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Gepetto

Kenny Pickett, Brock Purdy, Trey Lance

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17 hours ago, Ray_T said:

well, with Pickett, he showed enough that hes not gonna be shown the bench. (not yet anyhow).   his completion percentage is solid.  we just need a few things to change if hes gonna progress:

1) the average depth of throw should increase without a drop in completion Percentage.   This should result in more yardage on roughly the same number of throws.

2)  more TD's less INT    This is the key metric.   QB who throw more INT than TD dont last long in this league.   you can tolerate it for a rookie season but Year 2 you want to see some progress on this.    

3) more efficiency on third downs.

 

if you see improvement in 2 out of the above 3 areas, hes likely still on an upward trajectory.   so even if the stats dont blow you away, you will need to continue to be patient.

Why not expect progress on point 2 already in the rookie season? I think it's quite possible.

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56 minutes ago, JammyJr said:

Why not expect progress on point 2 already in the rookie season? I think it's quite possible.

well, point 2 is the most important.  and typically in the 2nd or 3rd year a QB sees significant progress in that area.

I think if point 2 does not improve the rumours will start to swirl about replacing him in year 3

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Steelers won’t hesitate to look for another Qb after this season if Pickett doesn’t improve.  

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27 minutes ago, Ray_T said:

well, point 2 is the most important.  and typically in the 2nd or 3rd year a QB sees significant progress in that area.

I think if point 2 does not improve the rumours will start to swirl about replacing him in year 3

In today's competitive environment, QBs should do better in the first year. But not everyone can do that.

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It took nine seasons for G Smith.  

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On 6/28/2023 at 7:43 AM, JammyJr said:

Why not expect progress on point 2 already in the rookie season? I think it's quite possible.

Well that did already happen.

Kenny Pickett rookie season (2022) https://www.espn.com/nfl/player/gamelog/_/id/4240703/kenny-pickett

First 5 games:  2 TDs, 8 INTs (including 6 in two games, 3 in each)

Last 8 games:  5 TDs, 1 INT

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