***Official college football wagering thread***

[brzrboy 0]

No, I'm not gonna apologize for starting this on Monday night, there's a game on Tuesday!!!!

 

Ball St. +5 @ Toledo

o/u 53

 

discuss.

[brzrboy 0]

Ball St. is horrible running the ball at 82 p/g

Ball St. is horrible on defense giving up 180 rushing and 276 passing p/g

Since 1992, Toledo is 16-3 ATS as a 3.5 to 10 pt favorite

Since 1992, Toledo is 5-0 ATS as a 3.5 to 7 pt home favorite

Neither team has held an opponent to less than 17 pts.

 

Leans toward Toledo and the over.

 

Yep, that's the extent of my analysis. So, can some real handicappers provide a direction for us sheep?

[GBFAVRE4 0]

I have some direction, but first off let's keep this what it is this week....

 

A College Football Thread!

 

I am all for the NCAAB and NBA talk, but lets start a different thread in the GC

[Guest Sam_I_Am2121]

No, I'm not gonna apologize for starting this on Monday night, there's a game on Tuesday!!!!

 

Ball St. +5 @ Toledo

o/u 53

 

discuss.

 

 

This thread and all threads of it's nature to come before or after, can lick my left nut. Not ,my right nut, cause that's only for privileged individuals, and you are all pathetic. This thread sucks and so do you.

[dmaidlow73 0]

This thread and all threads of it's nature to come before or after, can lick my left nut. Not ,my right nut, cause that's only for privileged individuals, and you are all pathetic. This thread sucks and so do you.

 

What the hell is your problem? If you don't like the thread then don't open it.

[mawk77 0]

haven't done much research but my gut is telling me that toledo is the obvious play and i try to stay away from those types of situations. i'm looking at the over but will need to get a good handle on the weather before making any decisions. as for this week,

 

like northwestern, byu, michigan and rutgers to name a few

[dmaidlow73 0]

haven't done much research but my gut is telling me that toledo is the obvious play and i try to stay away from those types of situations. i'm looking at the over but will need to get a good handle on the weather before making any decisions. as for this week,

 

like northwestern, byu, michigan and rutgers to name a few

 

In past years, yes, Toledo would have been the play. I will probably stay away this time. The Rockets have not been good against the spread this year. They are not a very good team, actually. The reason the line is where it is is because the oddsmakers know people will lay money on Toledo at home. In the past they have been very good at home. This year, they are a crapshoot. You never know what team will show up. That being said, they have been playing well as of late, with wins against NIU and Akron.

 

Another possible factor in this game is that Ball State is coming off of a close loss to Michigan. That could affect them in one of two ways. 1) They could come out of that game with a great degree of confidence after hanging with the #2 team in the nation, or 2) They could be very down after losing their chance at the big upset. Also, BSU is coming in with couple extra days rest because Toledo played last Tuesday.

[GiantsRule 0]

I was thinking the Ball State ML (+175), but that's more chasing mentality than actual rhyme or reason.

[KC Chef Jeff 0]

In past years, yes, Toledo would have been the play. I will probably stay away this time. The Rockets have not been good against the spread this year. They are not a very good team, actually. The reason the line is where it is is because the oddsmakers know people will lay money on Toledo at home. In the past they have been very good at home. This year, they are a crapshoot. You never know what team will show up. That being said, they have been playing well as of late, with wins against NIU and Akron.

 

Another possible factor in this game is that Ball State is coming off of a close loss to Michigan. That could affect them in one of two ways. 1) They could come out of that game with a great degree of confidence after hanging with the #2 team in the nation, or 2) They could be very down after losing their chance at the big upset. Also, BSU is coming in with couple extra days rest because Toledo played last Tuesday.

 

Excellent thoughts on how Ball St. could be affected. I would vote for the former, their offense HAS to be feeling good about themselves. So for this game, if both offenses are good and both defenses are bad, about the only thing keeping this game under 54 is the weather. Seems like over is the play here.

 

ATS, who knows. Philly will hopefully post a writeup this afternoon.

[dmaidlow73 0]

Excellent thoughts on how Ball St. could be affected. I would vote for the former, their offense HAS to be feeling good about themselves. So for this game, if both offenses are good and both defenses are bad, about the only thing keeping this game under 54 is the weather. Seems like over is the play here.

 

ATS, who knows. Philly will hopefully post a writeup this afternoon.

 

I am with you on the Over. Bad defenses and a couple of offenses that should be effective tonight, although the mid-week Over play hasn't exactly been $ in the bank this year.

