I have to stop giving certain people too much credit. I thought the Giants were too smart to give a below average QB $40M... I was wrong. I thought Sweat was too smart to sign a deal with a bad team heading in the wrong direction, again, I was wrong. No pattern, as one time it was the team I believed in and the other it was the player. I think the right move nowadays is to ask myself, "What is the dumbest possible outcome?", and that's what's most likely to happen.