**College Football Wagering Thread** 10/13-10/17

[We R Penn State 0]

Tonights Plays

 

Pitt -6 2 Units

Pitt/Rutgers Over 45.5 3 Units

 

 

YTD 10-9 +1.5 Units

 

Good Luck

[swirvenirvin 25]

Going to Sparties game tomorrow so getting plays in early no play tonight

 

USC -10 (-105) Loser

Oklahoma(N) +3 (-105) Push

Northwestern +14 (-105) Winner

Indiana +3 (-105) Winner

CMichigan -6.5 (-105)Winner

[phillybear 365]

(the focker still moves lines)

 

I am now 11-10-1 (30-28-3 on a Star Basis) on my Best Bets for the season based on the line at the time of release and 9-9-2 (22-25-5 on Stars) based on the line after it moves. The Strong Opinions were 3-3 overall for the week and are now 19-14 for the season

 

Rotation #118 Michigan State (-13 1/2) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -16.

Rotation #134 Temple (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -12.

Rotation #148 Alabama (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, Strong Opinion from 17 1/2 to 19.

Rotation #156 Nebraska (-9 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.

Rotation #173 Hawaii (+9 1/2) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 4-Stars at +10 or more, 2-Stars from +6 1/2 to +5.

Rotation #200 Fresno State (-19) 2-Stars at -21 or less.

 

Strong Opinion - Rotation #125 Baylor (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +2, 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #140 Ohio (-13 1/2) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #182 Southern Miss (-14) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #190 UCF (+15) Strong Opinion at +14 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +16.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #194 SMU (+7 1/2) Strong Opinion at +7 or more.

Tonight Strong Opinion on Pittsburgh

 

So far...

Added Strong Opinion on Utah St

[ToledoLurch 0]

Tonight...

 

Rutgers +7 (-115)

 

 

 

Good luck all!

[American Chewy 98]

(the focker still moves lines)

 

I am now 11-10-1 (30-28-3 on a Star Basis) on my Best Bets for the season based on the line at the time of release and 9-9-2 (22-25-5 on Stars) based on the line after it moves. The Strong Opinions were 3-3 overall for the week and are now 19-14 for the season

 

Rotation #118 Michigan State (-13 1/2) 3-Stars at -14 or less, 2-Stars up to -16.

Rotation #134 Temple (-10) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -12.

Rotation #148 Alabama (-17) 2-Stars at -17 or less, Strong Opinion from 17 1/2 to 19.

Rotation #156 Nebraska (-9 1/2) 3-Stars at -10 or less, 2-Stars up to -13.

Rotation #173 Hawaii (+9 1/2) 3-Stars at +7 or more, 4-Stars at +10 or more, 2-Stars from +6 1/2 to +5.

Rotation #200 Fresno State (-19) 2-Stars at -21 or less.

 

Strong Opinion - Rotation #125 Baylor (+2 1/2) Strong Opinion at +2, 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #140 Ohio (-13 1/2) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #182 Southern Miss (-14) Strong Opinion at -14 or less.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #190 UCF (+15) Strong Opinion at +14 or more, 2-Star Best Bet at +16.

Strong Opinion - Rotation #194 SMU (+7 1/2) Strong Opinion at +7 or more.

Tonight Strong Opinion on Pittsburgh

 

So far...

Added Strong Opinion on Utah St

 

thanks...i used to be able to find his plays on some other message boards i look at but no one posts em anymore so i appreciate it.

[EAwer 1]

Going to Sparties game tomorrow so getting plays in early no play tonight

 

 

nice, me too. hopefully we just crush em. But, we always seem to have a hard time with NU

[swirvenirvin 25]

nice, me too. hopefully we just crush em. But, we always seem to have a hard time with NU

Yeah I can see a 38-28 score or something. Sparties seem to have a hard time with the N'western spread.

 

Sucks Winston the criminal is out, he had a good first cut. I think Caper is learning though

[Mack Daddy 0]

Going to Sparties game tomorrow so getting plays in early no play tonight

 

USC -10 (-105)

Oklahoma(N) +3 (-105)

Northwestern +14 (-105)

Indiana +3 (-105)

CMichigan -6.5 (-105)

 

Funny, I'm heading to the Sparty game as well. Homecoming in East Lansing. Good times...

 

GO GREEN!!

 

Absolutely no opinion on the game tonight with the line at 6.5, but for chits and grins I'm going Rutgers ML (+210) for a half unit. Good luck all...

 

YTD -2 units

[honhiguy 0]

thanks...i used to be able to find his plays on some other message boards i look at but no one posts em anymore so i appreciate it.

 

How come you guys are always curious about this Dr Bob guy? He's barely .500 for the year which means if you were to follow him you'd actually be losing cuz of the juice.

 

Probably better off on your own?

