***Official College Football Wagering Thread***

[Yer mom 2]

301 Temple(N) OFF +44.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:35 ET 302 Clemson(N) OFF -44.5 OFF

 

10/12/06 303 VirginiaTech -140 -2.5 (-115) Over 42.5

Buy Points:

19:35 ET 304 BostonCollege +120 +2.5 (-105) Under 42.5

 

10/12/06 305 ColoradoSt +200 +5.5 OFF

Buy Points:

20:00 ET 306 AirForce -240 -5.5 OFF

 

10/13/06 307 PittsburghU OFF -10 Over 47

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 308 CFlorida OFF +10 Under 47

 

10/14/06 309 Syracuse OFF +25.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 310 WVirginia OFF -25.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 311 Purdue OFF -7 (-115) OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 312 Northwestern OFF +7 (-105) OFF

 

10/14/06 313 MinnesotaU OFF +9 (-115) OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 314 Wisconsin OFF -9 (-105) OFF

 

10/14/06 315 Iowa OFF -18 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 316 Indiana OFF +18 OFF

 

10/14/06 317 WakeForest OFF +4 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 318 NCState OFF -4 OFF

 

10/14/06 319 Maryland OFF -5 OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 320 Virginia OFF +5 OFF

 

10/14/06 321 SFlorida OFF -2.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:05 ET 322 NorthCarolina OFF +2.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 323 MiamiOhio OFF -8.5 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 324 BuffaloU OFF +8.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 325 BallSt OFF +8.5 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 326 CMichigan OFF -8.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 327 Army OFF +5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:00 ET 328 Connecticut OFF -5 OFF

 

10/14/06 329 Rutgers OFF +1.5 OFF

Buy Points:

13:30 ET 330 Navy OFF -1.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 331 Missouri OFF -2.5 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 332 TexasA&M OFF +2.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 333 Nebraska OFF -10.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:10 ET 334 KansasSt OFF +10.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 337 Mississippi OFF +14.5 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 338 Alabama OFF -14.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 339 Utah OFF -4 OFF

Buy Points:

15:00 ET 340 Wyoming OFF +4 OFF

 

10/14/06 341 Tulsa OFF -2 OFF

Buy Points:

15:00 ET 342 EastCarolina OFF +2 OFF

 

10/14/06 345 Florida OFF +1 (-120) OFF

Buy Points:

19:50 ET 346 Auburn OFF -1 (Even) OFF

 

10/14/06 347 California OFF -8 OFF

Buy Points:

17:00 ET 348 WashingtonSt OFF +8 OFF

 

10/14/06 349 Vanderbilt OFF +13.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:30 ET 350 Georgia OFF -13.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 351 OhioSt OFF -14.5 (-115) OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 352 MichiganSt OFF +14.5 (-105) OFF

 

10/14/06 353 FloridaSt OFF -23 OFF

Buy Points:

13:00 ET 354 Duke OFF +23 OFF

 

10/14/06 355 OregonSt OFF +9.5 OFF

Buy Points:

18:30 ET 356 WashingtonU OFF -9.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 357 UCLA OFF +10 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 358 Oregon OFF -10 OFF

 

10/14/06 359 Toledo OFF +7.5 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 360 Kent OFF -7.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 361 EMichigan OFF +10.5 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 362 BowlingGreen OFF -10.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 363 IowaSt OFF +19.5 OFF

Buy Points:

12:35 ET 364 Oklahoma OFF -19.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 365 Hawaii OFF -4.5 OFF

Buy Points:

17:00 ET 366 FresnoSt OFF +4.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 367 ArizonaU OFF -3.5 OFF

Buy Points:

17:00 ET 368 Stanford OFF +3.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 369 UtahSt OFF +14 OFF

Buy Points:

18:00 ET 370 SanJoseSt OFF -14 OFF

 

10/14/06 371 UAB OFF -5.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:30 ET 372 Rice OFF +5.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 373 Ohio OFF +6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 374 Illinois OFF -6.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 375 CincinnatiU OFF +27 OFF

Buy Points:

15:35 ET 376 Louisville OFF -27 OFF

 

10/14/06 377 HoustonU OFF +2 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 378 SMississippi OFF -2 OFF

 

10/14/06 379 OklahomaSt OFF +3 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 380 Kansas OFF -3 OFF

 

10/14/06 381 TexasTech OFF -7.5 (Even) OFF

Buy Points:

15:30 ET 382 Colorado OFF +7.5 (-120) OFF

 

