The Real timschochet

I don’t think anyone who thinks Trump will win is a moron. It’s a 50/50 race.

Good luck to everyone today. What a great system we have. Despite all its faults we get to decide who is going to lead us. I don’t think most Americans fully realize how new and marvelous this is. In all of human history we’ve only had this for a very brief time. We take it for granted. Whatever the result I wish everyone well. It’s been fun arguing/ discussing this stuff with you all.

I’m an optimist. I don’t think optimism is the word for Jon. Optimists hope for the he best. They don’t angrily proclaim what is going to happen and call anyone who disagrees a moron.

Gosh, I just love both of them so much! That’s why I can’t decide.

I don’t believe in the global citizen stuff.

Why? They’re part of the population. They’re not going anywhere.

When it comes to this topic I suspect your definition of “moderate” might be different from mine.

If she does it’s nothing I want to explain.

Of course it was an assassination attempt. Are you willing to acknowledge that the guy who attacked Paul Pelosi went there to try and kill Nancy? And that he was a Trump supporter who didn’t know Paul?

I wouldn’t.

Rittenhouse WAS the danger. Deserves go be in prison right now.

I think your source is a little dated. Virginia, New Hampshire, and Minnesota are NOT battleground states. Iowa is. Florida, Texas and Ohio may be much closer than expected. HTH

But not Iowa?

@jerryskids I just want you to know I appreciate your always thoughtful posts. I strongly disagree with you on many social and “woke” issues (especially gender stuff) but I don’t think we’re that far apart on economics.

She wasn’t President then. Obama also voted as a liberal as a Senator. A lot of those votes are meat for the base. But Obama as President governed as a centrist. So will Harris. She’s no ideologue.

Last night Trump said that his immigration plan (mass deportation) would be “bloody” and “nasty”. Earlier in the week Elon Musk said that the economic plans would create “temporary hardships” on the public, and Trump said he would turn public health over to RFK Jr and let him “run wild”. Rather a unique closing message.

It’s interesting that you write this because a lot of pundits think that Harris has run a brilliant campaign. I kind of lean more in that direction.

None of you yet have mentioned the main reason that Harris is going to win. It’s not opposition to Trump (much as I wish it was). It’s abortion. The Dobbs decision is what stopped the red wave in 2022. It’s what’s going to propel Harris to victory this time around. Women are pissed off. Republicans don’t have a good response. In the end that’s the difference.

Kamala wins Arizona, Nevada and the blue wall.

I’m ready to bet again Tony, Just with you nobody else. $500 says Kamala Harris wins the Presidential election.

They’ve got her ahead in North Carolina and Georgia. If she wins those she doesn’t need Pennsylvania. (But if she wins those she will win Pennsylvania).

This will definitely happen with Harris. I would argue that she’s a centrist anyhow but even if I am wrong about that the Senate is likely to be Republican- and even in the very unlikely event Democrats hang on to the Senate their hold there will be extremely tenuous. Add to that a conservative Supreme Court and I don’t think anyone has to worry about radical changes under Harris. Trump is extreme but not an extreme rightist, more an extreme nativist/populist. He will sew chaos if elected. Most of those who are voting for him are counting on him to “fix” the economy and immigration; he will definitely try some radical moves which will create all kinds of anxiety but no solutions/ I think there will be a lot of buyers remorse.

I’m a little surprised by the decision to campaign there. Is New Hampshire really in play?

Nobody is. Nobody knows crap. I’m feeling pretty optimistic, and my FiL, who wants Trump to win, is also feeling pretty optimistic. But that’s because we’re both essentially cheerful people and we always hope for the best. But neither of us knows sh!t,

I think you’re right to a certain extent. No matter what the positions of the next Republican candidate is, he or she will be called worse than Hitler by some on the left. I saw it happen with McCain, with Romney, with George W. Bush. Some liberals always demonize their opponents. But there are two problems with making this point right now: 1. it’s not just a liberal thing. Many conservatives have spent the last few months calling Kamala Harris a communist. Many of you refer to our current President as “Pedo Joe”. This, for once, is truly a “both sides” deal. 2. I know it’s going to sound like the boy who cried wolf but Trump really is a special case. He is uniquely awful.