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***Official NFL Wagering Thread***

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I know this is a different N.E. team than in the past couple years but Denver looks terrible and I cant see them go into there at night with revenge on N.E. mind from the playoffs last year. I think Brady and the boys will take care of business. :pointstosky:

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Not excited by today's card, but I made a few small plays.

 

Overall NFL YTD: 16-17; -.7 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 4-3; +2 units

CFL YTD: 13-8; +6.5 units

 

All for .5 units, unless indicated otherwise...

 

Sunday Early

Buffalo (-5.5) LOSER

Cincinnati (+1.5) WINNER

Under Indy/Jax (42.5) WINNER

Houston (+4) LOSER

Over Hou/Wash (37.5) WINNER

Minnesota (+3.5)@-105 WINNER

Tampa Bay (Moneyline @+160) LOSER

Green Bay (+6.5) WINNER

 

Sunday Later

Cleveland (+7) WINNER

St Louis (+4.5) WINNER

Under Seat/NYG (42.5) LOSER

Under SF/Phil (41.5) LOSER

San Fracisco (+6) LOSER

 

CFL

Montreal (-7) for 1 unit LOSER

Saskatchewan (Pk) for 1 unit WINNER

 

I am taking mostly home dogs, some contrarian plays, and a couple of unders. Nothing really grabbed my attention today.

 

Good luck to all.

 

Uneventful day, with lots of splitting out. Turned a .15 unit profit overall. :yawn:

 

Overall NFL YTD: 23-23; -.45 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 4-3; +2 units

CFL YTD: 14-9; +6.4 units

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Have the following for tonight:

 

NE -4 1st half 1 unit LOSE

NE -6.5 2 units LOSE

Under 38.5 2 units WIN

 

good luck

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Talk about sweating it out. After watching Carolina p!ss the game away and cost me my Carolina/GB parlay I had to sweat out 10 point teasers on the Baltimore and San Fran games. The last second TD by San Fran put me in the plus today. I don't like either side tonight, but I might take the under.

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I went 5-2 today.

 

I feel like NE is getting by on bailing wire and duct tape.

 

I hate betting Jake "Throw the Ball Left-Handed in Traffic" Plummer but I think it's the right side tonight.

 

Debating, but probably maybe eventually betting DEN +pts

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Sunday night games got ugly written all over it. Since Denver has yet to score an offensive touchdown, I go under 38.5

 

 

Under 38.5 - 1 Benji +6 on day

 

 

Good luck! :thumbsdown:

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If you want to make it easy, just bet EVERY underdog this week... I honestly believe the dogs will go 10-4 this week...

 

The only favorites I would even consider are: Phili, Balt, Chi And I will probably only bet Phili because they have to be PISSED and will most likely run the score up in the 2nd half.

 

 

only would've missed 3 games betting all dogs, and a push. good call!

 

i didnt touch skins or philly though, in fact i only bet 3 games, but all winners.

 

i should stop for the season now!!

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also have added the under 38.5 for 2 units

 

 

Jumped up to 39, took it at 39. Doubt it will be the difference for a win, loss or a tie anyway...whatever.

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only would've missed 3 games betting all dogs, and a push. good call!

 

i didnt touch skins or philly though, in fact i only bet 3 games, but all winners.

 

i should stop for the season now!!

 

 

Yep cleaned up today... I bet 3 favorites (Phili, Wash and Balt) and the rest dogs... Only game I lost was Balt... :banana:

 

Nice 7-1 day... I'll take it... :clap:

 

Not gonna bet this game tonight... Can the dog trend continue? :dunno:

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BAL -5.5 (LOSS)

 

CHI -3 (PUSH)

 

6.5 Point Teaser (3 Teams) (PENDING)

CHI 19 - MIN 16

CHI +3.5 (win)

ATL - NO

ATL +3.5 (pending)

BAL 15 - CLE 14

BAL +0 (win)

 

6 Point Teaser (2 Teams) (WIN)

DEN - NE

DEN +12.5

Under 44.5

 

I really can't believe I lost my BAL -5.5 wager.

That one floored me, but atleast the came back to get the win and keep my 3 team parlay in play...

