TBayXXXVII

Screw'em. They should see the lightning before we do!!

Then why were liberal mayors/governors complaining when conservative mayors/governors were sending them illegal immigrants?

If they can't afford a down payment and can't afford to pay interest... how are they going to afford the property tax?

14M black people in the country... 10 were killed by cops... Libs: We NeEd JuStIcE!!! Libs: SyStEmIc RaCiSm!!! Libs: DeFuNd the PoLiCe!!! I know, I know... it's (D)ifferent. focking sheep

Find someone who's in college and give them the $200, and have them sign up for the Sunday Ticket on YouTube. Every game, every week (except market games), for only $11+ a week. If you live in the Giants market, don't do this, obviously. Waste of money as the Giants games will be blacked out.

The whole CBA crap from 2011 caused this. Prior to that, starters played the first quarter of the first 2 games, the first half of the 3rd game, and none at all. Also before that, practices were harder on the players. The idea of the new CBA was to make it safer for the players. That all the contact broke down their bodies and they missed a lot of games. There have been no studies done since then, that proved they were right. There was one that proved it accomplished nothing.

To update my prior post, I think Irving clearly is the backup and Sean Tucker is a JAG and he and Edmonds will be getting scraps. I expect a similar workload from White and from Irving, I'd expect him to give White a spell here and there. If I had to put a number on it, I'd say that we should expect about 20 touches a game, similar to last year. I can see Irving getting about 6 and the rest of the backfield getting 1 or 2. I think the line will be slightly better and I think the play calling and game planning will be exceptionally better (Jonathan Brooks [dynasty] owners should be worried - Dave Canales issue, not a Brooks issue). To put a number on it... I'd say White has 275 carries at 4.1 ypc with 8 TD and 50 receptions for 450 yards and 2 TD's. I think his fantasy numbers should be similar to last year. In my money league last year, he finished with 269.9 points... I think he'll be around that this year. My projections total 267.75. Where that ranks... Last year, the Bucs ran a lot of plays where they're designed and encouraged to run up the middle. That won't happen this year. Last year, the blocking scheme was very vanilla where guys are told to push straight ahead. That won't happen this year. Dave Canales in his first year as an OC, was terrible. We'll have to see if he does better as an OC. I think the Bucs will be a 7-win team, hence, losing more often than last year. With that, comes more pass attempts. I think Mayfield throws the ball about 625 times, compared to 566 last year. Here's the thing. If by some chance I'm wrong about the 7 wins and they win like, 9 or more (I doubt it, because, well, we have Baker Mayfield), I think the projections stay the same, the numbers will just come in the earlier parts of the game and not garbage time. From a WR/passing game perspective... last year, Godwin and Evans were on the outsides and ran their routes from the side they lined up on, the vast majority of plays. That won't happen this year. Expect Evans and Jared McMillan to be on the wings with Godwin in the slot (on Evans side more often than not), the bulk of the time. That happened 32% of the time last year. Expect that number to be closer to 50 to 55% this year... possible way higher. In 2019, Godwin was WR2 and lined up in the slot 50% of the snaps. In 2020 and 2021 he lined up in the slot over 55% of the time. In 2020, he missed 4 games, but his fpg ranked as WR15... with Gronk and Brown on the team. In 2021, he was WR15 in total points (missed 3 games), he was WR8 at 17.9 fpg. I expect Jared McMillan to be quite involved, more involved than Palmer was as the WR3 last year. Palmer got 68 targets, only 39 receptions. I think McMillan gets closer to 80 targets and pulls in about 55. Palmer will probably be around 45 targets and 20 receptions and used primarily as the "go deep" guy.

Fair enough.

Cardiovascular disease is twice as likely to kill someone than cancer. If we're picking and choosing which to toss off the island, why not that one? I'm going to guess it's because that one didn't affect you, but cancer did.

Yup. I think I did total yards, then added receiving back in again. LOL Good catch.

By top heavy, I meant that top half (or better), of the draft. That's all. Fair enough. I just think that waiting for someone to get hurt is a significantly riskier move than a starting RB. Yeah, I'd expect those two to be there... they should be. One is coming off an ACL tear and the other is a backup who will only start (based on history), 4 games. Very high risk. I wouldn't take either of those two until like 11th or 12th rounds as my RB5 or something.

So yes, you want to pick and choose what "bad" we have. YOU want to be God or Jesus. Just because a certain bad thing exists, it's not definitive proof that God (or Jesus), doesn't exist or not exist. It just is. Apparently, you want the job.

Agreed.

So you just want to pick and choose what "bad" we have? Murder is fine... but not cancer?

You can't have good without bad. Even in science, that exists. If there were no bad, then what's the point of anything?

Last year, that would be RB19. That's a mid RB2 that you're getting right now at mid to high RB3.

