Ray_T

if it is a detached retina, I think it can detach again with a hard hit if he comes back too early. that is the only possible thing I can think of. That and perhaps him not being in game shape. so the reps need limiting because hes incapable of doing a full workload in week 1. personally I think its an excuse to give him less reps so they can see what the kid they drafted can do. we shall see. could also be a smokescreen. coaches love to play misdirection with their comments to keep people from guessing what they actually will do. especially this time of year. so I wouldnt put a lot of stock into the comments.

I think to answer this question correctly I need more information. if you dont make this deal, what is the best couple of QB on the board you could go after and what would you likely have to pay to get them at auction? knowing what your value add is at QB is important. you are giving up 2 pretty decent players on excellent value in terms of dollars. right now I am leaning towards advising you not to make the deal, but I see Baker was also at a very affordable salary, so i am inclined to ask for more info before making a final call on this.

yep. I think you nailed it on this. Nabers is likely the guy but it also depends on the rules of your league with respect to keepers. The fact he was not kept makes me think there is more to consider than just who the best player is. personally there are not many formats I'd take Jeanty ahead of Nabers. Nabers is a confirmed blue chipper who will likely put up game breaking numbers for you. Jeanty likely is the RB version of this but we dont know for sure. He is a rookie. might only put up 900-1000 yards and a handful of TD as a rookie. or he could go off and put up huge numbers. thats what you get with rookies. a high degree of unpredictable performances. the question is, do you want to risk that with a first (or early 2nd) round pick? I'd take the more certain outcome. we all thought Marvin Harrison Jr. was a slam dunk first round pick and he proved that even high end rookies will sometimes have a rookie calibre season. I do think MHJ has a good year this year. well worth his ADP. but he was bit by the rookie bug, and it is possible you could get that with Jeanty too.

I'd agree. WR2 is too rich for him. He may put up WR2 numbers by year end but based on expected production for the whole year, he should be drafted as a WR3

I think hes good so long as they keep him away from the fireworks. personally I figured the season would start as a committee and then whoever plays better would gradually take over the backfield.

its a know your league thing. if most teams carry 2 QB then you would be right. if most teams only carry one, then he would be right in his instance. not all leagues are the same. most of the leagues I am in are actually superflex or 2 QB leagues so most teams in those format will roster at least 2 and usually 3. but in the leagues ive been in where they only start one QB. one league most teams kept a backup on the roster. the rest of the leagues didnt. so for his league he could be doing the right thing. but that may not work in yours.

Hey guys, I debated not making this post public, cuz this kind of post really gets people riled up........but after thinking about this, I have to speak out. Bowers is the concensus #1 TE in the NFL this year. I'm telling you I dont think hes gonna be #1. here is why: Pete Carroll historically his offenses do not Feature a TE. for the most part he doesnt have TE that finish in the top 10 or even top 15. then one year he traded for Jimmy Graham. who was the concensus top TE in the NFL with the Saints. he played 3 seasons in seattle. one Meh season, one good season (TE3) and another Meh season and then he was traded. that's literally the only sniff of the top 10 any of his TE's have had during his tenure in Seattle. due to the talent, Im sure he will utilize Bowers. but I do not think he finishes #1. I think he tops out at #4 or #5. Top 3 if everything goes right. But there is a lot more risk here than people think there is. This is not a Criticism of Bowers. Hes a superb talent. This is all about the Pete Carroll offense. say what you will about the guy, but TE are historically not productive under him. thats my prediction. I fully realize a lot of you will be mad at me for making this prediction, but see for yourself. Look at how Carrolls TE's have historically produced. It aint pretty.

No. Geno isnt anywhere close to being elite. Hes not a bad QB. but he has considerably less talent to work with than he had last year. I dont expect him to put up the same numbers. Amari Cooper (if he can still play) will help. but the late signing likely means hes not all that productive in the first couple of weeks of the NFL year. you can only learn so much of the playbook in a couple of weeks. I do like AJ brown at his ADP. there is considerable upside where he is being drafted.

Hey guys, Weepaws is right in one sense. There is a lot of depth at QB now. and the difference between the QB8-9 and the QB14 isnt exactly huge. based on this it is a legitimate strategy to forgo drafting a QB in the early rounds and then draft a solid QB near the bottom of the top 10 concensus QB (presumably a player with some upside) and then grab another one later (ie. a guy like Herbert who was the QB14 last year but who looks like he could perform better this year) between the two QB if you cherry pick matchups all year you may end up with top 5 QB1 production due to the benefits of playing the matchup. I'm not saying either of you are wrong. I'm just saying its a legitimate strategy. Lets not discount that. I honestly like the possible upside for guys like Herbert, Goff and Dak this year. Even Bryce young could have nice upside if he takes a step forward. I think he has the talent at WR now to get that done. Even Drake Maye has some considerable upside too now that he has a legit WR to throw to. I know Diggs is on the downside of his career, but I think hes still better than any WR Maye had to work with last year. Tua isnt even being drafted in a lot of formats. while the injury risk is extremely high, he will likely produce at a good level until he gets another concussion. Stafford too. huge injury risk, but with Davante in the fold and paired up with Puka, I can see a bounceback year. These are QB you likely can get for free or even in the last round or two of your draft. (ok maybe not Dak but you get the idea) the biggest cost associated with this strategy is you need to use 2 roster spots on a QB instead of 1. I dont mind it. Weepaws and I dont always see eye to eye. but I agree his strategy with respect to this has some merit.