[American Chewy 98]

How come you guys are always curious about this Dr Bob guy? He's barely .500 for the year which means if you were to follow him you'd actually be losing cuz of the juice.

 

Probably better off on your own?

 

i dont tail him blindly, but if you notice the guy moves lines and has a history of winning so its worth knowing what he's on. i usually dont want to be against him if anything else. google dr. bob if you have time.

[swirvenirvin 25]

Funny, I'm heading to the Sparty game as well. Homecoming in East Lansing. Good times...

 

GO GREEN!!

[phillybear 365]

Overall NCAA: 109-87-4; +45.55 units

Subset: 10 unit plays: 17-16-2; +5.48

Subset: 5 unit plays: 49-40-2; +13.57 units

 

Overall NFL: 34-31; +3.9 units

Subset: 5 unit plays: 20-16; +12.10 units

 

Saturday, will add a few more, may have to repost this mess.

 

10 units

Purdue (+14)@-110 WINNER

Wyoming (+10.5)@-114 WINNER

Minnesota (+17.5)@-105 LOSER

Buffalo (-8)@-102 LOSER

Colorado St (+22.5)@-105 LOSER

Colorado (+10)@-113 WINNER

UAB (+22)@-106 LOSER

Northern Illinois (-6.5)@-112 LOSER

Central Florida (+14.5)@-113 LOSER

Alabama (-18)@-105 LOSER

Utah (-16.5)@-105 WINNER

Summary: 3-7; -34.8 units

 

5 units

Bowling Green (-2.5)@-116 WINNER

Michigan St (-13.5)@-110 LOSER

Temple (-10)@-115 WINNER

Nebraska (-10)@-115 LOSER

Hawaii (+8)@-105 LOSER

San Diego St (+17.5)@-110 WINNER

North Texas (+1)@-109 LOSER

Fresno St (-20)@-105 PUSH

Summary: 3-4-1; -6.95 units

 

3 units

Oklahoma (+3)@-108 PUSH

Iowa (+3)@-115 WINNER

Ohio U (-13.5)@-106 WINNER

Utah St (+8)@-108 WINNER

USC (-9.5)@-111 LOSER

UCLA (+3.5)@-114 LOSER

North Carolina St (+3)@-115 LOSER

Rice (+18.5)@-105 LOSER

Virginia (-3)@-108 LOSER

Indiana (+3.5)@-116 WINNER

Baylor (+1)@-105 LOSER

Southern Mississippi (-15.5)@-108 WINNER

SMU (+7.5)@-113 WINNER

Missouri (+7.5)@-120 LOSER

parlay of 1st H: UAB (+12.5); SD St (+10); No Ill (-3.5); Col (+6); .5 units to win 5 units LOSER

Summary: 6-8-1; -5.84 units

 

Edit: added San Diego St, Indiana, Colorado, North Texas, Utah, parlay

 

Edit: updated

Overall NCAA: 121-106-6; -2.04 units

Subset: 10 unit plays: 20-23-2; -29.32

Subset: 5 unit plays: 52-44-3; +6.62 units

 

Overall NFL: 34-31; +3.9 units

Subset: 5 unit plays: 20-16; +12.10 units

[Mack Daddy 0]

Heading out soon to watch my Spartans take on Northwestern, so small card. I'll throw in some late games when I get back from EL, but here is my card as of now.

 

Michigan St. -13.5 (-120) *bit of a homer pick, but NW has not looked good this year at all. Nichol and Winston out, but they shouldn't need them to hopefully put a beating on the pussycats from NW

Miss St. -4 (-120)

Texas Tech +10.5

Minnesota +17

USC -10

[phillybear 365]

Lopsided action...

 

Boston College 70% over NC State

Ohio St 85% over Purdue

Bowling Green 78% over Ball St

Georgia 82% over Vanderbilt

Central Michigan 84% over Western Michigan

Ohio U 73% over Miami OH

California 73% over UCLA

Houston 83% over Tulane

Virginia Tech 76% over Georgia Tech

Idaho 70% over Hawaii

BYU 86% over San Diego St

Miami Fla 77% over Central Florida

Arkansas 77% over Florida

Navy 75% over SMU

Washington 73% over Arizona St

Utah 77% over UNLV

Fresno St 83% over San Jose St

UL Lafayette 81% over Western Kentucky

Troy 75% over Florida International

Mississippi St 77% over Middle Tenn St

 

To me, the trap game of the week looks like Idaho. They've covered every game, getting a healthy % of action, and yet the line keeps going down.

Washington looks trappy too.

Iowa is rumored to be suffering with the flu, so that line move makes sense.

[ToledoLurch 0]

A beautiful football saturday...let's nail the book. It looks like a perfect day for football in Toledo with sunshine and about 50 degrees. My play of the day is fading my Rockets.

