Ray_T

thats ok. if he slides in the draft I may get him in one of my drafts. I think his current ADP is at #4 or 5 overall last I checked. I think one site I saw had him at 3. so here is hoping he slides a couple extra spots and I can get him. it likely wont happen but I can dream......

true. I think the big red flag is there has been some reports that he is dinged up already. Not sure how good the source is. but if considering him, this is something I would want to research thoroughly. this is the type of player where doing your research can give you a better idea of whether hes worth the risk. Personally I find the risks with him to be too high to consider taking him in the early part of round 1. once we get past pick 8 or 9 hes a guy you at least want to think about.... but I likely dont take him unless I'm drafting at(or near) the turn and hes still on the board. Thats where I value the guy. That likely means hes not gonna be on any of my teams this year and if that is the case, I'm ok with that.

totally. I never follow ADP to the letter. I have my own rankings that I work on myself. I use ADP as a general guideline in terms of when I expect a player to go (plus or minus a few picks) so when I look at my top 3 or 4 players on the board and if one looks like there is a chance he slides to my next pick that player gets left. and if he does slide to the next pick I get a steal. so ADP is useful that way because sometimes at certain points in the draft you can get both of the players you are wanting if things fall the right way. so In my rankings I have one column for where I rank the player. one for their most up to date ADP. then when I find out what draft slot I'm picking out of, I highlight the players I mostly expect to be on the board for each pick. on occasion (usually in the mid or later rounds) a player ranked higher will fall significantly. if it looks too good to be true, If I have my computer handy I do a quick double check to see if there is a reason. but usually those end up being good picks too. either way, no draft list is perfect. mine isnt, yours isnt, and neither is the draft list provided by any website you can think of. I do use the fftoday rankings because I usually dont have to do too many modifications to it. I have found their rankings to usually be reasonably close to my own. That way when I modify the rankings to suit my own needs I dont have a ton of work to do on it. but that is my own preference. in theory any ranking by any online website will do. and its better to pick a site whose opinions on players is similar to your own so you dont have to do too many modifications to the rankings.

he might. but he might lose your league too. if picking on the end of round 1 thats where I'd consider taking him. Hes probably gone by that point but I suspect in some formats he will still be on the board at that point. most likely in standard leagues.

yeah, and I was in agreement.

historically when a RB has over 400 touches and then doesnt produce at nearly the level the next year.... it is usually because they got hurt. just putting that one out there for you.

agreed. and I think the difference between the top end RB and the mid range will widen some.

These things always go in cycles. for the most part, I've felt RBBC is for teams who dont have a player good enough to be a bell cow RB. so some teams will get one RB who can run and one who can catch passes and pair them up to try to get the best of both worlds and make it up in the aggregate. sometimes it works. sometimes... not so much. for me the drive to go that way stemmed from teams who didnt want to invest in the O line so they draft a running QB and hope his dynamic run ability forces the defense to keep a spy which opens things up in other areas. problem is... if that running QB cant throw, it wont work. So I think more teams have realized you cant cut corners on the O line and now that those teams have the beginnings of a good O line, might as well draft a RB who can take advantage of it. so now we are going back the way we came. I dont know that it will ever be like it was. There are more NFL teams and roughly the same number of college teams feeding those teams. so inevitably there will not be enough talent to feed all those teams in terms of building an O line. So some teams will have to go with other strategies. They will have no choice. I'm sad that I wasnt able to participate in the MOck this year. I was in work hell and literally couldnt do it. but hopefully I can get back in next year. Nice job drafting guys.

Id say part of the problem in New york was that terrible line. what had me sold is there are not a lot of RB who are good enough to put up above average numbers behind a bad line. and Sequon was doing it. for me that was what made the move to philly so enticing. Hes NEVER been able to play behind a line this good in his pro career. it seemed obvious that he would perform so long as he remained healthy.

the weird thing about Sequon is.... they never even fully utilized his abilities as a pass catcher last year. he has performed at a higher level in that respect in the past. and those are easier miles because you are catching the ball and getting hit by a DB or a LB and not a 350 Lb D lineman. so I could see him repeating in terms of fantasy numbers even if his carries are down a bit as this part of his game wasnt utilized to the maximum extent. I was able to draft Sequon on the turn in the Mock draft last year, but arguably, I felt he was underrated going into last season. and when we drafted in the IBL (inter board league) for fftoday, he went earlier and I was unable to obtain his services for my team in that particular draft. in my opinion he is a top 5 pick. the only question is where in the top 5 does he go? running behind what may be the best or second best line in the NFL the results last year spoke for themselves.

100%. if you're a gambler, this is the ultimate fantasy football bet. but I'd say if there is a player out there that gives you a 30% chance to win the championship. most people will roll the dice. Normally I'd give him 50-60%% but there are reports hes nursing some sort of injury. These health issues lingering dont bode well for a player who already has a bit of a bad injury history. so I'm dropping that to 30% I am fully willing to revise if a report comes out confirming he is fully healthy. but I think this is where he is at. given risks, he should be a 2nd round pick but He likely goes late in round 1 to someone who maybe doesnt place a lot of weight on injury risk

That is a risk. Though I think they ran a fairly conservative offense with him In Pittsburgh. but given his propensity to throw INT's it may have been the best thing for him. I suspect they will open things up for him a bit once he gets in tune with his new offense. Either way, we shall see. Its gonna be a fun one to watch.

If he could throw the ball, he'd be Jaylan Hurts. but Hurts stuggled throwing the ball early in his career too. so all is not lost. Not yet anyways. but he is running out of chances to prove he can get it done.

sometimes this can be as important as the talent. making that connection with your QB. if you have that, it can make up for a lot of deficiencies in other areas. I think the talent is there. so even if Fields is a lesser QB than Rodgers, if that connection is better, Wilson could conceivably do better with Fields at QB

You are probably not wrong. Late last year read a lot of reports that the team was unhappy with Richardson. so the new reports you read likely are on the mark (or at least close to the mark) I still love this kids potential, but there seems to be something missing thats keeping him from tying it all together. Maybe the right move for him is to get a fresh start elsewhere.

hes a guy who, when I draft him I count on him missing 3-4 games. If I do better than that I consider it a bonus. but I will keep an eye on this injury situation with him. Usually his injuries come in the second half after hes been dinged up for a half season. the fact this is happening pre season is a bit more concerning than usual.

I cant argue with that. on the mark as usual with your comments here.