***Official Week 12 NFL Gambling Thread***

[Bouve 0]

Thursday:

 

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh -10.5 (34.5)

 

Sunday:

 

Houston vs Cleveland -3 (50)

Buffalo -3 vs Kansas City (43.5)

New York Jets vs Tennessee -5 (41)

New England vs Miami -1.5 (42)

San Francisco vs Dallas -10 (46.5)

Tampa Bay -9 vs Detroit (41.5)

Philadelphia PK vs Baltimore (39.5)

Chicago -9 vs St Louis (43)

Minnesota vs Jacksonville -2 (40.5)

Carolina vs Atlanta -1 (43)

Oakland vs Denver -9.5 (42.5)

Washington -3.5 vs Seattle (40)

New York Giants -3.5 vs Arizona (48.5)

Indianapolis vs San Diego -3 (49.5)

 

Monday:

 

Green Bay vs New Orleans -3 (51.5)

[swirvenirvin 25]

Over 34 here I mean you gotta think over here.

 

Whatever the prop on Hines Ward is, I'll be taking that too his past performances against the Bungholes

 

WR H. Ward Oct 19 08 PIT(a) W 38-10 - - - - - - - - - - 4 60 15.00 1 12.0

WR H. Ward Dec 2 07 PIT(h) W 24-10 - - - - - - - - - - 11 90 8.18 2 21.0

WR H. Ward Oct 28 07 PIT(a) W 24-13 - - - - - - - - - - 8 88 11.00 2 20.8

WR H. Ward Dec 31 06 PIT(a) W 23-17 - - - - - - - - - - 5 51 10.20 0 8.1

WR H. Ward Sep 24 06 PIT(h) L 20-28 - - - - - - - - - - 2 17 8.50 0 1.7

WR H. Ward Jan 8 06 PIT(a) W 31-17 - - - - - - - - - - 2 10 5.00 1 7.0

WR H. Ward Dec 4 05 PIT(h) L 31-38 - - - - - - - - - - 9 135 15.00 2 26.2

WR H. Ward Oct 23 05 PIT(a) W 27-13 - - - - - - - - - - 3 35 11.67 1 9.9

WR H. Ward Nov 21 04 PIT(a) W 19-14 - - - - - - - - - - 3 15 5.00 0 1.5

WR H. Ward Oct 3 04 PIT(h) W 28-17 - - - - - - - - - - - 6 48 8.00 0 5.8

WR H. Ward Nov 30 03 PIT(h) L 20-24 - - - - - - - - - - 13 149 11.46 1 20.9

WR H. Ward Sep 21 03 PIT(a) W 17-10 - - - - - - - - - - 4 48 12.00 1 10.8

WR H. Ward Nov 24 02 PIT(h) W 29-21 - - - - - - - - - - 5 125 25.00 1 22.4

WR H. Ward Oct 13 02 PIT(a) W 34-7 - - - - - - - - - - 4 24 6.00 0 4.4

WR H. Ward Dec 30 01 PIT(a) L 23-26 - - - - - - - - - - 3 42 14.00 0 5.6

WR H. Ward Oct 7 01 PIT(h) W 16-7 - - - - - - - - - - 8 68 8.50 0 6.8

WR H. Ward Nov 26 00 PIT(a) W 48-28 - - - - - - - - - - 4 70 17.50 1 16.8

WR H. Ward Oct 15 00 PIT(h) W 15-0 - - - - - - - - - - 2 91 45.50 1 15.1

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Over 34 here I mean you gotta think over here.

I was thinking the same. But how many will Cincy score? I say 10 at the best, they most likely won't make it to 10.

[swirvenirvin 25]

Dont like the odds on Cincy over 12 points at -130

 

NFL 69-40-1

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +110

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 75.5 (-125)

[Stewburtx8 67]

Dont like the odds on Cincy over 12 points at -130

 

NFL 69-40-1

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +110

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 75.5 (-125)

 

Wish I had a book or local that offered these, love them both. I'd lean to the Over. I also kind of like Cincy plus the points. They often play Pittsburgh very tough, and their offense continues to improve as Fitzpatrick gets more comfortable. Loss of Ocho Cinco may not even be a bad thing, as he has just taken up space on the field for the most part this year.

