New Feature: Opponents' FF Points Allowed

[Mike MacGregor 20]

Mike,

 

Or even if you consider just adding a column with the current week's opponenet (NFL Team Name) for every NFL team - that might be helpful (as long as you can add it in a way and not confuse people), and just forget the highlighting idea. That way you wouldn't have to link it to people's FF Today configuration yet still make it even more helpful. It's just kind of frustrating for me when I look at it each week and I have to remember matchups, or look at a piece of paper showing the matchups for 32 teams.

 

Thanks to Gepetto for the suggestion which spawned this new feature:

 

Opponents' FF Points Allowed - Remaining Schedule

 

a.k.a Strength of Schedule. This will be updated weekly from here on out to help identify potentially good and bad matchups for your players.

 

If you check the team detail pages from the new feature created last week (Example: Green Bay Packers) this essentially takes the same data from the bottom right remaining schedule table and maps it against the schedule grid for all teams.

 

The green/red highlights are for teams that are +/- greater than 10% from the NFL average.

 

Enjoy!

[football_scooter 0]

now THIS is a very cool feature.

[swirvenirvin 25]

someone from this site created something very similar to this last year. I still have it bookmarked and use it I was hoping it would stay a secret

[FrankRizzo 0]

Over the past few years I've been playing fantasy football this is one feature I have created and used for my draft strategy (based on strength of defense predictions) and picking the player matchups during the year. It was a pain to grid out and update each week but I've made the money 3 out of the 4 years, winning 2 of them (just missed the money in the other one).

 

I attribute this exact grid model to my success. I do BENCH my studs if the matchup dictates it. It surprises the heck out of my opponents/league but the research and risk factor has paid off.

 

If you look at the SOS and see that a Tiki Barber or Chad Johnson are in the red 80% of time then sure their production will not be there ...

 

NOW with FFToday providing the grid info I don't have to do it!!

 

Only thing now is my leaguemates might get the same lazy info

 

Question is ... what do I do with my spare time??

[Patriotsfatboy1 1,432]

Nice set of info. I think that it will get even better as larger statistical sampling occurs (i.e. more games are played). This will be great as we get towards the trading deadlines (if you have them) and the playoffs.

 

Great stuff!

[Wildman 0]

 

 

 

[Gepetto 1,362]

Thanks to Gepetto for the suggestion which spawned this new feature:

 

Opponents' FF Points Allowed - Remaining Schedule

 

a.k.a Strength of Schedule. This will be updated weekly from here on out to help identify potentially good and bad matchups for your players.

 

If you check the team detail pages from the new feature created last week (Example: Green Bay Packers) this essentially takes the same data from the bottom right remaining schedule table and maps it against the schedule grid for all teams.

 

The green/red highlights are for teams that are +/- greater than 10% from the NFL average.

 

Enjoy!

 

I really appreciate all the work you do for me and everyone that uses FFToday.

[ready5 0]

someone from this site created something very similar to this last year. I still have it bookmarked and use it I was hoping it would stay a secret

 

yeah... good ol' www.fantasyalgorithms.com, which also has the ability to select which weeks were included in the calculations.

[NewbieJr 541]

Nice work, Mike.

Cool feature.

[ajmplaya69 0]

mike this is really funny because i created something similar to this last season before my draft and it worked pretty well. ofcourse, somethings such as injuries can bust on you but ya thanks for doing the grunt work. by far my favorite tool on this site.

[FrankRizzo 0]

mike this is really funny because i created something similar to this last season before my draft and it worked pretty well. ofcourse, somethings such as injuries can bust on you but ya thanks for doing the grunt work. by far my favorite tool on this site.

 

Prime Example ......

 

Shawn Alexander .... 6 games against SF/STL/AZ .... one good foot

[gobuckeyes 0]

Is it possible for the table to display past matchups as well, so that it would be easier to see how a player performed against good or bad teams previously in the season?

[Mike MacGregor 20]

Is it possible for the table to display past matchups as well, so that it would be easier to see how a player performed against good or bad teams previously in the season?

 

I'm going to look at doing that so we can check each team's rating/difference going into a week, and then the end result to see if the SOS was in fact useful in predicting the outcome. I'm going to work on the number and then we'll see if we can get Waldman to do more commentary on this in his Gut Check columns.

 

I've made a change to calculating the differences and highlighting good/bad matchups. Before, I just used +/- 10% differences between FF points allowed/scored. Thanks to feedback from Patrick C. I've changed it to calculate whether the differences are +/- 1 standard deviation from the NFL average, and only higlight those differences. This makes for a more limited group of really good or really bad teams, but I think this will be more impactful going forward.

 

This change also applies to the by team pages.

[Funky Doc 7]

This is why I keep coming to this site year after year. Great feature!

[swandown 0]

Is there a way to plug in our MyFantasyLeague stats, as you can on the player rankings page?

[Mike MacGregor 20]

Is there a way to plug in our MyFantasyLeague stats, as you can on the player rankings page?

 

Do you mean scoring system for your league from MFL applied to this format?

[Low Score 0]

This is a great idea. However, maybe I'm missing something but the stats on the Remaining Schedule page do not align with the page showing what's really been done in the season. For example:

 

On the Opponents' FF Points Allowed, Remaining Schedule (for WRs), it shows CLE at a -10% meaning "Wide Receivers score less against the opponent than the NFL average". Here's the link:

 

http://www.fftoday.com/stats/fantasystats....;LeagueID=10608

 

 

But when you go to FF Points Allowed, Regular Season (for WRs), it shows Cleveland as giving up some of the most FFPoints in the league (22.6 per game - 9th worst). Here's the link.

 

http://www.fftoday.com/stats/fantasystats....;LeagueID=10608

 

I used the FFToday default scoring for my example. How can one page show Cleveland as below the NFL average for WR FFPoints allowed per game and another show them as one of the league's worst? Am I just missing something? Same thing happens for SF.

[Mike MacGregor 20]

Hi Low Score. The numbers of the remaining schedule pages are all based on the "Last 5 Weeks" stats from the others pages, so you need to make sure you are comparing to that.

 

CLE FF Pts Allowed on the remaining schedule page is -11.2% (in your scoring, LeagueID #10608).

 

Then check this page:

 

http://www.fftoday.com/stats/fantasystats....;LeagueID=10608

 

This is Cleveland's team page WR Stats FF Pts Allowed. See the box in the bottom left showing Comparison to NFL Average? CLE is a little quirky in that they are worse than average for the last 3 weeks (8.7%), better than average in the last 5 weeks (-11.1%) and worse than average for the season (11.0%).

 

The number to compare to the remaining schedule page is the -11.1. ... vs. 11.2%, I assume there is a rounding difference there as I must be doing the calculations in slightly different order on each page.

 

Looking at the CLE detail, weeks 3 and 4 they had good outings against opposing WRs. Mind you those teams are not very good - BAL and OAK. These are included in the last 5 weeks stats. Just goes to show we still have to look behind the numbers from time to time.

[Low Score 0]

Thanks, Mike.