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Horseman

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Everything posted by Horseman

  1. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    Plus we know where you live.
  2. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    I'm hoping for a CSTU result. Not because Biden and Tim both lose which would be awesome. But because Tim disappears. Its eerily similar.
  3. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    Words mean things dumbasss. Especially after you've already agreed to the bet. You have to wait until November, just like you said. If Biden is the nominee but dies on Halloween you lose.
  4. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    4-1 odds for the nominee is a good bet against Tim.. It's ~ -200. Tim is right, the Hur report is overblown, Biden has only dropped about 6% in the betting odds. But Tim can't do math, so he's giving up twice what he should. Even odds to win is dumb on both sides. You can get plus money on both guys right now.
  5. Horseman

    ***Wagering thread***

    The way I do specials is by thinking how I expect the game to play out and pick props along that narrative. I posted in a different thread that I think the line should favor the chiefs by 2 or 3 instead of the 49rs. The AFC proved that you need an elite QB to win and every time we think Allen or Jackson is going to be the next guy Mahomes is always left standing there. The chiefs can win just because of mahomes. On the other hand the NFC showed that they don't have an elite QB. The most well rounded team won with mr irrelevant. For the 49rs to win this game the entire team needs to play a complete game without making any mistakes under the biggest lights there are. I also like to look for plus money props that feel like it's a 50-50 or good chance of happening. For sides, since I'm on KC, instead of 2 points or +110 money line I'm going to plunk some down on Mahomes MVP for a higher payout. Here is what I have so far for specials: gatoraide orange +450 used to be a fairly easy $50 doing some internet slothing to get even odds red/yellow/orange or belichick clear. Seems like gatorage gods have been messing with us lately with 2 blues in a row and then a shocker chiefs(orange) purple last year. Taking odds that it swings back to normal gatoraide clear +800 there is always water on the sideline first score chiefs fg +370 first turnover fumble +170 tot punts u7.5 a half point higher than the sum of individual teams o/u off pass int yes +380 aggressive te on both teams and both team pick a lot swift shown with drink in hand yes +120 long tour, long flight, it's the superbowl mcentire boot color white +500 hoping silver (not listed) counts as white and she wants to be more flashy than the favorites black/brown. Red could pull an upset. mahomes headband red +120 matches more often than not and they are home team red, although I think he foked me on this last year administrative time out +500 no idea what counts as administrative, but, anything to get in more commercials 49rs win coin toss +100 was the bets odds for the flip first offensive play pass +135 I think this might be the best bet out there. The line is following conventional wisdom, but, it's a passing league now and I think all teams pass more on 1st down than they do run. I think 49rs are 60% and Chiefs closer to 70%. What am I missing? first chief offensive play pass +130 time of poss chiefs -110 49rs score first drive yes +110 chiefs convert 4th down yes -110 chiefs win both halves yes +380 first score td - no +130 Aiyuk 1 catch to the right +170 romo to say "taylor/swift" before jim +110 1st kick off = touch back yes -325 This was by far my biggest bet last year, but, I got it at -160/-170. Looks like they've adjusted but the number opened at -400 so it's more tempting the lower it gets
  6. Horseman

    ***Wagering thread***

    There are some bonker props out there. Topless first Jason K, Taylor or Olivia. A sure thing if you've got 10K to tie up to make $100. Some are just impossible: Does Taylor get presented a SB ring or appear on the cover of Madden first. And books are making bank of the swifties. Is Taylor going to be shown eating a hot dog? Yes +500 with no option for NO. Will Taylor announce she's pregnant +5000. So when all these wild things don't happen, it's like stealing candy from babies.
  7. Horseman

    ***Wagering thread***

    WTF. I think SB just limited me on prop specials.
  8. Horseman

    ***Wagering thread***

    Just when you think SB betting cant get anymore rediculous. 89 Taylor Swift props up.
  9. Horseman

    ***Wagering thread***

    Rice unders is interesting. I think Pacheco r+r. What's it at?
  10. Horseman

    ***Wagering thread***

    Serious Clark? Biggest day of the year. I'll try to post specials tomorrow. Usually have 50+ bets spreadsheeted with beginning middle end to keep track of.
  11. Horseman

    ***Wagering thread***

    Hmmm Mahomes o1.5TD +150 Mahomes o262.5 Mahomes o26.5rush Samuel o2.5rush MSV o19.5 Kittle o3.5 Purdy o0.5int C Jone sack Plugged them several days ago, not sure how lines have changed.
  12. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    Answering your question is a trigger? Of course. Dumbass.
  13. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    For for office? You catching Biden disease? What year did your vice presidency end? "if it was 2013 - when did I stop being Vice President?" Find anything remotely similar. I wont hold my breath.
  14. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    +gutterboy @edjr we're going to have to reset the poll after the idiots get done exposing themselves.
  15. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    So we got Tim and ShoNuff Jr that still think Biden is fit for office. Anyone else.
  16. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    So you pick and choose which part of the report to believe all the while ignoring the obvious. Definition of a hack. But we already knew that. Go ahead and get the last word in ShoNuff Jr.
  17. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    It's not that hard. You're like a female version of ShoNuff. Biden unfit? Yes or no.
  18. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    You cant make this stuff up. Its unbelievable. He goes out to defend his mental acuity and tells us he convinced the president of Egypt to open humanitarian aid to Mexico.
  19. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    Who is mad? Got dam take your dress off Sally Sally wont answer the question.
  20. Horseman

    Supreme Court hearing on Trump, Colorado

    Colorado’s lawyer got completely destroyed from the parts I heard. Should be 8-1 if not unanimous Clown show. Good job Colorado.
  21. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    You won’t answer the question of the day. Pick and choose. You're a foking hack. .
  22. Horseman

    Joe Biden - Diminished Faculties—👀

    Trump is secret service protected. Biden wasn’t after 6 months.
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