That's fair, I don't see it that way. I see a bunch of JAG's that are going to get touches here and there and I think Elliott will get every chance to be productive. I think he'll be fine. I see him getting around 215 carries and I believe he can get 4 ypc. I can see 1000 total yards and 10 TD's and be in the mid-to late 20's as a decent RB3. Dowdle last year barely hit 4 ypc by 6 yards. It's not like he was around 4.5 ypc. Even in a crappy year with a crappy line and crappy team, Elliott was able to hit 3.5 ypc. Ok, you're a top heavy RB guy. That's fine. You're taking your 4th RB before people are taking their 3rd. I have no issue with that strategy. Most people apparently don't follow that because we're seeing, the majority of rosters are still drafting RB3's by the completion 9 (based on adp), where you're past that point 2 rounds earlier. You're also playing a more riskier game though. Benson, at best, is getting scraps until Connor gets hurt... which he probably will, he always does. On top of that, he's playing with a QB who absolutely will vulture TD's. I don't understand your inconsistency on this. You think that Benson could be a RB1/2 while playing with Murray who will run and will steal rushing TD's, but you think that Hurts will run less and steal less Murray TD's from Barkley, yet he won't be a RB1 playing the whole year as the lead back. Also, both Chubb and Brooks are coming off ACL's. That virtually never goes well... on top of that, this is Chubb's second ACL tear. You're looking to take guys like that in Round's 5 through 7? No issues with the guys in R's 12-14... they're always shot's in the dark. I wouldn't fault anyone from taking anybody in those rounds.

Free Will.

Jesus believes in Free Will. He doesn't control anything, hence, he would not need to "have done a better job". It's probably why most true Christians are Republican's. Democrats want to control people.

That's what I think as well. I don't believe that is any indication of usage during the regular season.

If your league is starting 1 QB, Darnold will never be drafted. If you're in a SuperFlex/2QB league, his ceiling is QB3. I wouldn't even draft or roster him.

Freeman has been a bad RB his whole career. Dowdle's been in the league 3 seasons and got 90% of his total carries (which is still less than 100), last season. Elliott's been in the league 7 seasons with over 2000 carries and 2400 total touches. Who do you think needs more work in camp?

Who do you think is going to get carries? Last year he got over 230 from New England in a RBBC role. Last year, Dallas ran the ball 468 times, 531 the year before that, 473 the prior year, and in 2020, 430 times. So, I think it's safe to say that they're going to run the ball about 475 times. So, if the starting point is 475 and we'll knock of 75 for QB runs and gadget plays, leaving us with 400. Who's getting what? You don't think Elliott is getting at least half? If not, why? Who? Like I said, if you think there's someone on that roster or group of someone's getting 200+ carries, I'd love to know who and the rationale. Yes, I think RB29 and RB3/4 going in the 9th/10th round seems perfectly reasonable to me. When do you take your 3rd or 4th RB? Of course he has to stay healthy, everyone does. Elliott has played in at least 15 games in 7 of his 8 years... he played in all 17 last year (with 235 total touches). Why do you think he'll all of a sudden just get hurt and miss, I don't know... 5 games or more? Again, yes, he will be TD dependent... just like every other RB3/4. How many RB3's or 4's that you know of, aren't TD dependent? How are you constructing your team? Are you waiting until the last 2 rounds (before the kicker and defense), to take your lotto pick RB3 and RB4? If so, that's fine. I just think most of us aren't going to take that route. Mike has Dallas' breakdown as... Ezekiel Elliott: 186 Rico Dowdle: 100 Malik Davis: 38 Deuce Vaughn: 19 That's 343 rush attempts by RB's. Let's give QB's and trick plays 75, bringing us to 418. With the expectation of 475, who's getting the other 57 carries plus the I don't know, 30 extra that you don't think Elliott is getting? Who's accounting for 80 carries? Dowdle? You think he gets the 180 based on him saying they're in a committee? If so, I guess we know who your lottery ticket guy is. I've read your posts, they're well thought out and backed up. You're not like "Mr. Nuh uh" on these boards who just says 'you're wrong' and doesn't give any rebuttal. Don't be like him here. Just because Dowdle says he and Freeman are getting a lot of reps with the 1's, I'm not buying that. Mike McCarthy: McCarthy says they're a RBBC, but he expects Elliott to be what he was. In the 3 years Elliott was in Dallas with McCarthy, his average season was 237 carries & 38 receptions. No, I don't think Elliott will get 275 total touches, but I think he'll hit 225.

In general I agree, but metrics go out the window when there's uncontested volume. Let's not pretend that Rhamondre was tearing it up before he got hurt. He was only averaging 4.0 ypc., his catch% was similar to Elliott's, and didn't score on any of his receptions. You criticized Rachaad White because his metrics were bad, but the volume produced a top 5 RB. In fantasy football, volume is everything, metrics only matter when you're comparing apples to apples... that's not what this is. You're comparing a split duty RB on a bad team with a terrible offense and equating that to a starting RB on a good team with a good line. I know you, don't care about offensive lines. Now, if you're going to tell me that there's going to be a RB outside of Elliott that will command a lot of touches, I'm all ears. As I see it, Deuce Vaughn isn't likely to get many carries, neither would I expect much from Freeman or anyone else. Now, Dowdle's name has popped up a few times. If you think and/or have info on why and how he's going to get a good chunk of playing time, post what you have. In Dallas in 2021 and 2022 that you're poo pooing his metrics, he was RB7 and RB22 those years. Remember, no one here is claiming that Elliott is a RB1 or RB2... so if Elliott could be an RB1 or RB2 with terrible metrics in Dallas, why can't he be a legit RB3 or RB4 worthy of a 9th or 10th round pick? What "lottery ticket" are you going to get there? Gus Edwards, Chase Brown, Jerome Ford?

I wouldn't do it, but I wouldn't fault anyone else if they did it. It could work out.