

Ray_T
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Everything posted by Ray_T
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no doubt. I'd look at her over a fat old guy 100% of the time. I think its good for the game that the swifties have all become football fans. honestly the only way for the NFL to expand the game further is to get more female viewers. sure I guess they can expand to another city or two but at some point the talent gets diluted to a point where the quality of the pro game wills start to suffer. this is the most logical course to growing the game. and we will have to live with it. the NFL isnt gonna shut this down to please a couple of trolls who hate Taylor Swift. The ownership wants the money and if all the swifties watch the ratings are probably a point or two higher than if they dont. thats significant in terms of the amount of cash they get for ad revenue.
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yeah I dont know if train wreck is the word I'd use. as mentioned earlier they were a top 10 offense. I'd agree they underachieved. when I think of train wreck offenses I think of Chicago from (I think 2 years ago) or the Rams before McVay came in. those were train wrecks. this offense can at least move the ball and score. which is more than you can say for the New York offense. You could probably call last years Giants offense a train wreck. O line was hurt/ineffective, QB was hurt/ineffective. Sequon was ok but when the gamescript went negative he was essentially taken out of the equasion. situationally this is far better than the offense he was in last year and the line is better too. Even if he runs the ball less I'm betting his production is better. but given how much the iggles are paying him, I'm pretty sure hes gonna play. he will be good. and better than he was in New York. whether he deserves to be taken in the top 5 or 6 of a redraft is another question. if you pay that much I think you are buying him at his maximum upside. and its not that often that players perform to their max upside. if it happens, its usually once or twice in a career. Is it possible that the guy taking him at 5 overall ends up happy? Sure it is. thats within the possible outcomes. but its more likely the guy taking him that early feels Meh or slightly disappointed. I think he will be a top 10 RB. possibly top 5. but to do much better than that it needs to be a career best. thats what you are betting on if you take him at 5
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well, sanders is (and was) a very mediocre back. and he finished 13th. Swift has also struggled to stay healthy but in a committee of sorts he shined in Philly. It looks like they tried to limit his touches (likely due to the injury history) most of his carries by game were in the range of 15 and game 1 he got only one carry. if they give him a fair workload he bumps up. my main concern with Barkley is his health but hes healtier than swift was. I also am concered with his draft position. thats where its tough because a top 10 RB REALLY NEEDs to produce to be worth your pick. I do think Barkley is a good producer. I just dont know that he's #5 or #6 overall good
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all that shows is Pollard isnt a great red zone RB. Zeke when he played in dallas scored plenty of TD. 2 years ago when he was there he got 12 TD. I'm not sure you'll be thrilled about the yardage, but the TD should be fine. if you can get him for an RB3 price I'd suggest there is good value there. I dont know what his ADP is but thats probably in the ballpark of what I am expecting
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fully agree. but just as much as pass catching ability matters, it also matters if the QB likes to throw to their RB's. doesnt matter how good the RB is at catching the ball, if the QB isnt looking for him its not gonna matter much. and some QB's just like throwing to their WR/TE.
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well, I think he gets more TD than 7. hes a red zone beast. its the other stats I'd need to look at critically. and honestly I have not done a lot of work on him. I will at some point but hes not on my hot list haha
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I liked the pick. in standard leagues I think if hes your RB3 you've done exceptionally well. hes likely the best or second best RB3 taken in the draft. I'd take that all day long. RB3 is underrated in importance because RB's always get injured. this just ensures that you have the bases covered if this happens. good pick
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he has more value in PPR than any other format. dude does catch passes.
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no. but hes a nice dynasty pickup. and given this years deep draft at WR and QB you might be able to get him very late. likely into round 3 if your rookie draft goes that deep
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I win every draft when its done, but by the end of the season, my win rate isnt quite as good haha
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pretty solid team overall. you did what I did in the July Mock last year and didnt get a great TE. but I like the rest of your team. I feel you got pretty good value on the WR you took beyond round 5. I'd give this an A minus. you likely finish in the top half of the league. Quite probably top 3 or 4 but I think you come just short of winning (which is a pretty good result) in a format thats not best ball, this roster would likely be better as you could trade away some of your excess talent at some positions in mid season to improve yourself at TE and put yourself over the top. either way, still lots to like. well done
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and Carr has a reputation for using his checkdown receivers when the play breaks down. so I was pretty sure Kamara was gonna be fine for PPR (and he was) but certainly some RB's are better than others for this. to be clear, Kamara was never an elite Runner. I'm pretty sure hes never had a 1000 yard season rushing the ball. but so many times hed get like 800 + yards rushing along with 500+ receiving along with huge numbers of catches which made him a PPR darling. but hes aged and to some degree after that whole beating incident in Vegas I dont think hes ever really been the same player. maybe it got into his head and affected him on the field. or maybe its something else but hes not been elite for a couple years now. its not just a this year thing.
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I think what keeps him on the field is his pass catching ability
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we all are. some here are better at admitting to it than others haha but we all are human and we cant all be right.
