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brzrboy

***official basketball wagering thread***

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I'll start this, see if we get any action going.

 

I like Northern Arizona tonight +25 at Kansas. Kansas has injuries to starters Kaun and Chalmers. They lost starter CJ Giles who has been dismissed from the team. Does this mean KU is hurting for talent? Of course not. They still have Brandon Rush, Julian Wright, and Russell Robinson, but the rest of the team is fairly inexperienced. Northern Az returns four starters from a 21-11 team, one of whom was the best 3pt % shooter in the nation last year. Kansas should win this game by 10-20pts, but I think 25 is asking a bit much. If Northern Az can hit a moderate amount of threes, they should hang within single digits. LOSER

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College Hoops Games I like

 

Season so far 3-3

 

Depaul -3

UNC Greensboro +4

Ohio State -11.5

Missouri State -8

 

Wish I had more time to add write ups, but I'm about to head out for the evening.

 

Good luck.

 

:banana:

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I'll piggyback some of those for a 4team parlay

 

Depaul -160

Missouri St. -360

Ohio St. -10

N.Arizona +25

1 unit to win 5.8 units

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3 team parlay with Ohio State ML, Missouri State ML, and the CUSE ML.

 

 

I was curious if Missouri State was returning 3 starters that are now seniors. If Missouri State has last year's crew, they'll be tough. They got axed from the NCAA selection committee at the last moment last year.

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3 team parlay with Ohio State ML, Missouri State ML, and the CUSE ML.

I was curious if Missouri State was returning 3 starters that are now seniors. If Missouri State has last year's crew, they'll be tough. They got axed from the NCAA selection committee at the last moment last year.

 

Nice parlay hit. I was going to do a moneyline parlay on Missouri State and Ohio State, but the moneyline was off on tOSU game.

 

I went 3-1 on the day. I'm anxious to see the line for Arizona/Virginia tomorrow. I'm hoping for a line around 2, but I'm thinking it will probably be closer to 5 which is still not enough for Virginia. Unless the lines are completely out of whack for tomorrow I'm taking Arizona regardless of the line and Dook regardless of the line.

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Gridiron,

 

You mentioned in another thread a few darkhorse teams to bet on this year. I forgot to mention this team and forgot they played tonight, so I'm kicking myself for not getting the bet in. Xavier is going to be a team early on that will get favorable lines until early December. This is an excellent ball club that will or should be getting some votes within the next couple of weeks. The only key loss from last year's squad that should have knocked off Gonzaga in the tourney was their center, Brian Thornton. They return a lot of key players namely Stanley Burrell and Justin Cage plus Drew Lavender is eligible to play this year. If you saw him play at OU then you know he can push the ball up the court. They have a favorable schedule until early December when they play Creighton. Keep on eye on them as well.

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College Hoops YTD: 6-4

 

I just saw some early lines on the three games I like:

 

1. Arizona -2.5: This is the first really good game this year. I've been eyeing this game all week and thought the line would be around 2 or 3 points. Sean Singletary is a great player and Virginia is going to be improved, but they don't have enough talent to beat a very good Arizona team. I think Mustafa Shukar has matured enough to know he can't take the stupid shots he has in previous years. Chase Budinger is another in a huge group of freshmen this year that will make an impact immediately. I think he has a huge game and Arizona wins by 7 or 8. LOSER

 

2. Dook -29.5: Greg Paulus is out for the game, but that doesn't mean a damn thing in this game. Everyone thinks that Dook is in a "rebuilding year" with Redick and Williams gone, but don't think this team isn't still loaded. I think Coach Chachefski will want to show the college basketball world that the Dookies are just fine and that they are still to be feared. WINNER

 

3. SMU -2: The Mustangs return pretty much every one from last year's team. While their record wasn't impressive I thought they were better and now they have a better coach. Yes, Doherty is one that has a temper, but he has shown that he can coach given what he did at Notre Dame and what he did early on at UNC. PUSH

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Overall College Football YTD: 219-188-4; +46.07 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 106-78; +61.62 units

CFL: 21-13; +15.95 units

NBA: 24-20-1; +4.25 units

NCAA baskets: 12-14-1; -4.9 units

NFL (Reset, last three weeks): 22-20-1; +.75 units

 

Will add more throughout the day...

 

For .5 unit unless indicated otherwise

 

Western Mich (+14.5) LOSER

Michigan (-17) for 2 units WINNER!!

