***Official Week #2 NFL Football Gambling Thread***

[JT 137]

Where the action is going....

 

Pittsburgh 67% over Buffalo

Cincinnati 92% over Cleveland

Indianapolis 78% over Tennessee

Carolina 58% over Houston

St Louis 66% over San Francisco

Green Bay 64% over NY Giants

Jacksonville 61% over Atlanta

New Orleans 93% over Tampa Bay

Detroit 51% over Minnesota

Dallas 84% over Miami

Seattle 76% over Arizona

Baltimore 62% over NY Jets

Denver 68% over Oakland

Chicago 72% over Kansas City

New England 59% over San Diego

Philadelphia 61% over Washington

 

Important stuff. That's four road favorites getting a disproportionate share of the action in a league where there's few things more important than home field. And three of those are playing division opponents, while the fourth is an NFC @ AFC matchup.

[Yer mom 2]

This mornings plays:

 

Indianapolis/Tennessee OVER 45.5

 

 

Sucker Bet

 

Pittsburgh -0

San Francisco +13

Atlanta +20

 

Seems safe

 

Good Luck!!

[Bouve 0]

NFL: 7-8-1 +.21 units

 

Cincinnati -6.5 1 unit to win .91 units

Indianapolis -7 1 unit to win .98 units

New Orleans -3.5 1 unit to win .962 units

St Louis -3 1 unit to win 1 unit

Seattle -3 1 unit to win 1.04 units

Miami ML 1 unit to win 1.79 units

Miami +3.5 1 unit to win .918 units

New York Jets ML 1 unit to win 4.15 units

New York Jets +9.5 1 unit to win .944 units

San Diego ML 1 unit to win 1.75 units

San Diego +3.5 1 unit to win .962 units

 

Teaser #1: 1 unit to win 2.6 units

 

CIN -1

IND -1

NO +2

SEA +3

 

Parlay #1: 1 unit to win 3.148 units

 

CIN ML

IND ML

NO ML

SEA ML

 

My final card. Decided to try a teaser and parlay. Lost some units yesterday in NCAA, hopefully I can get some back today.

[cribdog 0]

NFL posted 0-0

 

Nothing I love today, but a lot I lean to. All 1 unit plays.

 

Buffalo +10

Ten +7

Hou +6.5

GB +3

Atl +10

NO -4

Det -3

Mia +3.5

NYJ +9.5

SD +3.5

 

Good luck!

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

YTD 0-0

 

Plays

 

Cincy -7 two units

NO -3.5 one unit

Det -3 one unit

Bears -12 one unit

Bears UNDER 35 one unit

SD +3.5 one unit

 

May add Seattle

 

gl to all

[thekris 0]

I forgot to go back and check my record so far for the year. Think it's like 2-5 or something equally awful. Bouncing back this week with these gems!

 

Cincinnati -7.5 (3 units)

Dallas -4 (6 units)

New Orleans -3 (3 units) - Put that game in on Monday. I knew the line would jump.

2 Team Teaser Houston +12.5 Philly -.5 (2 units)

Indy -7 (4 units) - put this in Monday also figuring the line would jump but it didn't move too much.

 

Prop bet: Brady more passing yards than Rivers. Took Brady at -28.5 yds. (.5 unit) - Hedging fantasy football. I have Rivers and my opponent has Brady

[GiantsRule 0]

Parlays are for people that don't like money.

 

Damn. I'll just tell my sportsbook to refund the two NFL 3-teamers and the MLB 2-teamer I won last week. Must have been a mistake!

[GiantsRule 0]

Getting in an instant gratification parlay early as the lines will likely change. Numbers are pretty low this time around due to the perceived defense. Honestly, I like a lot of the 4 p.m. games even better, but some of the lines (particularly NYJ-Balt) aren't up yet so I'll just put it in sometime Sunday:

 

3-team first half parlay:

 

Bills/Steelers Under 18 1H

Texans/Panthers Under 19.5 1H

Falcons/Jax Under 17.5 1H

 

Good luck to all and Happy New Year to my Jewish brethren (if any)!

 

 

Eccch. Over by the first quarter. I was on the fence about the Texans game the most so naturally, that's the one that kills me. Sucks more because most other games in the early hour are defensive struggles.