bidding wars are fine sometimes. at the end of the day you have to reign in your emotions. its all about knowing if you are paying too much. you clearly got all of those players. so long as the value is there, you will be fine.

the key in an auction is not to overbid. those bidding wars can kill you if the bidding gets out of control

Id expect a bit of a slower start for him just because of how little time hes got to learn his role. I do think he will be successful, just dont expect him to blow the doors off i the first couple of weeks. not saying it cant happen. his position (to some extent) is a bit instictual and hes got those instincts. but knowing his role in every situation when hes only had a handful of practices with the team is asking a lot. so mistakes likely will be made. its inevitable. as an OC I'd be running some plays designed to get him into the wrong position. That may be easier said than done. but you gotta try and this feels like a bit of an opportunity. Id rather face him in week 1 or 2 this year than in week 9 or 10.

I dont think any of the publications were telling you to pick mixon this year. at least nobody credible. I got him as a RB3 in one league and an RB4 in another. at that point I do think it is good value. hes missing 4 games. possibly one or two more but at least 4.. from what I've seen (which admittedly is somewhat minimal) and heard it doesnt look like Chubb is looking good which leads me to believe Mixon likely resumes his old role when he returns. maybe Chubb poaches a few goal line carries but I dont think Mixon was ever huge on the TD anyhow. I fully admit a RB can come in as a rookie and be highly productive. its more common for this to happen as a RB than it is for a WR or QB. but typically its first rounders who do it. and the conditions need to be right. solid run blocking O line. decent offense. thats what you wanna see.

honestly, Flacco knows how to run an offense. but if Flacco starts playing well, they will bench him for one of the youngsters on the roster. its the Cleveland way. I have almost zero faith in management in cleveland. they signed a QB who was out of football a full year and was accused of molesting massage practicioners and given that baggage, they had the nerve to fully guarantee his contract anyways. Now in salary cap jail the team is hooped for years due to that stupid signing. and this is just one of many dumb moves that team has made.

I do my own. I do usually look at one or two rankings. pick the one which aligns best with my own thoughts (so I dont have to make as many adjustments) and then tweak that sheet to fit my needs. there are always certain players where the person doing the rankings doesnt share the same opinion on certain players. I dont just do this randomly. I do based on my own research and knowledge. for example my QB ratings differ a fair bit from a lot of the big ranking sheets. though looking at some I have a sneaky suspicion some of those rankings are done by running a regression based on past performances. far less labour intensive, but also less accurate when a player has special circumstance surrounding poor production in one year. when I see a traditionally productive player have a bad year I usually try to find out why and if those conditions that led to the bad year still exist. if they dont, I usually throw out the bad year and write it off to whatever it is (injury, bad coach, injured starting QB) so I never go strictly based on the rankings and occasionally will go against those same rankings. if you do go against what the rankings tell you and you are right, it can mean you have one or two more impact players on your roster. a significant advantage. I also like to look at cases where one ranking has a player ranked high while another has that same player ranked low. that usuallly is a good sign you need to do extra research to find out who is right and who is wrong.

I cannot disagree. When fully healthy it could be Chubb but he will never be fully healthy again I suspect

this just reinforces that Mixon will be the guy once he gets healthy.... if you can get him as your RB3/4 you are laughing. he will come back and get some decent points in time for the stretch run and fantasy playoffs. He will help you at the right time and you wont need to pay a high draft pick to do it.

its close. but I do view cook as a possible keeper in future years. so due to age, thats where I value him more. the reality is the difference between the two is mostly personal preference. if we polled I'm sure the breakdown will be somewhat split. but I also think Cook is an underrated player in fantasy.

and I do think benson gets more love this year than he got last season. if the team is clearly not a playoff contender, you can bet they will be looking at options and one of those is at RB. they need to know if Benson can get the job done or if they need to draft someone. so I do think he gets a few games where he is the lead guy.

yeah the money is more of a one year time horizon. if you are looking at potential future keepers, that makes Cook the more valueable guy as this could potentially be the last year Conner is fantasy relevant. in keeper leagues its always present value + future value. (unless you are a contender for the title... then you lean heavily on present value)

I agree. we did it as an experiment one year and never looked back.

if these are the only choices Cook is your guy. It is also worth noting that Conner is 30 years old. At this point there is often a drop in production for a RB. Not as big a deal if you are Henry and getting 1900 yards on the ground, but for a 1000 yard rusher, that bumps you down the list into RB2 territory. I also suspect they may give Benson a heavier workload this year as they need to know if hes gonna be able to be the guy next year or if they need to draft someone. it is possible Conner hits the wall a year later at 31 but you shouldnt bet on that in a keeper league. Younger guys are almost always more valueable than the old guys unless they are putting up Derek Henry type numbers

I suspected when Harvey was drafted someone would go on the chopping block Estime's stats on the surface dont look too bad. I think 4.1 yards per carry. my guess is that maybe there is another issue none of us are aware of. Though he was only a 5th round pick, so maybe the team just didnt feel all that invested in him as a player.