Ray_T

I am surprised at that one. hes one of those guys when you need a yard, he gets you 3. when you need 4 yards... he still gets you 3. great short yardage back but not good for much else. but he has a very specific role. I figured hed be safe that way. I guarantee someone in need of a short yardage back will pick him up. he wont be unemployed for long

once in a while players like this who you think were gone will emerge again. Sometimes its not necessarily the player, but the situation. like it or not, all of us if put into the wrong situation can underperform at what we do. it doesnt matter if its football or the office, or even working doing manual labour. you get the wrong boss, have a few in the workplace you dont get along with, and suddenly you're struggling to keep your head above water. this isnt just a football thing. its a life thing. This happens in every profession. even football. Then perhaps said talented player has some off field issues (maybe a sick family member or their gal dumps him or who knows what else) and things fall apart. sometimes the difference between success and failure is a fine line. and if you dont play for a coach that understands you or if you play for an idiot of a coach, its hard for you to be the best version of yourself. either way, some of these guys were definitely in a bad situation. and bad organizations are pretty good at mishandling young talent. I'd argue if these guys are released, if the player was good enough, they will find themselves on another team. maybe in a better situation. this may not actually be the end.

no that was a salary dump. dude wants to get paid and they are not willing to pay him. in general, when you have to pay the player the price drops substantially unless that player is top 3 or so at his position.

sounds about right. hes not as one dimensional as you think. hes got some skills. Just not CMC skills. the reason hes the perfect add is that CMC actually isnt as good between the tackles and thats likely where hes gonna get hurt. In goal line situations, I'd likely run a 2 back set (maybe 3 back if you want a FB) and then split CMC out wide to take a person out of the box to cover him. then you can run up the gut or do a short pass depending on what the defense does. if the defense is dumb enough not to take a guy out of the box to cover CMC I suspect there will be a mismatch somewhere and a throw is the likely outcome. if they do, the run play becomes your likely result. its a nice damned if you do damned if you dont outcome. which is good if you are on the right side of that.

I think its clear you dont bring in a guy of Robinsons stature to be the third string guy. hes a #2 or a 1A if CMC isnt a full go. He was in the 1 or 1A role (depending on your perspective) last year with Ekeler. maybe hes leaning towards 1A here in San Fran, but I also think once CMC gets hurt hes the #1. I wouldnt even be surprised if they pull CMC in short yardage situations and keep Robinson to run it up the gut. Either way, I think this is a good move on the part of San Fran.

Dionte is noticeable enough. he was a well regarded receiver early in his career. but none of these are overall surprising. Sometimes a player is cut not because they arent good enough to make the team. but because it is thought that they will not be content with the role they are likely to be given if they stay. so rather than keep them and have to deal with a malcontent, they get cut.

fixed

one thing that is hard to get in Canada. we used to cross the border to buy this stuff in the US. Their butter is so good it makes the butter in North America seem like dogfood. not kidding. its good stuff. but while this thing is going on I wont go to the US, so no butter for me. lol

it is hard getting people to talk about this. very few websites have good info and a lot of people just dont know. as such, they wont comment much on material they admittedly know less about. but a case where knowledge on the line helped me was the Philly situation. they had a 1200 yard rusher who was a JAG(miles sanders) 2 years prior to Sequons arrival. and then they had a 1000 yard rusher in swift with limited carries. sequon coming from one of the worst lines in football was in that ballpark in new york. it seemed like a no brainer that he would explode in philly. but thats due to O line analysis. That gave me the knowledge that .... hey this move is gonna be good for Sequon. and I picked him in all the drafts where I was able.

hes been likely the most overpaid WR in the NFL over the last few years. dont get me wrong, hes a decent player, but not worth the money hes been thrown at him(which is very significant)

the thing about drafting at #12 is you need to take what the draft gives you. last year in the July mock, an awful lot of WR were taken in round 1. more than I was expecting to be sure. I came in planning to take a WR or maybe 2 but so many were off the board I just didnt like what was left. so I took what I felt were the best 2 RB's on the board. (Henry and Sequon) this was not the strategy I had planned but it was the strategy I had to go with because of how many WR went ahead of me. the most important thing is that you dont join in at the end of a run at a position. (unless its a case where you have a tier of WR all with roughly the same value and only one is left before the dropoff) so if a pile of WR go ahead of you, I'd suggest you go RB with one or both of your picks. I'd run a couple mocks to see how that looks. run a couple where RB go early and a couple where its all WR for the most part. see what your likely scenarios are. This is the one area where a mock can really help you.

hard to say. his skillset is still different. my personal belief is that you dont make a move like this if you are confident in the health of CMC. so its still possible (and maybe likely) that both backup RB will have value at some point in the year. just maybe not the value you thought you were drafting.

honestly I would like to see more offensive line analysis. not a lot of websites do it. we do have an article (I think its called the big fugly's or something) that comes out once a year, but lots can change between then and the season opening date. for me when trying to decide between two or three players at RB I use the quality of the O line as the tiebreaker in my rankings. in the end the player running behind the better line usually gets the better numbers (assuming good health)

and we likely only know of the ones who had big public blowouts. for each one of them there are probably one or two more we dont hear about.