 

Put my instant gratification parlay in for 4 p.m. while one of the totals continues to dip:

 

NYJ-Balt Under 17 (-120)

KC-Chi Under 17

Oak-Den Under 19

 

Will also keep an eye on some of these 2nd half plays in the early slate. Good luck to all!

 

[Bouve 0]

Added IND ML 10 units to win 5.32 units.

 

I figure with them up 10 at halftime, a win shouldn't be an issue.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I have some stupid plays today, don't like em, can't stay away:

 

NFL

11-8 (+4.1 units)

 

NCAA

31-26-2 (+8.65 units)

 

 

Bengals -4 1st Half LOSER

Cowboys -.5 1st Quarter LOSER

Cowboys -3 1st Half WIN

Cowboys -1 2nd Quarter 3 units WIN

Bears/Chiefs over 7 1st Quarter LOSER

Bears -3 1st Quarter 2 units LOSER

Bears -4 2nd Quarter WIN

Bears/Chiefs over 10.5 2nd Quarter WIN

Seahawks/Cards over 7.5 1st Quarter LOSER FOCK!

Patriots -3 1st Half

Anquan Bolden over 70.5 yards

Larry Fitzgerald over 70.5 yards

Tavaris Jackson under 190.5 yards (2units)

[GiantsRule 0]

2nd half plays:

 

Ind-Tenn Over 21.5 (-105) - 1 unit

 

Car-Hou Over 20.5 - 2 units

 

Cin-Cle Over 23.5 - 3 units

 

Good luck to all!

[JT 137]

If Vegas makes it look that easy, either go against it or just stay the hell away. If this line doesn't raise an eyebrow, no offense but you shouldn't be betting the NFL. Something stinks here.

 

Most likely, I think Vegas is practically alone in realizing the Saints are not some kind of juggernaut. IMO they were overrated going into the Colts game - they get their heads handed to them and still people are talking like they are a SB team. I don't get it.

 

The line is -3.5? Saints will win by a FG, or Tampa pulls the upset, and Vegas wins a lot of dough this weekend.

 

Outstanding heads-up on people overrating the Saints. Excellent job!

[The.Damned 0]

Frigging bengals, had them -7 and in my parlay. just giving back all the money I rescued in NCAA yesterday. I wish i would hae picked up texans DST instead of Bengals.

[JT 137]

Important stuff. That's four road favorites getting a disproportionate share of the action in a league where there's few things more important than home field. And three of those are playing division opponents, while the fourth is an NFC @ AFC matchup.

 

ETA: Should have noted the fifth team that met this criteria, and which had the heaviest % bet on them: New Orleans.

Great info as usual from phillybear.

[GiantsRule 0]

2nd half plays:

 

Cin-Cle Over 23.5 - 3 units

 

Good luck to all!

 

EASIEST...MONEY...EVER! So pissed I didn't go even bigger. I don't think the defense is even taking the field.

 

Doesn't look like Carolina or Houston care about scoring anymore which kind of stinks.

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Need a 4 team parlay to save a disatrous weekend:

 

 

Chicago -9.5, Detroit -2.5, Dallas -2.5, Raiders +11.5

[GiantsRule 0]

2nd half plays:

 

Ind-Tenn Over 21.5 (-105) - 1 unit

 

Car-Hou Over 20.5 - 2 units

 

Cin-Cle Over 23.5 - 3 units

 

Good luck to all!

 

Thanks for the two-play, 99-yard drive TD, Delhomme! Need Young to get the Titans into FG range for the sweep.

[GiantsRule 0]

Thanks for the two-play, 99-yard drive TD, Delhomme! Need Young to get the Titans into FG range for the sweep.

 

So much for that. At least I only lost my smallest play. As an added bonus, Pats' fans are whining and kicking sh!t because the Colts didn't lose!

[jmueller44 0]

Max Power Premonitions - NFL Week #2

Road Warrior Special

 

#1 Green Bay Packers +2.5 (-105) @ NY Giants

Green Bay 20 - NY Giants 13

___________________________________________________

 

#3 New Orleans Saints -3 (-135) @ Tampa Bay Buc's

New Orleans 31 - Tampa Bay 20

Couldn't have been much closer to dead on for the GB game Vs NYG. Big 2nd half by GB and there is nothing left for the NYG to do.