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:cry:

Yep cleaned up today... I bet 3 favorites (Phili, Wash and Balt) and the rest dogs... Only game I lost was Balt... :D

 

Nice 7-1 day... I'll take it... :clap:

 

Not gonna bet this game tonight... Can the dog trend continue? :dunno:

 

I dunno either, but I'm eavesdropping on your predictions like Kramer on the subway ("his mudda was a mudda") from here on out... :banana:

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After having a bad day in college football which was bound to happen I bounced back with the only NFL play that I liked for today:

 

Risk $175.00 to win $166.67

 

 

Date placed:

Sep 20, 2006 12:14a

 

 

Date settled:

Sep 24, 2006 4:04p Single # 45426517

Football - NFL Lines (Game)

(201) Cincinnati Bengals +2 Sun@1:00p

 

 

Final Scores

Cincinnati Bengals 28

Pittsburgh Steelers 20

Outcome:

Win

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Updated totals heading into tomorrow:

 

Season Total 38-32-1 +16.01 units

Parlays: 1-10 -3.1 units

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Sunday night games got ugly written all over it. Since Denver has yet to score an offensive touchdown, I go under 38.5

Under 38.5 - 1 Benji +6 on day

Good luck! :doublethumbsup:

 

 

 

SUHWEET :banana: :first:

 

+7 Benjis today, 13 for the weekend. See ya'll tomorrow!!!

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Needed a day like today. Holy crap. After going 4-1 yesterday (along with the heartbreaking 5-team parlay that missed because of Navy and the blocked XP):

 

Hasselbeck completions prop = WIN (cashed by first Seattle series of the 2nd half)

Favre completions prop = WIN (cashed midway through the 3rd quarter)

Indy-Jax Under = WIN

GB with the points = WIN

3-team Overs parlay = LOSS

Baltimore giving the points = LOSS

 

Also added Denver +7 from the road (WIN). However, got greedy in the final minutes with the evils of live betting. Saw Pats +9.5 for +220 and jumped on it for a few bucks (LOSS). Just needed them to kick the FG in the last few minutes, but they went for it on 4th down instead. So gave a little back there.

 

Thrilled to have built a decent bankroll after a slow start to the season. Here's to hoping the props will look enticing tomorrow night for a nice finish to a great weekend.

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SUNDAY NFL Week 3 TRENDS

The Underdogs went 9-4 ATS today. The trend of the first 2 weeks was reverse, for today anyway.

The OVER went 7-5-1 today.

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I decided to have a little fun with tonights game, here are my plays:

 

Atlanta gets 1st sack 2 units :banana:

Brees to throw at least 1 INT 4 units :banana:

ATL -3 1st half 3 units :banana:

ATL -4 3 units :banana:

 

Parlay .5 units to win 4.5 units

 

1st accepted penalty not a false start

1st FG made over 33.5 yards

1st play from scrimmage is a run

Vick 1st pass complete

Dunn 1st rush over 3 yards

 

I'll probably regret this later :(

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Tonights play:

 

Atlanta is definately the better team here and the public is jumping all over ATL tonight, cant say I blame em, the line is now -4 -120. My gut says stay away at least until halftime when you might be able to get a better line with whichever side you like. But......

 

NOT SO FAST MY FRIENDS!!! (says Coach "cant pick one" Corso)

 

I think both teams will move the ball, if ATL dosent convert drives to touchdowns they rely on a dinosaur in his first week back to make the field goals, as money as Morten was maybe he still can kick a 45-50 yarder, dunno. Factoring in emotion at the Superdome, im sure NO really wants to deliver for their fans tonight and will play extremely inspired. I also expect to be on the right side of whatever poor, charity officiating calls there might be tonight because of emotional factor. And now the man gives me +4 even money at home.

 

I definately understand the ATL pick, but tonight I go the other way. NO+4 Even 2 Benjis

 

 

Good luck!! :D <-----This guy is the man

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Looking to continue riding the prop play gravy train:

 

Drew Brees to have Over 21 completions (-115)

 

Atlanta has a strong run D, but is one of the worst teams against the pass. This means Deuce & Bush are going to have little room to move downfield on the ground. Bush should account for 5-7 catches alone and Horn and Henderson should bring the number up to the teens. Only thing that concerns me is potential big play catches which will shorten the field and lessen the number of possible completions. But Brees had a few last week and that didn't stop him from completing well over 21 passes.

 

I'm apparently not alone on this play as the line since moved to -130 (and could go higher by kickoff).

 

I might add another prop when I get home depending on what Sportsbook has available. As always, good luck to all. ;) :lol:

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Can I get a bump.

 

. . . . . . . .

 

Looking for more people's thoughts on tonight's game. I've been sucking all year on NFL bets, while cleaning up on college. This week, bet fewer NFL games and went the opposite of my gut -- result: 2-0 in NFL bets (Cincy and Minnesota) (after 1-4 last weekend).

 

Tonight, I really like the Falcons, which is why my money is on the Saints.

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I think ATL can stop the pass and they have solid corners. If they can score early and get th fans out of the game then I think it will be an easy win and hopefully an easy cover for the Falcons.

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My picks...