[swirvenirvin 25]

Wish I had a book or local that offered these, love them both. I'd lean to the Over. I also kind of like Cincy plus the points. They often play Pittsburgh very tough, and their offense continues to improve as Fitzpatrick gets more comfortable. Loss of Ocho Cinco may not even be a bad thing, as he has just taken up space on the field for the most part this year.

 

I like em too I picked em in my office pool this week, but not strong enough to lay any money, maybe it it gets up to 12

[Bouve 0]

NFL: 74-61-4

 

Pittsburgh -11.5 WIN

Pittsburgh/Cincinnati O34 WIN

Pittsburgh O23 WIN

Baltimore -1 WIN

Cleveland -3 LOSE

Buffalo -3 WIN

Miami +1 LOSE

Minnesota +2.5 WIN

Dallas -9.5 WIN

New York Jets +5.5 WIN

Washington -3 PUSH

Washington -.5 2nd half WIN

New York/Arizona U48.5 LOSE

Atlanta -1 WIN

New Orleans -2.5 WIN

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Anyone else playing this game? I'm thinking about it.

 

I'm getting the line at Pitt -11.5 and o/u 35

 

Cincy has countless players out for the game. C. Johnson, Levi Jones, and 2 other OLinemen. They will be starting a rookie at LT and a guy they just signed to the practice squad a couple days ago at RG.

 

Pitt will have countless sacks. 11.5 pts is a lot. I like the under too, but Pitt might score 14 just with their D.

[Bouve 0]

Also taking Pitt team total O23

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Pitt -11.5 1 unit

Under 35 1 unit

[swirvenirvin 25]

Dont like the odds on Cincy over 12 points at -130

 

NFL 69-42-1

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +110 Loss

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 75.5 (-125) Loss

[Bouve 0]

NFL: 74-61-4

 

Pittsburgh -11.5 WIN

Pittsburgh/Cincinnati O34 WIN

Pittsburgh O23 WIN

 

As you can see, that late TD by Roethlisberger saved my ass.

[listen2me 23 1,952]

As you can see, that late TD by Roethlisberger saved my ass.

 

The late pass call and Big Ben's cat like moves cost me my under.

 

Settle for the FG!!!!

[Bouve 0]

The late pass call and Big Ben's cat like moves cost me my under.

 

Settle for the FG!!!!

 

I figured with my luck they would rule Ben down at the 1 and Pitt would proceed to victory formation and run out the clock and thus me going 0-3.

[Bouve 0]

86% currently on New England.

 

I have a feeling NE will be favored by kickoff.

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Thursday:

 

Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh -10.5 (34.5)

 

Sunday:

 

Houston vs Cleveland -3 (50)

Buffalo -3 vs Kansas City (43.5)

New York Jets vs Tennessee -5 (41)

New England vs Miami -1.5 (42)

San Francisco vs Dallas -10 (46.5)

Tampa Bay -9 vs Detroit (41.5)

Philadelphia PK vs Baltimore (39.5)

Chicago -9 vs St Louis (43)

Minnesota vs Jacksonville -2 (40.5)

Carolina vs Atlanta -1 (43)

Oakland vs Denver -9.5 (42.5)

Washington -3.5 vs Seattle (40)

New York Giants -3.5 vs Arizona (48.5)

Indianapolis vs San Diego -3 (49.5)

 

Monday:

 

Green Bay vs New Orleans -3 (51.5)

 

This could be the week to pick against the Titans. I have been a firm believer in riding them each week. But I think Favre will make enough plays and the Jets Run D is good enough to keep this to at least a FG game.

 

I like Miami even giving 1.5 It will be about a pick em at kickoff.

 

I like SF getting DD pts.

[listen2me 23 1,952]

[Bouve 0]

90% of bets on NE as well as NYG/ARI over. 2 nice fade the public picks.

[brian1974 0]

90% of bets on NE as well as NYG/ARI over. 2 nice fade the public picks.

 

 

 

WHERE CAN YOU FIND THIS INFORMATION?

