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Ray_T

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Posts posted by Ray_T

  2. Posted

    Just now, Ray_T said:

    without a doubt.    

    I dont think any QB needy team signs without a physical.   not unless the price is so low that there isnt a ton of risk to begin with.

    or perhaps a low base salary with lots of incentives.  this way if he plays the team wins and he wins.  if he sits, no cost to the team.

  3. Posted

    11 minutes ago, TBayXXXVII said:

    Newton won't get a starting deal with the lack of team visits and physicals.

    without a doubt.    

    I dont think any QB needy team signs without a physical.   not unless the price is so low that there isnt a ton of risk to begin with.

  4. Posted

    I think he will find it hard to find work.

    if nobody would take him at a 21 M cap hit (which is now looking reasonable in light of recent deals for starting QB) I question whether he will be signed at all.

    I agree that impression that he gives (that he is entitled) will not endear himself to teams who would use him as a bridge QB to mentor a young kid. 

    That sense of entitlement isnt something you want in a mentor.

    Yes, I do think reality is slapping him in the face bigtime.   He is Superman no more.

  5. Posted

    10 hours ago, AxeElf said:

    Didn't Winston just undergo Lasik surgery to improve his eyesight?

    Maybe he goes from Charlie Sheen to Wild Thing...

    I guess this is the wildcard.

    did this play a major role in all the INT's he threw?

    hard to say.    maybe from 20-30 yards away, the players numbers appear slightly fuzzy but you are hitting the same target, but you should still see the Linebacker 3-4 yards in front of your WR even if he is fuzzy.

    I could see it affecting his depth perception on some deeper (30+ yard) throws.  

    What I dont know is what type of throws were picked most of the time.   I guess if I'm bored I'll go watch some tape.  I'm sure I can find tape on all the INT's he threw.

    but one thing I will say for sure.... I find it hard to believe this should have been a major factor in any short throw INT's.   Unless his eyesight was beyond bad.  in which case, it is a miracle he was able to throw for the 5000 yards.

  6. Posted

    5 minutes ago, The Football Guru said:

    I get the question was rhetorical, but I'd also add that Winston was the No. 1 overall pick in his draft (2015) and Brissett was a third-rounder in his year (2016).

    Either way, I saw very little evidence he is the poor man's Patrick Mahomes that I've heard floated around in the last month or so.

    fair enough, but if you look at Winston's stats its not that hard to see why he was a first round pick.

    Dude threw for 5000 yards.

    if a coach could reduce the turnovers  to less than one per game without losing the yardage, he'd be a pro bowler.  Even now, there are likely a few coaches who think they may be able to coach some of the turnovers away without losing much in the way of overall production.

    Its easy to see where the maximum of his potential lies.   

    Even in Winstons case, 5000 yard passers dont grow on trees.   and at the draft table many people draft based on the high water mark of their potential rather than where they will likely produce for most of their career.

    As QB is the position most highly overvalued at the draft table a guy like this showing great potential is likely drafted in the first half of round 1 even though he probably should be a day 2 pick based on the risk factors.

     

     

  8. Posted

    59 minutes ago, AxeElf said:

    Don't look now, but if the Broncos land themselves a 1st round WR like CeeDee Lamb in the draft, they're going to give the Chiefs all they can handle in the AFC West this year.  They were already killing it with Drew Lock under center at the end of 2019, beating playoff team Houston and losing only to the eventual Super Bowl champions in the five games that Lock started.

    Add Gordon and a premier WR?  Fuhgeddaboudit.

    I'm not sure 'Killing it' is the term I'd use for Locks performance.

    sure, they won 4 out of 5 games, but look at the level of competition.

    week 13, he beat the chargers  going 18 for 28 for 134 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT

    week 14 vs houston he went 22 for 27 for 309 yards, 3 td and one INT.  

    week 15 vs KC  25 for 33 for 192 yards, one TD 

    week 16 vs oakland, 17 for 28, 177 yards, 1 TD.

    the games against houston and KC are likely the most impressive.  houston for stats, KC because of who they beat.   but the stats were kinda Meh.

    I do understand he's young and will improve, but I'd hardly refer to this as killing it.  The Chargers were terrible all year, and so wer the Lions.   

    I also think Oakland had given up by the time they got to play Denver in week 16.

    Sure it's nice to see the wins, but the kid has a long ways to go before I'd say hes 'killing it'.

  10. Posted

    Just something I noticed.  

    Love's TE Repp made some pretty sick catches for a TE.

    did anyone see that one handed grab in the end zone with the defender all over him?   

    Absolutely sick.

  12. Posted

    1 hour ago, TBayXXXVII said:

    The guy stole money for years.  The only thing different about Joe Flacco 2019 and Joe Flacco 2012, is the great defense he played with.  He's still a mediocre to below average QB.

    if you are talking fantasy QB, that would be correct.  He's barely relevant.

    I do think he is an above average game manager.   If you have a championship defense and solid run game, he can do enough for you.

    Problem is... not many teams are happy with that anymore.

  13. Posted

    1 hour ago, TBayXXXVII said:

    The Rams must have a ton of cap space available to be willing to take a $20M cap hit.  Had they just waited until June 1st, they could've at least split the cap hit over 2 years.

