Democrats lead in U.S. election: Reuters poll

[D'ohmer Simpson 0]

Dems will favor Dems obviously, but independants favor the Dems and the Repubs are having a hard time with their own base. Even the Repubs don't like the Repubs in power.

 

 

 

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Voters strongly favor Democratic candidates over Republicans in the November 7 congressional election and harbor growing doubts about the Iraq war and the country's future, according to a Reuters/Zogby poll released on Thursday.

 

Two weeks before voters decide which party controls the U.S. Congress, Republicans trail Democrats among independents and are still struggling to shore up their base conservative supporters, the poll found.

 

Democrats have an 11-point edge, 44 percent to 33 percent, when voters are asked which party's candidate they will support, up slightly from a 9-point lead in the last Reuters/Zogby poll a month ago.

.......

Large majorities give President George W. Bush and the Republican-led Congress negative marks for their job performance and think the country is on the wrong track.

.........

"There is no question Republicans are in trouble. There is also no question a lot of races remain competitive," pollster John Zogby said. "But it's a big hill for Republicans to climb and it's getting very late."rink

[DanXIII 8]

The only problem with national polls is that they don't always capture the sentiment of individual, tight races.

[tony hardware 0]

Who the fvck cares. We all know Reps are in disfavor at all levels across the country. The dems will take back seats and every left wing nutjob will be posting about it between now and when these losers are sworn in. Each post will have the same underlying message, which is:

 

dems.

 

Not a very difficult concept. So, from now on, just post:

 

dems.

 

And we'll all know what you're talking about. Politics is cyclical. When the dems fvck up in 8 years, us reps will be saying:

 

reps.

 

Facts of life (and not in the 80's sitcom kind of way).

[Chronic Husker 86]

Zogby also predicted Kerry to beat Bush.

[BUCKYDENT'78 0]

Let's not read too much into these polls. Republicans are too busy working keeping the economy going to take part in these idiotic polls. The natrue and the existence of these polls are geared to the Democratic base.

[D'ohmer Simpson 0]

When the dems fvck up in 8 years,

Dems had control for 40 years. Repubs blew it in only 12

[tony hardware 0]

Dems had control for 40 years. Repubs blew it in only 12

 

Ok captain technicality. You know what I mean . . . it's cyclical.

[The Total Package 0]

The only problem with national polls is that they don't always capture the sentiment of individual, tight races.

 

Yep. National polls mean nothing as far as midterm elections go. Only polls of each individual district mean anything. And most districts are gerrymandered to the point of one-party rule these days.

[Uh-huh 0]

Let's not read too much into these polls. Republicans are too busy working stealing keeping the economy going to line their own pockets to take part in these idiotic inconvenient polls.

 

Fixored.

[DanXIII 8]

No matter what the national polls say, this is going to be a close election in many districts and there is no guarantee that the Reps will lose the House, let alone Congress.

 

The #1 reason that these national polls are meaningless: gerrymandering. The Reps have had 12 years to secure their districts, so even though national sentiment and even local sentiment in some cases may lean one way the district may still vote the other.

 

Check out a map of these congressional districts sometime. Many of them look like they were created by someone spilling a box of Legos onto a map and then tracing around them.

[ProfessorZ 0]

There should be a poll about how much Americans jerk off to polls. Then a poll about that poll.

 

Only then will we understand what we'll do before we do it.

 

:haidspod:

[Voltaire 5,522]

The districts were gerrymandered to concentrate Dem voters in a few districts and give many Republicans smaller majorities but spread those majorities out over the rest of the map. In other words, if the votes split evenly between parties, the Dem wins one district with 80% of the vote while three nearby Republicans win with 55% of the vote.

 

The hope for the Dems is to have enough support to win elections in these Republican leaning districts.

 

Here's an electoral map of house races based on local polls ... you can see how they break individually. From here you can modify it and you can see the latest polls on Senate and governor's races.

 

http://www.nytimes.com/ref/washington/2006...t=houCALCULATOR

[ProfessorZ 0]

The districts were gerrymandered to concentrate Dem voters in a few districts and give many Republicans smaller majorities but spread those majorities out over the rest of the map. In other words, if the votes split evenly between parties, the Dem wins one district with 80% of the vote while three nearby Republicans win with 55% of the vote.

 

The hope for the Dems is to have enough support to win elections in these Republican leaning districts.

 

Here's an electoral map of house races based on local polls ... you can see how they break individually. From here you can modify it and you can see the latest polls on Senate and governor's races.

 

http://www.nytimes.com/ref/washington/2006...t=houCALCULATOR

 

This is why I love the Geek Board sometimes: the most politically articulate person in the thread lives in Communist China.