TBayXXXVII

Yeah, Lawrence isn't good. That whole offense went from a target to DND for me. The only Jag I drafted this year was the kicker. How does a guy get 8(?), targets in a game and come away with 1 catch for 10 yards against a below average defense? Personally, I thought Carolina was going to win. I think they're going to be better than last year, but like 20+ other teams in Week 1, they played like crap. We'll see though.

Yeah, he'd have just invaded them like he did with Ukraine.

What, he didn't even "Biden" and say "Don't!"?

I went with, and sticking with, Goedert... until he gets hurt. So, about 3 or 4 more weeks.

Correct. Changes nothing I said in my post. Do you think Jackson is throwing 40+ TD again or do you think it's an outlier? Do you think Jackson throws for 4000+ yards again or do you think it's an outlier? Do you think Jackson throws 475 passes again or do you think it's an outlier? All of those things matter because the RB's, WR's, and TE's are directly impacted by that. Let's take Jackson's average starts and project that to a 17-game season... that would bring us to him having a 464 attempt season where he throws for 3600 yards and 30 TD's. You still think Andrews gets 11 TD's, 55 catches, 673 yards? I don't. Let's say Jackson has a season that is inline with just the last 3 years. The attempts and yards would be similar, but an 8 TD drop bringing him to 33 TD's. Do you think Andrews would replicates last years numbers? I don't. Also, there's been a steady decline in Andrews' playing time and increase in Likely's + Andrews - 83%, 70%, 61% + Likely... 40%, 44%, 60%.

It was a racial hate crime. I thought we were supposed to be upset by that?

You're sure it was a "white" "guy"? The only thing I found online about this was a CBS article and they don't mention the suspects race at all. Not even a picture. They do say that that "The LAPD initially reported that the suspect was a woman, but later updated that the person was actually a man." Is that because maybe the suspect may or may not actually be a man?

Kamala Harris. I mean, she used to be Asian, right?

So true. I have no problem with people starting Andrews every week and hoping he gets a TD, I just think that's being overly optimistic. When Likely gets in there and, assuming he's healthy, I think their production flips (from last year). I think Likely is the guy that gets double digit TD's and Andrews is getting 5 or 6. I also think his target share drops a bit. I don't think Jackson throws the ball more that 475 times this year. Assuming health across the board, I think Flowers is going to get about 25% of them (like last year), let's call it 120. I expect Bateman is going to be around 80 and D-Hop with at least 50. Likely will probably get about 70 or 80, like Bateman. Then you got Hill and the RB's that are good for at least 60 and that gets to around 380 (give or take), leaving us with about 100 targets for Andrews and every other player not mentioned. So, I don't see Andrews getting around 70 targets, I think 50 is more reasonable. I also don't see Jackson throwing for 41 TD's again... 30 (or so), seems more realistic. In a ideal scenario where everyone is healthy and the Ravens win about 13 games like expected, I see Andrews' final numbers to be around... 55 targets, 42 receptions, 450 yards and 5 TD's. That'll put him around 7 points per week. If you're ok with about 2.5 receptions for around 26.5 yards every week, then have at it. To be fair, he did only get 1 catch for 5 yards Sunday night, so this week he could get 4 for 45 to even it out. So there is that. I wouldn't have a problem with 8.5 from a TE... and it might be a week he gets a TD, so boom, 14+ points.

I'm surprised he went undrafted. I mean, even in my 8-team office league, he was drafted in the last round.

Probably homer Chief's fans and then Dolphin's fans. All like, 1 of them.

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I wouldn't want to count on Andrews whether Likely is playing or not. In the past, Andrews was Jackson's guy. We saw the other night, that isn't the case. Yeah, I know Jackson only threw the ball 19 times, but he only averages 27 attempts per start. I don't envision Andrews topping 5 targets in any game this year... unless a LOT of players get hurt.

I think this belongs in the "Week 1 Overreaction" thread.

Got it. You choose to believe Trump when you want to and when you don't want to. Makes sense from the communist perspective. My guess is that the Republican's won't vote to release it for the same reasons that the Democrats didn't... there's too many names in there that need covering up. Maybe Trump is in there... maybe it's not. My guess still is that there's nothing really tying Trump to anything and why the Democrats didn't release this prior to the election.

Trump said that he refuses to have anything released?

It's so good that they never released it prior to the election. Weird, they had no problem lying to the country about Russia Collusion, but if this were actually legit... they kept it quiet.

Just like Democrats when the all up in arms about Biden's best friend who was a KKK leader? Oh wait, that was a known fact that the Democrats ignored. What we're talking about here, is speculation. My bad.

Democrats NOW care if their president was a pedo. LOL Love the hypocrisy.

Oh, I get that and why I think Stefanski is on that list. Canales though, doesn't fit. Why would he be a scapegoat after just 2 (or less) seasons? Morgan wasn't the GM who brought in Young, but he was in the F.O. It's not like the Panthers were all that good in those 2 prior years, and after their rookie season, Stroud was clearly the better option, so it's not even like Morgan can say, "the QB I was in on drafting has been the better player".

Some of these odds don't make sense. Gannon took over a team that won 4 games and won 4 in his first year, then won 8 last year. Both his offense and defense improved from Y1 to Y2. Yeah, Steichen was in on drafting Richardson, who is a bust... but even with a bust, they won 8 games last year. Daniels isn't a good QB, but he doesn't suck. In that division, 10 wins is possible. Dave Canales didn't draft Bryce Young. After benching him last year, he was a MUCH better player than before hand. Canales took over a 2-win team and won 5 games last year. I don't see how he gets 2 years (or less). Brian Callahan took over a dead end team. They just gave him the green light to draft a QB #1 overall. They have to know that this season will be iffy. I mean, if they go 2-15, maybe, but anything over 5 wins should guarantee him another season and chance to upgrade the roster. There's a 0% chance of Morris or Bowles getting fired. Heck, Bowles literally just got an extension. Both teams will likely have a winning record.

This I don't understand. If ownership is on the fence with the FO and coaching staff... why let them sign a re-tread starter and then draft a 1st rd QB that you needed to give up multiple early picks for? Ownership should've said, "Look, what you guys have been doing the last 3 years isn't working. Win this year or you're out." Then, don't sign off on trading up to get Dart. The only reason to allow them to trade up to get Dart, is that ownership believes in them and that they're ok for this year and next. Or, they're stupid... which is reasonable.

This

Week 1 observation? They stunk. Outside of 2 or 3 games, it looked like no one actually prepared for this week. I'd rather them go back to 4 pre-season games where starters actually played for more than 3 snaps.