Couldn't have been more wrong on the NO Saints.

1 Win

1 Loss

1 yet to go Dallas -3

(plus the added MN Vikings ML wager)

[ToledoLurch 0]

NFL - YTD 2-3-2 down 1.45 units

 

Today's card

Cincy -7 - loser

Carolina -7 - loser

Atlanta +10.5 - 2 units - winner

Dallas -4

Denver -10 - 2 units

 

added late:

 

NY Jets +10

 

Atlanta is my play of the day...too many points.

 

right on with ATL so far...but not much else. A day for the dogs.

[The.Damned 0]

ANybody loading up Dallas -1?

[The.Damned 0]

ANybody loading up Dallas -1?

 

Nevermind, apparently i shouldn't have. I killed it last week, this week, can't pick a winner with a dart.

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

I hope Dallas can turn it around. But the Raiders get 3.5 for the 2nd half. That means oddsmakers are saying Denver will by more than 17.5 for the game. Raiders haven't shown much all game, but I hope they can get it together in the 2nd half.

[teddytime 0]

what do we all like this evening i think I'm leaning towards San diego and the over

[Bouve 0]

Needless to say I got raped today. I am honestly considering just packing it in for the year. It seems no matter what I am on the losing end. Its a constant uphill battle.

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

what do we all like this evening i think I'm leaning towards San diego and the over

 

I do like San Diego, not sure about the over yet..... I know I'll be making a play though.

 

Remember Sunday night is a favorite's night. I can dig up some stats to back that up I think.

 

Let's see, wouldn't this be a big revenge game for San Diego? I'm not saying that's all it will take, but it's something to put on the San Diego side of things.

[GiantsRule 0]

Two-team parlay (pays about 3.5 to 1):

 

San Diego ML (+160)

San Diego-New England Over 46.5

 

Prop play:

 

Antonio Gates to have more than 59.5 yards receiving

 

Good luck to all!

 

[phillybear 366]

Overall NFL YTD: 2-5; -4.0 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 1-2; -1.7 units

 

Struggled with the NFL week one, where almost every favorite covered. I'm looking for the dogs to bounce back a bit today.

 

For .5 units each

Cleveland (+7) WINNER

Tennessee (+7)@-115 WINNER

Houston (+6.5) WINNER

San Francisco (+3.5)@-120 WINNER

Green Bay (+2.5) WINNER

Minnesota (+3)@-105 PUSH

Miami (+3.5) LOSER

NY Jets (+10) WINNER

 

3 team teaser for 1 unit WINNER

Pittsburgh (PK)

Houston (+16.5)

Jacksonville (PK)

 

3 team teaser for 1 unit WINNER

Arizona (+13)

Oakland (+19.5)

Chicago (-1.5)

 

Good luck to all.

 

Nice day, considering I was playing small amounts and even did a couple of teasers for the first time in a very long time.

 

On the day, 8-1-1; +4.45 units, and back in the positive numbers.

 

Overall NFL YTD: 10-6-1; +.45 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 1-2; -1.7 units

[cribdog 0]

NFL posted 0-0

 

Nothing I love today, but a lot I lean to. All 1 unit plays.

 

Buffalo +10 Loser

Ten +7 winner

Hou +6.5 winner

GB +3 winner

Atl +10 winner

NO -4 loser

Det -3 Push

Mia +3.5 loser

NYJ +9.5 winner

SD +3.5

 

Good luck!

 

good day...5-3-1. Making SD 2 units!

[Yer mom 2]

Two-team parlay (pays about 3.5 to 1):

 

Antonio Gates to have more than 59.5 yards receiving

 

 

Thats freakin excellent for what should be a game where the offenses are moving the ball, going to look at that

 

On the day, 8-1-1; +4.45 units, and back in the positive numbers.

 

 

Wow, thats a strong day!

 

Good Luck!!

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Two-team parlay (pays about 3.5 to 1):

 

San Diego ML (+160)

San Diego-New England Over 46.5

 

This looks juicy. But I"m trying to get myself to realize that favorites don't always cover on Sunday night. If I can cross that hump psychologically, I'd probably take San Diego. It sure seems like alot of points will be scored, so that over could cash as well. Here are probably some irrelavent stats that are holding me up right now. Maybe somebody can tell me why San Diego will win or cover................outside of the big revenge factor.

