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Ray_T

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Everything posted by Ray_T

  1. Ray_T

    DJ........Antonio Brown Jr.

    well, I wouldnt be inclined to pay someone who has been hit or miss production wise, and if hes being suspended for conduct detrimental to the team I think that may be enough to scare a lot of teams away. though as someone earlier said..... it only takes one team willing to overlook that. but if signing a guy like that, the guaranteed amount likely needs to be small. I'd be like, I'll give you a good contract, but little to no guaranteed money. so if you misbehave, I can just cut you.
  2. Ray_T

    SNF Discussion: Chargers @ Chiefs - Week 14

    that was a weird one. Bills D has been good all year and then suddenly they get torn apart by the Rams. Though the Rams occasionally get lightning in a bottle even vs good teams but I didnt see this coming.
  3. Ray_T

    DJ........Antonio Brown Jr.

    well, you cant count on NFL teams being smart, but I do think they get a compensatory pick. but maybe not as large a pick as some would seem to think they'd get. for that reason alone, they may keep him on the roster unless hes so disruptive that they figure they are better off without him. but if that happens, he (as a player) likely has far bigger problems than most of us know about.
  4. Ray_T

    DJ........Antonio Brown Jr.

    true. I'm sure his agent will read him the riot act and he will be on his best behavior for the rest of the season. (at least.... if hes smart.... no guarantee of that)
  5. Ray_T

    49ers RB's

    at the age of 28 his career shouldnt be over, but he does get injured a lot so you could be right. And for whatever reason San Fran seems to have more than their fair share of injuries. Not sure if thats because of the quality of the turf or if its more a training/work managment issue with the coaches and training staff. either way, he may put up one more big year if he can keep good health. Personally I wouldnt bet on it unless he fell significantly in the draft. but I'm more injury averse than many out there. for that reason I never really got burnt on the Tua injury. I didnt have much in the way of shares of that offense.
  6. Ray_T

    49ers RB's

    honestly when I saw that scouting report it looked like scheme wise hes a perfect fit for San Fran. hes gonna need some time to learn the playbook. but it wouldnt surprise me if he surpasses the healthy players on this roster fairly quickly. obviously that excludes Mason and CMC but they are not healthy at the moment.
  7. Ray_T

    49ers RB's

    I like the tape on him. decent skill, very good speed. hits the hole and once he gets a step, hes gone. Bit surprised this kid went as late as he did. Jets got him in the 5th but then released him after only one season. makes me wonder if he has some critical flaw that isnt showing up on the scouting reports. I checked to see if hes a fumbler, but no sign of this. maybe hes not great in pass pro? hard to say. but I wouldnt be inclined to cut a guy with that kind of talent after only one year unless I saw something that made me think I cant work with the kid.
  8. Ray_T

    The Official Week 14 FU Thread

    yeah, he gave me a big goose egg. luckily I also had Goff and Jacobs. Their good games more than made up for his dud game. so I feel I am still ahead. but certainly not as much as I could have been.
  9. Ray_T

    I need a possible boom play at RB

    yeah, he is the high upside play here. while it is possible Gus the Bus gets most of the carries, Vidal has the most upside and it is tough to predict what Harbaugh will do on this front. it may even change from one game to the next. Gus is the safe pick and he will get you a steady 6-8 points in standard leagues and maybe 8-10 points in PPR. but he wont often exceed that total. Vidal on the other hand could get you 20 or he could get you 2. the sample size is too small, but his youth and speed lead me to believe he has more upside, but the downside risks are very significant there too.
  10. Ray_T

    A bit surprised

    I think it really depends on a lot of things. if you pay full value based on this years stats, I'd agree fully. you need to apply a discount for the possibility that he loses some touches to Benson. The hard part is in the event that the team transitions from him to Benson mid season, you could find yourself short a RB (unless you draft both) and if Benson can be had in the late rounds, then yeah take Conner and take Benson a round earlier than you likely need to as an insurance policy (or a high end RB4 if you will) nothing wrong with taking on a little risk so long as you take steps to mitigate that risk if you can.
  11. Ray_T

    Breece Hall Knee Injury

    ouch bad news if hes one of your starting RB.
  12. Ray_T

    SNF Discussion: 49ers at Bills - Week 13

    nice. I think there was actually a couple others just like it out there as well. I seem to think one may have been Peyton Manning though not certain.
  13. Ray_T

    SNF Discussion: 49ers at Bills - Week 13

    I think the old ways were that the person scoring the TD got the 6 points for fantasy purposes. person throwing the ball got the pass yards. though in a case like this, technically it wasnt a TD Pass. the pass was made, caught and then lateralled. upon receipt of the lateral, thats effectively a run play from the point the person receiving the Lateral obtains possession of the ball. so it shouldnt be a TD pass, but it should be a completed pass for (however many) yards. then a lateral and a run in for a TD. but the TD should count as a rush TD I have seen a QB get credit for a TD pass to himself. it was a case where he tossed the ball and it was batted at the line. QB caught it and ran it in. but that one was clear cut.
  14. Ray_T

    Saquon Barkley

    probably low to mid RB2 if Sequon is not playing. hes low end RB3 or RB4 if Sequon is in the lineup
  15. Ray_T

