***Official Week 11 NFL Gambling Thread***

[Bouve 0]

Thursday:

 

New York Jets vs New England -3.5 (42)

 

Sunday:

 

Denver vs Atlanta -6 (51)

Oakland vs Miami -10.5 (38.5)

Baltimore vs New York Giants -6.5 (41.5)

Houston vs Indianapolis -9 (50)

Tennessee -3 vs Jacksonville (39.5)

Philadelphia -9 vs Cincinnati (42.5)

New Orleans -5.5 vs Kansas City (49.5)

Detroit vs Carolina -14 (39.5)

Minnesota vs Tampa Bay -3.5 (38.5)

San Diego vs Pittsburgh -4 (43)

Chicago vs Green Bay -3.5 (43)

St Louis vs San Francisco -6.5 (44.5)

Arizona -3 vs Seattle (47.5)

Dallas -1 vs Washington (42.5)

 

Monday:

 

Cleveland vs Buffalo -5 (42)

[Bouve 0]

Currently no line on CHI/GB and DAL/WAS. Will update when they are posted.

[Bouve 0]

[listen2me 23 1,591]

I have no opinion on the Thursday Night Game..

 

I have no clue why Tenn. is still not getting any love. Everyone wants to be that "Smart" gambler who sees the trap spread, but come on. How is that not money? I believe the Titans are undefeated ATS. Its just amazing that these lines keep coming out like this each week.

 

I like Houston with all those points. They play Indy tough.

 

And I like the Minny - TB, OVER.

[fantasy master 0]

You have something against the Seattle vs Arizona and St.Louis vs San Fran games?

[MTSkiBum 1,605]

I have no clue why Tenn. is still not getting any love. Everyone wants to be that "Smart" gambler who sees the trap spread, but come on. How is that not money? I believe the Titans are undefeated ATS. Its just amazing that these lines keep coming out like this each week.

 

GB covered against them 2 weeks ago.

[listen2me 23 1,591]

GB covered against them 2 weeks ago.

 

O yea....I think that is the only loss though. A team like Jax only getting 3, I will jump. 3.5 things start changing.

[worm 34]

How is Seattle only getting 3 points? Does Hasselbeck's return really make that much of a difference? I would be all over AZ to cover.

[Stewburtx8 67]

YTD Posting Record- 9-5-1

 

NE -3- Even when Brady went down, I've felt like the Pats would still find a way to win their division. This is a must win game if they want to do this as the Jets schedule gets very easy the rest of the way. These teams are very even across the board in offensive and defensive yardage numbers. This is more of a gut feeling play where I think the best coach in football finds a way to win at home in the rain.

 

KC +5.5- This KC team has been very feisty since Tyler Thigpen has taken over at QB, keeping it close against SD, Tampa, and the Jets (all teams id argue are better than the Saints. The offense continues to move the ball and put up some points. Now they get to play an awful Saints defense, and Larry Johnson may be returning to add another weapon to the offense. The Chiefs may win this game out right if Brees doesn't play out of his mind.

 

Philly -9- This may be a homer play again but the Eagles have covered pretty consistently this year against bad teams. The offense can put up points and the defense can be dominate against weaker opponents. The Eagles have won by 9 or more in all 5 of their wins this year and are actually 2nd in the NFL in point differential.

 

Seattle +3- Uggh..not sure why im backing Seattle here other than they should get some life back with the return of Hasselbeck. Hasselbeck has a much better repoirte with these receivers and I think they can score some points. Also, Arizona hasn't been a very good road team this year at 2-3 on the road including that very ugly loss at the Jets. Seattle is historically not an easy place to play.

 

Jax +3- This is probably my favorite game this week. I guess I'm not on board with Tennessee as a great team. They have the formula for success with great coaching, great defense, and a smash mouth running game. But isn't this the exact formula Jacksonville has used to be successful over the years? I just feel like Tenny can't continue to win these very close games. This might be the toughest road game they have left besides maybe Indy the last week of the season.

