Ray_T

good thread to reference. bottom line is this: even the lowest rated fantasy QB's who hold a starting job should out produce your top WR and RB. so in a superflex format, it makes sense to flex start as many QB's as the rules allow. (and you likely want a solid backup too) so if you start 1 QB but have 2 flex positions where you can start anyone. you want to max that out with QB. to show my point, go check the top projections on QB and compare to RB even on the fftoday board. your elite QB get over 400 fantasy points per year. any QB in the top 20 is likely getting over 300 fantasy points your top RB are projected to get close to 250 fantasy points and your top WR less than that. so there is a 100 point fantasy point advantage if you can start a QB in each flex spot over any other position. This is why it plays out this way. thing is... you cant get to the flex without filling out your starter first. so a lot of teams will go QB-QB or at worst will grab 2 QB in the first 3 rounds. so if you start 1 QB 2 RB 2 WR 1 TE and 2 super flex spots you want at least 3 QB on your roster (4 is better) if you have only 1 superflex spot, you want at least 2 QB on your roster (but 3 is better) good luck

hes a guy you could flip for a profit if he lights it up. you have the depth. especially if Richardson is the real deal. you could setup your keeper league for years to come. given that hes a running QB, the tread on those tires is thinner as running QB's seem to have shorter careers on average. I guess we will see. I do think he will be better than last year. what I'm not so sure about is that he regains the form that led to his massive contract.

well..... some people believe its age that determines when a RB is done. some believe it is usage. an interesting stat. since 2017 Derek Henry has had 1754 touches (as per fftoday) Jonathan Taylor has had 1828 touches over the same time period (if you include college) so if you go by the workload theory This is interesting info. further to this lots of people only count carries as a pro,. Henry has had high usage, but the first 2 years of his career were actually low usage. He was the #2 RB behind Demarco Murray. Either way, I do think Henry has one more year left in the tank. (possibly 2 but I would not bet on that)

it is a gift. If I can get him as my RB3 I'll buy him all day long. even as an RB2 I dont think I'll lose. he may be one of the best value picks in this years draft.

for sure Lawrence. its not even close.

I think you will be starting Herbert a whole lot unless he or his WR get hurt again like last season. Hes the Peyton Manning of this generation.

titans took a guy many felt was the best O lineman available in the draft. what we dont know is how he plays at the pro level. in theory he should be plug and play good. So i suspect more holes will open up in the run game than we saw last year. The addition of Hopkins at WR likely means he wont run against nearly as many stacked boxes. These two developments may help him with a bounce back year(not that last year was all that bad but it was subpar by his standards). some think hes hit the wall carry wise, but I do think he has one more good year in him. none of this is inside info but may help you figure out what you want to do personell wise

It is hard to say my friend. he didnt show much in the pre season games, but that also could very well have been by design. a lot of times in pre season the offense is stripped down and the team shows teams what they want them to see. If I am not mistaken, the same argument against Cam Newton was made in his rookie year. it is more or less a crapshoot. Personally I think the rookie year has the potential to be rough from a win loss perspective, but from a running with the ball perspective he could very well be fantasy gold. I do hope you have a backup QB in case he does not work out. how I'd play this? if you think you can easily win with your backup because you have an easy matchup....you may want to look at starting your backup in week 1. if you think you cannot easily win with your backup or are unlikely to win, you roll the dice with Richardson and hope he blows up. the guy could get you 35 points but he could also get you like 9 points. so its really tough to figure what the best move is. or, you just start Richardson regardless and see what the heck happens.

Really? this is insider news?

not bad at all. nicely done. Pierce is underrated. Pittsburgh's offense was starting to show signs of life in the last couple weeks of last year. if this continues, Naj may indeed be a very desireable player to have on your roster. I also like Pacheco. He would be also very underrated. Herbert & goff is solid. Tyreek and AJ together on one team is fantastic. makes me wonder how smart the other guys were in your draft for letting that happen (nothing personal but in some drafts I've seen both of these guys gone by pick 8 or 9 in a ppr format) but hey, their loss is your gain. congrats.

yeah probably. a lot of guys have taken Tua off their board completely due to the concussion thing. he will likely put up numbers while healthy. all I'm saying is pairing the two up would seem to make some sense.

honestly I have seen an awful lot of people going zero RB or doing a modified zero RB where they dont take one in the first 2 rounds. thing about the zero RB strategy is it only works reliably if you are the only one running that strategy. if more than one run it, one or two guys inevitably end up with really crappy RB's and it really depends on when the run on RB happens and where you draft in relation to that. I like to zig when the rest of the group zags. and drafting at 8, you will see what the first 7 teams have done before you make your pick. if 5 WR go before you pick, you know RB (or Kelce) is likely your choice if more RB go than WR, you may want to look at a WR. In my opinion if you cant get one of the top 4-5 WR in round 1 you shouldn't bother. but that is my opinion only.