[EAwer 1]

i like sportsinsights.com

 

does anyone else really like O43 in the clev/buff game? Buff is banged up on offense, their running game finally looked superb last week, the chiefs now play a spread formation on offense, the chiefs defense has sucked all year, and 43 is not that big of a number. thoughts? oh and i rarely rarely play totals. Nothing else really sticks out this week though.

 

WHERE CAN YOU FIND THIS INFORMATION?

[listen2me 23 1,952]

i like sportsinsights.com

 

does anyone else really like O43 in the clev/buff game? Buff is banged up on offense, their running game finally looked superb last week, the chiefs now play a spread formation on offense, the chiefs defense has sucked all year, and 43 is not that big of a number. thoughts? oh and i rarely rarely play totals. Nothing else really sticks out this week though.

Never really gave a look at that over. I like it though. I've been getting toasted on O/Us lately so I will stay away. As long as the weathe is good I say Over all day long.

[phillybear 366]

NCAA YTD: 124-103-9; +51.9 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 29-21-1; +26.2 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 65-50-1; -7.64 units

 

NFL. For 3 units unless indicated otherwise.

Houston (+3)@-120 WINNER

Tennessee (-5.5) for 5 units LOSER

Miami (+1) LOSER

Adding: Dallas (-9.5) WINNER

Minnesota (+2.5) WINNER

 

Carolina (+1) LOSER

Upgrading: Oakland (+8.5) for 5 units WINNER

Seattle (+3.5)@-115 WINNER

Arizona (+3.5)@-120 LOSER

 

San Diego 1st H (-.5)@-115 for 5 units LOSER

San Diego (-2.5) for 5 units LOSER

 

CFL

Montreal (-2) for 5 units LOSER

[greyhounds 0]

NCAA YTD: 124-103-9; +51.9 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 29-21-1; +26.2 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 65-50-1; -7.64 units

 

NFL. For 3 units unless indicated otherwise. Might add more.

Houston (+3)@-120

Tennessee (-5.5) for 5 units

Miami (+1)

Minnesota (+2.5)

 

Carolina (+1)

Oakland (+8.5)

Seattle (+3.5)@-115

Arizona (+3.5)@-120

 

San Diego (-2.5) for 5 units

 

CFL

Montreal (-2) for 5 units

 

 

I remember just a short time ago you saying it was a WASTE of $$$ that I BOUGHT points....hahaaa..how soon you have followed???

 

Shame on that Frank Patron AKRON Pick yesterday....I'm always watching @@ You...always!!

 

[listen2me 23 1,952]

I remember just a short time ago you saying it was a WASTE of $$$ that I BOUGHT points....hahaaa..how soon you have followed???

 

Shame on that Frank Patron AKRON Pick yesterday....I'm always watching @@ You...always!!

 

 

The Stalking gets creepier.

[phillybear 366]

I remember just a short time ago you saying it was a WASTE of $$$ that I BOUGHT points....hahaaa..how soon you have followed???

 

Shame on that Frank Patron AKRON Pick yesterday....I'm always watching @@ You...always!!

 

 

I was critical of you buying points when the spread is 12. Obviously not a key number, like 3 for example, and since 20% of all NFL games are decided by 3 points, it's a decent insurance policy in this case only. At least half the games on the board on Sundays have lines other than -110. For example, my Clevand/Houston line was Cleveland (-3)@Even and Houston (+3)@-120, and I didn't buy any points.

 

I lost Akron, sure, but who the fock is Frank Patron, and why should I care? The only guy I look for is Dr Bob, and read his stuff. I honestly have no idea what you are referring to.

[EAwer 1]

not that anyone cares lol but...

 

im bettin

 

miami

Minny

KC/Buff over

[Bouve 0]

NFL: 74-61-4

 

Pittsburgh -11.5 WIN

Pittsburgh/Cincinnati O34 WIN

Pittsburgh O23 WIN

Baltimore -1

Cleveland -3

Buffalo -3

Miami +1

Minnesota +2.5

Dallas -9.5

New York Jets +5.5

Washington -3

New York/Arizona U48.5

Atlanta -1

New Orleans -2.5

 

Final card.