    True.

    it is also possible that they decided to write this year off, so that they can go into the following year with no constraints.

  14. Posted

    1 hour ago, TBayXXXVII said:

    Possibly.  He just held out last year, missing a few games, on a franchise tag.  So I'm guessing Gordon won't be interested in taking less money for the same amount of time (1 yr contract).

    yeah, and I think it is obvious he is not worth that much money.

    He may need to sit a while before coming to the conclusion he's not worth the kind of money he thinks he's worth.

    If he was worth that kind of money, someone would have signed him by now.

  18. Posted

    56 minutes ago, Mike FF Today said:

    Chicago throwing in the towel on Mitchell Trubisky?

     

    I am not sure they are throwing in the towel yet.  but I think he will have to earn his job now. 

    I think there will be a competition, and it may be similar to the Tennessee situation last year, where they give him the chance to prove he deserves to remain a starting QB and he may start the first game or two of the year.

    if he plays himself out of a job, they move to Foles.

  19. Posted

    18 hours ago, weepaws said:

    Yeah I would agree, I don’t see newton settling for a back up Qb job.  

    Maybe the Chargers. 

    well, if Newton can still run (and that is a very big IF)..... the chargers would be a fair place for him to go.

    a running QB can cover up some deficiencies in the line because if the Defenders go after the QB with reckless abandon, they could get burned if he decides to run the ball.  

    so against a running QB a controlled pass rush to keep him contained in the pocket and prevent him from running is more appropriate.   you get less sacks that way, but the QB does not burn you with his feet.

    At this point, I dont know if Newton can play this way.  

    There is a very real possibility that he is a drop back QB for the rest of his career.   If he can play that way, he may be fine.   but there is a very real possibility that he is finished as a starting QB.

  21. Posted

    58 minutes ago, weepaws said:

    Well I agree it shows that the Bills want to open it up more, and I like Allen, and he should post more pass att.  

    But does that mean that Diggs lives up to the title wr1? 

    He should be the Bills wr1, not so sure even if he is, that he out performs the other two WRs by a wide margin.  

    And I agree about their young te, he’s going to get more involved, and I think his involvement we’ll hurt Beasley the most.  

    If both Diggs and Brown stay healthy, I don’t see much difference between them as it pertains to ff non ppr points.  

    Brown is already ahead, he and Allen have one season of chemistry already.  

     

    fair points.

    Hands down, I think Diggs is the best WR talent wise. 

    John brown probably regresses downward from his career best year last season.  I'm guessing 850-900 yards for John Brown which makes him a very good #2 WR.

    I suspect Diggs likely puts up similar numbers to last year (maybe slightly less). 

    but the main risk (other than injury)is if it takes some time to develop Chemistry with Allen. 

    I'd draft him on the assumption he gets about 1100 yards receiving, but if he quickly develops a chemistry with Allen, he could easily do better. 

     

  22. Posted

    30 minutes ago, jrokh said:

    Tom Brady Total QBR (50 is average, 100 is perfect), 2017- 70.6. 3rd best in the league

    2018 QBR- 68.4, 6th best in the league

    2019 QBR- 53.7, 17th best in the league. Which can also be viewed as below average. Even when considering the lack of weapons, that is a precipitous drop. Derek Carr, Ryan Tannehill, and Ryan Fitzpatrick didn't have better weapons than Brady, yet they all had much better QBR. No QB, in my memory at least, has ever performed at this age, it is uncharted territory. If TB 12 was my # 1 Fantasy QB this year, I would be very uneasy. The guy I would target would be OJ Howard, provided his price doesn't rise too much. I'll let the overzealous Bucs fans overdraft Mr. Wonderful...

    well, who would you suggest they sign?  

     

  24. Posted

    14 hours ago, weepaws said:

    Did Beasley and his 7 points per game in non ppr retire?  

    And one must remember, that Thielen only played in ten games. 

    If Thielen had played in more games I don’t think Diggs non ppr per game avg would have matched J Browns. 

    The thing is...  Diggs production without Thelien is more indicative of what kind of targets you get as a clear cut #1 WR.

    Diggs production with Thelien is more indicative of being a 1A or #2 WR.   I suspect there will be a difference in looks and targets.

    I think he is moving into a place where he will be the clear cut #1 but the pie itself will be a bit smaller (unless the team improves... which is very possible as this is a young team)

    I still think the largest concern with him is going to be his health.   

    The offense as a whole hasn't  been as good as the offense in Minny so his value may go down a bit, but if you think Josh Allen takes a step forward in his development, the difference may not be as large as we think.

    John Brown had the best season of his career catching passes from Allen, so I'm inclined to believe Allen may be the real deal. The better league QB's seem to elevate the play of their WRs, and Allen looks to have done this last season.

     nothing against John Brown and Cole Beasley, but when those two are your top 2 WR's its tough to predict big numbers from the QB and Allen put up passable numbers with a solid TD/INT ratio. 

    I think this move will allow them to open up the offense a bit and we will see this offense take a nice step forward.

     

     

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