****Week 15 NFL Gambling Thread ****

[bjsteel 34]

Atlanta -11 vs Jacksonville O/U - 42.5

 

Leaning Atl and the U.

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Atlanta -11 vs Jacksonville O/U - 42.5

 

Leaning Atl and the U.

Pretty much agree. Not sure why Atlanta would add too many extra points on the board, rather than just running out the clock.

 

But Atlanta should cover the 11.

[swirvenirvin 25]

Crazy week last week 15-1 overall and 14-1 in props.

 

Props 113-73-4 +33.93 units

 

He's has 2 or more every game but two when he had zero. Seems like at least a push.

Harry Douglas (Falcons) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 2 (-115) Loser

 

Have two more plays but they are unders and it seems like the juice or yardage always sway in favor of unders the closer to game. So not making plays now, but for sure will be doing Ryan under 22.5, and heavily thinking about Roddy under 5.5 right now at +110

 

Matt Ryan (Falcons) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 22.5 (-130)Winner

 

Roddy White (Falcons) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 5.5 (+125)ya know I knew this before, but Ryan suck Roddy Whites cack on prime time LOSER

[ru93 0]

I'm considering taking the Jags and the +12...8 out of there last 9 games they have at least covered a 12 point spread which includes games against the Bengals, Steelers, Ravens, and the Texans twice.

 

 

I'm leaning toward the over on the game as well...depends how many prop bets I like though if I bet on that stuff.

[The Hood 9]

I'm considering taking the Jags and the +12...8 out of there last 9 games they have at least covered a 12 point spread which includes games against the Bengals, Steelers, Ravens, and the Texans twice.

 

 

 

The Jags have lost a lot of guys in their secondary since they were holding down those better passing attacks earlier in the year. They could not begin to cover the Chargers WR's a couple weeks ago. White, Jones and Tony G are going to be open a lot and the Falcons will score big I think. Falcons run defense has been very good this year. If they can shut down MJD the Jags cannot score.

 

The short week for Thursday games has seemed to hurt the away teams this year. Short travel for Jags in comparison to most but still another strike against them I think.

[ru93 0]

The Jags have lost a lot of guys in their secondary since they were holding down those better passing attacks earlier in the year. They could not begin to cover the Chargers WR's a couple weeks ago. White, Jones and Tony G are going to be open a lot and the Falcons will score big I think. Falcons run defense has been very good this year. If they can shut down MJD the Jags cannot score.

 

The short week for Thursday games has seemed to hurt the away teams this year. Short travel for Jags in comparison to most but still another strike against them I think.

 

Thursday Night Bets:

 

MJD to score a TD. Loser

 

Jags +13 1/2 Loser

 

Took a flyer on Julio Jones scoring the first TD of the game. Winner

 

Good-luck all!

[phillybear 365]

NCAA Basketball: 181-147-7; +103.15 units

NFL Football: 95-72-7; +39.7642 units

International Soccer: 4-0; +20.0 units

NCAA Football: 147-154-11; -77.2685 units (I suck)

 

Thursday. Am I forcing plays on a night with few games? Maybe.

 

NCAA Basketball for 5 units

George Washington (-6.5) LOSER

LSU (-15) LOSER

Gonzaga (-11.5) LOSER

 

NCAA Basketball for 2 units

Savannah St (+24.5) LOSER

 

NFL for 2 units

Atlanta (-13.5) WINNER

 

Edit:

NCAA Basketball: 181-151-7; +84.45 units

NFL Football: 96-72-7; +41.7642 units

International Soccer: 4-0; +20.0 units

NCAA Football: 147-154-11; -77.2685 units (I suck)

[IMMensaMind 460]

3 team teaser again (+10pts per matchup): ATL, NO, NYG

 

One down; two to go.

[ru93 0]

Swung and miss on the Jags but came out ahead with Julio Jones.

[bjsteel 34]

Swung and miss on the Jags but came out ahead with Julio Jones.

 

Never bet on Gaebbert!

 

Taking Dallas and the O for Saturday.

 

Also liking Temple -7.

[phillybear 365]

Also liking Temple -7.

 

Got my Temple bet in already.

 

Do you think we should start a College Bowl thread? I know interest in the college football games has waned as the season has gone along. I'm superstitious and don't want to start one myself (bad luck).

