Ray_T

one thing I will say. in most leagues it has been my experience if you have a RB injury, RB's seem to be harder to trade for than WR most of the time. for that reason I give the tie to the RB when I value a RB and a WR roughly equally. but that is my personal preference

I really liked Ray davis when I saw him play. I'd like to see what this kid could do with more playing time

100%. acceleration, start stop and change of direction are far better indicators for a RB. Cone drill helps there. pure speed by itself is nothing without those other abilities. as well as the ability to read the blocks. I've seen RB with slightly subpar speed perform decently because they are so good at reading the blocks that they see the hole is about to open up and they head that direction before the hole opens up and they are through the moment that hole opens up. elusiveness and/or ability to break a tackle are huge too. I dont care how a RB gets through the line. by being elusive so its hard to get to them or if they power through the tackle. the important thing is that they can get through the line and gain their 4-6 yards. after that everything they earn is gravy.

I dont know.... with multiple ACL surgeries for Chubb, and 29 years old. I'm not sure hes gonna start. they only signed him for like 2.2 or 2.3 mil I think. thats not starter money. My guess is hes gonna be the short yardage back and mixon will be the every down guy. I suppose there is always the chance Chubb blows the doors off but I'd honestly bet against that. it hasnt even been 12 months since the surgery. I'd put my money on Mixon to have a similar year to last year minus a couple TD which Chubb will vulture.

he has a far better chance at success here than he did in New York. its now up to him to make good on this.

without a doubt. if hes not the first RB off the board in whatever draft format you have, I'd be seriously surprised.

Look at that I agree too. Me, Iceman and Weepaws all agree on something. has this ever happened before? just kidding mostly, but you guys were saying exactly what I was thinking.

yeah, he seems a little entitled now. but that sometimes happens when players become as good as he became. hes been like this for a while but nobody cared about that as long as he is producing. the fact that his numbers are down a bit has made people focus on other things like this sense of entitlement. I personally dont mind if a player gains that sense of entitlement so long as hes bringing it on the field. Rodgers is not as good as he once was, so that sense of entitlement is now suddenly viewed as a problem. To be clear, his numbers were not actually bad this last year. they just were not in line with what we are accustomed to seeing from him just under 4000 yards 28 TD and 11 INT. not all star calibre, but when you look at that TD-INT ratio its not bad. part of the problem there was that the defense was a shadow of what it was the year prior. so when the offense sits while the other team puts up a long, sustained drive, it can kill your momentum and timing. either way, hes still a solid QB. but hes now at a stage in his career where he needs to be in the right situation to be successful. In Pittsburgh, they run a fairly conservative offense. I actually expect similar numbers to what he put up last year. maybe slightly better as the D is better so they should have more plays from scrimmage. likely a few extra TD as Rodgers will start on a short field more often. so from that perspective I'll predict 4100-4200 yards passing. 32 TD and 10 INT. perfectly adequate if the defense does their job. He just wont be a fixture on my fantasy team unless there is reason to roster more than one QB I do reserve the right to adjust this prediction as more info comes available lol.

Marinos era, Shula was the coach everyone was trying to imitate. back in those days if you got 240-250 yards almost weekly you were considered a very good fantasy QB. but offenses have evolved drastically since then. Marino broke through that wall (more or less) and that was the point where offenses started to convert from run based to passing offenses. it didnt happen overnight. Marino and Fouts, and Joe montana were QB's that changed (to some degree) the way an NFL offense operates. Mahomes was the second generation of new age QB for Andy Reid. first generation was Donovan McNabb. both players take features of the running QB and use a drop back passing scheme to make it happen. its almost like a hybrid west coast offense that is somewhat unique. granted that has evolved since the McNabb days but Reid knows what he is doing.

I'd agree with this. Brees was by far a more efficient QB his stats are better. I dont see why we would even question his admission to the HOF. there is no way his team wins a superbowl without him there. gotta also agree. 5000 yard season for Winston, but arguably he was as much of a help as he was a hindrance. when I played HS football, as a rookie I put up a ton of yards passing. but turned the ball over too much. coach told me to think of it this way: an INT is worth 30-40 yards passin6). and a fumble is worth 50. Pick 6 is likely worth more. (lets say 100 yards for fantasy purposes) factor that into your stats and then you see who the better QB truly is. and honestly this method of analysis has rarely failed me in terms of ranking of the QB. I fully acknowledge there is likely an exception to every rule so if you find one, feel free to post it here. but for my purposes, this tells me all I need to know most of the time.

yeah, and this is one of those situations where his stats can improve in 2 ways. 1) (the obvious one) bring in players to improve the offense. 2) the not so obvious one, bring in players to help the defense. while this seems to be not as important I fully disagree. if the other team is constantly putting together long, sustained drives, the offense does not get enough time on the field. so when the D gets better, your time of possession and the number of plays you can run on offense gets larger. and if the D gets some turnovers the short field means more of their offensive drives end in points (hopefully TD's) in my mind the D was pretty bad last year, so any improvement there helps the offense too.

