Ray_T

12 team. there is a link to the mock draft page on the main fftoday page. check out the picks. I have yet to draft a QB so you'd at least approve of that part.

Had to take a couple minutes to compose myself. Mr. Landry and Robb sniped both the guys I was planning on taking. I love both McBride and Zamir White, but alas it wasnt meant to be. such is the curse of drafting on the turn. either way, Kittle is nice consolation prize. 1000 yards receiving last year. Thats better than nearly all of the WR left on the board. Not keen on the fact he gets injured as often as he does, but beggers cant be choosers, the talent level drops off significantly for TE from here on out. Then I decided to take a risk with Swift. hes also often injured but playing in an offense in Chicago that could potentially be explosive. And with the rookie at QB its also possible they will run the ball a lot. Lots of uncertainty with this player but lots of upside too. he is my third RB but can play in my flex spot so this feels like a no brainer.

6.01-RB D'Andre Swift, CHI

5.12 TE George Kittle-SF

I'm in Calgary. no risks associated with the fire other than the fact we are breathing in smoky air and the weather being exceptionally hot. Most of the fires are in Northern Alberta and I live in Southern Alberta so there is no safety concern for me. I do appreciate your concern. Thanks for asking.

a legitimate concern. There is significant risk here. lots of people dont see it that way because Tua was healthy last year, but the effects of a concussion are cumulative. that doesnt go away. Not completely anyways. and this is a risk many are not taking into account when taking Miami guys. I just took Waddle in the July Mock. his ADP in the source I checked was at #20 overall but I took him at #37. at that point I felt the risk was more in line with the reward. And given how many good drafters passed him over up to that point, I have to think many of them felt the same about his risks.

I dont either. I'm just saying hes not the top TE on my draft board.

There is always an exception to every rule. I drafted RB-RB on the turn in the July Mock, but all the WR I felt were worthy of a first round pick were gone. sometimes when the draft turns in a way you dont expect you are forced to make hard decisions. In my case I had to reach for a WR I felt wasnt worthy of a first round pick or draft 2 RB's who I felt were. granted its a 12 teamer and not a 10 teamer so that makes a difference. But you need to be willing to pivot based on what the draft is giving you and I dont like joining in on the end of a run at any position. if 7 or 8 RB were taken in round 1 like in last year's Mock and I came up at the turn I might have taken one, possibly two WR. but the draft didnt fall that way. Its a classic case of having to go to plan B.

to add to this, there is only one other TE in the history of the NFL that has produced at this level at the age Kelce currently is. Tony Gonzalez food for your thoughts. while I do think hes still a startable TE. I just dont know that hes the #1 TE in the game anymore.

agreed. good pick.

I think honestly its all about how he performs. last year his burst didnt seem good at all. but I also wasnt expecting it to be. thats one of the last things to return when you injure your ACL. and given that he damaged other ligaments too I'm not surprised. but at this point if he goes into camp and still has no burst, they will likely turf him if they think he cannot recover from the injury. ACL isnt a career killer like it once was, but when you combine it with other injuries within the knee it can still kill a career. but with ligaments its so subjective. in talking with a doctor friend of mine he says there are a number of factors that affect how the ligament heals and we dont get access to that information through the press. all we hear is that its a torn ACL/MCL/PCL (or whatever). so there is no way of knowing, but the team knows and their doctors are on it (at least I would assume they are) this is one of those where I'd look at the camp reports. if you hear reports that his burst still isnt back, that would be concerning. but if you hear hes looking good, I'd consider moving him up your board. Sadly this doesnt help you if you are drafting this week but it may help those who are drafting closer to the start of the season when most drafts are done.

I read that article and it actually looks like speculation and click bait. yes he didnt have a good year last season, but we also know he was recovering from an ACL tear where other ligaments were damaged too. that takes longer to recover from I suspect. (at least it should) the second ligament damaged will naturally affect the rehab. I was avoiding him at the draft table last year for this very reason. I do agree if he cant turn it around this year, it may not end up happening but it might be too early to write him off

to be clear, the only reason to keep McCaffrey is if you think you can win it all this year. if you cant, a trade is likely in your best interest. I dont think CMC has a lot of staying power. hes at the top of his game now, but I'd be surprised if he can stay at the top more than 1 more year. Hes pretty fragile, and a guy like that who takes up that much of your budget is kind of a dangerous player to keep on the roster. that said, if you think you have a championship roster, you swing for the fences and see what comes of it. hopefully he stays healthy for you.

what is it with these college speedsters who keep getting hurt when they make the pros. its like if you get faster than 4.3 on the 40 you suddenly are getting injured all the time. pulled hammy, strained calf. whatever.

It is still early, but Javonte had himself a nice rookie season, but when you tear multiple ligaments in the knee its a tougher recovery than just a plain old ACL tear. To be frank I didnt like him at all last year as I felt not enough time had passed for the knee to be where it needed to be. but he needs to step up this year. I think he can, but its one of those wait and see things. At the end of the day if he cant beat out Perine, his career is likely done.

I think AJ brown is pretty safe too. Hes produced everywhere he goes. biggest risk is injury to his QB or to himself. Ditto for Tyreek. higher upside but higher risk of injury to his QB who has had concussion issues. I value them pretty close to the same but give the edge to Tyreek who has the higher upside (assuming good health)

there is also the risk that he gets hurt. health has been a concern for Stafford. but given Kupps Ceiling I can see McVay finding creative ways to keep them both productive. I also noticed Puka was not nearly as productive when Kupp was on the field (on average) so this made me think its not a given that Puka is better than Kupp for fantasy (though I fully admit its possible) and also Kupps last couple years were not where they should be but he was also injured. I think he gets a chance to prove he can still play just because of how high he proved his ceiling can be.

remember the big media outlets write their articles to get clicks. they accuracy and research are secondary) they also need to have new content often so they can keep making money from the clicks. food for your thoughts

Wanted to Take Deebo and Pickens here. nice floor for Deebo due to rush yards and if Aiyuk leaves/holds out his ceiling will be higher. Either way, I needed a WR so I took the next WR on my list which was Pickens. an 1100 yard WR with a QB who is not starting in the NFL anymore. I have to think the change to Wilson should help his numbers (at least on the TD side if not overall) Waddle (round 4) I considered a reasonably safe pick. only downside risks is injury to himself or Tua, but I was willing to accept this risk at this point in the draft.

4.01 Jaylen Waddle, MIA

3.12 George Pickens, PIT

I am in Alberta, Canada. its 3pm here wont be an issue for me

he is. no question. but I think part of his issue was that he wasnt healthy all year long. its still a decent pick if you think he stays healthy

in a best ball format, its all about the upside. Especially at this position. if he gets 200 yards one week and zero the next, you are not actually getting zero. You're getting what the 3rd best RB on your roster is getting. so his ups and downs will be forgiveable so long as his good games are big like they were last year. further to this, his ADP last I checked was #24 overall. so by both standards this is a decent pick at this point in the draft. especially if you have a need at RB

initially my plan was to take a WR and a RB at the turn, but the run on WR at the start made me pivot. but if I'd have followed the original plan he was one of the guys I was hoping would fall to me at the end of round 3.