 

Clemson -7

USC -10.5

Texas Tech +7

Oklahoma/Texas - over 53.5

Northern Illinois -7 - 3units

NC St/BC under 47

Louisville +14

Kansas/Colorado over 55

Iowa ML +110

Army +10.5

 

Good luck all!

[GobbleDog 823]

Texas -3 (+102) PUSH

Colorado St +22.5 (-107)

Northwestern +14 (-109)

Iowa +2.5 (-103)

Mississippi St -4.5 (-104)

Army +10.5 (-106)

USC/Notre Dame Under 50.5 (-108)

Central Michigan -7 (-103)

Texas Tech +10.5 (-105)

New Mexico St +20.5 (-108)

Texas A&M -5.5 (-105)

Illinois -3 (-104)

Toledo +7 (-110)

Arizona -4 (-103)

 

7-6-1

 

Gotta learn to avoid the 20+ dogs.

[dmaidlow73 0]

A beautiful football saturday...let's nail the book. It looks like a perfect day for football in Toledo with sunshine and about 50 degrees. My play of the day is fading my Rockets.

 

Clemson -7

USC -10.5

Texas Tech +7

Oklahoma/Texas - over 53.5

Northern Illinois -7 - 3units

NC St/BC under 47

Louisville +14

Kansas/Colorado over 55

Iowa ML +110

Army +10.5

 

Good luck all!

 

Lurch, is the NIU play simply a play against Toledo? They looked horrible last week. This is at Toledo, correct? I would love to take NIU here, but worry about playing against the Rockets in the Glass Bowl.

[GobbleDog 823]

Central Florida (+14.5)@-113

 

 

Gutsy pick. Miami might be overhyped, but UCF is well.... struggling old UCF (my alma mater). I can't bring myself to bet them, but I hope you're right.

 

Go KNIGHTS!!!

 

[phillybear 365]

Adding:

 

Colorado (+10)@-113 for 10 units

Utah (-16.5)@-105for 10 units

 

North Texas (+1)@-109 for 5 units

San Diego St (+17.5)@-110 for 5 units

 

 

Indiana (+3.5)@-116 for 3 units

[phillybear 365]

Lurch, is the NIU play simply a play against Toledo? They looked horrible last week. This is at Toledo, correct? I would love to take NIU here, but worry about playing against the Rockets in the Glass Bowl.

 

I'm not TL, but for what it's worth, the Toledo QB Opelt hurt his shoulder in the previous game, which contributed to their bad loss to Western Mich. With Toledo giving up 400 to 500 yards a game, No Ill balanced offense is going to be hard for Toledo to slow down, especially the punishing running game vs the soft Toledo run defense. Opelt might play, but not sure how effective he is going to be. The home field for Toledo isn't as strong as it used to be since the program has been down for a few years.

[phillybear 365]

 

Gutsy pick. Miami might be overhyped, but UCF is well.... struggling old UCF (my alma mater). I can't bring myself to bet them, but I hope you're right.

 

Go KNIGHTS!!!

 

 

CF has a pretty good defense and Miami has a look ahead game to Clemson next week.

[American Chewy 98]

30-37-1 -24.51 units

 

for the rest of the season i'm just gonna play 3-5 big plays then a couple of small big 12 plays to go with it.

 

TEXAS TECH +10.5 1 unit

This should be a great game to watch. Tech's huge offensive line against what might be the best DL in the country. why is everyone on nebraska and why did this line jump so much? I haven't been real impressed with Zach Lee. He has a solid line and running game and yet can't seem to get his team in the endzone with any consistency. I liked what I saw out of Tech's backup QB last week, he's very accurate (though faced no real pressure). unless nebra gets some def or ST scores, i'd be surprised if they ran away with this one, game looks like a tossup to me.

 

KANSAS STATE +7.5@-140 1 unit

this line is purely representative of tech's beatdown of my cats last week. tech's offensive line flat out destroyed kstate's def line and kstate couldn't run the ball and control clock like they normally like to do. a&m doesn't have a good run defense so it should be back to normal for the ksu offense. a&m does have strong offensive numbers but they inflated those against very poor teams. against a legit road opponent in arkansas, a&m was exposed. its a home game, the talent disparity isn't big, I'm catching points, hell, Kstate won at college station last season--are these teams much different? If ron prince can do it, I'm sure Snyder can.

 

COLORADO +10.5@-120 1 unit

this is a play against kansas' defense more than anything. kansas has shown the ability to give up yards and points to any and all offenses this year which will always make it tough to cover DD's. couple that with what looks to be an improving colorado defense and a much needed changeup at QB for cu, I like for the buffs to hang around and possibly win here. plus, kansas has a big look-ahead to oklahoma and has rarely had success in boulder. colorado still has plenty to play for if they can hold serve at home in their big 12 games.

