thedrizzle88 0 Posted September 15, 2007 The general consensus seems to be Favre will blow up against the Giants, but will he outscore my main man Romo by enough points to be worth the risk of another dissappointing performance? I'm a numbers man, so I'll help start the discussion. What should we consider a break out performance? I'd say top 6. Last week top 6 numbers were 42.9, 34.7, 30.6, 30.3, 29.5, 27.3. That average comes out to be 32.55. With 32 starting QB's, just picking randomly, Favre would be in the top 6 about 19%, let's round it to 20% for easy math. So vs. the G-men, I'd think Favre's chances to crack the top 6 are higher than 20%, but what % exactly? Maybe 50%, or is that too high. Maybe 40%. Some assumptions: 40% top 6 30% 7-12 25%13-26 5% bottom 6 Now let's find Favre's expected Fantasy points. top 6: (32.55 points) 7-12 ( 20.23 points) 13-26 ( 10.1 points) bottom 6 ( 2.78) .4 * 32.55 + .3 *20.23 + .25*10.1 + .05 * 2.78 = 13.02 + 6.07 + 2.52 + .14 = 21.75 fantasy points That seems pretty good, but that leaves me a 30% chance to basically come away with 3 fantasy points or less. Do you think Romo will have similar assumptions or better/worse? If you don't understand how I did the math, don't worry, but just give your opinions on Favre's or Romo's chances to obtain a certain scoring teir. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Jello Biafra 0 Posted September 15, 2007 Favre should do well this week but no way can you bench Romo. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
#1LionFan 0 Posted September 15, 2007 I have a similar dilema with Romo. In your case do not play Favre over ROMO!! Hell no. NEVER. See mine below http://www.fftodayforums.com/forum/index.p...howtopic=287500 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Slim Pally 0 Posted September 15, 2007 Favre is just too iffy. I know he's been a good quarterback but I don't have the confidence in him like I used to. Romo has something to prove and did a pretty good job of proving it last week. Miami lost one of their best DBs and may be a little suspect in the secondary. I'd go with the youth and potential of Romo over the experience of Favre. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
ramblin'wreck 0 Posted September 15, 2007 Go with the hot hand.. Romo Please help me choose 2 RBs here http://www.fftodayforums.com/forum/index.p...howtopic=287486 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