I would tend to agree. not by any means a slam dunk. hes one of those guys who could be 1200 yards and a handful of TD or he could be 700-900 yards and fit into WR3 territory. but the potential is there. and hes got a better offensive coach than he had last year.

how I approach it depends on how many games are expected to be missed. if its one or two I dont typically adjust my ranking all that much. maybe one or two spots. any more than 2 games then I look at pro rating based on expected games played. if you know when the games missed are likely to be that can be helpful. for example there is a certain player who will have his suspension hearing about a month into the season. meaning he could play the first 4 or 5 games without being suspended. but then if he appeals he could stretch that out another week or two (maybe more if you get lucky) but then if its a reasonably lengthy suspension it could get to a point where it affects playoff games if the suspension is long enough. that is a tough pill to swallow. so in that case I'd devalue that player quite a bit. perhaps more than normal. I have also found that if guys miss time due to injury (ie they miss trainiing camp and the first couple of games). those players who miss camp have some problems when they return: 1) not on the same page as the rest of the offense. 2) not in game shape. this can sometimes take 3-4 games missed at the start of the season and the player may be unproductive an extra 3-4 games while they get in sync with the offense. some players (usually veterans)can overcome this quickly but first or second year starters (or if their QB is a first or second year starter) that can take some time. so I penalize a bit more for those situations in my rankings. so I do it on a case by case basis. sorry no tried and true formula.

ok given the scoring, I would say yeah a bit crazy. no QB this year is worth a first round pick. but if picking just before the turn of round 2-3 or just after, I'd say they are fair game. so one round early if you believe the ADP data out there. on the other hand I'd say this kind of data is useful for online drafts. but its also a know your league thing. do people regularly take QB early or not? if the answer is no. you might be able to wait til you are up at the end of round 3 and get your guy. (note the word might.... no guarantees) ADP for the top QB seems to range from 22 overall to about the middle of round 3 which seems to vary by up to 4 to 6 picks depending on which website you consult. and even if you feel hes worth the #12 overall pick, the thought is that you shouldnt pay the price of a cadillac when buying a honda civic. which means dont overpay. I know being on the end sucks because there are some players (your QB being one of them) who you literally have no chance to get unless you want to massively overpay. so I guess the question is... how much do you like him? you draft at 12 and 13 and then not again until pick 36. at that point, your guy may be gone. This is one reason why I hate drafting at the turn.

yep. but 2 of the starting WR are out for at least the first 3 or 4 games. I think he gets a lot of work at least in those games. once the starting WR leave he will transition from TE1 to TE2 and that process may take 2-4 weeks or may happen instantly. but still.... at his ADP hes great value.

I think nearly every single draft pick the Cards made this year was a defensive player. I do think there was a late round pick for an OT or something, but its nothing to write home about. this whole draft went into shoring up the D. and while the D was nothing special last year, it was ok. maybe a bit better than average. if only one of those drafted this year turns out to be a difference maker the D should be top 10 or close to it. if two turn out to be difference makers, this Defense could be the fantasy surprise of the year for team defenses. Ive made no evaluation of the rookies so I cannot tell you what the likely scenario is. but usually defenders taken in round 1 of any draft are plug & play defenders. so probably at least an average to above player in his rookie year. but what I will say is most of those defenders taken after round 2 likely start to make an impact next year. so Next year is more likely the year to own the Arizona Defense. Not saying it cant happen this year. like I said, other than the first round pick, all you need to do is hit on one.

he just got a domestic violence charge. I suspect he should forfeit the guaranteed money. remember all the guaranteed money they gave to a certain QB a couple years ago. Not smart. either way, I am assuming if hes not signed hes not in camp. all this likely means hes gonna be behind in terms of picking up the offense. That cant be good for early season production. as a fantasy drafter I dont know that I spend anything other than a last round pick to get him. if someone else wants to spend an earlier pick and assume that risk, they can have him.