10/14/06 383 Baylor OFF +29 OFF

Buy Points:

19:05 ET 384 Texas OFF -29 OFF

 

Date # Team Money Line Total

 

10/14/06 385 Idaho OFF +2 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 386 LouisianaTech OFF -2 OFF

 

10/14/06 387 Kentucky OFF +26 OFF

Buy Points:

20:00 ET 388 LSU OFF -26 OFF

 

10/14/06 389 ArizonaSt OFF +18.5 OFF

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 390 USC OFF -18.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 391 Michigan OFF -6.5 OFF

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 392 PennSt OFF +6.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 393 Tulane OFF +13 OFF

Buy Points:

21:00 ET 394 UTEP OFF -13 OFF

 

10/14/06 395 NewMexico OFF -3 OFF

Buy Points:

22:00 ET 396 UNLV OFF +3 OFF

 

10/14/06 397 FloridaIntl OFF +28.5 OFF

Buy Points:

19:00 ET 398 MiamiFla OFF -28.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 399 ArkansasSt OFF +11.5 OFF

Buy Points:

14:00 ET 400 Memphis OFF -11.5 OFF

 

10/14/06 401 ULMonroe OFF +9 OFF

Buy Points:

16:00 ET 402 Troy OFF -9 OFF

 

10/15/06 427 BoiseSt OFF -26 OFF

Buy Points:

20:05 ET 428 NewMexicoSt OFF +26 OFF

[EyeOfDaTiga 0]

Up until last week I was smokin hot up 39units on the year but I tried to go real big last weekend and am now down to 13units for the season. Here are my early picks. Ranked in order of confidence. Discuss, i love using this board to see what other people have to say about saturdays games.

 

1. Cal -8 @ Wash. St 4pm

2. Michigan -6 vs Penn State 7:00pm

3. Oregon -11 vs UCLA 2:30pm

4. Iowa -17.5 @ Indiana 11am

5. Ohio St. -14.5 @ Mich St. 2:30pm

6. Texas Tech -8 @ Colorado 2:30pm

7. WV -25.5 vs Cuse 11am

8. Lsu -26 vs Kentucky 7:00pm

[4i's 0]

NC state -4

Central Mich -8.5

S. Florida -2.5

Michigan -8

Army +5

[mikeso 0]

i like v tech -2.5 and air force -6

 

at least thats the spread i got last night....

 

good luck to everyone

[needmoremoney 0]

Early picks:

 

Ariz St +19 1 unit

California -7.5 2 units

Utah -4 2 units

Maryland -5 2 units

 

Will look into more detail and post later in week...

Goodluck all...

 

NCAAF YTD (starting last week): 14-4-0 +12.3 units

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Hey Fellas,

 

Just here to let you all know that I will be out this week. Going to Scottsdale, Arizona for 6 days to golf and go see the Bears/Cardinals Monday Night Football.

 

Good luck, I am going to go damage my liver.

[Yer mom 2]

Hey Fellas,

 

Just here to let you all know that I will be out this week. Going to Scottsdale, Arizona for 6 days to golf and go see the Bears/Cardinals Monday Night Football.

 

Good luck, I am going to go damage my liver.

 

 

Right on Coach....may your balls be long, straight and find the hole frequently. Nail some of the chicks at Maloney's for me...they've got some dimes in there!

[Grind 0]

Hey Fellas,

 

Just here to let you all know that I will be out this week. Going to Scottsdale, Arizona for 6 days to golf and go see the Bears/Cardinals Monday Night Football.

 

Good luck, I am going to go damage my liver.

 

 

This is the worse news I have heard in a long, long time. Reality is already starting to set in, as I realize I am going to be on my own this weekend. I can't stop shaking. Have made only three bets on my own so far this year (all Michigan wins) and rode your arse the rest of the way. Have fun in Zona and hurry back. The smart move for me and my wallet will be to join you on the sidelines this week. I'm just not sure if my addiction will let me do so.

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

Gentlemen:

 

Already took six. Waiting on dogs to see if the spreads move with me.

 

LSU/Kentucky has early blowout written all over it with Tigers very angry. Ky starting RB out.

 

LSU -14 1H

 

Ditto for WVU/Syracuse. I think WVU was up 30 in the 1H last year as I recall.