yep. Russ was pretty good. its only in recent years his game had to change as he got older and couldnt run the ball like he could before. Today, hes basically a drop back pocket passer now who can occasionally run when the occasion calls for it. not the running dual threat QB he was to start his career. think Alex Smith who was capable of running but didnt do so with all that much regularity. I think he peaked at 4 or 500 yards rushing. but most years was closer to 200 or so. either way, the early part of his career he was a fantasy darling. and thats not bad

I hope you are right. I drafted him in my keeper league and I'd like to see him fulfil his potential

I fully agree. it feels like the offense was well designed. how much of that is good coaching and how much is good QB play remains to be seen. but if Darnold stinks it up in his new home, I'd be inclined at that point to think it is the coach.

that might be a stretch, but he looked decent. not quite top end, but good.

of course you do. thats the main reason you make this deal. if the floors not there, you're not making that trade.

and you might be right. but based on where the market is. I felt it was a fair trade overall. you got a guy who is more likely to make it as a QB. and while the guy you gave up has a higher ceiling, the chances of fulfilling his potential are somewhat low. its one of those deals that is close enough that I could see some people thinking you may not have made the smartest trade. but I like the deal. my two cents worth.

McCarthy doesnt have the upside of richardson, but I think he has a better chance of being a Plus starter. Richardsons potential is sky high, but at this point in his career his chances of meeting that potential is considerably below 50-50. (i'd say probably closer to 20%) McCarthy has a better chance of being a good starter. Likely at least 50-50. possibly 60-40. but his upside isnt where Richardsons is. in the end, you got a solid, likely above average starter for a boom bust prospect and a first. I think thats likely a fair trade.

that is the problem. we dont know the reason. not for sure anyways. but yeah, I thought Palmer was gonna have a good year, but maybe the issue is that hes not where he needs to be. when I played QB there was a WR on my team who used to get open a fair bit, but he often did not run the route he was supposed to run. To that end, he asked why I didnt hit him and the answer was, you were my second read. I looked at my first read, and he wasnt open. I looked for you and you were not in the place I thought you were supposed to be. I have big O linemen in my face at that point and I had to check it down. I didnt have time to look for you. then I said, if you want the football, you need to be where you are supposed to be if you want the ball. if I have to look for you, I'm gonna take a sack. eventually he started running the routes I wanted, but it took some time for him to make this connection and make it happen on the field. He eventually became my #1 WR but it did not happen overnight.

this largely says it all. and fully agree with Dr. G. he was on a lot of bad teams and put up numbers that varied between Meh and good with one very good year mixed in. as a real life QB I ranked him higher because of the # of 4th quarter comebacks he led (which were numerous) but that admittedly isnt a stat that counts for fantasy. Fantasy wise hes been a mid to high end QB2 or low end QB 1 most years.

thats no guarantee that the problem is with MHJ. if the QB is wildly inaccurate, that will affect the catch %. and Harrison is known for his wide catch radius so I'm inclined to think that problem may be the QB. though it could just be that the QB and WR are not on the same page for their reads. that happens a lot with rookies too. to that end, It is possible they fix that this year and we see a substantial turnaround. This is one of those players who, if he falls too far in the draft he could be a real bargain at WR.

I'd agree with this analysis. If Richardson can fix his accuracy issues and throwing mechanics, he has a bit more upside. but that sort of thing is difficult to fix. it can take years to overcome and unlearn the bad habits that have been learned for years. some players can fix it.... but some never do. What Richardson needs is a good QB coach who specializes in fixing the throwing motion and an offense that will be patient with him. I dont know enough to know who is good for that and who isnt. He may already have a good throwing coach, and if that is the case, maybe thats why they have brought in Danny Dimes. I do think as of today Danny Dimes is likely the better QB. but due to the age of Richardson, I think Danny doesnt just need to be better to steal the starting job. He needs to be a lot better. so barring a complete meltdown I do think Richardson will likely be the starter at QB to start the year. but he will be on a short leash. a couple of bad games and it will be Danny Dimes time.

yeah, in that format, hes a guy you dont give up on.

hes a solid QB2. certainly worth taking a late round flyer even if he sits on the bench a couple of weeks to start the year. You just dont want him as your #1 QB. that would be a mistake. but he is one of those players who has flashed enough that I think there is the potential for him to be a late bloomer. if you can get him late, I'm all good with that. Just dont go expecting a lot from him. I'd consider him to be a lotto ticket. not a sure thing at all.

no, it generally means the offense doesnt get much time on the field. no time for them to REALLY get in a groove either. and if the other defense can get a 3 and out after their team scores a TD. a second long drive can really kill the opposing offense causing them to get cold. its definitely a balancing act and the Panthers have a lot of holes to fill in that lineup on both sides of the ball.