Ray_T
-
Content Count
11,324 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
3
Posts posted by Ray_T
-
-
6 minutes ago, Gepetto said:Gus Edwards had 13 touchdowns THIRTEEN! I think D. Henry is going to get in the endzone a lot this year.
certainly possible.
honestly the bigger risk is injury (as it often is with backs this age)
I do think if he stays healthy he produces well enough in this offense.
-
1
-
-
On 4/28/2024 at 2:45 PM, weepaws said:He’s going to fall into the end zone at least a dozen times. He’s not what he once was, But he’s on a team that will help him with positive production. I’m ranking him inside my top ten 14 team non ppr. Thanks.
this.
he will still get a lot of TD's and that will make up for any loss in production in yards on his part
hes also running behind a far better line than he ran behind last season so its not a given his production will decline. he is more of a power back so if hes a bit slower than last year I dont see that hurting his production in a huge way. but I do think as the year wears on his numbers will start to fade a bit late in the season.
for the record, this is the last year he will be draftable in my opinion. and I'd draft him as my RB2.
-
On 5/13/2024 at 2:42 PM, Maximum Overkill said:We don't mix fantasy football with our politics or religion. Let's keep that in the other forum please.
agreed. This is a fantasy football board.
Lets leave god out of it. You dont want me talking about my lord and saviour the Flying Spaghetti Monster. because that's where this conversation is going.
Lets keep it about football.
There are sites that are appropriate for this content. Go post this stuff there.
-
39 minutes ago, weepaws said:He’s a tough one,I’m not a fan, but he’s produced in the past, but to many variables to make him worthy of anything more than a wr5-4.
Chargers roster to many Charks. Players with potential.
I know what you mean.
I do think that someone out of that group will have a career year. possibly even 2 players (though this is possible its less likely)
the issue would be in figuring out which ones to pick.
the Shiny new toy is McConkey. I think hes a good future player. I just dont know that he breaks out as a rookie. but there are possibly 4 players on this roster who have never been a #1 or #2 who may be asked to step into the role(other than Chark who was during his only 1000 yard season as a WR when Minshew was his QB)
Chark is the only one who has had a 1000 yard season at any point. Josh palmers stats pro rated got him to the 2/3 of a season equivalent of 900 yards which gets him close.
Quentin Johnson only had 430 yards as a rookie but he was a well regarded prospect selected in round 1 last year, so it could be him.
or McConkey a 2nd round rookie with first round talent.
This might be the most interesting puzzle I've seen and I look forward to some good debates on this as camp gets going
-
spotrac confirms there is a potential out after the 2026 season. 12.5 M dead cap hit. so at that point they could exit if that was their desire. granted the cost is high but in reality reasonable given the annual cap hit of 57 Mil that last year.
-
6 minutes ago, Maximum Overkill said:Justin Fields could of done that, and it would of only cost a 6th round pick.
I hear your argument but it's a ridiculous pick no matter how you spin it.
If you think Cousins will be productive for all 4 years of his contract, then yes, you might be right.
personally I think Cousins will be productive for 2 (maybe 3) years and then his production likely falls off a cliff. There is an out in the contract for the team after 2026 I think. This is the succession plan. I dont mind it. I'm sure Cousins hates it but I dont care about his feelings about it.
I only want him to produce when hes on my fantasy team.
-
2 minutes ago, Maximum Overkill said:You can throw that out the window, Harbaugh teams don't throw to begin with. Palmer isn't going to get the volume to warrant a WR3 in Fantasy.
He'll be serviceable in real life, fantasy not not so much.
I think it depends.
if hes the teams #2 WR hes gonna get more looks than he got as a WR3 in the old offense.
either way I think if you get him for the price of a WR4 or WR5 he will probably do well enough for you.
-
with respect to Chark I'd like to point out something else:
year 1 he didnt play much. he was a rookie.
year 2, 15 GP 118 targets 73 Catches 1008 yards and 8 TD
Year 3 13 GP 93 targets, 53 catches 706 yards and 5 TD (pro rated over 16 games hes 868 yards and 6 TD)
Year 4----injured most of the year.
Year 5 in detroit 11 GP, 52 targets 30 catches 502 yards and 3 TD. worth noting he was injured much of the early part of this season as well. but his last 6 games when he finally got a bit healthy he got 388 yards. 3 games where he got 90+ yards receiving. this is enough to make me wanna see this guy fully healthy and with a good QB.