[swirvenirvin 25]

Felix Jones (Cowboys) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 90.5 (-115)Winner

 

1.15

Mike Williams (Buccaneers) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4.5 (-145)Loser

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Well, the Cowboys play in Tampa Bay Saturday night. At first glance it seems Dallas is the play. Dallas is -7 and the total is 47.5. I could be swayed either way here. I realize the Cowboys are the better team, but it is played in Tampa Bay. This is Tampa Bay's last home game. National television, Saturday night, and the only NFL game being played on Saturday. Cowboys have a good chance to make the playoffs and Tampa Bay has none. Dallas -7 is 77% picked in yahoo pickems. I'm leaning Tampa Bay, basically because one favorite won on Thursday and now it's time for a dog. But that's pretty lame.

[swirvenirvin 25]

NFL record 45-54-4 -12.05 units

 

3

6.5 Point Teaser (2 Teams)

Cowboys(Dallas) -0.5 (-105)

Saints(NewOrleans) -0.5 (even)Winner

[swirvenirvin 25]

1.1

Victor Cruz (Giants) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 5.5 (-140) Loser

 

15 - Hoping for Orton to get benched or hurt and Palko to come in and play. Seems like at worst a no action bet, maybe he is the holder and that counts as playing.

Tyler Palko (Chiefs) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 18.5 (-115)

 

Joe Flacco (Ravens) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 20Loser 4 yard pass 4 yard pass 4 yard pass abandon the run

 

1.1

Christian Ponder (Vikings) Total Completions - Must Play

Over 18.5 (-115)Loser, dumb bet knew Webb was going to get some snaps

 

Johnny Knox (Bears) Total Receptions - Must Play

Under 4.5 (-145)Winner "if he dies he dies"

 

1.25

Cam Newton (Panthers) Total Completions - Must Play

Under 21.5 (-115)Winner

 

Eric Decker (Broncos) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 43.5 (-115)Loser

 

Eric Decker (Broncos) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3 (-115)Loser

 

1.7

Aaron Hernandez (Patriots) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4.5 (-140)Winner

 

1.1

Jeremy Maclin (Eagles) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 3 (-140)Push fock off Desaen you cant line up correctly

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

I think this is a nice spot for one of those trap games. Both teams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Though Tampa Bay went from -18 to -30 ATS in the last 2 games. There should be a bounce back from that. Dallas can still make the playoffs even if they lose this game. Since when does Dallas just win games they're supposed to this year?

 

Tampa Bay +7 (2 units) LOSER

Tampa Bay Even(+280) (1 unit) LOSER <<<==== Holy cow look at the retard pick of the week!

[fantasy master 0]

I think this is a nice spot for one of those trap games. Both teams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. Though Tampa Bay went from -18 to -30 ATS in the last 2 games. There should be a bounce back from that. Dallas can still make the playoffs even if they lose this game. Since when does Dallas just win games they're supposed to this year?

 

Tampa Bay +7 (2 units)

Tampa Bay Even(+280) (1 unit)

I guess you still have the 2nd half lol 28-0

[phillybear 365]

NCAA Basketball: 204-180-8; +20.05 units

NFL Football: 96-73-7; +35.2642 units

International Soccer: 4-3; +.05 units

NCAA Football: 150-156-11; -73.2685 units (I suck)

 

Sunday. Well, yesterday was a historically awful day. Will add more.

 

NCAA Basketball for 5 units

Oral Roberts (+7) WINNER

Yale (-2.5) WINNER

South Dakota (-7,-6.5) LOSER

Missouri (-33) WINNER

Oregon 1st H (+1)@-105 WINNER

Oregon (+2.5) LOSER

Eastern Illinois (+17.5) WINNER

Montana St (+4) LOSER

1st H Eastern Ill (+9)@-105 WINNER

1st H Montana St (+2) LOSER

 

 

English Premier League Soccer for 5 units

Liverpool (PK)@-250 WINNER

Manchester City (-1)@+115 PUSH

 

NFL for 5 units

Washington (+6) WINNER

Kansas City (+11) WINNER

Minnesota (+8) LOSER

Seattle (+3.5) WINNER

Miami (+2) WINNER

Carolina (+6) WINNER

Tennessee (-6.5) LOSER

 

Oakland (+3)@-130 WINNER

Denver (+7.5)@-130 LOSER

NY Jets (+3.5)@-130 LOSER

Arizona (-6) LOSER

 

Baltimore 1t H (PK)@-120 LOSER

Baltimore (-1.5) LOSER

 

Good luck to all

 

Edit:

NCAA Basketball: 210-184-8; +28.05 units

NFL Football: 102-80-7; +24.2642 units

International Soccer: 5-3-1; +5.05 units

NCAA Football: 150-156-11; -73.2685 units (I suck)

[GobbleDog 822]

Feeling lucky!

