Championship round betting analysis

[vuduchile 1,941]

This data illustrates how investing in cards can pay off vs. betting the moneyline.

In the world of football cards, QB's are by far the most collectable and investable cards.   So last week:

If you had:

Bet $1000 on the GB moneyline your net loss would be $1000. 

If you had:

Bought 1 Aaron Rodgers PSA 10 rookie card at $1300, your net loss would be $350, as the card is now worth $950.  

If you had:

Bet $4000 on the TB moneyline, your net gain would be $6400.00. 

If you had:

Bought Tom Brady's PSA 10 Rookie card at $4500, your net gain would be $17500.00 as the card is now worth $22,000.   

If you had:

Bet $1000 on the Bills moneyline, your net loss would be $1000.00

If you had bought a Josh Allen PSA 10 rookie card for $950,  your net loss would be $200 as the card is now worth $750.00.

If you had:

Bet $10,000 on the Chiefs moneyline, your net gain would be $10,000

If you had:

Bought Patrick Mahomes' PSA 10 Rookie card for $9000.00, your net gain would be $6000, as the card is now worth $15,000.  

 

If you had: bet the moneyline amounts above for both losing teams, your net loss would be $2000.

If you had bought the cards of both losing QB's, your net loss would be $550.00 and you'd still have the cards.

If you had: bet the moneyline amounts above on both winners, your net gain would be $16400

If you had bought the cards of both winning QB's your net gain would be $23,500.

 

At a quick glance, it looks like this data holds up when you drill down to PSA 9, raw cards and 2nd tier rookie cards.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Hawkeye21 1,854]

4 minutes ago, vuduchile said:

This data illustrates how investing in cards can pay off vs. betting the moneyline.

In the world of football cards, QB's are by far the most collectable and investable cards.   So last week:

If you had:

Bet $1000 on the GB moneyline your net loss would be $1000. 

If you had:

Bought 1 Aaron Rodgers PSA 10 rookie card at $1300, your net loss would be $350, as the card is now worth $950.  

If you had:

Bet $4000 on the TB moneyline, your net gain would be $6400.00. 

If you had:

Bought Tom Brady's PSA 10 Rookie card at $4500, your net gain would be $17500.00 as the card is now worth $22,000.   

If you had:

Bet $1000 on the Bills moneyline, your net loss would be $1000.00

If you had bought a Josh Allen PSA 10 rookie card for $950,  your net loss would be $200 as the card is now worth $750.00.

If you had:

Bet $10,000 on the Chiefs moneyline, your net gain would be $10,000

If you had:

Bought Patrick Mahomes' PSA 10 Rookie card for $9000.00, your net gain would be $6000, as the card is now worth $15,000.  

 

If you had: bet the moneyline amounts above for both losing teams, your net loss would be $2000.

If you had bought the cards of both losing QB's, your net loss would be $550.00 and you'd still have the cards.

If you had: bet the moneyline amounts above on both winners, your net gain would be $16400

If you had bought the cards of both winning QB's your net gain would be $23,500.

 

At a quick glance, it looks like this data holds up when you drill down to PSA 9, raw cards and 2nd tier rookie cards.  

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

If a card has a certain worth, does that mean you're going to get that amount if you try to sell it?

[vuduchile 1,941]

1 minute ago, Hawkeye21 said:

If a card has a certain worth, does that mean you're going to get that amount if you try to sell it?

In today's market, yes. Cards have become extremely liquid.