***Official Week 3 College Football Thread***

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Best week of the year in my opinion is this week! The Ohio State vs. USC game will be a must watch.

 

Good ole HD is:

 

YTD 13-5 +26.6 units

2-0 on 8 unit plays

 

Let's keep this shiznit rollin!

 

Vanderbilt -7.5 over Rice (3 units)

I have been saying that Rice is not that bad of a team this year, but let's not get carried away. They are 2-0 even though they are giving up 31 points a game. That just won't get it done on the road at Vanderbilt. 35-17 sounds about right here to me.

 

New Mexico State +25.5 over Nebraska (2 units)

I like Nebraska as a clear favorite here once again. But once again the Huskers have not ran up a score, they didn't last week on SJS, I expect them to win I just like the points too much here.

 

Purdue +8.5 over Oregon (2 units)

I have not been impressed with most of the Pac 10 games I have seen. Cal looks good, USC is USC, UCLA will not win games with that QB throwing all those picks. Traveling to the other side of the country and playing Purdue at home. I will take the home team and the points here.

 

 

 

Hawaii +12.5 over Oregon State (1 unit)

I will be at this game. The Beavers have looked dreadful against some stiff competition. I am routing for Hawaii so I might as well risk a unit.

 

Maryland +15.5 over Cal (1 unit)

Again, this seems like too many points for a home team to not pass up. Maryland plays solid defense, period. So give me the points.

 

Boise State -16 over Bowling Green (1 unit)

If you haven't heard of Kellen Moore the freshman QB for Boise State. Now you know. In High School this guys was amazing running the same offense as Boise State. He redshirted as a freshman. And is now the starter with 4 years ahead of him. I really think he could shatter every QB record at Boise State if healthy. With a healthy Ian Johnson I expect the Broncos to roll 45-20 in this track meet.

 

Michigan State -16.5 over Florida Atlantic (4 units)

Spartans will roll. By 40. Nothing to write about.

 

Illinois -24.5 over LA Lafayette (8 units)

Let's see LALA gives up 51 to Southern miss and lose by 30. Illinois will have no reason to run things up but 44-14 score and a 30 point loss to Illinois sounds about right and is my biggest play of the week. This line should be about -29.5. Funny thing is,,, this line hasn't budged. So what do I know?

[Grind 0]

I have to say that Georgia (-7) at South Carolina is enticing.

 

The one game that really seemed to stand out was MSU (-17) home versus Florida Atlantic. MSU went west and played Cal tough. Cal so far looks strong, so that loss doesn't look so bad on the road for the Spartans. This just seems to be too low a number.

 

Have to say though, I'm most likely following HD.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I have to say that Georgia (-7) at South Carolina is enticing.

 

The one game that really seemed to stand out was MSU (-17) home versus Florida Atlantic. MSU went west and played Cal tough. Cal so far looks strong, so that loss doesn't look so bad on the road for the Spartans. This just seems to be too low a number.

 

Have to say though, I'm most likely following HD.

Georgia opening at 7 is solid. South Carolina not impressive at all. I will post my picks later in the week. I will be at the Hawaii vs. Oregon State game. The school AD hooked me up with some freebies in the 6th row.

[mikeso 0]

rutger -4

south florida -3

 

so far thats what i took....

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I like Boise State as an early lean. Love the kid Kellen Moore starting for the Broncos. He will be big time.

 

Also, like Illinois. Leaning towards that being my biggest play of the weekend

[thePerch 0]

Georgia opening at 7 is solid. South Carolina not impressive at all. I will post my picks later in the week. I will be at the Hawaii vs. Oregon State game. The school AD hooked me up with some freebies in the 6th row.

 

SC has a pretty stingy D, but the fact that Spurrier doesn't like McKinley's chances of starting @ WR probably makes GA -7 proper.

[rallo 137]

i'll agree with rutgers -4... that looks great

 

I'm from the midwest and watch lots of college football, i mostly see big 10 and 12 games and such so those are the ones i usually put up on this site... i like to get regional updates from you guys also... keep em coming

i'm also kinda likin

 

wisc -1.5 over fresno st.

