The Real timschochet

It certainly does help to sway my opinion when a lot of people I respect around here call the whole thing a scam and then it turns out that you’re a serious investor. It’s quite reasonable to me to assume that almost anything you come out in favor of I’m probably opposed to. But I’m still having trouble making sense of it all.

But I don’t believe that a guy wearing a MAGA hat should be treated differently by police or treated with extraordinary suspicion.

Sure, several. https://www.wvtm13.com/article/black-voter-support-appears-to-rebound-with-historic-nomination-of-kamala-harris/61784252 Some are listed in the article above (scroll down.) There are plenty of others. It looks like, at least in terms of black voting, a return to the Obama coalition. It remains to be seen if she can match the other components of that coalition (Latinos, suburban women, etc.) but it’s looking good at the moment. I avoid polls when I respond to @supermike80 because he doesn’t believe in them. To his credit he’s stayed consistent in that position for many years now.

You’ve made this argument before and while I usually disagree with you this one has given me food for thought. You may be right. But what does it mean practically? Should we make plans to eventually abandon our coastal cities?

I was in Estonia for a day on my trip this summer. We ate at a restaurant that offered bear. I tasted it; pretty gamy. Not for me.

It is true that if you simply accepted me as an authority on all of these matters your life would be much easier.

I just report the facts. The vast vast majority of black people like Kamala and will be voting for her. She has energized them like no politician since Obama. Black people aren’t monolithic and there will be plenty like @peenie- everybody gets to have their point of view. But there’s no doubt they’re a shrinking minority right now.

Hopefully the sell off is just a correction and the stock market rebounds later in the week. If it doesn’t of course it could affect the election. Which is crazy of course because Trump would only make things far worse with his trade policies. But there’s no denying this could be bad for Kamala.

But you’re referring to them as a collective. “Stop committing so many crimes.” I thought conservatives believed in individualism. But it’s OK with you that a black individual who has never committed any crimes is treated differently by police, and profiled, because other people with the same skin color have committed crimes. You’re good with that. I’m not.

Thanks, Francisco! (Danconia).

Lol! Well you misunderstand me. Though I like Kamala fine and strongly prefer her to Trump, she has plenty of faults and I honestly don’t know how good a President she will be. Hopefully we will find out. But she may disappoint me and be truly awful. My praise in the posts you’re referring to is limited to her speechmaking which I think has become wonderful in recent weeks. I’m very excited by that, I admit it. But speechmaking does not a good leader make necessarily.

I don’t regard you as a Trump supporter. In fact, based on your posts, I’m pretty sure you regard him as a scoundrel. I do think you’re very conservative, perhaps even libertarian, and if forced to choose with a gun to your head you would, very reluctantly, choose Trump over Harris because you regard her liberalism as akin to socialism and dangerous to the country. Is that an accurate description of your POV?

I didn’t hear Lincoln speak. On paper his speeches are great. But live? Who knows? Churchill has the greatest speeches of all time but the recordings are dated and he’s got a lisp so it doesn’t sound so impressive. Of the three I mentioned, I’m certainly not the only one mentioning JFK and Obama. All kinds of folks are making that comparison. So far as I know I’m the only one who has made the Reagan comparison but that’s probably because people are mentally unwilling to make analogies to somebody of the other party- their minds simply don’t go there. For whatever reason mine does.

Trump attacked Brian Kemp last night, the extremely popular Republican governor of Georgia. This seems unwise. I don’t agree with Kemp on a host of issues but I can’t help liking him. Guy has got loads of integrity. Plus there is no doubt he has done a terrific job as governor by doing things the old fashioned Republican way: cutting excessive spending and red tape, lowering taxes to encourage investment, encouraging overseas investment and trade. Thats the conservatism of Ronald Reagan that works, especially at a state level. It’s a good antithesis to the liberalism of Kamala Harris. It’s a conservatism that the national GOP should return to once Trump, hopefully, is done after this election cycle. I could never vote for Kemp because he is too socially conservative, too anti-immigrant for me. But I wouldn’t be disatisfied with him as my President. There is a lot I like. As far as Trump’s campaign is concerned I don’t think it helps him to attack Kemp.

God you’re awful and ugly.

Yes. But I’m not a conspiracist and I trust the integrity of ABC.

Many Democrats who were opposed to fracking are no longer opposed because of the undeniable economic benefits- though they still want more regulations. Many Democrats who were for Medicare for All are no longer for it because Obamacare has turned out to be more effective than they originally thought it would be- though they still want Obamacare approved on. These changes in position are true of a whole lot of Democrats. But practically speaking none of this matters because the Dems will not have the power, even with Kamala in the White House, to change the status quo on either issue.

First off, this whole thing about giving the questions in advance is kinda dumb because the questions are pretty easy to predict already by anyone paying attention. I can tell you right now most of the questions and I bet you can too. There’s not going to be any surprises. Second- of course you ask for as much as you can. But what you don’t do is start the negotiation by saying “this is my final offer take it or no deal at all.” That is a sure way to kill the negotiation, especially in a situation like this in which both sides want to avoid looking weak.

Then why not just request ABC give a live audience? I think they would have quickly agreed. Why demand different network and a different date? And why insist that it’s this or nothing? If you know anything about negotiations you know that when you demand “it’s this or nothing” you’re almost guaranteeing that the other side will refuse. Which I suspect is Trump’s motive. He wants to get out of this.

I appreciate the explanation. I’m still pretty confused but you make things a little more clear.

Maybe you’re an exception. Probably not though lol

Probably a Giants fan. That would explain a lot. Or a Raiders fan. Or a 49ers fan. Or an A’s fan. Or a Golden State fan. There really are no fan bases in Northern California that aren’t mostly comprised of total a$$holes so there’s nothing that can redeem you. ETA maybe the Stanford Cardinal or the Cal Bears? No, they’re a$$holes too.

Oh conservatives donate plenty of money. You just didn’t seem like the type. But good for you for having done so. Looks like I am sometimes as wrong about you as you almost always are about me.

Let’s not get carried away here. I think we can have a bipartisan agreement not allowing this.

Hey now. I spend a lot of time in Bakersfield, let’s keep it respectful.