 

Good Luck

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Jets +6 3 units

9ers +11!!! 3 Units

 

GL

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

11/23/08

 

1 unit play/s:

 

Jets +190 WINNER

Arizona +140 LOSER

49ers 2nd half +3 WINNER

2 team parlay==>>Jets +7.5(-150) & 49ers +11.5(-170) LOSER

3 team parlay==>> Panthers +4(-200) & Raiders +11.5 (-170) & Cards +4.5 (-165) LOSER

5 team parlay==>> Vikings +4.5 (-180) & Pats -130 & Ravens -130 & TB -350 & Bears -300 WINNER

[swirvenirvin 25]

NFL 85-47-1

 

Loading up on props today 21 bets

 

Jason Campbell (Redskins) Total Touchdown Passes+Interceptions Thrown - Must Play

Over 1.5 (-125) Loser

 

Jay Cutler (Broncos) Total Touchdown Passes - Must Play

Under 1.5 (+190) Winner

 

Michael Turner (Falcons) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 84.5 (-115) Winner

 

Matt Ryan (Falcons) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 19.5 (-115) Loser

 

Maurice Jones-Drew (Jaguars) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2.5 (-140) Winner

 

Adrian Peterson (Vikings) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -115 Winner

 

Gus Frerotte (Vikings) Total Touchdown Passes+Interceptions Thrown - Must Play

Over 2.5 (+110)Loser

 

Matt Forte (Bears) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -160 Winner

 

Kevin Curtis (Eagles) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 4.5Winner

 

Antonio Bryant (Buccaneers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +160 Loser

 

Warrick Dunn (Buccaneers) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 Winner

 

Terrell Owens (Cowboys) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -110 Winner

 

Terrell Owens (Cowboys) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4.5 (-160) Winner

 

Marion Barber (Cowboys) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 (-120) Winner

 

Ronnie Brown (Dolphins) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 68.5 (-115) Loser

 

Chad Pennington (Dolphins) Total Touchdown Passes+Interceptions Thrown - Must Play

Over 1.5 (-130) Winner

 

Matt Cassel (Patriots) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 21.5 (-115) Winner

 

Chris Johnson (Titans) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Under 78.5 (-125) Winner

 

Marshawn Lynch (Bills) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 (-125) Winner

 

Steve Slaton (Texans) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

No -110 Winner

 

Marshawn Lynch (Bills) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 103.5 (-125)Winner

[tplbge 2]

I see a big day ahead.

 

Houston +3

Atlanta -1

Oakland +8.5

Indianapolis + 3

Atlanta/Carolina over 42

 

YTD 5-5

 

Good luck to all!

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Jets +6 3 units

9ers +11!!! 3 Units

 

GL

 

Added

 

Mia -1 2 units

[EAwer 1]

hey philly, ive been following your picks for a few years now. What happened to the write ups? I really enjoyed reading them. it has helped me become a more educated gambler and I now approach games must differently as a result of reading your write ups and understanding your thought process when picking a game. Is it possible for you to a write up two when posting your future picks? thanks

 

NCAA YTD: 124-103-9; +51.9 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 29-21-1; +26.2 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 65-50-1; -7.64 units

 

NFL. For 3 units unless indicated otherwise. Might add more.

Houston (+3)@-120

Tennessee (-5.5) for 5 units

Miami (+1)

Adding: Dallas (-9.5)

Minnesota (+2.5)

 

Carolina (+1)

Oakland (+8.5)

Seattle (+3.5)@-115

Arizona (+3.5)@-120

 

San Diego (-2.5) for 5 units

 

CFL

Montreal (-2) for 5 units

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Jets +6 3 units

9ers +11!!! 3 Units

 

GL

 

9ers suck.