    MNF Discussion: Browns at Broncos - Week 13

    for sure. only difference is a typical Winston game he would throw the Picks early, and then catch up while the other team was playing prevent D. This time he was good early, and then when pressed for time late in the game, he started forcing throws (which does happen late in games when you are trying to catch up with limited time on the clock) in this case I dont mind this type of interception as much because hes going for broke to try to even the score. no, you dont like the INT but you like that he got you to a point where a TD could make a difference and he blew it trying to catch the team up. to be clear, this game was not lost by the Offense. it was the Defense that couldnt get the job done. Last year this D was Reasonably scary. this year..... Meh. good at times. but not anywhere close to the D we saw last year. Not sure if its injuries or what the deal is..... but I'm not all that impressed by what I saw this year on D from the Browns
  16. Ray_T

    Saquon Barkley

    with a name like Gainwell, how could you not think he couldnt Gain Well once he is listed as the starter (ok bad pun I will admit to it) I do think he can handle a full workload (he has in the past) whether he can do it over the course of a full season may be another matter. but if he were to become the starter tomorrow, He would be just fine up til the end of the year. Obviously he wouldnt put up Sequon type numbers, but I bet he could get 80 yards a game fairly consistently if the role was thrust onto his shoulders. the Philly O line blocks quite well and Gainwell is good enough to be productive there. Just not Sequon productive
  17. Ray_T

    SNF Discussion: 49ers at Bills - Week 13

    yes, that sounds right. he just doesnt get credit for the reception as another teammate actually caught the ball.
  18. Ray_T

    SNF Discussion: 49ers at Bills - Week 13

    I'm pretty sure thats still the way they score it. and I'd argue that is correct. if the receiver catches a football, and then hands it of or laterals it to a teammate, then their run picks up from the location the ball was when the ball changed hands. if the ball carrier gets a TD, they get the fantasy points and credit for that, but it is not a reception. it is a run.
  19. Ray_T

    A bit surprised

    Yeah I fully agree. most likely Conner's last year as a starter is next season. and I dont know that he will be starter for the full year, but I think he will be for at least a part of the year. if his contract is 2 years with one guaranteed, they will probably use him for what they can, and then (likely late in the season) the transition will begin. they will give Benson more touches. if they feel he is ready they may cut Conner loose on the second year of that contract. or they keep him for part of the year as an insurance policy.
  20. Ray_T

    Week 14 QB Fill-in

    Wilson isnt bad in week 14. it does look like the Browns may have thrown in the towel. biggest concern there is that if Wilson gets to an early lead, the garbage time fantasy points will all go to the RB. wilson is for sure the better player.......O'connell on the other hand is facing an offense that is at least competent. and even if Oconnell isnt great, the Tampa D will likely make him look halfway decent. and if Tampa scores on offense, it is even possible that this could turn into a shootout. if that comes to pass this is fantasy gold. Wilson is the safer pick. and if all you need is a QB who doesnt put up a dud because your fantasy team is looking better than your opponent, hes your play. if you are facing a team ahead of you in the standings and looks like they will beat you..... then you need a hail mary, and O'connell is your high risk, high reward pick. Hes not nearly as safe. his floor will be lower than Wilsons floor, but this week I'd say his ceiling is likely higher if the shootout scenario comes to pass.
  21. Ray_T

    Taysom Hill

    yes, and the elite ones are mostly consistent. but then those guys are long gone before the double digit rounds while Taysom would still be on the board. This year Im able to be a lot more picky. I got kittle and Otton as a tandem in a couple of my leagues and when you got that kind of depth a guy like Taysom doesnt make sense, but most people are not in that situation so I guess its easy for me to talk like this. but if you are looking at a starting TE of Goedert, then yeah, Taysom is a lovely pickup. but Consistency and touches are the largest difference between the top TE1 guys and the lower tier TE1/TE2 players.
  22. Ray_T

    A bit surprised

    he is very good in pass pro. and his numbers this year have been decent. I suspect they want him to mentor the kid a bit. having your stud RB learn a year or so before you fully unleash him isnt a terrible thing. you dont want him fully spent before the team becomes fully competitive. I dont know how much of that contract was guaranteed, but if I were a betting man I'd guess 1 year is guaranteed and the second year not.
  23. Ray_T

    Taysom Hill

    3 weeks is not exactly a large sample size. there are a lot of mediocre players where at one point in the season you can take a 3 week sample and say hes consistent. you need to look at a full season (two if you can) there are times when you toss that out of the window, but his consistency has been erratic because his usage by his team has been inconsistent. (at least that is part of the problem) and if the team isnt providing consistent touches, its hard to project big things from week to week. until I see that level out hes a spot start for me. Granted I have Kittle, so I dont see many situations where I would start him ahead of Kittle (at least not when Kittle is healthy) but hey you can do things how you like. and I have found that sometimes you need to pickup a player before his reps and production become consistent. because thats when you get him on the cheap. if you wait for the breakout, you are paying considerably more to get that same player. but starting him ahead of a consistent TE can be a dicey proposition still. no doubt his upside is better than most but his floor is lower than most due to that inconsistent usage we have seen the last couple years. This does not mean I dont like him. but the bottom line is I dont like the way his numbers yo yo up and down. so there are certain situations where I wouldnt start him. thats my choice. I fully admit that.
  24. Ray_T

    Saquan for MVP

    well, the eagles and the Ravens are both smart teams. they will want their starting RB rested for the playoffs. It would not surprise me if they limit the touches in garbage time or sit the player for a game to rest him late. that makes it a little tougher for a RB to stay in the MVP conversation. even though I'd love to see this.
  25. Ray_T

    Taysom Hill

    I think he means in terms of consistency. Thats really the only thing this guy is lacking. if he can consistently perform at a high level he'd for sure be a TE1. but those goose eggs ca n be a tough pill to swallow if hes your TE1. That is why I have him as a top end TE2. in a deeper league where you may have 2 TE's in your lineup, hes likely a must get player.
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