Stud RB Theory Stinks!

[phillybear 366]

Let's not forget, one of the main rationales behind the "Stud RB" theory is that a feature back, over the long run, will put up more consistant numbers than a feature WR.

 

No doubt Steve Smith, Ocho, and Harrison are incredible values, but for every 10/180/2td day they turn in, there is also those 3/30/0td days as well. A RB like Rudi or McGahee (not stud, but definitely feature) will consistantly get 30 touches a game.

 

Instead of leaping on SS/CJ/MH, grab the steady RBs and scoop up the Housh, Wayne, or Hines Ward type WRs in the 3rd thru 6th rounds.

 

The reason that the top WRs are so valuable is that they rarely flop with those 3/30/0 TDs games. They produce nearly every week, year after year. RBs values rise and fall from year to year. Every year, there is great turnover in the top 10 RBs. But the top WRs are always up there, year after year. I would say that the top WRs are much most consistent and safer picks, especially in the 2nd, 3rd rounds.

[A Dido Brother 0]

Let's not forget, one of the main rationales behind the "Stud RB" theory is that a feature back, over the long run, will put up more consistant numbers than a feature WR.

 

No doubt Steve Smith, Ocho, and Harrison are incredible values, but for every 10/180/2td day they turn in, there is also those 3/30/0td days as well. A RB like Rudi or McGahee (not stud, but definitely feature) will consistantly get 30 touches a game.

 

Instead of leaping on SS/CJ/MH, grab the steady RBs and scoop up the Housh, Wayne, or Hines Ward type WRs in the 3rd thru 6th rounds.

 

 

Plus, because of WR's inconsistencies, it's easier to buy low on them. A couple bad outings and you could get them for relative pennies on the dollar. If you picked a stud RB as a sleeper, then you might be able to turn them into a top tier WR. If Lamont Jordan keeps putting up good numbers, you could conceivably turn him (or the bigger name guy he can replace in your starting lineup) into a stud WR.

[A Dido Brother 0]

The reason that the top WRs are so valuable is that they rarely flop with those 3/30/0 TDs games. They produce nearly every week, year after year. RBs values rise and fall from year to year. Every year, there is great turnover in the top 10 RBs. But the top WRs are always up there, year after year. I would say that the top WRs are much most consistent and safer picks, especially in the 2nd, 3rd rounds.

 

tell that to the Ocho Cinco owner from last year....didn't he only have 3 or 4 weeks of great production?

[Perennial Contender 18]

Man. A lot of bad info being spewed in this thread. In most leagues, stud RB theory is the way to go. Seeing TJs stats the past few years in Chicago, taking him in the second round is not bad. He's had some injury issues recently and the Jets have played two of the best rushing defenses in the first two games. His QB went down today and everybody that follows the NFL knows the deal with Kendall. ff is a marathon, not a dash. In one league, I took Gore with the third pick, Benson with the 22nd and TJ with the 34th pick. That team is currently 0-2. Partially due to going against Palmer and CJ today. I'm not going to get down and write my team off due to a couple bad weeks.

 

You can't get down and write proven players off two weeks into the season - especially when taking all things into consideration on Jones. SJax is still a great back. Pace and Incognito have injuries. LT is a great back. He's also run into tough defenses his first two games. The new commercial with Reggie Bush mentions him not getting a TD the first half of the season last year. He was still taken in the first round in just about every draft I've seen. A guy that runs for 1000 yards in a season is generally considered a stud. Crunch the numbers and that's just over 60 yards per game.

 

It happens every year that naive ff owners write their teams off after a bad game or two out of their team. The guys that do that don't deserve to win in ff.

 

 

So there is still hope

Rd 1 - RB Addai

Rd 2 - RB MJD

Rd 3 - RB RonnieBrown ( for the flex spot)

Rd 4 - WR LEvans

Rd 5 - WR Reggie Brown

Rd 6 - RB DFoster

Rd 7 - TE VDavis

Rd 8 - QB VYoung

 

After 2 weeks

[phillybear 366]

tell that to the Ocho Cinco owner from last year....didn't he only have 3 or 4 weeks of great production?

 

That is an exception, especially with a QB coming off knee surgery last year. Still 3 or 4 weeks of high production probably meant 3 or 4 wins to the owner, as opposed to that consistent 5-7 points a week a #2 RB generated which meant nothing in the win/loss column.

 

It's not complicated. Just draft as many top players as possible, regardless of position. Keep an open mind during the draft, and don't draft by preplanned strategy. The stud RB-RB is old news. It is no longer the smart strategy of yesteryear. It's also getting harder to trade away running back depth. There are guys that are being picked up every week on waivers as fill-ins, an owner would rather plug in a committee back for a week or two rather than give up any value.

[A Dido Brother 0]

It's not complicated. Just draft as many top players as possible, regardless of position. Keep an open mind during the draft, and don't draft by preplanned strategy.

 

This is very true. Each draft is its own beast. In leagues with friends and family who aren't as fanatical about football, some very good RBs will fall very, very low as big names are snapped up first. For the first few rounds, if you just tag along and take the best players, regardless of position, the value pick RBs will typically still be there in rds 5-9. Sometimes they will even fall lower.