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Everything posted by jerryskids
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Not me, exactly. I've got several events which involve drinking planned for the month. I'm planning to do more of a "Damp October," like the concept of Damp January vs. Dry January. https://www.healthline.com/health-news/dry-january-too-dry-for-you-try-damp-january-instead#:~:text=Some people partake in Dry,of quitting alcohol cold turkey. My general plan is as follows: - No drinking at home during the week, other than special events (like, my anniversary celebration dinner on or near 10/9). I don't drink every night, but some nights, like during MNF tonight. - Less drinking on the weekend nights. Keep it to three drinks max. Weekend is Fri/Sat/Sun. Seems doable. Anyone with me? Or have other plans?
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I'm looking for a new series for home gym/stretching. Netflix has been pimping Suits to me but I haven't bit. I started Dexter instead but I'm not initially engrossed. Maybe I'll switch over.
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Sure, I remember it. Doesn't make your post less stupid. Be better Meph.
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Wut? I'm a idiot? I got COVID? Can you translate this to English?
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Oh, I think Trump is a scumbag, although I'm not clear what I'm exactly defending him on. I think Kamala is a scumbag as well. She just has better political lipstick on the pig, unburdened by what has been, so you don't see it. I can't believe I ever questioned your intelligence, this is spot on.
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You have a Mephisto vibe. Tries to win arguments by calling people galactically stupid, moron, etc. Created this alias in 2005 and first post was 2023; that's a long time to wait to be a troll. I hope you are still with MMM and all is well.
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That's a big ask. Here is a scorecard from the Brookings Institute, where higher grades seem associated with ease of mail-in balloting. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/voting-by-mail-in-a-pandemic-a-state-by-state-scorecard/
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As I explained earlier today, "absentee" is not "mail-in." Absentee is a pull system, where voters request a ballot. States like CO which had "push" mail-in ballot distributions had scrubbed their voter lists to minimize fraud. States which did not have scrubbed lists for such push systems, yet sent out ballots anyway, are what I am calling "shotgunning." I realize that most people don't understand these nuances so I'm about done with this discussion.
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Color me shameful, because I argue both. My general model is that if the Left comes up with a dehumanizing label, they are likely trying to hide something. Election denier$#@! Birther$#@! Obama's book publicity company said he was born in Kenya. God forbid people thought that might be true. Dummies.
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I don't recall the specifics of the lawsuits either; rather, I recall thinking that challenges to ballot counts were stupid. Were I to speculate, I would say that mail-in ballots have long been found valid, and states have leeway as to how they handle it, and the absence of fraud minimization mechanisms are not a valid legal argument.
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I'll start with this link: https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/research-reports/mail-voting-what-has-changed-2020
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Sure. States like AZ (mine) have had absentee voting for decades; I've done it for like 30 years. It's more of a pull vs. push system, where you explicitly sign up for it, and it is regularly confirmed. Such people are dedicated voters, and unlikely to participate in fraud. @Strikeinformed me today that CO has been doing a system for multiple elections where they send out ballots to all registered voters, but they also have had mechanisms in place to scrub their voter lists. The issue in 2020 was that states which had previously had no such systems in place, mailed out ballots to everyone who was registered. Prior to then, there wasn't much motivation to scrub their voter lists, since the odds of somebody coming in to vote as somebody else were pretty low. But all of a sudden, ballots were going out to anyone registered, many of whom had moved on. What happened to those ballots? Also keep in mind, in states like yours (CA), here is the requirement to register: Again, I'm not saying that there was cheating. I'm saying that there were no mechanisms in place to catch it. Hopefully in the time since then, states have cleaned up their voter rolls.
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Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)
jerryskids replied to The Real timschochet's topic in The Geek Club
Of course, nothing to see here. These are the people that want to do away with the 1st Amendment. Protect democracy$#@! -
Trump's claims/lawsuits largely revolved around counting ballots. I would hope that in 2020 we had the technology to count ballots, which was never the concern IMO. The primary issue, which I mentioned earlier today, is that by shotgun blasting ballots out in many states which had previously had no such system, there was no mechanism to find fraud. As a systems expert, this is obvious to me, but it long ago became clear that it would be a Spinal Tap "this one goes to 11" discussion whenever I bring it up. Also, PA violated their election laws by accepting undated and late ballots. For SCOTUS, primarily Roberts, IMO that was probably best, because had those votes gotten thrown out, mayhem may have ensued. It's unfortunate that the Chief Justice felt the need to make a decision based on politics vs. law, but it's happened before. That all being said, I've never argued that Trump won. Instead, I've argued that it was not unintelligent to question the end results.
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It's interesting that you've generated a scenario where Trump could have stolen the election and we'd never have known, yet the very idea that the DNC might have done similar is so ridiculous as to get someone the dehumanizing label "election denier."
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Building off this: "I'd love to get you a nice gift. Can I borrow $5000?"
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Also, follow it up with, "I'll be there at 6:30"
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My brother is a civil engineer in large construction, and worked on The Sphere. Unfortunately this was being built during Covid and the head of MSG ran out of money (but wanted them to keep working; my bro's company finally gave him the finger and quit). Bummer, since I probably could gotten an inside tour -- his last building was the Falcons football stadium, and I got to go to the first game there (pre-season vs. Cards) and get some inside info on the construction.
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"I thought I carved you up and buried you in my basement with the others."
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Helene Disaster Response: The Regime leaving Red States to die?
jerryskids replied to Tree of Knowledge's topic in The Geek Club
Michigan is beyond help. -
I see one anomalous reading in May 2019, then an increase starting around November 2020 when Biden/Harris were elected, then 3.5+ years of consistently high border crossings, then when it became an election issue, they decided to do something about it in the past month or two to buy votes. How'd I do?
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Trump That means Sept 2020 was lower.
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You guys realize that that is still not down compared to the Trump years, right?
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Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)
jerryskids replied to The Real timschochet's topic in The Geek Club
Interesting, thanks. I presume they have a mechanism of maintaining the integrity of their mailing list? -
Trump talk only- no Eagles talk allowed (Steelers talk is OK though)
jerryskids replied to The Real timschochet's topic in The Geek Club
Oh, I know. AZ has had absentee ballots for years. I've done it for decades. Basically I agree with your post.