 

WVU -13.5 1H

 

Manningham won't play for Meeeeeeshigan; this game is a night game in Happy Valley and should be a slugfest. Anyone remember last year's OSU/PSU game--I see a repeat this year in a low scoring 13-10 or 17-10 game. Lean to PSU, but LUV the UNDER 41.5

 

Mich/Penn St UND 41.5

 

This will be an asskicking. Ringer is out for MSU so they won't be able to run the ball which was there only way to stay in the game. MSU lost to Illinois and here come the Buckeyes. Uh oh.

 

Ohio State -14

 

I think Hawaii is for real even if they blew the Nevada spread last week. Good D to go with the best QB they have ever had.

 

Hawaii -5

 

Duke plays FSU. Heard enough?

 

FSU -22.5

 

Leans on Army +5.5, Lville -26.5, Ariz St +19, Penn St. +6, Houston +2, Iowa St +19.5, Arizona -3.5, Auburn PK and Ohio +6.5 (just cuz I'm going)

 

EDIT: Added Army, Va Tech

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Sorry guys, sometimes a week away from betting on college football does some good anyway. I don't want to post anything that I wouldn't bet myself.

 

In fact 14 of us are going and we have a standing rule about no computers or cell phones for a long weekend. The cell phone thing is nearly impossible these days though.

[needmoremoney 0]

Early picks:

 

Ariz St +19 1 unit

California -7.5 2 units

Utah -4 2 units

Maryland -5 2 units

 

Will look into more detail and post later in week...

Goodluck all...

 

NCAAF YTD (starting last week): 14-4-0 +12.3 units

 

Adding a few more...

 

Idaho +2 3 units

Hawaii +4 2 units

[American Chewy 98]

games i'm on early

 

missouri -1.5 (i believe in mizzou now, tex a&m has not impressed)

florida ML +115 (fla getting points? auburn bcs bubble burst, fla has been $$$)

kansas state +11 (continuing to fade nebraska in big 12 games)

oklahoma state +3.5 (this game should come down to last play, their off. is way better than ku)

[SFGeek 0]

Hey Mom! How 'bout that meatloaf? NOW!!!

[Yer mom 2]

Hey Mom! How 'bout that meatloaf? NOW!!!

 

 

I think someone needs a timeout.

 

To matters of wagering, ive already placed this teaser early cause I see a winner:

 

Oregon -3

Fresno St +12

 

Autzen is a tough place to play because the stands come down to the sidline so far it practically pushes the coaching staff on to the actual field of play, its gonna be real noisy. With Olsen out and Patrick Cowan getting his first start in one of the toughest places to get a win (officials even like to cheat in Oregons favor) and with Oregon coming off a brutal loss at Cal, I like Oregon covering 3.

 

I cant blame everyone for jumping on Hawaii, they're on fire. Fresno State is playing at an all time low (lost to Utah State...yikes) but I think with it being Fresno States homecoming game and the fact they need this WAC win, they bring it in this one. Before this cold streak of 4 straight losses, Only the USC's, Ohio States and other top 10-15 teams would be giving Fresno State +5 at home. Paul Williams who is one of the nations best receivers, comes back this week so trying to stop both he and Joe Fernandez paired with a solid ground game that has hidden of recent will make it very difficult for a Hawaii defense that gives up just shy of 400 yards per game. Smashmouth football and clock control gets Fresno State back on track this week.

 

Many plays more to come during the week.....

 

Good luck!!

[VoDZKABoY 0]

I think someone needs a timeout.

 

To matters of wagering, ive already placed this teaser early cause I see a winner:

 

Oregon -3

Fresno St +12

 

Autzen is a tough place to play because the stands come down to the sidline so far it practically pushes the coaching staff on to the actual field of play, its gonna be real noisy. With Olsen out and Patrick Cowan getting his first start in one of the toughest places to get a win (officials even like to cheat in Oregons favor) and with Oregon coming off a brutal loss at Cal, I like Oregon covering 3.

 

 

Good call on the Oregon game. UCLA has not played anyone of note yet despite having a top 5 defense. It doesn't hurt they have a backup QB starting who was adequate but not great. Oregon should easily win this game after the butt whipping at Cal last week. The UCLA defense may keep them in the game but the Oregon offense will take over eventually.

 

Not sure about Fresno St after the Utah St. loss (13-12!!). Even though they are at home I'd be a little leary of this game. FSU might be a PO'd after last week which might give them the necessary motivation. Twelve points at home though is tough to beat against any team.

 

Two home teams after tough losses on paper sounds good. I really like Oregon but am still shaking my head with FSU.