 

mich -1.5 over Notre Dame

 

TCU -12.5 over stanford

 

iowa state +14 (while the hawks have been playing well and stanzi is huge upgrade from christensen.... this game is always close... 2 TDs is a lot of points

 

i've been leanin on ECU -13.5 over tulane... divisional game, but ECU has played some tough teams and exceeded expectations... sh1t they just beat WV by 3 TDs and they can't win by 2 TD at tulane???

 

kinda likin georgia -7.5

 

will probably wait til thursday to put any of them in...

 

i guess the 3 strong leans so far are mich, isu, and rutgers...

[Gabriel Balcavienga 0]

if its too good to be true, bet the opposite. thus, i'm leaning heavily towards taking Fresno +1. i have to assume the vast majority of the public will take wisconsin without thinking. if gambling were that easy we'd all be doing it for a living.

[PackYourNut 47]

SC always plays GA tough, but GA will want to run up the score if possible as this is the first test in the voters eyes, albeit against a weak SC offense.

 

GA 31-10

[Bouve 0]

21-12-1

 

Rutgers -5.5 LOSE

South Florida -3.5 LOSE

Washington State +4 LOSE

Vandy -8 WIN

Auburn -10 LOSE

BYU -8 WIN

Michigan -2 LOSE

 

 

[StrikeGold 0]

Bump

 

Any thoughts on today's game? Tomorrow's?

 

I've been riding Cal so far, so that'll again likely be my play again on Saturday, if anyone cares.

[PackYourNut 47]

There isnt a game today. Tomorrow I like Rutgers -4

[mydogviolet 0]

wow...

 

Iowa State (+14)

Iowa

 

 

This game is always close, Iowa has played no one and starting a new QB...it's a trap!!

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

I'm playing with myself today?

[IAMWood 6]

I'm playing with myself today?

 

Link?

 

[phillybear 366]

NCAA YTD: 10-2-1; +23.4 units

CFL YTD: 1-4; -4.7 units

NFL YTD: 1-0; +3.0 units

 

Thursday

 

North Carolina (+5) for 3 units WINNER

 

Gut feeing play. UNC is an improving team, going 5-3 ATS as a dog last year, with a good QB in Yates and a pair of explosive receivers. Rutgers really misses the monster RBs they've had in the offense the last few years, and are regressing rapidly. I've never been a fan of Rutger's QB Teel. I really feel this is a situation of the teams going in the opposite direction, creating line value with the upstart. Sure, NC and Rutgers figure to slug it out offensively. But I will back the hungrier dog. Of course, the popular play will be Rutgers to bounce back from their loss to Fresno St, as 77%+ is on the Scarlet Knights. But, I am fading the popular pick, like I tend to do.

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

My 9 weekend plays are posted. I can't pull the trigger on a few games. Wiscy, USC, Notre Dame, Okla because we will find out alot about those teams for later based off the matchups this week.

[new-guru 0]

S. Florida -3 5 units

[$epphori$ 118]

10-6 YTD + 12 units

 

My plays.............

 

10 Unit Plays

 

Missouri -26.5

USC -11

Cal -14.5

 

5 Unit plays

 

NC +6

Oregon -8.5

Penn St -27.5

Ohio +3.5

UNLV +22.5

Middle Ten +17

ECU -13

North Texas +42

[rallo 137]

S. Florida -3 5 units

 

i've been eyeing this one, but then have been nervous to take it because it said like 80 percent of the action on my betting site (sportsbook) is to take kansas to win outright...

 

how do you guys feel about this game?

[rallo 137]

wow...

 

Iowa State (+14)

Iowa

This game is always close, Iowa has played no one and starting a new QB...it's a trap!!

 

i'm leaning on ISU and taking the points... over the years this is typically a close game... as for starting a new QB... stanzi looks like the real deal, he looks to have a decent arm and good touch... i won't annoint him yet until he plays some better competition...

 

another thing to look at in this game is the O/U... it's set at 48... these games are typically low scoring... also it is supposed to rain all saturday morning... (off and on from 5 am to 9am) it'll stop by game time, but the field should be sloppy... plus the rain is supposed to start back up again at noon... so a soggy field and then rain for the 2nd half... smells like a low scoring affair to me...