[swirvenirvin 25]

NFL 85-47-1

 

Loading up on props today 21 bets

 

Jason Campbell (Redskins) Total Touchdown Passes+Interceptions Thrown - Must Play

Over 1.5 (-125) Loser

 

Jay Cutler (Broncos) Total Touchdown Passes - Must Play

Under 1.5 (+190) Winner

 

Michael Turner (Falcons) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 84.5 (-115) Winner

 

Matt Ryan (Falcons) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 19.5 (-115) Loser

 

Maurice Jones-Drew (Jaguars) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2.5 (-140) Winner

 

Adrian Peterson (Vikings) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -115 Winner

 

Gus Frerotte (Vikings) Total Touchdown Passes+Interceptions Thrown - Must Play

Over 2.5 (+110)Loser

 

Matt Forte (Bears) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -160 Winner

 

Kevin Curtis (Eagles) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 4.5Winner

 

Antonio Bryant (Buccaneers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +160 Loser

 

Warrick Dunn (Buccaneers) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 Winner

 

Terrell Owens (Cowboys) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -110 Winner

 

Terrell Owens (Cowboys) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4.5 (-160) Winner

 

Marion Barber (Cowboys) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 (-120) Winner

 

Ronnie Brown (Dolphins) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 68.5 (-115) Loser

 

Chad Pennington (Dolphins) Total Touchdown Passes+Interceptions Thrown - Must Play

Over 1.5 (-130) Winner

 

Matt Cassel (Patriots) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 21.5 (-115) Winner

 

Chris Johnson (Titans) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Under 78.5 (-125) Winner

 

Marshawn Lynch (Bills) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3.5 (-125) Winner

 

Steve Slaton (Texans) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

No -110 Winner

 

Marshawn Lynch (Bills) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 103.5 (-125)Winner

 

16-5

[phillybear 366]

hey philly, ive been following your picks for a few years now. What happened to the write ups? I really enjoyed reading them. it has helped me become a more educated gambler and I now approach games must differently as a result of reading your write ups and understanding your thought process when picking a game. Is it possible for you to a write up two when posting your future picks? thanks

 

I wish I was still doing the writeups, as I enjoyed doing them. Thanks for the kind words.

 

Unfortunately, I just don't have the time to do them anymore. Previously, I jotted down some notes and stats, then spend an hour or so typing out my thoughts, usually at work. I'm just too busy at work now. Which I won't complain about, as I've been promoted a couple times in the last few years, and I am up for another one in about a month. But I'm working longer days, and just don't have the down time anymore when I'm running a department as opposed to being a more independent employee. I'm optimistic that I may have more free time then, if I get promoted, and don't spend 14 hours a day commuting and working, but I just don't know what to expect and what kind of work load I will have being that we've had 3 rounds of layoffs in the last 2 years and we have less employees to do the same work. It's frustrating getting home late, since I miss out on plays from time to time as well on early games. But what can you do? On top of that, since I work long days, I have to run my errands on Saturday and Sunday mornings. I just don't have the time anymore for much of anything. When I have an odd day off for a holiday or something, I have occassionally posted a writeup this year. But they've been few and far between.

[listen2me 23 1,952]

I know its early. But does anyone have a read on tonights game? I was going to chase a little with the 4 Oclock games but just didn't have enough time to put in a smart bet.

 

Tonight I lean Indy getting points. But SD at home backs against the wall....I have no real clue what to expect.

[phillybear 366]

I know its early. But does anyone have a read on tonights game? I was going to chase a little with the 4 Oclock games but just didn't have enough time to put in a smart bet.

 

Tonight I lean Indy getting points. But SD at home backs against the wall....I have no real clue what to expect.

 

Do or die for San Diego. SD has gotten the better of Indy recently. Indy defense is bad, injuries and otherwise. SD 4-6 but 3-1 at home, losing their first game to Carolina on last second play. I trust SD at home to get the pressure win.

 

Edit: the public is 71% on dog, yet the line went up to -3 from -2.5. Trap game written all over it. The public sucks picking dogs.

[Bouve 0]

Adding Washington -.5 2nd half.

[listen2me 23 1,952]

Do or die for San Diego. SD has gotten the better of Indy recently. Indy defense is bad, injuries and otherwise. SD 4-6 but 3-1 at home, losing their first game to Carolina on last second play. I trust SD at home to get the pressure win.

 

Edit: the public is 71% on dog, yet the line went up to -3 from -2.5. Trap game written all over it. The public sucks picking dogs.

 

Agree and the public /line move helps a SD bet.

 

Indy is just starting to roll right now. I see Manning getting hot vs that Chargers sad pass D and it makes it hard to pick SD. I will most likely be a dumbass and play the game just for some action.