 

MIA +2

CHI -3

NYG -5.5

MIN +7

HOU -6

IND +7

STL +7

DEN +7

DET -1.5

NYJ +3

ARI -6

KC +11.5

BAL -2.5

[bjsteel 34]

Everyone must be on Kyle Orton's band wagon! LOL No thanks, will stick with GB.

[phillybear 365]

Everyone must be on Kyle Orton's band wagon! LOL No thanks, will stick with GB.

 

That GB/KC line has driven me to insanity. Green Bay this morning is seeing 83% of the action. The line is 13.5. So I think that instead of buying up to +14, I'll wait to see the line go up. Much to my shock, the line dropped to 13, then 12, then 11.5, then finally to 11. Where it has sat for the last 2 hours. Un-focking-believable. The line move made no sense whatsoever, and I lost 2.5 points on line value. Motherfocker. The game is a trap, but I wish I had more line insurance with Kansas City.

[JT 137]

That GB/KC line has driven me to insanity. Green Bay this morning is seeing 83% of the action. The line is 13.5. So I think that instead of buying up to +14, I'll wait to see the line go up. Much to my shock, the line dropped to 13, then 12, then 11.5, then finally to 11. Where it has sat for the last 2 hours. Un-focking-believable. The line move made no sense whatsoever, and I lost 2.5 points on line value. Motherfocker. The game is a trap, but I wish I had more line insurance with Kansas City.

 

LOL Doing exactly the same thing. Think I'll just stay away...this minute.

[ru93 0]

It's not looked good for me as far as the 1oclock games.

 

Took the Packers to score over 30 points, Chiefs has gave up over 30 points in 3 out of there last 6 games...Packers had scored over 30 points 9 out of there 13 games this year. Seemed smart

 

Also did my 4 team ML parlay with the Saints, Packers, Titans, and Giants.....Giants and Titans both losing.

[ru93 0]

Had a terrible week.

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Monday night = Redemption time

 

 

I don't want to dwell on the awesomeness of my Tampa Bay pick so time to move on.

 

At the beginning of week 15, 4 AFC teams were tied for the #1 seed if the clock stopped. Houston had the inside track by way of tiebreakers. Now, 2 out of the 3 teams lost outright(Baltimore, and Houston) thus leaving the #1 seed and #2 seed positions open to the Patriots and Steelers for safe keeping. I don't care if the Steelers start a quarterback off the street, they're not losing this game. This is huge incentive to be able to jump in front of a team that beat them twice and another team that beat them once. The Steelers know how to play big games and they know how to play road games. So, in an attempt to redeem myself I'll be playing the Steelers moneyline. I think this is actually a chance for the Steelers to redeem themselves. This line didn't come out until late in the week. I think it's an artificial line, one that Vegas had to come up with because there is a game on the schedule. I don't think they have it right. Today is the 19th, the Steelers didn't play since the 8th, where they beat Cleveland without much stress. Prior to that the Steelers whipped up on Cincinatti 35-7, December 4th.

 

So,does anybody else have lean or some kind of gut feel on this game? Steelers are 3 point dogs with an OVER/UNDER of 38.

[swirvenirvin 25]

Antonio Brown (Steelers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 65.5 (-125) Winner

 

Rashard Mendenhall (Steelers) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Under 57.5 (even) Loser

 

Steelers - Total Completions vs the 49ers

Over 19.5 (-115)Winner

[ru93 0]

Monday night = Redemption time

 

 

 

Lets hope!

 

MNF bets:

 

Total score is over 37 1/2 points

 

Vernon Davis -5 1/2 receiving yards vs Heath Miller

 

A. Brown over 4 receptions

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Steelers Even (+130); 3 units

[ru93 0]

Man I had a rough week.