SMU (-2.5) LOSER

UAB (-2.5) WINNER

Arizona (-2.5) LOSER

IUPUI (+3.5) LOSER

Kent St (+8.5) LOSER

Clemson (-1.5) WINNER

St Francis NY (+10) LOSER

Lehigh (+2.5) LOSER

Fresno St (-12.5) WINNER

Washington (-19.5) LOSER

New Mexico (-12) WINNER

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ncaa

 

Arizona -2 LOSER

Syracuse -16 LOSER

Nicholls St. +20 WINNER

UCDavis/G.Southern under 155.5 LOSER

Columbia/Duke under 143 WINNER

 

nba

 

Houston/Miami over 183.5 LOSER

Memphis +8.5 LOSER

Denver/Charlotte over 203.5 WINNER

ADDED 2H Dallas/Portland over 92 WINNER

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Arizona is pulling a major choke job. Up by 13 at the half and in control, but they have let the lead slip away.

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Glad for the ACC, but DAMN Arizona choked that game away. A lot of people lost money on that one.

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Glad for the ACC, but DAMN Arizona choked that game away. A lot of people lost money on that one.

 

I was one of them :banana:

 

I seriously NEVER bet hoops, but I thought this game was as close to a can't-miss mortgage pick as one could get.

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I was one of them :banana:

 

I seriously NEVER bet hoops, but I thought this game was as close to a can't-miss mortgage pick as one could get.

 

I did too and at half I was thinking it was pretty much over. Too many dumb fouls by Arizona in the second half.

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Anyone with an opinion on Washington/Pepperdine? I know Pepperdine loves to fire 3's. Is Washington still that good to be favored by 19 with the loss of Brandon Roy?

 

Thanks!

 

Good Luck!! :banana:

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Anyone with an opinion on Washington/Pepperdine? I know Pepperdine loves to fire 3's. Is Washington still that good to be favored by 19 with the loss of Brandon Roy?

 

Thanks!

 

Good Luck!! <_<

 

YM,

 

Even though the heavy favorites seem to be covering a lot, I'm leary of this line. Spencer Hawes for Washington will have a huge game, but I'm not sure they're 20 point favorites. I decided to stay away from that game.

 

Good luck...

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YM,

 

Even though the heavy favorites seem to be covering a lot, I'm leary of this line. Spencer Hawes for Washington will have a huge game, but I'm not sure they're 20 point favorites. I decided to stay away from that game.

 

Good luck...

 

 

Thanks for the analysis!

 

Good Luck!! <_<

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Thanks for the analysis!

 

Good Luck!! <_<

 

:banana:

 

Well, it wasn't much of an analysis, but I didn't like that line when I first saw it. If sportsbook would have offered a first half line I probably would have taken it. The heavy favorites are also covering the first half lines for the most part.

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:banana:

 

Well, it wasn't much of an analysis, but I didn't like that line when I first saw it. If sportsbook would have offered a first half line I probably would have taken it. The heavy favorites are also covering the first half lines for the most part.

 

 

Its all good, still appreciate your input (perhaps a more fitting word that analysis)

 

Im in CA and get the game on FSW....may play for kicks...

 

Good Luck!! <_<

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Updated Record for College Hoops:

 

8-5-1

 

I can't stand having Dook bail me out for a winning day. :first:

 

Went 2-1-1, and that damn Arizona game still p!sses me off.

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bump for monday

 

lots of interesting games tonight.

 

Illinois St. +13.5 Flor. St.

Loy. Marymount +9.5 Miss. St

Idaho St. +22.5 Marquette

Gardener Webb +26.5 Texas Tech

G.Southern +18.5 Duke

N.Iowa -6.5 Pepperdine

Nicholls St. +30 Washington

Notre Dame -3.5 Butler

Lafayette +19.5 Indiana

Fordham +14 Tennessee

UNCGreensboro +8.5 Penn St.

Austin P +22 Illinois

Citadel +24 Iowa

N.Arizona +8.5 Arizona St.

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Sup Guys!

 

Lookin for feedback, thinking of playing....

 

Pepperdine +6.5

Iowa -24

 

Any thoughts and opinions are appreciated!

 

Good Luck!! <_<

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Overall College Football YTD: 219-188-4; +46.07 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 106-78; +61.62 units

CFL: 23-13; +20.95 units

NBA: 24-20-1; +4.25 units

NCAA baskets: 17-22-1; -5.3 units

NFL (Reset, last 4 weeks): 29-26-1; +1.15 units

 

Struggling in college hoops early. Hoping to turn it around soon.

 

Florida St (-14.5) for 2 units LOSER

Youngstown St (-7) for 2 units LOSER

Loyola Marymount (+10) for 2 units LOSER

Duke (-18.5) for 2 units WINNER

Tennessee (-14.5) for 2 units LOSER

NC Greensboro (+8.5) for 2 units LOSER

Cal Santa Barbara (-3.5) for 2 units WINNER

Iowa 2nd H (-6.5) for 1 unit LOSER

 

Good luck to all.

 

Edit: Added Duke, Flor St, Iowa 2nd H.

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I played:

 

Duke -18.5

 

Leaning towards:

 

Pepperdine +6.5

Iowa -24

 

Good Luck!! :headbanger:

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ncaa ytd 2-4

nba ytd 5-3

 

Monday

ncaa

1H Duke -10.5 2units LOSER

1H Tennessee -7.5 2units WINNER

UncWilmington -1.5 WINNER

Nicholls St. +30 WINNER

Lafay/Indiana under 141 LOSER

Tennessee -14.5 LOSER

 

parlay 1 unit to win 10units LOSER

Duke -17

Tenn -11.5

UNC Wilm (-130)

UCSB (-165)

No. Arizona +10

 

nba

sea/nj over 194.5 WINNER

clev/nyk over 199 LOSER

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YTD: 8-5-1

 

Early action:

 

Dook -11.5 1H LOSER

Dook -20 WINNER

Houston -2 WINNER

Marquette -21.5LOSER

 

I may add a couple of more later depending on what happens with Houston and Marquette

 

Good luck...

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Good Lord...this is lookin rough early. Duke up by 6 at the half... :shocking:

 

Duke -10 2nd half. Looks like GS is haveing alot of trouble scoring now, hopefully that trend continues in the 2nd half!

 

Good Luck!! :headbanger:

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Yep, I decided to take Dook in the 2nd half as well. I got it at -9.5 though. Houston is losing to Rhode Island as well. :shocking:

 

I'm really p!ssed I missed out on the Butler game. I thought the game started at 6:00 CST. :headbanger:

 

WINNER

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Well Friends,

 

Duke ended up coving for the game and the 2nd half!! :banana: That was a nailbiter as many basketball wagers are....

 

2nd Half:

 

Iowa -6.5

 

I have the game on here, The Citadel looked good for exactly a few minutes. Iowa is hot from 3 and looked liked they were just getting warmed up in the 1st half. Its always a gamble, but I layed kind of huge one on Iowa in the 2nd half, they shoud run away with this one...hopefully!

 

Good luck!! :mad:

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2nd Half:

 

Iowa -6.5

 

I have the game on here, The Citadel looked good for exactly a few minutes. Iowa is hot from 3 and looked liked they were just getting warmed up in the 1st half. Its always a gamble, but I layed kind of huge one on Iowa in the 2nd half, they shoud run away with this one...hopefully!

 

Good luck!! :banana:

 

I think I'll jump on board with that one. The Citadel is a really bad team.

 

Good luck.

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I think I'll jump on board with that one. The Citadel is a really bad team.

 

Good luck.

 

 

I kid you not...im not sure what happened at the half, but Iowa looks like they forgot they were playing a game here. hopefully they get it together!

 

Good Luck!! :cheers:

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Marquette's getting their ass kicked as this is the first huge favorite that's not going to cover and is looking like they'll get upset. I sure would like to take Gardner Webb against Tech, but I think I'll lay off for the rest of the evening.

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Wow, Houston comes back late in the game and sends it OT. They then get the win and cover.

 

:bandana:

 

Went 3-2 on the night and I was way off on Marquette. I am really really wanting to take Gardner-Webb, but I'll stay off the game. I hope I don't regret it and if I watch the game and they cover I'll be even more mad.

 

YTD: 11-7-1

 

Well, I've taken a complete 180 on the Texas Tech/Gardner Webb game as greed is setting in. I've done more research and the only player from Gardner Webb with any experience averaged 9.5 a game for them last year. They lost 5 of their top 6 scorers. Taking what little money I've won tonight I decided to go with

 

Texas Tech -14 1H

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Bitter loss on the Iowa halftime line...they pulled away up 32 and just got completely sloppy thereafter. Gonna have to wrap it up on College Ball tonight..

 

Good Luck Guys!! :dunno:

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I should have quit while I was ahead for the night. :thumbsup: Tech went up 13-0, but after that they just sucked.

 

11-8-1 for the year.

 

Looking for the early line on UNC tomorrow night. I'm guess the line will be 30+.

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Gridiron,

 

You mentioned in another thread a few darkhorse teams to bet on this year. I forgot to mention this team and forgot they played tonight, so I'm kicking myself for not getting the bet in. Xavier is going to be a team early on that will get favorable lines until early December. This is an excellent ball club that will or should be getting some votes within the next couple of weeks. The only key loss from last year's squad that should have knocked off Gonzaga in the tourney was their center, Brian Thornton. They return a lot of key players namely Stanley Burrell and Justin Cage plus Drew Lavender is eligible to play this year. If you saw him play at OU then you know he can push the ball up the court. They have a favorable schedule until early December when they play Creighton. Keep on eye on them as well.

 

 

Good info. I'll watch them. I was interested in Northern Iowa pummeling Pepperdine tonight. I don't know alot about either except last year's reps which was that Northern Iowa was far better(Northern Iowa was a big dance threat and Pepperdine was a cellar dwellar. My plays, not posted were: 5 team moneyline which included Notre Dame, Northern Iowa, Tennessee, Florida State, Carolina(NFL). Notre Dame lost in close one to the end with Butler on a neutral court. So that was lost. Then I played a 3 teamer , again not posted, Tennessee, Florida State, and Carolina(NFL) for a small profit.

 

I thought Notre Dame would beat Butler, but I really didn't check who was playing for either team and how good they were. I was going off of last year, in which Butler was actually pretty damn good. It'll be interesting to see how well Florida State does with Thornton this year. Thornton can be a scoring machine.

 

But I'll add Xavier to Houston, which you threw out there earlier as a dark horse dog to watch this year. I like looking at these dark horses early, because there are such good chances that another "George Mason "will emerge again this year.

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Good info. I'll watch them. I was interested in Northern Iowa pummeling Pepperdine tonight. I don't know alot about either except last year's reps which was that Northern Iowa was far better(Northern Iowa was a big dance threat and Pepperdine was a cellar dwellar. My plays, not posted were: 5 team moneyline which included Notre Dame, Northern Iowa, Tennessee, Florida State, Carolina(NFL). Notre Dame lost in close one to the end with Butler on a neutral court. So that was lost. Then I played a 3 teamer , again not posted, Tennessee, Florida State, and Carolina(NFL) for a small profit.

 

I thought Notre Dame would beat Butler, but I really didn't check who was playing for either team and how good they were. I was going off of last year, in which Butler was actually pretty damn good. It'll be interesting to see how well Florida State does with Thornton this year. Thornton can be a scoring machine.

 

But I'll add Xavier to Houston, which you threw out there earlier as a dark horse dog to watch this year. I like looking at these dark horses early, because there are such good chances that another "George Mason "will emerge again this year.

 

I really like Xavier for the reasons I mentioned earlier. I read about 4 or 5 preseason magazines and all of them were hyping Xavier as well. Houston barely covered tonight, but I think as the season wears on they will continue to get better. They started off hot last year and then hit a funk early in conference play. They tried to make a push late, but lost too many games and momentum. I've always been a huge Tom Penders fan and I think he's building a nice program or rebuilding I guess even though it's 25 years later. :-)

 

On a side note I was checking the early lines for tomorrow's games and on jimfeist.com they had SMU as a 7.5 point favorite over Florida State, but I think that has to be a mistake. They're playing the game in Tallahassee and unless Thornton's out of the lineup or someone else isn't playing I have no idea why the line would be that high. And you are correct that Thornton is a scoring machine, which is why I'm scratching my head at that line. If that is in fact the true line I need to do a little research tomorrow because my first instinct is to jump all over the Noles getting 7.5

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That was an obvious mistake in the early lines last night. That being said here are two early games I like:

 

SMU +12 - Florida State is pretty good and has a chance to be a tourney team, but I don't know if they're 12 points better than SMU. I might be giving more credit to Doherty than he deserves, but I think his team will keep this game close.

 

UNC -36 - Get ready to see points put up in bunches tonight. This Tar Heel team is going to run and run and then run some more. They scored 140 points the other night in their last exhibition game, but they also gave up 101 points. Williams emphasized defense the past few days and I look for that to be on display full force tonight.

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