Year 6 was a dogs breakfast in Carolina. 525 yards and 5 TD playing on a bad team.
not sure what to make of this.
I've seen him play and at times he looks like a stud, but then he goes and disappears at times too. (usually as a result of some injury) hes one guy who I feel at some point may break out but if it doesnt happen I think it will be because of his inability to stay healthy. but he has the potential to be a starter. I'm just not sure if he will take that last step he needs to take to get there. but the talent IS there.
-
2 hours ago, nobody said:No one even considers Josh Palmer might actually be good.
I think he will be given a chance to do more than hes done in the past.
he got 769 total yards with 3 TD in his second year.
Last year 581 yards and 2 TD in 11 GP. pro rated over 17 games we are getting close to 900 yards and 3 TD.
so if he gets more playing time as I think he will, he could be a 1000 yard guy. I'm not a big fan of his TD stats though so even if he gets 1000 yards the TD's will likely be underwhelming so he may be a guy you can draft as a WR4/5 but could produce as a WR3. to get into WR1/2 territory he likely needs more than 7 or 8 TD or he needs 1100+ yards. I'm not seeing that, but I could definitely see him as a high end WR3 or (at best) a really low end WR2 if things fall right for him.
bottom line, he needs a lot more TD if hes gonna become anything more than a WR3.
-
8 hours ago, Maximum Overkill said:But that wasn't the point. It's the 6th round of a SUPERFLEX ROOKIE draft. Are you drafting a WR6 to rot at the end of your bench or taking a shot on the most valuable position in Superfex?
QBs are currency in Superfex, even for a bench spot.
that wasnt necessarily the part that was uncalled for. but calling him a free yahoo league guy is a bit over the top.
I consider all of you on this board (with one or two exceptions) to be above that level in terms of knowledge. Thats one of the reasons I like chatting on this board.
yes, grabbing a guy like this in round 6 of a rookie draft is certainly fair and reasonable. but then again, most of your roster guys in a league like this dont come from round 6. so you are playing with house money if he turns out to be a player you got him almost for free.
-
10 hours ago, nobody said:I don't get all the hand wringing.
Argument 1. If you thought Cousins was going to get hurt, why give him 100 million? Well, if there is 50/50 chance he gets hurt, is it okay then? What about a 30% chance? What about 25? Then is it okay to invest in the backup? It's not a binary thing. It's okay to hedge a bet at the most important position on your team.
Argument 2. It'll hurt cousins feelings. So because the guy that always looks out for himself and takes the max he can get, and only signed a 4 year deal with you because he knows it's the last money grab he'll get might not like some competition since it might have an effect on his paychecks, the Falcons aren't allowed to take a guy they view as a franchise QB?
Argument 3. They should've drafted whomever I think they should've drafted because that'll help them win now. A defensive tackle or cornerback isn't making them a super bowl contender. Those guys might move the needle a half point if they turn into studs. QBs are worth 4,5,6, maybe 7 points a game. It's okay to make sure that position is secure.
And for the record, I'm not sold on Penix. I think his injury history is too much of an impediment, but if they graded the guy that highly, they can take him. It's not that big of a deal.
with regards to argument 1) Cousins has actually been durable over the course of his career. I personally never had any thought that hed get hurt. There is a higher risk of injury in the first year back from a major surgery on the knee. I dont know what the stats are on an Achilles. The only question I have is whether hes ready to play on day 1 of camp. if he appears on the PUP list I'll have my answer but I suspect he will be fine there.
with respect to argument 2- I dont care if it hurts his feelings. Lots of players put up their best statistical seasons of their careers when there is a potential replacement sitting on the bench. and I agree fully with your point here.
with argument 3- I dont know that this team was ready to win now. they need to take a step or two first. Actually making the playoffs being the first step and I think Cousins likely gets them there. but its also about developing and evaluating the young talent on the offense as well
I'm also not sold on Penix but I think he has a chance to be a good pro. he needs to work on some footwork and mechanics, so sitting behind a proven QB who at least can get them to the playoffs isnt a bad thing.
we can debate how long it will be before the guy will play but in reality we dont know. but the team can afford to wait when they have Cousins under contract. while I dont love the move, I also dont hate it. but I do understand it. Lots of us are speculating how this will go, but likely only those behind the scenes truly know what the deal is.