 

2 Team Parlay

New York Jets +225 Sun@1:00p LOSS

Jacksonville Jaguars +250 Sun@1:00p

 

Cincinnati Bengals +1 (-115) Sun@1:00p WON

 

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts Over 42½ (-105) Sun@1:00p LOSS

 

Baltimore Ravens -7½ (-105) Sun@4:05p LOSS

 

Detroit Lions -7 (-105) Sun@1:00p LOSS

 

Carolina Panthers -3 (-130) Sun@1:00p WON

 

Buffalo Bills -6 (-105) Sun@1:00p LOSS

 

Houston Texans +4 (-105) Sun@1:00p LOSS

 

Chicago Bears -4½ (-105) Sun@1:00p LOSS

 

New York Giants +165 Sun@4:15p LOSS

 

 

 

2-11. WOW I SHOULD PLAY FOR THE TEXANS.

 

Come on Atlanta!

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Overall NFL YTD: 23-23; -.45 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 4-3; +2 units

 

Monday

 

OVER Atl/NO (45) for 1 unit LOSER

OVER 1st H (21.5)@-120 for .5 units WINNER

Atlanta 2nd H (-4.5)@-120 for .5 units LOSER

 

We have seen a lot of low scoring national TV games on Sunday and Monday nights lately. Jax 9-0 over Pittsburgh. Denver 17-7 over NE. Time for an over.

 

Looking some recent games between these two teams, 3 of the last 4 matches would have gone over tonight's total. Atlanta is 2-0 to the under so far, NO is 1-1 to the under so far. Both defenses are vulnerable to the pass, and prone to turnovers. Over the total. Slight lean to NO, but not enough to play it. If the dog covers on Sunday night, usually the favorite covers Monday night. That is a trend that I have noticed the last few years.

 

Good luck to all.

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Atlanta -4 is my play for tonight

 

 

 

Coach Ditka is 3-0 on his Monday night picks so far.(2 picks in week 1)

I don't like going against an undefeated Coach Ditka who is predicting the Saints to win because some kind of emotional wave will pull the Saints through he says.

 

 

Atlanta plays better football than the Saints. period.

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2-11. WOW I SHOULD PLAY FOR THE TEXANS.

 

Come on Atlanta!

 

 

2-11???? How do you figure? Carolina did not cover the -3. Carolina 26 Tampa Bay 24

 

But you are right about Cincinatti winning and that's better than the sorry few of us who had Pittsburgh.

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2nd half ATL -5 and 21.5....yuck. Im almost tempted to take NO, Vick cant complete a pass!!!

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Some bad luck in Morten Anderson missing the 25 yarder with 2 minutes to go. Some very good luck with a key penalty and some nifty Reggie Bush plays to get the 51 yarder just before halftime.

 

And the first half goes over the total. Barely. :pointstosky:

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Atlanta -5.5 in the 2nd half sounds interesting. So Atlanta can lose by 11 or less and a person can still lock in as a winner. However, I noticed the money is going on New Orleans at half time. Generally speaking you go with the money at the half time lines. So, it is somewhat concerning.

 

I just clicked in though. I'm hoping they cash in on some of those red zone trips.

 

Atlanta -5.5 2nd half

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Adding Atlanta 2nd H (-4.5)@-120 for .5 units

 

Seems like teams come back in second halfs this weekend. Look at yesterday: Giants vs Seattle, Baltimore vs Cleveland, Tampa Bay vs Carolina. SF made the game interesting for a while. Why not Atlanta?

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2-11???? How do you figure? Carolina did not cover the -3. Carolina 26 Tampa Bay 24

 

But you are right about Cincinatti winning and that's better than the sorry few of us who had Pittsburgh.

 

You're right, I was delusional while writing that. Guess the weekend had something to do with it...

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Tonights play:

 

Atlanta is definately the better team here and the public is jumping all over ATL tonight, cant say I blame em, the line is now -4 -120. My gut says stay away at least until halftime when you might be able to get a better line with whichever side you like. But......

 

NOT SO FAST MY FRIENDS!!! (says Coach "cant pick one" Corso)

 

I think both teams will move the ball, if ATL dosent convert drives to touchdowns they rely on a dinosaur in his first week back to make the field goals, as money as Morten was maybe he still can kick a 45-50 yarder, dunno. Factoring in emotion at the Superdome, im sure NO really wants to deliver for their fans tonight and will play extremely inspired. I also expect to be on the right side of whatever poor, charity officiating calls there might be tonight because of emotional factor. And now the man gives me +4 even money at home.

 

I definately understand the ATL pick, but tonight I go the other way. NO+4 Even 2 Benjis

Good luck!! :argue: <-----This guy is the man

 

Crystal ball was clear as hell tonight, might as well have watched the game first then come back to post this! Absolutely hammered John. Q Bookmaker this weekend, looking forward to College ball.

 

See ya'll in the "Official college wagering thread"

 

Best of luck!!! :shocking:

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