The Real timschochet

They’ve got her ahead in North Carolina and Georgia. If she wins those she doesn’t need Pennsylvania. (But if she wins those she will win Pennsylvania).

This will definitely happen with Harris. I would argue that she’s a centrist anyhow but even if I am wrong about that the Senate is likely to be Republican- and even in the very unlikely event Democrats hang on to the Senate their hold there will be extremely tenuous. Add to that a conservative Supreme Court and I don’t think anyone has to worry about radical changes under Harris. Trump is extreme but not an extreme rightist, more an extreme nativist/populist. He will sew chaos if elected. Most of those who are voting for him are counting on him to “fix” the economy and immigration; he will definitely try some radical moves which will create all kinds of anxiety but no solutions/ I think there will be a lot of buyers remorse.

I’m a little surprised by the decision to campaign there. Is New Hampshire really in play?

Nobody is. Nobody knows crap. I’m feeling pretty optimistic, and my FiL, who wants Trump to win, is also feeling pretty optimistic. But that’s because we’re both essentially cheerful people and we always hope for the best. But neither of us knows sh!t,

I think you’re right to a certain extent. No matter what the positions of the next Republican candidate is, he or she will be called worse than Hitler by some on the left. I saw it happen with McCain, with Romney, with George W. Bush. Some liberals always demonize their opponents. But there are two problems with making this point right now: 1. it’s not just a liberal thing. Many conservatives have spent the last few months calling Kamala Harris a communist. Many of you refer to our current President as “Pedo Joe”. This, for once, is truly a “both sides” deal. 2. I know it’s going to sound like the boy who cried wolf but Trump really is a special case. He is uniquely awful.

Accusing the government of trying to assassinate Donald Trump is a serious charge which you have absolutely no foundation for. You’re getting very upset and there’s still a few days to go. You need to take some deep breaths and calm down. I don’t think this election is going to go the way you believe it will and you need to prepare mentally for that.

The “Trump has an enemies list; Kamala has a to do list” line seems to be working. It’s very smart politicking.

Hey if they can control the weather, why not?

Trump may very well win the election. It is, after all, a crapshoot. But even if he does that won’t change my opinion of January 6, the JFK and MLK assassinations, 9/11, etc. Or of you being delusional.

Meanwhile the betting odds for Trump continue to tumble: https://www.usatoday.com/story/graphics/2024/10/31/presidential-election-odds-2024-polls-betting/75628466007/ I felt I had to post this because @Horseman, who has eagerly posted these odds for weeks and offered them as evidence of who is really winning this election, has now become strangely silent on this subject.

Harris has taken a slight lead in North Carolina and Georgia according to the NYT/Siena poll out this morning. One poll never tells us anything but over the past three weeks there were NO polls showing her ahead in these 2 states. We are headed to a wild finish.

This is really delusional. All of it.

I changed my mind because I had more time than I thought. Oh well. Sorry you can’t handle that. What a loser you are.

The answer to your question is yes I absolutely can. As to your first point: the key to Howard Roark, as with all of Rand’s heroes, is absolute integrity. Roark is NOT a “fock you” kind of guy: he’s indifferent to what people think about him. One of the most important lines in the book is when he tells Elsworth Toohey: “I don’t think about you.” In both terms of integrity and indifference to others, Donald Trump couldn’t be more opposite to Howard Roark.

I’m not going to believe Trump loses Iowa because of one poll. But let’s be clear: if it’s even close in Iowa that means great things for Harris in Wisconsin and Michigan.

I disagree with a lot of her ideas now, but at my core I still agree with her main principle: that capitalism is a moral good. I still very much believe that. My beliefs about free trade and immigration are rooted in this principle. Donald Trump is not a capitalist; if you know your Ayn Rand, he is very much like a Jim Taggert or Orren Boyle type. Kamala Harris, though favoring government intervention at times, is actually far more of a free market type than Trump is. I know that this must seem counterintuitive to you, nonetheless I’m absolutely convinced of it.

Certainly disagree with you here. But even so it mattered more in 2008 because McCain’s health was always a question mark.

Some good guesses here. I voted for Reagan with my first vote in 1984- very proud of that. He is still my favorite President of my lifetime. I’ve been to the Reagan library twice. If you come this way it’s worth seeing. Incredible man, incredible history. In 88 and 92 I voted libertarian. I was really into Ayn Rand back then. In 2008 I was a huge fan of McCain but I couldn’t pull the trigger because of Palin. In 2012 I voted for Romney. I liked Obama, still do, but I preferred Romney’s economic ideas, still do.

Put up a reasonable Republican and I may vote for him or her. I have before. If you guys lose this election you’ll only have yourselves to blame for choosing this guy again.

lol it wasn’t a vow fockhead. I said I didn’t think I would post until then. What a character you are.

And that pleases me too. I’ve sort of written off Georgia and NC. But maybe the campaign knows something I don’t.

I really like learning that Kamala is headed to North Carolina today. There was a rumor earlier this week that she had pulled funding from NC because internal polling there was awful. She would not be heading there with 3 days left if that was the case. Trump is also there which suggests his internal polling shows he is concerned.

Because the “truth” becomes highly subjective under such circumstances.

I believe in punishing those people who commit crimes like this. I don’t believe in punishing those people who have not committed violent crimes, even if they arrived here without legal documents. Thats the gist of my disagreement with most of you here. I just don’t think we should punish innocent people. (And yes I get that by coming here illegally they’re not exactly innocent. But the ones that didn’t commit violent crimes- fine them. But don’t round them up. It’s not right.)

We have to face reality as unfortunate as it is (at least IMO): a majority of young people get ALL their news from social media. Which means that, in less than 20 years, a majority of ALL Americans will get their news from social media. And that is truly scary.