-
1 hour ago, Gepetto said:They tried to trade up to 10 with the Jets but weren't able to get the trade done. I think they wanted to take either Odunze or a top defensive player at 8 and Penix at 10 but in the end the person in the Falcons building making the decision was previously with the Saints in 2017 and wanted to take Mahomes even though Drew Brees was in his prime but the Chiefs traded up to 10 to select Mahomes right in front of them. He's very high on Penix and wasn't going to miss this year. Odunze already has a hamstring injury though.
Also, the same thing was said in 2020 about the Packers, should have helped Aaron Rodgers, but they selected Jordan Love and now have a present and future franchise QB. They took multiple receivers in the drafts following that year though.
I dont think the packers play worked out that bad. This is the second time they ended up with a franchise QB after letting him sit behind their starter for a couple years.
this move looks no different.
Maybe cousins is there to help them win, but maybe hes also there to mentor the kid. I find it hard to believe that cousins takes them to the superbowl. hes not won in the playoffs historically hes only been a top regular season QB.
that said i dont know that there was a better option in free agency and they have some young pieces on offense who are at a place in their careers where the team needs to evaluate whether they should sign keep them (and extend) or dump. tough to figure that out when you have a bad QB like they had the last couple years or a rookie like they were planning on drafting this year knowing hes not ready to start out of the gate.
so I think they swallowed hard and signed cousins. with a legit guy at QB and what I consider to be one of the top O lines in the league, you at least can properly evaluate the talent at the rest of the offensive positions (WR, TE, RB) so there is value here even if cousins doesnt get them past the first round of the playoffs.
only time will tell if its the right solution.
I do think there will be a breakout at WR or TE with cousins there (possibly both) and if that happens and they mentor the kid who gets to see up close how cousins does things I think there is a lot to be gained here.
if cousins performs well, his contract can be moved. I know he has a full no trade, but if the team tells him that hes gonna be the backup, cousins would waive that no trade clause in a hurry if it gets him a chance to start elsewhere. So I dont think the team is fully handcuffed here. and Cousins, knowing his replacement is already on the team may actually perform better than he has in the past.
I fully admit this is a best case scenario. I am not saying this will happen but its one possible outcome out of many.
-
2 hours ago, Maximum Overkill said:You obviously don't play Superflex. But you do obviously play in Free Yahoo Leagues
Thats a bit uncalled for. Hes right to be somewhat skeptical about Rattler. He appeared to regress after a good start to his college career.
I'm not about to so far as to say hes not gonna play in the NFL as it is possible he does. but he is one of those players whose floor is low and whose ceiling is high. (boom or bust)
he just happens to think its gonna be the latter and you obviously think its the former. if he was that good a QB prospect he would have been drafted in round 1. That said, scouts make mistakes all the time.. Look at all the first round duds over the years....... and Brady was drafted in roughly the same part of the draft back in his day.
but given where he was drafted, if things dont work out, the team will be far more likely to kick him to the curb and cut their losses. As a first rounder, usually you will get multiple chances to prove you can play.
Thats the biggest difference.
-
4 minutes ago, Gepetto said:They signed Cousins before the draft, to start now. They drafted Penix to learn and start in future years. It's not really complicated. They feel they have a very good team made even better by adding Cousins and don't think they'll be in a position to draft a top QB in the upper 1st round in any of the next 4 years, so they secured their future this year having the 8th overall pick and Penix on the board.
yeah, the team as a whole is pretty solid. I have to think the team will finish higher in the standings over the next year or two while Cousins starts.
so I am not expecting a better QB will fall to them in future years. This might have been the deepest draft in a generation at QB. most years only have 2-3 draftable QB in round 1 and one is usually a dud. this year there were 6 first round QB. so the better move is to take one and develop him behind a solid starter. if his development comes along more quickly than expected you can pivot. If cousins gets hurt (as is the risk with an older qb) then your guy plays early.
-
1
-
-
36 minutes ago, Maximum Overkill said:Just to clarify, Carr is a less than an average Fantasy QB. He finished as the Fantasy QB 16 last season, that's not even a starter in a 14 team league.
Pathetic
yeah, in 1 QB leagues hes likely a very good backup who can likely start in select matchups.
in 2 QB leagues hes a nice guy to have on the roster. so its all about perspective, and the type of league you are in.