[swirvenirvin 25]

More props for tonights game

 

NFL YTD 61-35-1

 

Randy Moss (Patriots) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

No -120Loser

 

Randy Moss (Patriots) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Under 70.5 (-115) Winner

 

Thomas Jones (Jets) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

No +115 Loser

 

Thomas Jones (Jets) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Under 78.5 (even) Loser

 

Jets vs Patriots - Longest Made Field Goal of the Game

Under 43.5 (-115) Loser

 

Jets - Total Points

Under 19.5 (even) Loser

[listen2me 23 1,591]

YTD Posting Record- 9-5-1

Jax +3- This is probably my favorite game this week. I guess I'm not on board with Tennessee as a great team. They have the formula for success with great coaching, great defense, and a smash mouth running game. But isn't this the exact formula Jacksonville has used to be successful over the years? I just feel like Tenny can't continue to win these very close games. This might be the toughest road game they have left besides maybe Indy the last week of the season.

 

Sure, but Jax is a below average team. Don't you think the time too lose would have been last week? And they won by 7. I respect your pick, but I just can't throw money on a "well they have to lose eventually" thought. Hey maybe they do lose, go with your gut, but I have a hard time finding a reason why the Titans won't win by at least 3. They may not be "great" but they are over 3 pts better than Jax.

[Bouve 0]

NFL: 67-54-2

 

New England -2.5 LOSE

Denver +7 WIN

Denver/Atlanta O51 LOSE

New Orleans -3 1st half PUSH

New Orleans -3 2nd half WIN

New Orleans -5.5 WIN

Miami -6.5 1st half LOSE

Miami -4.5 2nd half LOSE

Philly -6.5 1st half LOSE

New York -3 2nd half PUSH

Tennessee -1 WIN

Arizona -1 1st half WIN

Arizona -.5 2nd half LOSE

Arizona -3 WIN

Dallas -1 WIN

[Bouve 0]

NFL: 67-54-2

 

New England -2.5

 

Taking NE tonight. Bought the .5.

 

Good Luck

[Stewburtx8 67]

Sure, but Jax is a below average team. Don't you think the time too lose would have been last week? And they won by 7. I respect your pick, but I just can't throw money on a "well they have to lose eventually" thought. Hey maybe they do lose, go with your gut, but I have a hard time finding a reason why the Titans won't win by at least 3. They may not be "great" but they are over 3 pts better than Jax.

 

Tennessee should of lost last week if Rex Grossman didn't hand them the game. While he only threw one pick he did miss a lot of open receivers. I think that game gave me less faith in Tennessee as they were completely unable to run the ball...20 yards on 29 carries. If you make Kerry Collins and their below average receiving core beat you, I think Tennessee becomes a much more beatable team. This Jacksonville team is physical and are not as bad as their 4-5 record. Injuries early in the season were their biggest downfall. A lot of people pegged this team as a top team in the AFC coming in to this year. The talent is there. And David Garrard is a much more efficient QB than Rex Grossman. I just like them at home in this spot. If you look at the total yards on offense/defense their is only a net 35 yards in Tennessee's favor. I think it will be a very physical, smash mouth type game. The Under is probably also a good play. Just my opinion. Good luck as always though.

[thetxstang 0]

More props for tonights game

 

NFL YTD 60-30-1

 

Randy Moss (Patriots) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

No -120

 

Randy Moss (Patriots) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Under 70.5 (-115)

 

Thomas Jones (Jets) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

No +115

 

Thomas Jones (Jets) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Under 78.5 (even)

 

Jets vs Patriots - Longest Made Field Goal of the Game

Under 43.5 (-115)

 

Jets - Total Points

Under 19.5 (even)

 

Man, I wish my book offered prop bets. You have amazing skills hitting on them. I'd bet everyone of yours for the rest of the season if I was able to. I fully expect you to go 5-1 with these tonight.

[phillybear 365]

NCAA YTD: 106-90-8; +22.9 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 17-16-1; -.8 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 57-43-1; +2.7 units

 

Thursday

 

NY Jets (+3)@-115 for 2 units WINNER

[listen2me 23 1,591]

I took

 

Jets +3 1 unit

Under 40.5 1 unit

 

Was iffy on the under for no reason other than Div. games usually end up being battles that score decent points. See philly - Giants last week.

 

Good Luck

[listen2me 23 1,591]

I took

 

Jets +3 1 unit

Under 40.5 1 unit

 

Was iffy on the under for no reason other than Div. games usually end up being battles that score decent points. See philly - Giants last week.

 

Good Luck

###### O/Us

[swirvenirvin 25]

Man, I wish my book offered prop bets. You have amazing skills hitting on them. I'd bet everyone of yours for the rest of the season if I was able to. I fully expect you to go 5-1 with these tonight.