 

Coincidentally, the weather will be fine for the game. I am an hour North of Toledo and have family there and it is supposed to be 40 and cloudy.

[KC Chef Jeff 0]

Cripes! Sportsbook.com put the over at 55 already, up a point from 3 hrs ago. I got in on it a few min ago. Let's hope for a 38-34 final.

[JetsFan28 0]

I went the under tonight.

[beefy1 0]

Philly, Ditka, what are your thoughts on tonights game?

[American Chewy 98]

S. Carolina -14@-121

 

this was the first game i jumped on yesterday, i had to buy it down obviously, but if you can get it at 14 i'd advise doing so. The cocks will jump all over middle tenn at home. This has all the makings of the navy-e. mich game result from last week, this line is definitely off and its moving up.

 

P.S. i'm probably passing tonight. tired of the mid-week games, i know i'm losing on them this season.

[Yer mom 2]

Afternoon Gentlemen,

 

Here to share my plays, I cant see why this game would go under but I know mid-week games havent been kind to the over....

 

Balls State TEAM TOTAL OVER 25.5

Toledo TEAM TOTAL OVER 29.5

 

This way if one gets there and the other doesnt, I get a push. Im OK with that. Im hoping for both to get there though...

 

Good Luck!!

[GiantsRule 0]

Afternoon Gentlemen,

 

Here to share my plays, I cant see why this game would go under but I know mid-week games havent been kind to the over....

 

Balls State TEAM TOTAL OVER 25.5

Toledo TEAM TOTAL OVER 29.5

 

This way if one gets there and the other doesnt, I get a push. Im OK with that. Im hoping for both to get there though...

 

Good Luck!!

 

I'm on it:

 

Balls (heh) State team Over 24.5 (+105) - BetUS

Toledo team Over 29.5 (-115)

 

ML dropped on Ball State. Hopefully, that's a good sign. I'm on Balls ML +160 for a decent amount. Will probably chicken out and hedge if they manage to score first.

 

Good luck to all!

 

[phillybear 366]

Overall College Football YTD: 219-188-4; +46.07 units

Subset: 2 unit plays or higher: 106-78; +61.62 units

CFL: 23-13; +20.95 units

NBA: 24-20-1; +4.25 units

NCAA baskets: 19-28-1; -13.4 units

NFL (Reset, last 4 weeks): 29-26-1; +1.15 units

 

For what it is worth, we started a basketball thread on the Geek Board several days ago, out of respect to keeping this thread as football.

 

Tuesday

 

UNDER 56 Tol/Ball St for 1 unit WINNER

 

The value is on the under tonight, as Toledo is one of the top defenses in the MAC and is starting a rookie QB who is incapable to taking advantage of Ball St's horrific pass defense. I think Toledo will try to run all game long, and slow down Ball St's offense with their defense. Should be a competitive game between two awful teams, but the total looks a bit too high.

 

Good luck to all.

[iceblumist610 0]

Chewy, what similarities do you see between USC/MTSU and Navy/EMU.

 

Navy has a great run game. USC does not.

EMU has a crappy run defense. MTSU does not.

MTSU is lightyears better than EMU (remember, EMU got crushed by a mid-level SBC team)

USC is in a sandwich game between what are quite possibly the two biggest games of their season (Florida and Clemson).

It's MTSU or nothing for me, probably nothing.

[American Chewy 98]

Chewy, what similarities do you see between USC/MTSU and Navy/EMU.

 

Navy has a great run game. USC does not.

EMU has a crappy run defense. MTSU does not.

MTSU is lightyears better than EMU (remember, EMU got crushed by a mid-level SBC team)

USC is in a sandwich game between what are quite possibly the two biggest games of their season (Florida and Clemson).

It's MTSU or nothing for me, probably nothing.

 

well as far as comparison i meant in how the line appears off at 14 like that navy game did, not the specific matchups.

basically when MTSU plays solid program (which they are playing on saturday) they get soundly beaten scoring 17,10,0 points in those three games, and letting up 44 (Lville),24(maryland),59(okla.)--all on the road/neutral too--, and they are going into an angry bunch of gamecocks who shouldve beat florida last weekend, if it wasnt for the kicker. S. Car still needs a win for bowl elig. (5-5...they gotta be the best .500 team in col. football) with a game at clem. looming.

S. Car has a solid def, giving up only an avg of 17 pts/game (good for #23 in the country) in the tough SEC. Mid-Tenn has mostly fattened up on terrible sunbet teams yet despite that is 96th in total offense.

I see this game in the 31-10 range at least.

[JetsFan28 0]

14-14 at the half. I need it to stay UNDER 54.5!