 

In 2003 Favorites covered all 4 of the first 4 Sunday nights.

In 2004 Favorites covered 8 of the first 9 Sunday nights.

In 2005 Favorites covered 5 of the first 6 Sunday nights, and the 6th game was a push.

In 2006 Favorites covered 4 of the first 5 Sunday nights.

In 2007 Favorites covered 1 of 1 Sunday nights played.

[UNCDave 0]

NFL 3-2-0 (+1.59)

Ok, gotta make a comeback on Sunday to make up for my horrible Sat, then maybe make a good play Monday, we'll see.

 

Cincy -7 (1 Unit to win .87) - (-1)

Indy -7 (1 unit to win .87) - (-1)

NO -3 (1 Unit to win .74) - (-1)

Dallas -3.5 (1 Unit to win .87) - (+.87)

 

So far today is looking like yesterday 1-3-0 (-2.13U)

 

Putting 2 more plays in for the week, if they hit will actually give me an overall winning weekend, wouldn't that be crazy?

 

SDC ML +170 (1U)

Was ML +250 (1U)

[GiantsRule 0]

Thats freakin excellent for what should be a game where the offenses are moving the ball, going to look at that

 

Good Luck!!

 

Bumped up the Gates play based on your reaction.

 

By the way, thanks for the USC-Nebraska over. Was out of town with the wife but placed a large bet before I left. Hit by the 3rd quarter and the game was the shootout you predicted!

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

I want to play San Diego, but need reasons to make me commit. I like the revenge factor for SD. Will all the spying that Billacheck was found guilty of , make his coaching game go flat tonight?

[Yer mom 2]

Bumped up the Gates play based on your reaction.

 

By the way, thanks for the USC-Nebraska over. Was out of town with the wife but placed a large bet before I left. Hit by the 3rd quarter and the game was the shootout you predicted!

 

 

Yeah that game went as I figured it would fortunately, had quite a decent amount of coins on that and the FLA/TENN OVER.

 

With Harrison and Seymour still out, I love the Gates prop. They have to start to respect Vincent Jackson a bit now, id be amazed if Gates didnt get 60, looking at it now...

 

 

Good Luck!!

[Day Old Doughnut 0]

Looks like I'm in the minority. I'm taking the under which sucks given the scoring today and how I have Tomlinson. Oh well, we'll see how it goes.

[JT 137]

NFL YTD 0-0

 

NCAA YTD 9-7

 

No plays week one to get a feel for things. Had I stuck with that typical approach in week one of NCAA play, I'd be sitting at 9-4 there. Live and learn.

 

A few I like this week. Let's see if I can start off well:

 

Chicago -12.5 KC: LOSER

 

Pittsburgh -10 Buffalo: WINNER

 

Arizona +3.5 Seattle: WINNER

 

Atlanta +10.5 @ Jax: WINNER

 

Cleveland +7.5 Cincy: WINNER

 

Miami +3.5 dallas: LOSER

 

4-2

 

NFL YTD 4-2

 

Should have stuck with my gut and avoided Miami game entirely (as I said I'd do in earlier post). I should never play anything involving dallas. Those pos c0cksuckers will find a way to screw me over every time.

 

Wow, the Chicago offensive backfield sucks. There's not one legit NFL starter between the threesome of Grossman, Benson and Peterson.

 

I'll avoid the two night games. Good luck to all!

[JetsFan28 0]

I'm on the Chargers 1st half team total over 10. GL tonight.

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Looks like I'm in the minority. I'm taking the under which sucks given the scoring today and how I have Tomlinson. Oh well, we'll see how it goes.

If the defenses take charge, and both are fairly good, we may have an under.

[Yer mom 2]

With Harrison and Seymour still out, I love the Gates prop. They have to start to respect Vincent Jackson a bit now, id be amazed if Gates didnt get 60, looking at it now...

Good Luck!!

 

 

Not being offered at the always ghey sportsbook.com. Kinda lookin at Tom Brady longest completion 38.5 yards. Cant see how that could miss with him and Moss on the same page