 

You jinxed me

J/k what an ass kicking more like 1-5

 

I made these bets based on what NFL live said at 4:30 est they said it was horrible weather and was going to downpour, blah blah blah

 

What a focking joke, you focking liars

[Bouve 0]

Pretty tough week IMO. Nothing really jumps out at me yet. A couple of lines I may have to buy down.

[Bouve 0]

Pretty huge reverse line move in the TEN/JAX game. Down to -1 for TEN. Looks like Jax will be the play but I will wait and see where the line goes tomorrow.

[swirvenirvin 25]

Will be adding a lot to this tomorrow

 

But for tonight

 

NFL 69-40-1

 

Dallas - 1.5 Winner

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 62.5 (-115) Winner

 

Julius Jones (Seahawks) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 56.5 (-115) loser

 

Anquan Boldin (Cardinals) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -160 loser

 

Steve Smith (Panthers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -115 loser

 

DeAngelo Williams (Panthers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -155 Winner

 

DeAngelo Williams (Panthers) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 90.5 (-115) Winner

 

Jake Delhomme (Panthers) Will He Throw an Interception - Must Play

No +120 Winner

 

Greg Jennings (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4 (-160) Winner

 

Keith Bulluck (Titans) Total Tackles (Solo+Assisted Tackles) - Must Play

Under 6.5 (-130) Winner

 

Peyton Manning (Colts) Total Passing Yards - Must Play

Over 255.5 (-115) Winner

 

Plaxico Burress (Giants) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +115loser

 

Jerious Norwood (Falcons) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +140loser

[phillybear 365]

NCAA YTD: 117-96-9; +42.8 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 22-18-1; +13.2 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 58-43-1; +4.7 units

 

Sunday. Horrible last week in the NFL and college, especially on Sunday when I got drunk at a neighbor's barbecue and started chasing my losses. Lesson learned. Looking for the bounce back this week, to slowly rebuild. For 3 units unless indicated otherwise.

 

Denver (+6.5) WINNER

Baltimore (+7) LOSER

Houston (+8) WINNER

Chicago (+3.5) LOSER

Cincinnati (+9) WINNER

Tampa Bay (-5) WINNER

OVER NO/KC (51) LOSER

UNDER Phi/Cin (41.5) WINNER

Parlay 2nd H Balt (+3) and NO (-3) 1 unit to win 2.46 units WINNER

 

Jacksonville (+3)@-125 for 5 units LOSER

Seattle (+3)@-120 for 5 units LOSER

San Diego (+5) for 5 units WINNER

 

OVER Dal/Was (42.5) for 5 units LOSER

 

Good luck to all.

 

Edit:

NCAA YTD: 117-96-9; +42.8 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 22-18-1; +13.2 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 65-49-1; -1.64 units

[EAwer 1]

KC?

 

NCAA YTD: 117-96-9; +42.8 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 22-18-1; +13.2 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 58-43-1; +4.7 units

 

Sunday. Horrible last week in the NFL and college, especially on Sunday when I got drunk at a neighbor's barbecue and started chasing my losses. Lesson learnerd. Looking for the bounce back this week, to slowly rebuild. For 3 units unless indicated otherwise. Will add more.

 

Denver (+6.5)

Baltimore (+7)

Houston (+8)

 

Jacksonville (+3)@-125

Seattle (+3)@-120

San Diego (+5)

 

Good luck to all.

[phillybear 365]

KC?

 

Still looking at that game. Looks kind of easy to take KC. I'm suspicious.

[EAwer 1]

Still looking at that game. Looks kind of easy to take KC. I'm suspicious.

 

yet 68% of action still on NO according to sportsinights

 

really like your bal pick. They should be able to stop the run and I do not think Eli is good enough to win by more than a TD

[listen2me 23 1,591]

This week has 2 of the biggest rookie lines this year.

 

Tenn -3 or even down to -1 vs Jax

Arizona -3 vs Seattle

 

The rules say play the underdogs here, but I can't. I'm going to bet both. I just cannot see it, and in the end I go with what I see on the field over line movements and fishy lines.

 

These are rookie bets but i bet they cash today.