-
haha we need to make sure we specify if we are talking fantasy football, or real life football. the two are not the same
-
21 minutes ago, TBayXXXVII said:Not really sure Kamara's "presence" was the issue. In the 4 games without him (first 3 and last 1), they were 3-1. If we throw out the first game he came back (Game 4), and split the next 12 in half, the Saints were 3-3 in the first half and 3-3 in the second half.
I think they played pretty well overall last year, they were 9-7 with #9 ranked scoring offense, #8 scoring defense, & 3rd in giveaway/takeaway. I think their OLine was an issue, but also the lack of weapons. Outside of Olave, they/Carr, really didn't have someone to count on when dropping back. I'm not so sure they addressed that issue all that well either. Though, we'll have to see if Shaheed improves. He very well may.
you're probably right. I just thought the offense looked better with him there. that does not always translate into numbers.
35 minutes ago, weepaws said:Carr wasn’t top ten in ff scoring last season. Carr best ff season was 2020, he wasn’t in the top ten that season.
you also need to look at situation. most of his time in Oakland he didnt have much in the way of WR to throw to until that final season. not sure what happened that final year, but it seems Carr was not ideally suited to the offense they installed that year.
in NO the line wasnt outstanding so if they fix that alone I suspect this offense will be better.
whether he can take advantage of that remains to be seen, but I do like Carr as a QB. obviously you avoid if there are bonus points for QB's who run the ball but otherwise hes solid. I may target him in my 2 QB league this year if I decide not to keep Cousins.
-
2 hours ago, TBayXXXVII said:Carr wasn't the problem last year, it was the crappy OLine. They ranked in the bottom quarter of the NFL in pass blocking and run blocking. No RB rushed for 4.0 ypc last year and Carr never really had a lot of time to throw the ball. It's why their first pick was a Tackle and it's why they brought in a tackle and guard in free agency. I personally don't think they did enough to address the OLine, but that was their biggest problem on offense last year.
Keep in mind also, despite all short comings, they still ranked in the top 10 in points scored last year.
agreed. though I feel they did perform better as an offense when Kamara returned. Not sure if it shows on the stat sheet or not, but the offense looked better as the season wore on.
if they resolve even some of the line issues I see every aspect of that offense improving
-
2 minutes ago, polecatt said:They signed DJ Chark
I saw that. I like him. hes fast. I think 4.35 speed. but still at times has shown he need a little polish on his route running.
but more importantly, he seems to get injured a lot. hes a nice dark horse or late round lotto ticket
-
I think we know who he is.
and he may turn into a player. but it may take a year or two.
McConkey is likely the guy there, but they may still sign another WR to add to the group. Its not a lock that McConkey is highly productive as a rookie. I hope he is, but the guy looked(to me) like a high talent player who may need a little time to put it all together. Thats not necessarily a bad thing. The talent is still there. The best argument for selecting him is the fact he likely is the most talented WR on the roster and hes playing for a gifted QB.
That may be enough.
-
41 minutes ago, weepaws said:I like M Williams with Rodgers at Qb. He has a terrific ADP.
Williams needs to stay on the field.
if he could stay on the field, he would likely still be a Charger.
-
2 hours ago, Maximum Overkill said:Yeah, I remember when he came out, a lot of teams took him off their boards because of issues at SMU. I can't even imagine some of the shenanigans that they covered up.
sadly this is far too common. then the player thinks he can do no wrong. like hes above the law.... then they give him millions of dollars.
what could possibly go wrong?
-
17 minutes ago, Maximum Overkill said:Honestly Penix is probably the most pro ready out of anyone drafted. If not for the chronic injuries he'd probably of been the #2 QB taken.
I feel bad for the kid because he's basically going to rot in Atlanta. He'll probably 27 before he even gets a chance to be a starter in the NFL. And that's if things go good.
or he gets a season to get healthy while cousins plays. Might be a good thing.
-
1 hour ago, IGotWorms said:It’s not like he suddenly became stupid overnight
well, its starting to look like a pattern of behaviour.
I was wondering how such a talented guy slid so far in the draft..... now I know.
UPDATE: Derek Carr headed to the Saints
in FFToday Board
Posted
There is a difference between a good QB and a good Fantasy QB. the two are not mutually exclusive.
some of your best fantasy QB's are actually not great QB's for their team.
I can fully respect a QB who will sacrafice a little in terms of his stats in order to get the win. I may not want that guy on my fantasy roster, but I'd totally want him leading my team.