flatidea 0 Posted August 25, 2006 Scoring for league: Rushing Yards (10 yards per point; bonus 5 points at 100 yards); Receptions (.5 per catch); Reception Yards (20 yards per point; bonus 5 points at 100 yards); TDs (6) Little draft info: I'm picking 6th. Currently I have Dunn in the 13th spot for RBs ahead of but in the same group as Parker and McGahee. I'm almost ready to vault him over Portis. Am I overvaluing him? I'm pretty sure I can get Dunn in the third round (ADP 3.12), it's not like I'll lose my mind and reach in the 2nd, but it will shape my second pick since I'll go for a top of the line WR then if one is available (Holt, Smith, C Johnson). Helping me out there is that there are two donks picking below me (1.9/1.11) so I'm confident that 2 of their 4 picks will be players I don't even want. So I guess what makes more sense here? SJax, Chad Johnson, Dunn or SJax, McGahee, Wayne Thanks Geeks! (and I mean that in the best way possible) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kustodial 0 Posted August 25, 2006 I'd go with Sjax, Chad, and Dunn Scoring for league: Rushing Yards (10 yards per point; bonus 5 points at 100 yards); Receptions (.5 per catch); Reception Yards (20 yards per point; bonus 5 points at 100 yards); TDs (6) Little draft info: I'm picking 6th. Currently I have Dunn in the 13th spot for RBs ahead of but in the same group as Parker and McGahee. I'm almost ready to vault him over Portis. Am I overvaluing him? I'm pretty sure I can get Dunn in the third round (ADP 3.12), it's not like I'll lose my mind and reach in the 2nd, but it will shape my second pick since I'll go for a top of the line WR then if one is available (Holt, Smith, C Johnson). Helping me out there is that there are two donks picking below me (1.9/1.11) so I'm confident that 2 of their 4 picks will be players I don't even want. So I guess what makes more sense here? SJax, Chad Johnson, Dunn or SJax, McGahee, Wayne Thanks Geeks! (and I mean that in the best way possible) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Greedo 13 Posted August 25, 2006 Agreed - you'll be sorry if you picked Willis and his 20 yards per game. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
PTAKBuCS 0 Posted August 25, 2006 Uh, Willis had 1,200 yards last year, fifth in the AFC. The Falcons drafted Norwood for a reason. Go Willis and don't look back. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
MrSpeni 0 Posted August 25, 2006 Uh, Willis had 1,200 yards last year, fifth in the AFC. The Falcons drafted Norwood for a reason. Go Willis and don't look back. Besides Willis has to run 'cuz Losman can't throw. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Bash 0 Posted August 25, 2006 I had the 6th pick and took SJax, T. Holt, and W. Dunn. I think SJax, C. Johnson, and then Dunn should he be there would be a strong start. Sure, Willis is a good pick, but I worry that opponents will consistently put 8 defenders up close and dare Losman to throw the ball, thus limiting McGahee's room to run. Atlanta, the league's top running team last year (of course, with Vick's stats mixed in), now has a rookie backing up Dunn, who they say will be used more near the goal line this year. Injuries aside, I think Dunn will produce more than McGahee this year. Norwood was a good pick-up for Atlanta, in that Dunn is aging, but I doubt we see much of Norwood this year unless Dunn is injured. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
WilliePonderPonders 0 Posted August 25, 2006 I commission a very respectable 12 team league and from what I am hearing, there is no way that Dunn gets out of the second round. He has clearly leaped over guys like Chester Taylor, Kevin Jones, and maybe even McGahee. Portis is dropping like a cold stone. Willie Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Frankie Valiant 0 Posted August 25, 2006 Besides Willis has to run 'cuz Losman can't throw. ......plus Willis will get the Goal -Line carries as well............ Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Electric Mayhem 35 Posted August 25, 2006 I commission a very respectable 12 team league and from what I am hearing, there is no way that Dunn gets out of the second round. He has clearly leaped over guys like Chester Taylor, Kevin Jones, and maybe even McGahee. Portis is dropping like a cold stone. Willie I agree. My league is PPR and I don't see him getting past the middle of the second round. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
larrymcirish 0 Posted August 25, 2006 i'm drafting tomorrow in a 14 team redraft & hope to get dunn @ #23 (2.9). i'll be lucky if i do & he will not be available in my 3rd round. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
flatidea 0 Posted August 28, 2006 sounds like I'm not the only one overvaluing Dunn here. Thanks guys. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mlmeloy 0 Posted August 28, 2006 I took McGahee and passed on Dunn in my draft on Saturday. My league is not PPR (PPR admittedly changes things), but I think McGahee will out-perform him this year. There are three main reasons I passed on Dunn: 1) Last year was a career year for Dunn 2) He will supposedly be getting the goal-line carries now, but I'm not sure he will be able to do much with them (he's so small - 180 pounds - there's a reason they weren't giving him goal-line carries). These extra carries might result in a few more TD's from him (and more FG's for Koenen, incidentally), but I think it will wear him down as well. 3) He's getting to the age (31) where some RB's begin to lose production (his size makes him more of a risk here too, I think) Granted, there's no guarrantee that McGahee will bounce back, but I felt he had more upside (my leagues a keeper league as well). Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
flatidea 0 Posted August 28, 2006 good points. I'm starting to think about moving Willie Parker ahead of both. Mistake? Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
mlmeloy 0 Posted August 28, 2006 good points. I'm starting to think about moving Willie Parker ahead of both. Mistake? I had Parker last year, and he was a real all-or-nothing kind of guy. I was never really sure what I was going to get. Also, last year, he didn't get many carries inside the 20, so he had to break long runs to get TD's. I'm not sure whether that changes at all this year or not (w/ Bettis gone). Maybe someone who has watched their preseason games would know better. I don't think I would rank him ahead or either, but maybe that's just me. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Cruzer 1,993 Posted August 28, 2006 10 team league, 1st three picks were: cadillac portis dunn to get him in the 3rd, i was like . Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
CantTouchThis 23 Posted August 28, 2006 Do the Falcons have any other possible GL backs?? If not, Dunn may be a top 15 back, maybe even top 12. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
chiz3 1 Posted August 28, 2006 I had Parker last year, and he was a real all-or-nothing kind of guy. I was never really sure what I was going to get. Also, last year, he didn't get many carries inside the 20, so he had to break long runs to get TD's. I'm not sure whether that changes at all this year or not (w/ Bettis gone). Maybe someone who has watched their preseason games would know better. I don't think I would rank him ahead or either, but maybe that's just me. Pitt, was going after Duckett too, so they cant be too happy with FWP inside the 20. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