[GiantsRule 0]

Going to be a light Saturday for me. I'm not going to lie: If I can't piggyback Ditka's college plays, I have no reason to bet heavy. I may take the top consensus picks from Yer Mom, Art, philly, guru, and Chewy, but won't do much beyond that.

 

Gonna concentrate on NFL prop plays on Sunday until Ditka comes back (or cracks because he can't sit out and decides to post some picks.)

 

Enjoy the vacation and get home safely, Ditka!

[Nap 0]

Hey guys,

 

I'm new here and don't have a lot of betting experience (some, not a total novice). I notice everyone refers to "units", and can anyone explain what a "unit" is and how you incorporate that into your betting strategy?

 

In my limited betting experience, I usually play three 3-team parlays each weekend, based on what games I like the most. I'm down for the year, and want to re-think my strategy.

 

Thanks!

 

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Hey guys,

 

I'm new here and don't have a lot of betting experience (some, not a total novice). I notice everyone refers to "units", and can anyone explain what a "unit" is and how you incorporate that into your betting strategy?

 

In my limited betting experience, I usually play three 3-team parlays each weekend, based on what games I like the most. I'm down for the year, and want to re-think my strategy.

 

Thanks!

 

Bookies love guys like you! Stay away from the parlays as they are suckers bets. The % of winning on them is too low. I refer to "units" as to the size of my unit. The rest of these yahoo's refer to units as average wager amount.

[GiantsRule 0]

Hey guys,

 

I'm new here and don't have a lot of betting experience (some, not a total novice). I notice everyone refers to "units", and can anyone explain what a "unit" is and how you incorporate that into your betting strategy?

 

In my limited betting experience, I usually play three 3-team parlays each weekend, based on what games I like the most. I'm down for the year, and want to re-think my strategy.

 

Thanks!

 

 

A "unit" is whatever you want it to be. Basically, with your betting bankroll, it refers to what your standard play is. If you have a $500 bankroll and typically play $25 per game (or parlay), that $25 is one unit. Someone with a $10,000 bankroll may play $500 per game and $500 is one unit.

 

Basically, we use the term "units" on this site to discourage actual dollar amounts since it doesn't matter how much you bet, but rather how often you win. The resident college football guru on this site, Hurricane Ditka, is a great example. His standard unit is $25/game, far below what others claim to bet. But he has a ridiculous winning percentage and that's more impressive than a player who does marginally well betting $1,000/game.

 

Also, it could be intimidating to see a player talking about taking 30-40 bets in a weekend at $100 a pop if you're simply a casual $10/game player. If you feel you won't be taken seriously as a small-time bettor, it may prevent you from participating in the discussions and providing valuable insight we could all use to cash our tickets.

 

Hope that explains it. Again, it's the winning percentage that matters, not the amount of the bet. That's all relative.

 

Good luck!

[cyclone24 1,836]

A "unit" is whatever you want it to be. Basically, with your betting bankroll, it refers to what your standard play is. If you have a $500 bankroll and typically play $25 per game (or parlay), that $25 is one unit. Someone with a $10,000 bankroll may play $500 per game and $500 is one unit.

 

Basically, we use the term "units" on this site to discourage actual dollar amounts since it doesn't matter how much you bet, but rather how often you win. The resident college football guru on this site, Hurricane Ditka, is a great example. His standard unit is $25/game, far below what others claim to bet. But he has a ridiculous winning percentage and that's more impressive than a player who does marginally well betting $1,000/game.

 

Also, it could be intimidating to see a player talking about taking 30-40 bets in a weekend at $100 a pop if you're simply a casual $10/game player. If you feel you won't be taken seriously as a small-time bettor, it may prevent you from participating in the discussions and providing valuable insight we could all use to cash our tickets.

 

Hope that explains it. Again, it's the winning percentage that matters, not the amount of the bet. That's all relative.

 

Good luck!

 

 

Thanks for explaining that. Im a newb at this as well and wondered what that meant.

 

I want to thank you guys again for all you help with the picks each week....you guys are awesome at this stuff.

[Nap 0]

Thanks for explaining that. Im a newb at this as well and wondered what that meant.

 

I want to thank you guys again for all you help with the picks each week....you guys are awesome at this stuff.

 

Yeah, thanks guys. I kinda figured that's what "unit" meant. I always get greedy with the parlays (I want to get rich quick, wrong idea), but I think I'll start following the more conservative advice of members on this board. Since I'm new here, I don't know much about Hurrican Ditka or anyone else, but I'll try to spend some time going through old posts and glean some information.