[Yer mom 2]

2nd half:

 

Toledo -3 28

 

This game has 28-28 written all over it. Everytime Toledo scores Ball State answers in less than 3 minutes, which poses the question..why cant you do that every fockin possession? Whatever. Tempted to play the Ball State TEAM TOTAL OVER 13.5 for the 2nd half...whaddya think GR?

 

Good Luck!!

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Work has firewalled FFToday from me! Oh well, I shouldn't be spending time on the internet at work anyway.

 

I didn't take any action in college football tonight but I do have:

 

Mavs/Bulls over 191

Clips/Jazz under 198.5

Raptors/Warriors under 212

 

Tex Tech -12

Gonzaga -13

Indiana -3

[Yer mom 2]

Work has firewalled FFToday from me! Oh well, I shouldn't be spending time on the internet at work anyway.

 

I didn't take any action in college football tonight but I do have:

 

Mavs/Bulls over 191

Clips/Jazz under 198.5

Raptors/Warriors under 212

 

Tex Tech -12

Gonzaga -13

Indiana -3

 

 

Im lookin at that Gonzaga game as well, no decision just yet. I hate the MAC...

 

Good Luck!!

[Yer mom 2]

That was the worst playcalling ive ever seen. Ball on the 1 inch line, put the QB in the shotgun and hand it to a midget....wow. Go away MAC football!

[Tarheel Boy 0]

Work has firewalled FFToday from me! Oh well, I shouldn't be spending time on the internet at work anyway.

 

I didn't take any action in college football tonight but I do have:

 

Mavs/Bulls over 191

Clips/Jazz under 198.5

Raptors/Warriors under 212

 

Tex Tech -12

Gonzaga -13

Indiana -3

 

I took Gonzaga in the first half at -7.5 and I think they'll cover the overall line as well. I had SMU +12 which looks like they'll cover and might actually win the game. UNC really didn't have a great first outing and I took them overall and in the first half.

 

I was actually going to take Butler, but decided to stay away from the game completely.

 

Good luck.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Going with a different strategy this week to try and break my one week FUNK! Here are my plays this week. Since I am going to the Apple Cup (Wash/WashSt) I will not be around Friday or Saturday. Only 5 plays hoping to get back on track!

 

YTD 122-71-9 (59.65 units)

 

4 units per

Northern Illinois +3.5

Ohio State -6.5

Washington +9

Kansas State +2

USC -5.5

 

1. Northern Illinois is getting points at home where they are normally pretty good. Wolfe is probable and I expect him to post some decent stats.

 

2. I am just totally picking a side here in the biggest college game since USC/Texas last year. Ohio State is at home, has played and beaten Texas and I still have a bad taste in my mouth from Michigan/Ball State. I think the Buckeyes can post a double digit win.

 

3. This will be my third Apple Cup. From what I see records and trends mean nothing as does home field advantage. The crowd will be 50/50 with fans from each. WASU has been tough at home but I will take the 9 in a rivalry game.

 

4. K-State totally impressed me last week beating Texas and they have a respectable record this year. Another in state rivalry, I just think the wrong team is the favorite here.

 

5. If USC is going to make a case for getting back into the national title game this is the game they need to start with (before getting to Notre Dame). Cal losing to Arizona was a disaster and not the way they would want to play heading to USC.

[Grind 0]

Three plays I am looking at early:

 

CMU -3.5

Michigan +7

Michigan/OSU under 41

 

Thinking about a Michigan ML/Under 41 parlay for 5x's my bet and hope for no overtime.

[needmoremoney 0]

Last week sucked.. let's try to do better this week.

 

Ohio -5 2 units

Navy -31.5 2 units

Tulane -1.5 2 units

Rice +2.5 2 units I'll take Rice at home. Better team IMO.

Wyoming -10 2 units

Illinois -2.5 2 units This team is better than record indicates. Tough schedule.

Nevada -20 2 units

South Florida +17 1 unit

UL Lafeyette -5.5 2 units Will Florida Int'l even score more than 1 TD if even 1?

Vanderbilt +8 1 unit

Kansas ML 1 unit Following Ditka here...

Oregon St. -14 1 unit Stanfurd sucks...

Maryland +7.5 1 unit I see a close game....

Connecticut +1.5 2 units I'll take the better running team in this game..

Oklahoma St +6 1 unit Texas Tech has not been too impressive against strong run teams.

Tulsa -6 1 unit Time for them to turn things around... hopefully.

