Mock drafts are biased

[DocNiner 70]

On 2/24/2025 at 7:15 PM, nobody said:

Dallas a few picks later

• Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: Ashton Jeanty, RB, Boise State
• The Athletic: Ashton Jeanty
• Pro Football Focus: Armand Membou, OL, Missouri
• The 33rd Team: Walter Nolen, IDL, Mississippi
• CBS Sports: Ashton Jeanty

Let's give them the most exciting runningback in the draft!

Yeah not sure mocks are biased. Basically just fun and seeing different points of view which is a good thing. So speaking of fun I see 3 of the above sites have RB Ashton Jeanty going to the Cowboys at #12. First , he won't be on the board at 12. Second, many many sites have Jeanty going to the Raiders at pick #6. I, along with a lot of others would like to see that but unfortunately Jeanty will be gone come the Raiders pick at #6. So, Jerry Jones asserts his financial  muscle and trades up with the Jacksonville Jaguars for pick #6 where they DO indeed draft RB Ashton Jeanty. Laugh if you will but it could certainly happen and I think Jerry Jones is ALL IN on drafting RB Jeanty before someone else gets the i dea to move up to get him. So I'm certainly not biased being a 49ers fan but having some fun with my mocks but taking a shot at trade that could actually happen. The Jaguars could use more picks anyeay.

[Mike FF Today 722]

3 hours ago, Ray_T said:

wow awesome.  great customer service.   My request on the friday.  response before monday morning!

thanks!   almost makes me feel like I have some pull and/or influence here lol  (though in reality, you probably were putting it out today anyway)

cheers man   and thanks!

Yeah, it was scheduled for this morning. 

[nobody 2,657]

Finding free game film this year is harder than usual this year.  I used to be able to find raw game footage of almost every player cut up snap by snap.  Now it's all highlights and people analyzing film.  

Like, bro, I just want the raw film.  

[Ray_T 753]

36 minutes ago, nobody said:

Finding free game film this year is harder than usual this year.  I used to be able to find raw game footage of almost every player cut up snap by snap.  Now it's all highlights and people analyzing film.  

Like, bro, I just want the raw film.  

I thought fftoday was pretty good for that.  have you clicked on the film clips that go with the scouting report each year?     This is one of the only places you can get that.

it was one of the reasons I first started coming here.  at that time my thought was 'this is great!!!    I dont have to go all over the place looking for film on prospects I plan to draft in my dynasty league.    fftoday provides their own scouting report. (which is nice) but usually what I do is I look at the film then I look at their scouting report to compare with my own notes.

the reason I do it in that order is because if I see the report, then I view the film I'm basically looking for the features mentioned in the report.   so to avoid confirmation bias, I do my own analysis first.   then I compare my analysis to that of fftoday (and any other scouting reports I happen to find) 

based on that (and end results) I actually now am at a point where i have a good idea what reports are more likely to be correct and what reports are not.

sometimes we all do make mistakes.

this time last year I ended up picking Caleb Williams over Jayden Daniels even though I liked Jayden daniels scouting report better(see notes under Jayden daniels, I believe I said as much in my own comments online).    I did this because Caleb had better WR and the perception at the time was that Chicago had a better line.    The reality is Chicagos line took a step backward and the line in Washington took a step forward.   As a result, Daniels performed earlier in his career than I had predicted.  I thought Caleb was in the better situation, but I was wrong, and Jayden blossomed as a player while Caleb struggled.

either way, the film in this case was a good predictor.  I ignored my analysis (to some degree) because I thought Caleb was in the better situation.   and that is my bad.

   

 

[nobody 2,657]

Thanks.  I purposely don't read scouting reports so I didn't know the links existed.

[nobody 2,657]

Only like 8 dudes.