 

MINN +17.5@-115 4 units

penn st hasn't been covering these big lines at home and minny is better than most of those scrub teams penn st played earlier

 

HAWAII +7.5@-105 4 units

pressure is on idaho as the big fav now after covering all their dog roles. no reason hawaii won't be in this game with an above avg chance to win.

 

UAB +22.5 4 units

what does ole miss have left to play for? what a downer game for them after their sec schedule...can they get up for uab? uab has enough to hang around and ole miss hasn't put many teams away this year.

 

CENT FLA +14@-130 4 units

pissed i didnt put this in last night, i kept thinking maybe it would get back to 14.5 then i wake up and its 13. but i wanted to play it so bad i'll spend the extra .8 units here. this is UCF's superbowl and its at home. this game has been close in recent years, sure miami is improved but UCF isn't dog meat, they have a decent offense, enough to hang around.

 

SMU +7@-102 4 units

smu still underated and not getting respect from lines makers yet despite 3-1 ATS so far. june jones is turning this team around, they matchup well with navy. smu should be able to score some points they have a solid adv in the passing game where navy has struggled to defend teams. think SMU has a great chance to win outright, the points are a nice gift.

 

wanted to play utah st but line dropped too far this week

 

 

GL ME. and everyone else i guess. unless you are against me.

[dmaidlow73 0]

I'm not TL, but for what it's worth, the Toledo QB Opelt hurt his shoulder in the previous game, which contributed to their bad loss to Western Mich. With Toledo giving up 400 to 500 yards a game, No Ill balanced offense is going to be hard for Toledo to slow down, especially the punishing running game vs the soft Toledo run defense. Opelt might play, but not sure how effective he is going to be. The home field for Toledo isn't as strong as it used to be since the program has been down for a few years.

 

Thanks PB. I didn't realize that Opelt was hurt. If he doesn't play (or is limited) they are a completely different team. I was leaning NIU anyway, but with a limited Opelt it is a definite play for me. And yes, you are right, the Glass Bowl isn't the advantage that it used to be. I grew up in Toledo and remember the days when it was a big advantage. Not the case anymore. Thanks.

[GobbleDog 823]

CENT FLA +14@-130 4 units

pissed i didnt put this in last night, i kept thinking maybe it would get back to 14.5 then i wake up and its 13. but i wanted to play it so bad i'll spend the extra .8 units here. this is UCF's superbowl and its at home. this game has been close in recent years, sure miami is improved but UCF isn't dog meat, they have a decent offense, enough to hang around.

 

Yeah right.

[Jdchris81 1]

Im going with these today..

5 units

BC -2.5

Cal -3

S. Carolina -18

Minn +17

 

2 units

ND +10

PSU/minn- under 45

[Jdchris81 1]

Im also gonna add Minn +17

[phillybear 365]

So, I'm watching ESPN scoreboard out of the corner of my eye as I'm flipping channels. And lo and behold, Marshall has a 5th and 15 vs West Virginia. What? I refreshed my browser. 5th and 15.

 

Time to refresh all my drinks and forget what I just saw. It's a government trap. Where is my tin foil?

 

They picked up a yard. It's now 6th and 14.

[phillybear 365]

So, I'm watching ESPN scoreboard out of the corner of my eye as I'm flipping channels. And lo and behold, Marshall has a 5th and 15 vs West Virginia. What? I refreshed my browser. 5th and 15.

 

Time to refresh all my drinks and forget what I just saw. It's a government trap. Where is my tin foil?

 

They picked up a yard. It's now 6th and 14.

 

Marshall has an 11th and 7 from the West Virginia 7.

 

[ToledoLurch 0]

Lurch, is the NIU play simply a play against Toledo? They looked horrible last week. This is at Toledo, correct? I would love to take NIU here, but worry about playing against the Rockets in the Glass Bowl.

 

 

Two things go into this.

 

 

#1 - Opelt is hurt

#2 - Compare what NIU did to western vs what western did to Toledo.

[swirvenirvin 25]

Going to Sparties game tomorrow so getting plays in early no play tonight

 

USC -10 (-105) Loser

Oklahoma(N) +3 (-105) Push

Northwestern +14 (-105) Winner

Indiana +3 (-105) Winner

CMichigan -6.5 (-105)Winner

3-1-1 today sticking with what I know in Big Ten and local teams suprised no one else took the Chips today over the Broncos

[Jdchris81 1]

Im going with these today..

5 units

BC -2.5

Cal -3

S. Carolina -18

Minn +17

 

2 units

ND +10

PSU/minn- under 45

 

5-1 today... so far im 8-1 since ive started posting on this site over the the past week. 3-0 on NFL and 5-1 on College. Expecting a big day tomorrow!