 

 

NCAAF YTD: 138-101-2

+51.98 units

[beefy1 0]

Well Toledo played like crap. They had fourth and two and the tight end drops the easiest pass ever. They could have kicked the field goal and gone to OT but then again their kicker probably would have missed it, just like the 25 yarder late in the first half.

 

Oh well, onto tonights game. What does everyone think?

[JetsFan28 0]

The under hit last night.

 

Anyone looking at the game tonight?

[gummo_dude 0]

It's hard to believe that the team that lost to Temple could be a favorite against anyone.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I took Gonzaga in the first half at -7.5 and I think they'll cover the overall line as well. I had SMU +12 which looks like they'll cover and might actually win the game. UNC really didn't have a great first outing and I took them overall and in the first half.

 

I was actually going to take Butler, but decided to stay away from the game completely.

 

Good luck.

4-2 last night. Indiana fouled their way to a loss last night. Nice to get back to a winning night though.

 

Tonights Hoops for me (half unit each):

 

Knicks/Wizards under 211.5

Pistons PK

 

Georgetown -2.5

Syracuse -19.5

[JetsFan28 0]

I hear tonight calls for bad weather. Might have to play the under again.

[GiantsRule 0]

4-2 last night. Indiana fouled their way to a loss last night. Nice to get back to a winning night though.

 

Tonights Hoops for me (half unit each):

 

Knicks/Wizards under 211.5

Pistons PK

 

Georgetown -2.5

Syracuse -19.5

 

Ditka: How lucky was that Golden State-Toronto Under call last night? I gave up when I saw the near 70-point 2nd quarter. Thanks to a ridiculously low 3rd quarter, those that grabbed Under 214 (I had 214.5) covered by 5 points. Wow!

 

Also hit the Ball State ML last night to cut into the massacre that was Monday night for me (went a little overboard with in-game live bets...all in TB's favor). Def. not trying the ML tonight with Miami-OH, but Bowling Green hasn't covered a spread at home yet.

 

Since it is a MAC contest, I may look into the BG team Over, but it's going to have to be 28 points or less to even consider it.

[dmaidlow73 0]

Ditka: How lucky was that Golden State-Toronto Under call last night? I gave up when I saw the near 70-point 2nd quarter. Thanks to a ridiculously low 3rd quarter, those that grabbed Under 214 (I had 214.5) covered by 5 points. Wow!

 

Also hit the Ball State ML last night to cut into the massacre that was Monday night for me (went a little overboard with in-game live bets...all in TB's favor). Def. not trying the ML tonight with Miami-OH, but Bowling Green hasn't covered a spread at home yet.

 

Since it is a MAC contest, I may look into the BG team Over, but it's going to have to be 28 points or less to even consider it.

 

GR:

Pinnacle has the team total for BG set at 26.5 and the team total for Miami at 22.5. FYI, weather is supposed to be cold and rainy. Also, BG is known for it's windy conditions. There is absolutely nothing around Bowling Green but cornfields and the stadium is wide open on both ends.

[GiantsRule 0]

GR:

Pinnacle has the team total for BG set at 26.5 and the team total for Miami at 22.5. FYI, weather is supposed to be cold and rainy. Also, BG is known for it's windy conditions. There is absolutely nothing around Bowling Green but cornfields and the stadium is wide open on both ends.

 

Thanks for the heads up. I'll do my best to pass on this game (unless someone knows the players enough to suggest a decent prop (passer completions, rushing yards, etc.)

[dmaidlow73 0]

Thanks for the heads up. I'll do my best to pass on this game (unless someone knows the players enough to suggest a decent prop (passer completions, rushing yards, etc.)

 

I haven't seen any prop on it yet, but if one comes out on rushing yards for Anthony Turner (BG QB) I would lean towards the over. There are a couple of reasons why. 1) Miami's D is very banged up (their top 2 tacklers (LBs) are out). 2) Turner just ran for over 100 yards last week. He is finally healthy from a shoulder injury that he suffered in the beginning of the year. 3) Weather has potential to be nasty, thus limiting the passing games.

 

Just my 2 cents. I will also likely take the Under (48), mainly due to the fact that the ball will be run quite a bit.

[Grind 0]

4-2 last night. Indiana fouled their way to a loss last night. Nice to get back to a winning night though.

 

Tonights Hoops for me (half unit each):

 

Knicks/Wizards under 211.5

Pistons PK

 

Georgetown -2.5

Syracuse -19.5

 

 

How did you get the Pistons at a pick? My book shows -7.5.

[swirvenirvin 25]

2 plays this week

 

Ohio -4.5

 

and Michigan +7

[JetsFan28 0]

The over/under just dropped to 47 for tonight. Anyone have any thoughts?