Don King 0 Posted July 24, 2006 Looking at statistics from previous years is one of main ways we predict production for the upcoming year. And one way we choose b/t RBs in the same tier is to examine their "difficulty of schedule" which is measured by the prowesscuity of rushing defenses on the current year's schedule based on the previous year's performance. Has anyone ever looked back at pre-season difficulty of schedules for RBs after the season to determine their accuracy? Obviously, a high rate of accuracy means we should probably consider it as a way of selecting RBs in the same tier. If relatively inaccurate, we should treat that stat like Tommy Hearns after fighting Hagler. Remember that Pizza Hut commercial w/ my man Marvin saying the "other guy" was probably eating soup? Geeks, your accumentality is always revered. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Don King 0 Posted July 25, 2006 The overwhelming response indicates a big "NO". Anyone? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
DaveJ 0 Posted July 25, 2006 I put more stock in indivdual week matchups than season long schedules.... Good backs will get their yards and scores over the course of a season, but the weekly matchups might dictate different starters. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Platoon 0 Posted July 25, 2006 I put more value in the defense matchups for weeks 13-16. For the rest of the season it doesn't matter if you lose a week here or there, but once the playoffs start, you had better get on a hot streak. The trick is figuring out accurately which teams have improved their run d. For me, even better than a poor run d is a good pass d combined with a poor run d. Every coach will figure out its time to feed the RB today! Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sanders 0 Posted July 25, 2006 One look at the NY Jets schedule last year told me to stay away from ALL Jets. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
rebooters 1 Posted July 26, 2006 http://www.footballguys.com/06sos_rb_v01.htm Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Byars41 0 Posted July 26, 2006 imo last years "stregnths" don't mean anything. every year new teams come up and old teams fall back. every year. SOS is overrated. the NFL changes waaaaay to quickly for 05's #'s to matter. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
sanders 0 Posted July 26, 2006 http://www.footballguys.com/06sos_rb_v01.htm GREAT LINK. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
chadavan 0 Posted July 26, 2006 http://www.fflivewire.com/sos/rbsos.asp Should be self explanatory... You want you RB in the blue or green sortable Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Trojan35 0 Posted July 26, 2006 Defenses are the toughest thing to predict year-over-year. To let that significantly influence your RB rankings is silly in my opinion. Maybe as a tiebreaker between two backs you like equally, but I usually go with speed in that case. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
football is life 0 Posted July 26, 2006 http://www.footballdocs.com/run_schedule_strength.html Week to week. Playoffs. Overall. I use this with my RBs... particularly if things didn't go my way in the draft and need to salvage something OK from sea of 2nd tier RBs. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jay 0 Posted July 26, 2006 Strength of schedule matters......but......this year's strength of schedule, not last year's. There is a lot of off-season movement and the quality of defenses change a lot from year to year. Injuries play a huge role. I project my own defensive schedules.....against the run and pass and modify against those. I won't do that until about two weeks or more into training camp, though. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites