phillybear 366 Posted June 27, 2007 So..Milwaukee is my big play of the night. And they gave up 3 2 out homers to fall behind 4-2. I started posting at various sites about Milwaukee's inability to score runs. Well, a 9 run 6th inning cures a hell of a lot of rage. Milwaukee is up 11-4. If they hang on, I will be a very pleased phillybear.... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BMoney 0 Posted June 27, 2007 Monday Night- went after benjamin becker (+250) over 24th seed juan ignacio chela..ben leads but the rain suspension is killing me..i hope he doesnt come out flat today... the faves are not worth it right now..i took 2 fliers and ..i may be giving $$ away..but oh well... Tuesday- I took edina gallovits at (+275) over meilen tu and alla kudryavtseva at (+700) over #23 venus....venus can roll here..but if she can be beat, it could happen early and theres something about young russians training in florida..its her 3rd ever major..2rd, 3rd and now here...make it happen, toots.. only $25 per..so no real big deal here....becker can help pay for these 2 ladies matches... well fock me...becker came back the next day after the rain stopped his momentum and he lost the last 3 sets..the final one, 10-8..i shouldnt have bet THAT $ until it ended... too cute trying to pick venus to lose....(0-2)...even if Gallovits wins tonight, ill still be annoyed... back to the drawing board... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 27, 2007 Recent results: AFL 17-11; +8.15 Baseball: 23-27; -3.2 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 4-3; +2.68 units WNBA: 2-1; +2.0 units Tuesday Baseball for 6 units Milwaukee (-139) WINNER!!!!!! Baseball for 2 units San Diego (+111) WINNER Boston (+118) LOSER Baseball for .5 unit Pittsburgh (+140) WINNER Cincinnati (+118) LOSER St Louis (+175) WINNER Washington (+137) LOSER Colorado (+129) LOSER Over SD/SF 8.5 (-105) LOSER Baltimore (+138) WINNER Cleveland (Even) WINNER Chic WhSx (+125) WINNER Toronto (-110) LOSER WNBA for .5 unit OVER Wash/Conn (163) WINNER UNDER Hou/SA (144.5) WINNER Milwaukee is 10-2 last 12 Milwaukee is 13-3 vs lefties at home Milwaukee is 11-2 in Vargas starts this year Houston 15-26 on road Houston is 22-34 vs righties this year Rodriguez 6.08 road ERA A positive day, picking up units. Milwaukee was a huge win on the day. Recent results: AFL 17-11; +8.15 Baseball: 30-33; +4.22 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 5-3; +8.68 units WNBA: 4-1; +3.0 units Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 27, 2007 Recent results: AFL 17-11; +8.15 Baseball: 30-33; +4.22 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 5-3; +8.68 units WNBA: 4-1; +3.0 units Still hungover from yesterday. Wednesday Baseball for 1 unit Cincinnati (+114) WINNER Arizona (-133) WINNER Baltimore (+120) WINNER Chic WhSox (-118) WINNER Minnesota (-145) LOSER OVER Tor/Min 9.5 (Even) LOSER Baseball for .5 unit Pittsburgh (+160) WINNER Washington (+190) LOSER WNBA for .5 unit Sacramento (-5.5) LOSER Edit: Recent results: AFL 17-11; +8.15 CFL: 0-0 Baseball: 35-36; +6.41 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 5-3; +8.68 units WNBA: 4-2; +2.45 units Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 28, 2007 Recent results: AFL: 17-11; +8.15 CFL: 0-0 Thursday June 28th, and waiting on lines… (6:30PM EST) British Columbia (-4.5) for 1 unit (9:30PM EST) Winnipeg (+2) for 1 unit British Columbia is the consensus favorite to win back to back championships. They were the #1 offensive and defensive team last year. They are deep. They are talented. They have no perceived weaknesses. Well, maybe they have a weakness. It’s called complacency. They lost their offensive coordinator in the offseason to Edmonton, and have basically looked terrible in the short preseason. So the question becomes, is this a veteran team that can just flip a switch and perform, or are they due to fall back down to earth. I think they can flip the switch. While the passing game may need time to get fine tuned over the first few weeks, Dave Dickenson is still the top QB in the CFL. The big advantage today is the rushing attack led by Joe Smith, who averaged over 5 yards per carry. This rushing attack will face the worst rush defense of the CFL last year in Toronto, giving up 135 rushing yards per game. Toronto has the intangibles tonight, fired up home crowd, the top scoring defense in the CFL last year, going up against the defending champs to open the season. However, and this is a big however, their offense has tons of question marks. Going into training camp, they had 5 QBs competing for the starter’s job. I haven’t heard them name a starter yet, as of today, but it’s expected to be veteran Damon Allen. RB Ricky Williams is still not with the team, and the other RBs aren’t all that good. Seems to me, Toronto will have to win with special teams and outstanding defensive play. Because I don’t think they have any chance of winning this game led by their offense. Playing a unit on BC. I hate to go against intangibles of the home dog, but the fundamental mismatch of BC running on Toronto, and coupled with Toronto’s QB controversy, I have to take the better team and lay the points. Winnipeg was the most improved team in the CFL last year, led by a very good defense and the #1 rushing attack. Their defensive line has the ability to absolutely dominate games. I don’t see any reason why Winnipeg can’t win their division this year. The perceived weakness is inconsistent QB Kevin Glenn. Winnipeg struggled in the preseason with the worst team in the CFL last year Hamilton, but I tend to think Hamilton is improved this year. Winnipeg is a veteran team, which may have simply been going through the motions in the preseason. Much like British Columbia, I think they will be able to flip the switch tonight. Edmonton won the Grey Cup 2 years ago, then went 7-11 last year and missed the playoffs for the first time in 35 years, easily the most disappointing team in CFL last year. So changes had to happen. Edmonton has a new offensive coordinator, brought in from British Columbia. Coach Maciocia picked up the job of head of football operations, and since he is on the hot seat this year, he made a bunch of changes. Which is the problem tonight. Not only do you have a bunch of new starters on defense, you also missing your star MLB. There is no doubt Edmonton can move the ball, but their defense stunk last year, and it’s going to take a lot for them to not suck so bad this year. In the first week, the timing and reacting on your assignments just will not be seamless. While Edmonton has the intangibles of being at home and trying to bounce back from a bad season, both teams having some question marks, and I will rely on two consistent factors: running the ball and defensive line play. And Winnipeg is better at both. Two plays I’m not crazy about, so they are both for only 1 unit. Treading lightly early in the season. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 28, 2007 Recent results: AFL 17-11; +8.15 CFL: 0-0 Baseball: 35-36; +6.41 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 5-3; +8.68 units WNBA: 4-2; +2.45 units Thursday Canadian Football for 2 units British Columbia (-4) 2nd H for 2 units WINNER Winnipeg (+.5) 1st H for 2 units LOSER Winnepeg (+.5) 2nd Half for 3 units. WINNER Canadian Football for 1 unit British Columbia (-4.5) LOSER Winnepeg (+2) WINNER Baseball for 2 units Arizona (-143) LOSER Tampa Bay (-138) LOSER Baseball for 1 unit Cincinnati (+137) LOSER St Louis (+160) POSTPONED Colorado (+147) LOSER OVER Col/Hou 8.5 (-105) WINNER Baltimore (+153) ????? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 28, 2007 Link to BC/Tor game... http://www.team1040.ca/listen.php Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Adding: BC (-4) 2nd H for 2 units. I can't remember a half so thoroughly dominated by special teams. BC blew a 10-1 lead by giving up two late 2nd Quarter TDs due to special teams break downs. However, BC started to finally move the ball on offense at the end of the 2nd quarter, and Toronto is down to their back up kicker. I am confident BC wins this game, and still has a shot at the original line. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Toronto up 15-10 at the half. BC takes the opening kickoff to the 7. TD BC!!! I cannot believe how much special teams are dominating. They have accounted for all but 3 pts in this 17-15 game, BC leads. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Mixed bag. BC wins 24-22. Late adding: Winnipeg (+.5) 1st H for 2 units Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Finally got a link for Edm/Winn http://www.630ched.com/ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Winny is down 15-14, but in a shootout, I still feel we have the better defense. Let's see what happens. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Winnepeg down 22-21 at the half... Winnepeg (+.5) 2nd Half for 3 units. Despite screwing up the FG at the end of the half, Winnepeg will win this game. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Winnepeg ties it up at 22 and then picks off a pass. My whole night rests on Winn 2nd H. Come on Blue Bombers. Hoping that the Bal/NYY game gets called for rain. Balt would cash, despite trailing in the 8th. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 25-25, Winnepeg getting ball back, 11 minutes to go. Flags down. No clue who has the ball. Midfield. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 31 seconds to go, Winnepeg ties at 32. Overtime looming. College rules. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Final Score Edmonton 39 and Winnepeg 39. Weird OT rules, but... Winnepeg covers. 2nd H covers. Recent results: AFL 17-11; +8.15 CFL: 0-0 Baseball: 35-36; +6.41 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 5-3; +8.68 units WNBA: 4-2; +2.45 units Thursday Canadian Football for 2 units British Columbia (-4) 2nd H for 2 units WINNER Winnipeg (+.5) 1st H for 2 units LOSER Winnepeg (+.5) 2nd Half for 3 units. WINNER Canadian Football for 1 unit British Columbia (-4.5) LOSER Winnepeg (+2) WINNER Baseball for 2 units Arizona (-143) LOSER Tampa Bay (-138) LOSER Baseball for 1 unit Cincinnati (+137) LOSER St Louis (+160) POSTPONED Colorado (+147) LOSER OVER Col/Hou 8.5 (-105) WINNER Baltimore (+153) ????? A wild night. CFL: 3-2; +2.7 units Subset: CFL 2 unit plays or higher: 2-1; +2.8 units No idea what to do about the Baltimore game until my book grades it tomorrow. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 AFL: 17-11; +8.15 CFL: 3-2; +2.7 units Subset: CFL 2 unit plays or higher: 2-1; +2.8 units Friday (7:30PM EST) Saskatchewan (+3) for 2 units Last year, Montreal was wildly inconsistent, going on a long winning streak, going on a long losing streak, and managed to regroup enough to make it to the Grey Cup, where they lost to British Columbia. Through it all, Montreal finished with a 10-8 regular season record. Saskatchewan finished at 9-9, won a playoff game, and had a successful season. There really wasn’t much difference in talent between these two teams, but Sask played in the much tougher West Division, so their stock is higher in my eyes. Both teams made plenty of changes in the offseason, so both are going to have disadvantages tonight. Sask is replacing star RB Kenton Keith with Wes Cates, and is putting in a more wide open passing attack under coach Kent Austin. Saskatchewan will be led by Kerry Joseph, who passed for 22 TDs (2nd best), and 17 INTs (2nd worst); definitely the good and the bad. He does have a deep stable of WRs to throw to, which will take some pressure off of Joseph. Montreal has scrapped their wide open, bombs away offense, and put in a more control the ball, run more offense. Veteran QB Calvillo won’t be calling the plays anymore, for the first time in a long time. Predictably, Montreal struggled moving the ball early in the preseason. Furthermore, Calvillo’s numbers were down last year as compared to past years, and he may be taking a downward slide. The trendy pick is to take Montreal based on their strong home field and penchant for fast starts. However, they are breaking in a brand new offense, and really don’t have a talent edge on Saskatchewan. The game looks like a tossup to me, but I like the intangibles for Sask a bit more. Montreal’s veteran offense can’t be happy with the changes made by new head coach Popp. A bit of a grumbling attitude may be happening. I think Sask may very well be coming in with a better mind set. They already beat the two best teams in their division (British Columbia and Calgary) in the preseason. I’ll take the 3 points or so, which of course may come into play after seeing the 2pt win and tie game from last night. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 29, 2007 Recent results: AFL: 17-11; +8.15 CFL: 3-2; +2.7 units Subset: CFL 2 unit plays or higher: 2-1; +2.8 units Baseball: 37-40; +1.32 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 5-3; +8.68 units WNBA: 4-2; +2.45 units Friday CFL for 2 units Saskatchewan (+3) WINNER Baseball for 4 units San Diego (-118) WINNER Baseball for 2 units Atlanta (-120) WINNER Houston (-147) WINNER San Francisco (-137) LOSER Cleveland (-1.5runs@-110) LOSER Seattle (-141) WINNER Baseball for 1 unit StLouis (+121) WINNER NY Mets Game Two (+130) WINNER Minnesota (-105) WINNER Texas (+190) LOSER Chic WhSox (-110) LOSER Over TB/Clev 11 (Even) LOSER WNBA Los Angeles (-5) for .5 units LOSER Los Angeles 2nd H (-4.5) for 4 units LOSER Good luck to all. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 30, 2007 Saskatchewan up 6-2 at the half. Lots of rain tonight. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 30, 2007 Yesterday, backed the dog Winnepeg for the game and 2nd half, they never lead, but cashed both tickets. Tonight, backed the dog Saskachewan, who was covering the entire game. Nice to get an easy one once in a while, especially after last night full of heart attacks and zero sleep going into work this morning. Montreal looks like a fade team until they figure out their new offense. Saskatchewan wins 16-7. I'm picking up where I left off from last year in the CFL. Nice start so far. CFL: 4-2; +4.7 units Subset: CFL 2 unit plays or higher: 3-1; +4.8 units Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 30, 2007 Late play: adding LA Sparks WNBA 2nd H (-4.5) for 4 unit. They trailed by about 14 points in the 1st Half. They rallied to tie, before fading to be trailing by 6 at the half. Good value, taking LA to just win the game. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted June 30, 2007 Recent results: AFL: 17-11; +8.15 CFL: 4-2; +4.7 units Subset: CFL 2 unit plays or higher: 3-1; +4.8 units Baseball: 44-46; +4.59 units Subset: Baseball 4 units or higher: 6-3; +12.68 units WNBA: 4-4; -2.5 units Saturday AFL for 2 units Columbus (+6.5) WINNER Kansas City (-5.5) LOSER CFL for 2 units OVER Calg/Ham 53.5 LOSER Baseball for 4 units St Louis (-115) LOSER Baseball for 1 unit Colorado (-106) WINNER Atlanta (-155) WINNER San Francisco (-131) WINNER Baltimore (+118) WINNER Boston (-1.5runs@-120) LOSER Kansas City (-114) LOSER Seattle (+124) WINNER Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GridIronAssassin#1 0 Posted June 30, 2007 Put in a play for Mikhail Youzhny to defeat Jarkko Nieminen. Mikhail Youzhny @ -190 Edit: Suspended until Noon Monday because of rain. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
phillybear 366 Posted July 1, 2007 I ended up bumping the CFL play to 2 units. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
BMoney 0 Posted July 1, 2007 Put in a play for Mikhail Youzhny to defeat Jarkko Nieminen. Mikhail Youzhny @ -190 Edit: Suspended until Noon Monday because of rain. sweet! ill have to follow this one..too bad they arent playing on sunday..sundays at wimbledon when anyone can get tix is 1 of the best scenes in all of sports..a rowdy place, for sure... down $75..im back into it monday...i still have sharapova and federer for the title..but roger isnt going to fetch me much... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GridIronAssassin#1 0 Posted July 2, 2007 sweet! ill have to follow this one..too bad they arent playing on sunday..sundays at wimbledon when anyone can get tix is 1 of the best scenes in all of sports..a rowdy place, for sure... down $75..im back into it monday...i still have sharapova and federer for the title..but roger isnt going to fetch me much... Does Justine Henin concern you? I wonder how Sharapova and Henin will matchup if they play. Roger just got a bye because Tommy Haas pulled a stomach muscle. Whomever plays Federer in the quarters will now have a fully rested Federer. I guess that might mean straight set victories for Federer. I'll have to see who the opponent is first though. Nadal's match got suspended again. Nadal will face Mikhail Youzhny next, providing he gets out of this one with Soderling. Nadal trounced Youzhny earlier this year, but it was on clay. So who knows what will happen on grass. It seems like Nadal is really on top of his game though. Roddick seems ready to advance as well. Paul-Henri Mathieu beat two ranked opponents to get here, but I can't see Roddick losing just yet. Then Roddick should beat Gasquet. Lots of good matches... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GridIronAssassin#1 0 Posted July 2, 2007 There is only one Arena football game tonight. It is the Utah Blaze (8-8) @ the Los Angelas Avengers(9-7). This is a playoff game. The spread has the Avengers as 4 point favorites. I'm not sure what that is based on since Utah beat them by 10, 47 to 37 on June 23rd. The win put Utah into the playoffs. The Utah quarterback threw for 5 touchdowns! Is he going to be stopped cold all of a sudden? In fact, Germaine threw for more yards this year than any other quarterback in Arena football history. His top receiver, Burley, has over 2000 yards receiving this year. Cumbie to Ingram is the big combo for the Avengers. Utah allowed 3 touchdowns to that combo in the last game but picked off Cumbie 4 times. 4 times doesn't seem like an accident to me, so I think Utah wins this straight up tonight. Anybody else considering this game? Edit: Play: Utah Blaze +7(bought 3 points), 1 unit Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