 

I had three parlays last weekend, one 5-team, two 4-team. In each parlay (just bet $20 each), I stood to win hundreds of dollars. However, I got all but one game right in each of the three parlays, for a total of 10 out of 13 games picked right. Had I bet individually, I would have made a nice little chunk of change.

[Grind 0]

Yeah, thanks guys. I kinda figured that's what "unit" meant. I always get greedy with the parlays (I want to get rich quick, wrong idea), but I think I'll start following the more conservative advice of members on this board. Since I'm new here, I don't know much about Hurrican Ditka or anyone else, but I'll try to spend some time going through old posts and glean some information.

 

I had three parlays last weekend, one 5-team, two 4-team. In each parlay (just bet $20 each), I stood to win hundreds of dollars. However, I got all but one game right in each of the three parlays, for a total of 10 out of 13 games picked right. Had I bet individually, I would have made a nice little chunk of change.

 

 

Let me save you some time going through old posts. Just follow Ditka and/or Philly. Not to say the rest aren't good, because most everyone that posts here is good. Just that Ditka is money in the bank. I started betting $20 a game and I'm up over $700 on the year basically just following Ditka's bets with the addition of three Michigan bets of my own.

 

As for parlays, they are a bad bet. Same with teasers. My buddy is a bookie and he loves people who play parlays. Easy money for the book.

[jenkins 1]

Let me save you some time going through old posts. Just follow Ditka and/or Philly. Not to say the rest aren't good, because most everyone that posts here is good. Just that Ditka is money in the bank. I started betting $20 a game and I'm up over $700 on the year basically just following Ditka's bets with the addition of three Michigan bets of my own.

 

As for parlays, they are a bad bet. Same with teasers. My buddy is a bookie and he loves people who play parlays. Easy money for the book.

 

 

I don't necessarily agree that parlays are "bad" bets. I would never put a 2 team parlay in because the odds just don't pay enough. But I'll usually supplement my weekly plays with a multiple play parlay (5, 6, 7 plays). The odds are great for the amount you wager. I believe a 6 team parlay pays out at 75:1. If your average bet is $25 or $50 per play, you could put a parlay in for $5-10 and walk away with a decent payout. Obviously I don't recommend putting all of your eggs in this basket. As I stated before, a supplemental small wager that could pay off.

[Grind 0]

I don't necessarily agree that parlays are "bad" bets. I would never put a 2 team parlay in because the odds just don't pay enough. But I'll usually supplement my weekly plays with a multiple play parlay (5, 6, 7 plays). The odds are great for the amount you wager. I believe a 6 team parlay pays out at 75:1. If your average bet is $25 or $50 per play, you could put a parlay in for $5-10 and walk away with a decent payout. Obviously I don't recommend putting all of your eggs in this basket. As I stated before, a supplemental small wager that could pay off.

 

 

So you would win 75 to 1 if you hit on a 6-team parlay. I'm no statistician, but I think the odds of winning such a bet are more in the 250-1 to 500-1 area.

[packakegger 2]

So you would win 75 to 1 if you hit on a 6-team parlay. I'm no statistician, but I think the odds of winning such a bet are more in the 250-1 to 500-1 area.

 

Actually, the odds for a 6 teamer would be around 50:1. Though some places offer better odds to suck bettors in.

 

To figure it out multiply each games odds in decimal format (1.91*1.91......) to get your odds for the parlay.

 

Pinnacle gave me 45:1 odds for a 6 teamer, which is a bit of a ripoff.....I think

 

I've actually had a lot of success throwing in a teaser with my regular bets, hitting 7 of 9 this year.

[cyclone24 1,836]

So hurrican Ditka is gone for the week?

 

 

I havent seen anything from Philly yet.

 

Im liking the iowa schools....

Iowa to cover the 17.5 vs Indiana

and ISU to not cover the 19 vs OU

[Nap 0]

Even though I don't have a ton of betting experience, I've found some success betting parlays in the following manner:

 

1. I pick two games or spreads that I feel good about

2. I find one or two games in which I bet on the team, not the spread. Usually the really lopsided matchups won't allow straight up bets, but closer lines (usually spread less than 10 either way) will allow it. For example, last week I went with the Pats over the Dolphins and the Broncos over the Ravens.

 

While you won't get the same payout, adding a couple of games in which you are confident who the winner will be DESPITE the spread helps build up the payout, and I almost always can pick a few games where I know who will win.