[Bouve 0]

NFL: 67-54-2

 

New England -2.5 LOSE

Denver +7

Denver/Atlanta O51

New Orleans -3 1st half

New Orleans -5.5

Miami -6.5 1st half

Philly -6.5 1st half

Tennessee -1

Arizona -1 1st half

Arizona -3

Dallas -1

 

My card for today.

 

Good Luck

[tplbge 2]

San Diego + 5

Dallas -1.5

Philly - 9

 

YTD 5-5

 

 

Thursday:

 

New York Jets vs New England -3.5 (42)

 

Sunday:

 

Denver vs Atlanta -6 (51)

Oakland vs Miami -10.5 (38.5)

Baltimore vs New York Giants -6.5 (41.5)

Houston vs Indianapolis -9 (50)

Tennessee -3 vs Jacksonville (39.5)

Philadelphia -9 vs Cincinnati (42.5)

New Orleans -5.5 vs Kansas City (49.5)

Detroit vs Carolina -14 (39.5)

Minnesota vs Tampa Bay -3.5 (38.5)

San Diego vs Pittsburgh -4 (43)

Chicago vs Green Bay -3.5 (43)

St Louis vs San Francisco -6.5 (44.5)

Arizona -3 vs Seattle (47.5)

Dallas -1 vs Washington (42.5)

 

Monday:

 

Cleveland vs Buffalo -5 (42)

[Bouve 0]

Adding Miami -4.5 2nd half, NYG -3 2nd half and New Orleans -3 2nd half.

[listen2me 23 1,591]

Wasn't able to post these before the starts...but

 

My Card

 

Hou +8

Tenn -3

Arizona -3

Bucs/Vikes Over 39

 

Hopfully the Arizona/Titans sucker bets work out.

[Bouve 0]

Arizona -.5 2nd half

[swirvenirvin 25]

Will be adding a lot to this tomorrow

 

But for tonight

 

NFL 69-40-1

 

Dallas - 1.5 Winner

 

Hines Ward (Steelers) Total Receiving Yards - Must Play

Over 62.5 (-115) Winner

 

Julius Jones (Seahawks) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 56.5 (-115) loser

 

Anquan Boldin (Cardinals) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -160 loser

 

Steve Smith (Panthers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -115 loser

 

DeAngelo Williams (Panthers) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes -155 Winner

 

DeAngelo Williams (Panthers) Total Rushing Yards - Must Play

Over 90.5 (-115) Winner

 

Jake Delhomme (Panthers) Will He Throw an Interception - Must Play

No +120 Winner

 

Greg Jennings (Packers) Total Receptions - Must Play

Over 4 (-160) Winner

 

Keith Bulluck (Titans) Total Tackles (Solo+Assisted Tackles) - Must Play

Under 6.5 (-130) Winner

 

Peyton Manning (Colts) Total Passing Yards - Must Play

Over 255.5 (-115) Winner

 

Plaxico Burress (Giants) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +115loser

 

Jerious Norwood (Falcons) Will He Score a Touchdown - Must Play

Yes +140loser

 

8-5 Gotta stay away from the TD bets

[GridIronAssassin#1 0]

Sunday night game anybody?

[listen2me 23 1,591]

Don't know who will win.

 

I took the over at 44.

[Bouve 0]

San Diego (+5) for 5 units WINNER

 

Wild ending

[Bouve 0]

The pick for tonight is Buffalo -5.5

 

Good Luck

[ffsmack 0]

This week has 2 of the biggest rookie lines this year.

 

Tenn -3 or even down to -1 vs Jax

Arizona -3 vs Seattle

 

The rules say play the underdogs here, but I can't. I'm going to bet both. I just cannot see it, and in the end I go with what I see on the field over line movements and fishy lines.

 

These are rookie bets but i bet they cash today.

I just couldn't pass these up, and they paid off. I even got +105 on Tenn -3

[phillybear 365]

NCAA YTD: 117-96-9; +42.8 units

NCAA Subset: 5 unit plays: 22-18-1; +13.2 units

CFL YTD: 17-18-1; -2.7 units

NFL YTD: 65-49-1; -1.64 units

 

Monday

 

Buffalo 2nd H (-4) @-120 for 5 units

 

I held off on the game bet until I saw how the first half went. Buffalo with 3 picks, winning the total yardage battle, and dominated the 2nd quarter. I like them in the 2nd H to win this game.

 

Good luck to all.