Strength of Candidate support predicts Trump win in 2020

[JustinCharge 2,397]

https://assets.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/5/2012/11/11-4-12-5.png img of historical data

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2012/11/04/obama-gains-edge-in-campaigns-final-days/   historical data

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2020/08/13/the-2020-trump-biden-matchup/     trump leads

https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2016/07/07/2-voter-general-election-preferences/    2016 was a tie altho this data was from July 2016

"Strength of Candidate Support" simply compares what percentage of each candidate's supporters "strongly support" their candidate.  This simple measure has correctly predicted 10 of the last 13 elections.  The question was not asked in 1992.  In 1976 and 2016, it was a tie.

In 2020, Trump is running away with this statistic.  66% of people who support Trump support him strongly.  46% of people who support Biden support him strongly.  This suggests that the lack of a real primary to Trump could be hiding this true level of support (to me at least).

 

[Baker Boy 1,712]

I think this election should be who strongly disapproves the other candidate. That is what the Democrats are banking on, that and voter fraud.

I watched Biden speak to today, 90% was Trump bashing and it had to be a least 20 minutes long. He took MSM questions after and only two questions weren’t about Trump. 

[Fireballer 2,718]

7 hours ago, Baker Boy said:

He took MSM questions after and only two questions weren’t about Trump. 

 

[Baker Boy 1,712]

17 minutes ago, Fireballer said:

 

This stuff is so transparent as to the Media bias, it makes me sick that so many Americans buy it without question.