scoring an Internet point and you want to tell me to let things go? Dude- build a bridge and get over it.

I have my voting history. I know what I believe and I know when I am needling people because it is more fun to do so.

Keep putting that money done on being wrong. it's fine by me

You are just wrong. I'm cool with you wanting to be this wrong

So no debating the content of what I said just "I know you are but what am I..."way to go Pee Wee

Supports all liberals and liberal policies -> check (I do not support all liberal policies) Votes Democrat -> check (I've voted for both parties and regularly do in every election) Excoriates conservates and republicans all day long -> check (I was literally just telling Realtim last night he was being overzealous. Also- you and HT and Reality and the like fly off the handle like crazy. It's funnier. Also, i didn't know "conservates" was an actual party now) So you can GTFO

I think he should just walk into the Atlantic Ocean and maybe try to swim until he finds an island somewhere...or just swim until he can't anymore and see what happens

I don't have a team you goofball. Just stop

You are almost 50 and this detached from the real world? Yikes

Took you 14 minutes to rush here and defend? Trump only awards you 2 stars out of 5

Why dig up this thread from 5 years ago? Strange dude

Let's play a 2 part guessing game: Donald Trump said this yesterday: Who was the: 1.) Mayor of San Francisco in 2009 2.) DA of San Francisco in 2009?

You forgot the trigger warning

Neither side can really lay claim to the middle right now....but the Democrats felt like they were trying a little more for it at their convention versus what was happening at the RNC. Or to be more accurate- from where Trump has gone since the RNC

Yeah I saw the numbers somewhere about the amount of minutes watched across social media. I didn't want to break HT's brain anymore than it already is

I never said they weren't. You crowed about them being down (and the implication from you was that the RNC was higher)- that latter part was false. Then you threw out the 22% and I said general TV decline in ratings since 2016 is well above 22%. I also asked what the RNC ratings were and you've hid every time I've asked. I'm sorry the truth hurts you so much. I guess from now on I'll put trigger warnings on posts where I'm going to add some truth to your posts.

I also said about the general decline in TV ratings since 2016. I also said even with you saying the DNC was down it was still higher than the RNC ratings across the board (which were also down). I'm providing context to half things you are saying. I'm sorry someone saying truthful things is "unhinged" to you. I know its because you are so invested in people making up stuff

Still a no then?