 

But then again, I'm down for the year, so definitely don't listen to me

[Yer mom 2]

Let me save you some time going through old posts. Just follow Ditka and/or Philly. Not to say the rest aren't good, because most everyone that posts here is good. Just that Ditka is money in the bank. I started betting $20 a game and I'm up over $700 on the year basically just following Ditka's bets with the addition of three Michigan bets of my own.

 

As for parlays, they are a bad bet. Same with teasers. My buddy is a bookie and he loves people who play parlays. Easy money for the book.

 

 

Lemme address this here. Just about every book and (with no disrespect intended in any way to anyone on the board) wagerers who are not razor sharp are going to say teasers are sucker bets. The bottom line is that more times than not, whichever side you go with, should it cover, may have covered the number by itself anyhow. There is a right situation in certain circumstances where a teaser is a good bet, you have to be able to have a feel for the game in the first place and know that the points will benefit you by using them. I can tell you personally that I have absolutely cleaned house using teasers over the course of many years on games where I knew (course theres no such thing as a lock) the points would be the difference.(not intended to sound cocky) If you personally have failed with them....then yeah, id steer clear too.

 

You absolutely have to be intuitive about the games your using them on if you plan on being successful long term, which comes via experience and consistant following of trends, match-ups etc. Because at this point your banking on having to have more than one team cover. I can also say this in confidence, if your using them properly, you may not have to break a sweat over the games, which counts big for me as I do not like to stress over wagers on every bet I place.

 

College ball is generally a no-no for using teasers. If your on the wrong side, in most cases, the points will not help. No point in taking LSU from -75 to -68 when they play Ridgemont high. etc.

 

Excellent example of when a teaser can benefit: (week 2 ten point)

 

Baltimore at home -.5 against Oakland

Cincinnati at home -1 against Cleveland

San Diego at home -3 against Tenessee

 

Without going into too much detail, you've got MUCH stronger teams AT HOME against opponents playing very weak at the time. (seeing the manipulated lines above, if it were straight wagers on individual plays would just be an absolute joke, so go ahead and bank on all 3) PRIME example of when to take advantage of the "no sweat" wager. These favorites covered outright and I played San Diego and Balt straight up as well, but wasnt 100% sure about Cinci.....but you get the gist of when your walking into all but guaranteed money.

 

Teasers age GREAT when used properly....

 

Good Luck!!

[cyclone24 1,836]

Lemme address this here. Just about every book and (with no disrespect intended in any way to anyone on the board) wagerers who are not razor sharp are going to say teasers are sucker bets. The bottom line is that more times than not, whichever side you go with, should it cover, may have covered the number by itself anyhow. There is a right situation in certain circumstances where a teaser is a good bet, you have to be able to have a feel for the game in the first place and know that the points will benefit you by using them. I can tell you personally that I have absolutely cleaned house using teasers over the course of many years on games where I knew (course theres no such thing as a lock) the points would be the difference.(not intended to sound cocky) If you personally have failed with them....then yeah, id steer clear too.

 

You absolutely have to be intuitive about the games your using them on if you plan on being successful long term, which comes via experience and consistant following of trends, match-ups etc. Because at this point your banking on having to have more than one team cover. I can also say this in confidence, if your using them properly, you may not have to break a sweat over the games, which counts big for me as I do not like to stress over wagers on every bet I place.

 

College ball is generally a no-no for using teasers. If your on the wrong side, in most cases, the points will not help. No point in taking LSU from -75 to -68 when they play Ridgemont high. etc.

 

Excellent example of when a teaser can benefit: (week 2 ten point)

 

Baltimore at home -.5 against Oakland

Cincinnati at home -1 against Cleveland

San Diego at home -3 against Tenessee

 

Without going into too much detail, you've got MUCH stronger teams AT HOME against opponents playing very weak at the time. (seeing the manipulated lines above, if it were straight wagers on individual plays would just be an absolute joke, so go ahead and bank on all 3) PRIME example of when to take advantage of the "no sweat" wager. These favorites covered outright and I played San Diego and Balt straight up as well, but wasnt 100% sure about Cinci.....but you get the gist of when your walking into all but guaranteed money.

 

Teasers age GREAT when used properly....

 

Good Luck!!

 

 

Ok...im not smart enough to know what your talking about....so i just wont touch teasers...how bout that?

[Yer mom 2]

ADDED

 

LSU -26.5

 

This wont be a fun game for Kentucky, LSU averages 47 points per game at home and Kentucky would be lucky to get 14 against this defense. LSU shuld win by 5 TD's easily.