yeah but this is a 14 team league. in that scenario its not as bad. and you have a reasonable backup in Tanehill. you are probably fine.

ok. yeah I think he was in the discussion for #1 overall but many considered him to be a bit of a longshot to go #1. either way I misunderstood, we are now clear.

ok thats fair.

is Burrow even healthy enough to play week 1? if hes not, thats not exactly a brave prediction but it would be a correct one.

you cant do this sort of thing. rules are rules. you play with the hand you have been dealt. if the rules allow you to trade picks, then shop it around. otherwise make due with what you have and dont complain about it like a crybaby. You cant always get what you want. thats not just a fantasy football rule. thats the way Life is.

I'll put the points in numbered order: 1) Bijan's scouting report suggests he is fully ready to step into a featured role. hes maybe one of the best first round RB's in some time 2) Atlantas O line is fantastic. maybe one of the best blocking O lines (if not THE best) if you not convinced, Allgeier, a 5th round talent put up 1000 yards running behind this line. now with a beastly RB the upside is very large. -good as he is for redraft, hes even better if you run any kind of a keeper format because you can hold him for multiple years. 3) the pass game isnt super robust, so I could see the team going run heavy to protect their young QB until he develops to the point where the pass game is to be feared. there is downside risk too. Yes he is a rookie. not a guarantee of success but typically RB is the one position where a top rookie prospect is actually likely to step in and make an impact on day one. there is the chance he shares carries with Allgeier especialy on 3rd downs if he doesnt pick up the blocking part of the game, but overall the upside is greater than the downside on this issue. the other downside risk is the team has not been outstanding. if they lose more than they win, the gamescript may work against Bijan late in games. that said, when a team adds a stud RB one thing will change significantly: Time of possession. this means even if the defense is no better than they were last year, they will spend less time on the field and thus, give up less points by default. so the team will be better than they were last year and they dont play in an overly strong division. in fact, it may be the weakest division in the NFL. Tampa (now without Brady, likely a sub .500 team) Carolina New Orleans all teams in this division were 7-10 except for Tampa who won the division with an 8-9 record. noting that Tampa lost Brady I dont see them winning the division again. You dont typically replace a 4500-4700 yard passer and be a better team the next year. and none of these defenses are scary good. They play each of these teams twice. so its a nice schedule. I predict success. I personally think the division crown is between New Orleans and Atlanta this year. They could win as many games as they lose (most likely outcome) but may do better.

it does. and thats why I like him at his ADP. if it was valued closer to where it should be if this wasnt an issue I likely would not be buying at his ADP.

first off the board? wow. I know hes good, and running behind a very good run blocking line but this might be pushing it for a guy who has never played a down of professional football.

thats the other thing with Mixon. hes an idiot off the field. there is a suspension risk with incidents we know about. and possibly for incidents we dont know about yet. hes fine as an RB2. I just dont want him as my RB1

Akers had the Achilles injury going into the start of last season and it showed. early season he was not that good. but based on his performance closer to the end of the year I'm inclined to think the Achilles may no longer be an issue.

hard to say. Cleveland was 7-10 last year. I have to believe Watson is better this year than he was last year. I dont know how the defense is looking but every team in that division was .500 or better. I want to predict but they finish close to 9-8 or 8-9 (or something of the like) but I think Pittsburgh is also improved next year, so its not as clear cut as you would think they may well have the same kind of season they had last year. Though it is possible Baltimore takes a step back. usually after throwing a pile of cash at a QB the team has to give up talent elsewhere to remain under the cap. but its really a crapshoot. I dont see the Ravens becoming a bottom dwelling team either, so maybe they do finish poorly again even if I do think they will be better than last year.

that is unfortunate. for sure. not much you can do about it now. Sequon is solid. I'm not sure this is a move you want to make. he may end up being the #1 WR in Houston. if CJ Stroud can play, you probably dont want to put him on the wire. in general if a WR is #1 on the depth chart for their team, they probably should be rostered. There are exceptions to this rule, (like when the #1 option in the pass game happens to be a TE) but that situation does not exist here. if he doesnt perform early or if the #1 WR looks to be Robert Woods then I'd consider dropping him

this is the right answer. Never bench your studs. if he proves hes unable to perform, then you bench him. so due to the injury you may want to carry a second qb (just in case) for the first couple weeks of the season