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I trust the homer on this type of stuff more than anyone else. he likely gets daily info on this team that the rest of us do not.
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thanks for the excellent analysis. I thought Mayfield had a good year because teams were keying more on the run to force him to throw (thus the volume you speak of) but knowing he had a very easy schedule and now has a difficult one (relatively), I am not going to double check your work on the easy vs hard schedule thing as youve been spot on on this type of analysis in the past. so assuming you are spot on on this one more time I think the add on the line will (at best) allow him to not completely crater statistically. but thats assuming the kid is productive on day 1. that doesnt always happen. so I think I will downgrade Mayfield in my rankings some. not sure by how much yet but betting on a repeat year is a coin flip at best based on the info you just provided.
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I think you would find better interest in the 'find a league, fill a league forum' https://www.fftodayforums.com/forum/index.php?showforum=50
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very true. it is rare that an RB on a losing team puts up numbers. it will happen from time to time, but the bottom line is you need the garbage time to bump you from being good to being elite. that garbage time comes when you are up 2 or more scores late in the game and your team just runs the ball like hell to kill the clock. sometimes the garbage time yards is greater than the yards in the rest of the game so it is a significant advantage. and when you have a better team overall, you are getting more short fields and more TD opportunities get delivered to you via the defense. advantages all around. I think Sequon has a very good year. maybe even a career best
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this is just negotiating tactics. but if he threatens to sit out then yeah..... I figured they wouldnt be able to keep both him and Deebo for long. personally I'd rather keep him, but San Fran may feel different
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not huge on Deebo or Jefferson. Jefferson at 5 with a rookie QB seems too high even if he is the best WR in pro football. There is an awful lot of risk there and I dont like the idea of using a top 5 pick on a guy with that level of risk
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ok gabe played all last season. didnt really miss significant time. but putting that aside, I see a guy whose efficiency was superior to that which gabe provided. on 81 targets Gabe caught 45 for 746 yards and 7 TD on 45 targets Shakir caught 39 for 611 yards and 2 TD. way more efficient (except TD) without knowing more of the offense it could be a case where they used Shakir between the 20's and Gabe got the red zone looks. but I cannot say for sure. while Gabe appears to be the better Red zone target but if he got all the reps in the red zone that would make sense why he got more TD. either way, any WR who catches 39 out of 45 targets should get more work the following season. They'd be dumb not to use him more when the efficiency comes out that high. I would not be surprised to see his targets rise to somewhere in the range of what gabe had last year. maybe more if his efficiency continues to stay where it is. if he can sustain the efficiency with increased reps, the sky is the limit with this kid.
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I dont think age had much to do with it. he was 26 last year. too early to decline due to age. but whenever you play on a bad team your metrics usually decline some. especially if the QB play isnt good. If I was a defense I'd stack the box and force the QB (or backup QB as was the case much of last year) to beat you through the air. On the Iggles, the Line is far superior, so I'd expect better numbers, more red zone opportunities and more TD.
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thats true. some dont. but that was more a thing that was the norm up until about 15 or 20 years ago.m from what i've seen when you have multiple tears the recovery time is generally not as quick (usually at least 6 months longer) and If my memory is correct I was telling people not to draft him last year. either way, in the last decade or two the medical technology has gotten a lot better. dont get me wrong, multiple tears is still career threatening but not to the degree it was 20 years ago. odds of a full recovery is generally good on ACL tears now. on multiple tears I dont know the numbers to be honest but I do know that the recovery times and the ability to make a full recovery is a lot better than it was say.... 10-20 years ago. biggest risk seems to be that in the year or two after the surgery, the player seems to be at higher risk of Meniscus and other soft tissue injuries. I suspect thats a function of the muscles compensating for the repaired ACL/MCL. Either way, it is certainly a risk factor. I'm not gonna pretend its not. but if the team felt his recovery wasnt where it needs to be why wouldnt they have gone out and drafted or signed another RB? This action (or should I say inaction) leads me to believe there is nothing to see here. I still wouldnt be entirely surprised to see him miss a game or two. but given how confident the team seems, I'm willing to take a shot on him at his ADP (whatever that happens to be) if that puts him into RB3 territory, I'd be totally happy to have him as my RB3. if healthy, real good upside and at that price I'm not paying for the upside.
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Travis Kelce old and on the decline or is everything just fine
Ray_T replied to Super Cubs's topic in FFToday Board
I hear you. the fact that many of us have our own strategies makes fantasy football interesting. if we all felt the same, we'd all draft the same way. how fun would that be? we all have our little things we do that make us think give us an advantage. sometimes they work, sometimes not. but if you are in a league for 10 years and win more than 1 championship, you have likely done better than average. if you win 2 or more, you've crushed it. but most importantly (hopefully) you had fun along the way. -
welcome aboard. I'll tell you now, we wont always agree, but even if we dont agree....... if you are respectful so will I be. best rule for the board. have fun!