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

If I may throw my two cents in on teasers and parlays.

 

Several years ago, I hit three team parlays in back to back weekends on NFL.

I had a crusty old bookie I went through at the time who told me that noone had EVER done that before in successive weekends.

Even if he was exaggerating a tad, I think that speaks to how tough it is to hit parlays--even three-teamers.

Parlays are sucker bets. Please don't bet beyond a three-teamer. You'll lose your ass.

 

The deal with teasers for those who don't know is that you get to move a spread say six points in two games.

 

Here's the key: Tease them through key numbers. Key numbers are 3, 4, 6, 7,10,13 and 14.

What I mean by that is since teams almost always score in 3 and 7 pt increments those numbers are most important in gambling.

4 is important too since 7-3=4.

 

So a team favored by seven teased to 1 is a great bet.

A team favored by 17 teased to 11 isn't as smart.

 

Just something to chew on.

 

In my experience, teasers hit more often in pros than college where the margin of victory is narrower and the outcome more predictable within a spread range.

Some would probably disagree with that but that's what I've found over the years.

 

 

 

 

 

BY the way, Cyclone24...You don't like ISU getting 19 from Oklahoma?

 

You got a solid QB in ISU and Ok shouldn't be laying nearly three tds to anyone.

 

I haven't bet it yet but I was planning on it. I thought you might follow ISU closely given your handle.

[mccombsau 5]

I'm an Auburn homer and i can't believe no one on the board is jumping on Florida +1, the line started at +2.5 and I was in shock....I have ritual(some call it a superstition) of betting against my team when they are favored to break the blow if they lose....guess what, last week I did not vs Ark.....I would never bet against them when they were the dogs in fear of losing both the game and the wager

 

In any case, back to my original question, are there some solid reasons no of you are jumping on the gators? Obviously someone is because the line has moved so drastically....please give me something to hope for

 

I usually don't put my 0.02 in, I just read digest the knowledge, thanks to you all for the great info every week

[4i's 0]

Homerism is never good for betting......

[American Chewy 98]

Let me save you some time going through old posts. Just follow Ditka and/or Philly. Not to say the rest aren't good, because most everyone that posts here is good. Just that Ditka is money in the bank. I started betting $20 a game and I'm up over $700 on the year basically just following Ditka's bets with the addition of three Michigan bets of my own.

 

i totally agree, those two, philly and ditka, are great handicappers. they've been doing it for years with proven results. me personally this is only my 2nd year, last year i was up 20 units on the season and this year through 6 weeks i'm up 16 units, so a good start but i'm still learning a lot.

 

i only play sides, and dont mess with parlays or teasers (just haven't looked into them). i play a ton of games which makes it more entertaining for me but some will say that you shouldn't play so many games. personal pref. i guess.

 

a unit should be 1-2% of your bankroll. that way you have plenty of leyway for some bad weekends. be consistent in your betting style. dont throw half your roll on a game or double your bets cause you are losing. start with a low unit and increase it after a good deal of success(like a whole season).

 

my handicapping style right now involves looking at line movements, public betting %, a consensus of a few great (free) online handicappers(look for guys who post results and who do good writeups and stick around all year), then my own research using statistical analysis and computer rankings. i would consider the big 12 my specialty, i've followed that league very closely since 1990 when it was the big 8 (i'm 25).

 

good luck, have fun, and only bet what you can afford to lose.

 

 

I'm an Auburn homer and i can't believe no one on the board is jumping on Florida +1, the line started at +2.5 and I was in shock....I have ritual(some call it a superstition) of betting against my team when they are favored to break the blow if they lose....guess what, last week I did not vs Ark.....I would never bet against them when they were the dogs in fear of losing both the game and the wager

 

In any case, back to my original question, are there some solid reasons no of you are jumping on the gators? Obviously someone is because the line has moved so drastically....please give me something to hope for

 

I usually don't put my 0.02 in, I just read digest the knowledge, thanks to you all for the great info every week

 

i'm all over florida, i posted as such above. i'm taking the florida ML +115.

 

Auburn has lacked playmakers from the outside all year. Tuberville, usually a great coach has been unable to find ways for Cox to get the ball deep. I think it's because outside of Courtney Taylor, who is above average but standard for an SEC wideout, Auburn's receivers have given nothing. Florida's secondary shut down the LSU receiving corps (which is among the best in the nation). I expect them to have little trouble holding down Auburn from big plays. I don't expect Cox to have much time to throw either as Marcus Taylor will tee off on an unexperienced back up Center. when a team becomes one dimensional, it's death. plus, Kenny Irons still doesn't look 100%.

