RB Difficulty of Schedule

[Don King 0]

Looking at statistics from previous years is one of main ways we predict production for the upcoming year. And one way we choose b/t RBs in the same tier is to examine their "difficulty of schedule" which is measured by the prowesscuity of rushing defenses on the current year's schedule based on the previous year's performance.

 

Has anyone ever looked back at pre-season difficulty of schedules for RBs after the season to determine their accuracy?

 

Obviously, a high rate of accuracy means we should probably consider it as a way of selecting RBs in the same tier. If relatively inaccurate, we should treat that stat like Tommy Hearns after fighting Hagler. Remember that Pizza Hut commercial w/ my man Marvin saying the "other guy" was probably eating soup?

 

Geeks, your accumentality is always revered.

[Don King 0]

The overwhelming response indicates a big "NO".

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Anyone?

[DaveJ 0]

I put more stock in indivdual week matchups than season long schedules.... Good backs will get their yards and scores over the course of a season, but the weekly matchups might dictate different starters.

[Platoon 0]

I put more value in the defense matchups for weeks 13-16. For the rest of the season it doesn't matter if you lose a week here or there, but once the playoffs start, you had better get on a hot streak. The trick is figuring out accurately which teams have improved their run d. For me, even better than a poor run d is a good pass d combined with a poor run d. Every coach will figure out its time to feed the RB today!

[sanders 0]

One look at the NY Jets schedule last year told me to stay away from ALL Jets.

[rebooters 1]

http://www.footballguys.com/06sos_rb_v01.htm

[Byars41 0]

imo

 

last years "stregnths" don't mean anything. every year new teams come up and old teams fall back. every year.

 

SOS is overrated. the NFL changes waaaaay to quickly for 05's #'s to matter.

[sanders 0]

http://www.footballguys.com/06sos_rb_v01.htm

 

 

GREAT LINK.

[chadavan 0]

http://www.fflivewire.com/sos/rbsos.asp

 

Should be self explanatory...

 

You want you RB in the blue or green

 

sortable

[Trojan35 0]

Defenses are the toughest thing to predict year-over-year. To let that significantly influence your RB rankings is silly in my opinion. Maybe as a tiebreaker between two backs you like equally, but I usually go with speed in that case.

[football is life 0]

http://www.footballdocs.com/run_schedule_strength.html

 

Week to week. Playoffs. Overall. I use this with my RBs... particularly if things didn't go my way in the draft and need to salvage something OK from sea of 2nd tier RBs.

[Jay 0]

Strength of schedule matters......but......this year's strength of schedule, not last year's. There is a lot of off-season movement and the quality of defenses change a lot from year to year. Injuries play a huge role. I project my own defensive schedules.....against the run and pass and modify against those.

 

I won't do that until about two weeks or more into training camp, though.