 

Urban Meyer and co. continue to find ways to score against talented opponents. First, the Tebow single wing keeps working. Urban finally let Tebow throw and used the fake run, which reminded me of Randle El at Indiana, to perfection. Leak hasn't been turning the ball over. The Auburn line is probably still beat up by the way they were manhandled last week.

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

I'm just not a believer in Fla yet.

 

Auburn at home to right the ship seems like the right side to me. I see a low-scoring defensive game.

I'll probably just stay away.

[king41 0]

MICHIGAN STATE WILL SHOCK THE WORLD WHEN THEY UPSET OHIO STATE!

[cyclone24 1,836]

If I may throw my two cents in on teasers and parlays.

 

Several years ago, I hit three team parlays in back to back weekends on NFL.

I had a crusty old bookie I went through at the time who told me that noone had EVER done that before in successive weekends.

Even if he was exaggerating a tad, I think that speaks to how tough it is to hit parlays--even three-teamers.

Parlays are sucker bets. Please don't bet beyond a three-teamer. You'll lose your ass.

 

The deal with teasers for those who don't know is that you get to move a spread say six points in two games.

 

Here's the key: Tease them through key numbers. Key numbers are 3, 4, 6, 7,10,13 and 14.

What I mean by that is since teams almost always score in 3 and 7 pt increments those numbers are most important in gambling.

4 is important too since 7-3=4.

 

So a team favored by seven teased to 1 is a great bet.

A team favored by 17 teased to 11 isn't as smart.

 

Just something to chew on.

 

In my experience, teasers hit more often in pros than college where the margin of victory is narrower and the outcome more predictable within a spread range.

Some would probably disagree with that but that's what I've found over the years.

BY the way, Cyclone24...You don't like ISU getting 19 from Oklahoma?

 

You got a solid QB in ISU and Ok shouldn't be laying nearly three tds to anyone.

 

I haven't bet it yet but I was planning on it. I thought you might follow ISU closely given your handle.

 

 

NO....i jumped on OU early.

 

I bet against ISU last week and won nicely....i dont see them doing better against OU.

 

Their defense is very young and suspect...and yeah the offense is ok, but very inconsistant. So Meyer throws a great pass...then 2 crappy ones.

 

I think OU willl be pretty speedy, and ISU cant catch up.

 

Just a note...look what OU did last time when ISu came down with Senecca Wallace....it was horrible.

[phillybear 365]

Keeping a low profile, after the ass kicking I received last week, losing nearly half my profits on the year. Brutal, brutal, brutal week. I feel terribly if my recommendations led anyone to make losing wagers. I feel horribly about that.

 

I'll post tomorrows games in the morning most likely, but I don't love any of the Thursday or Friday games. Yet.

 

I locked in Hawaii (-4) already for 3 units. Hawaii really let me down, as they blew a 20 point lead with 10 minutes to play, but Fresno St is really in a bad spot after losing as a 28+ point favorite vs Utah St, and their season is practically over. Interestinly enough, Fresno St lost 8 out of 9 games SU. A far cry from their recent success over the last few years. The familiar refrain of Hawaii being a bad road team no longer applies as I believe they have covered 5 of their last 7 road games. Revenge game from last year, as Hawaii dominated Fresno St, but lost by 14, due to miscues, and Fresno breaking an 80 yard TD run with about 2 minutes to go in that game. Hawaii is improved. Fresno St is much worse. Fresno St has poor QB play, and will not keep up on the scoreboard.

[needmoremoney 0]

Consolidating multiple posts and adding Missouri play...

 

Ariz St +19 1 unit

California -7.5 2 units

Utah -4 2 units

Maryland -5 2 units

Idaho +2 3 units (Am I the only one who feels that the wrong team is favored here?)

Hawaii -4 2 units

Missouri -2 2 units

 

NCAAF YTD (starting last week): 14-4-0 +12.3 units

[art schlichter's bookie 0]

PB:

 

Loving the Rainbows.

 

Don't sweat a bad week people won a boatload off yer picks last year.

 

I'll be interested to see if you have any PAC 10 picks.

 

I got 4 in the on deck circle: Ariz, ASU, Oregon and Cal but I don't see much west coast ball...

 

And what about Kent at home vs. Toledo's freshman QB? I think Kent is the best team in the MAC like Steele predicted in pre-season