 

so i'd take ISU +14 and then the under 48

[swirvenirvin 25]

YTD 5-0

Thursday Night College 2-0

Weekend College 1-0

NFL 2-0

 

 

 

Rutgers -6 4-1 ATS on Thursday's in the last 3 years while NC is 0-1

[ToledoLurch 0]

NCAA YTD 5-1 up 6.9 units

 

I don't really have a strong feeling on the game, but feel like dabbling. It's great to see every one off to a strong start!

 

North Carolina Money Line 1 unit to win 1.9. - winner

 

 

good luck all!

[greyhounds 0]

NCAA YTD: 10-2-1; +23.4 units

CFL YTD: 1-4; -4.7 units

NFL YTD: 1-0; +3.0 units

 

Thursday

 

North Carolina (+5) for 3 units

 

Gut feeing play. UNC is an improving team, going 5-3 ATS as a dog last year, with a good QB in Yates and a pair of explosive receivers. Rutgers really misses the monster RBs they've had in the offense the last few years, and are regressing rapidly. I've never been a fan of Rutger's QB Teel. I really feel this is a situation of the teams going in the opposite direction, creating line value with the upstart. Sure, NC and Rutgers figure to slug it out offensively. But I will back the hungrier dog. Of course, the popular play will be Rutgers to bounce back from their loss to Fresno St, as 77%+ is on the Scarlet Knights. But, I am fading the popular pick, like I tend to do.

 

 

Here you go COPY and PASTE Boy.....sounds very simular:

 

NORTH CAROLINA

 

Game: North Carolina vs. Rutgers Game Time: 9/11/2008 7:45:00 PM Prediction: North Carolina Reason: I'm taking the points with NORTH CAROLINA. I respect the Scarlet Knights and consider them to be a solid team. However, I also really believe that the Tar Heels are going to be much improved this season and feel that they're currently flying somewhat under the radar. While Rutgers suffered some key losses, most notably Ray Rice, North Carolina brought back a whopping 18 starters. That was the most in the ACC. Butch Davis returns for his second year as head coach. Looking back to last year and we find that the Tar Heels were actually very competitive on the road under Davis. Early in the season, the Tar Heels covered at East Carolina and Virginia Tech and then they closed out the season by losing their final two road games (at Georgia Tech and NC. State) by just two and four points. As I've already stated, I feel that this team will be much improved from last year's. The Tar Heels are 5-3 ATS the last couple of seasons when listed as underdogs in the +3.5 to +10 range. During the same stretch, the Scarlet Knights were just 1-4 ATS as favorites in the -3.5 to -10 range. That includes an 0-2 SU/ATS mark as home favorites in the -3.5 to -7 range. Note that Fresno State already came in here and upset the Scarlet Knights as a dog in that range. Its true that UNC wasn't overly impressive in defeating McNeese State in its opener. However, I feel that will work in our favor. For starters, it's kept the line generously high. Additionally, it will ensure that the Tar Heels weren't complacent during practice. Senior RT Garrett Reynolds summed up the Tar Heels attitude: "...when we got back in the locker room after the first game, a lot of guys felt it was not even like a win because we know we can play better. We were not happy about it..." Look for a much better effort from the Tar Heels here as they take this game down to the wire with a strong shot at the upset.

[ToledoLurch 0]

i've been eyeing this one, but then have been nervous to take it because it said like 80 percent of the action on my betting site (sportsbook) is to take kansas to win outright...

 

how do you guys feel about this game?

 

I like Kansas to win this game. USF barely beat Central Florida, the Jayhawks will be a much tougher test.

[greyhounds 0]

Dr Bob for ALL:

 

I myself will be on North Carolina for 15 Units. Enjoy the write up!

 

 

RUTGERS (-6.0) 27 North Carolina 24

04:45 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Sep-11 - Stats Matchup

Rutgers gave up some big plays in their 7-24 home upset loss to Fresno State two weeks ago and the Scarlet Knights were out-gained 5.1 yards per play to 6.7 yppl by the Bulldogs. It’s pretty obvious that run defense is still a major problem for the Knights, who allowed 5.2 yards per rushing play last season (against teams that would average 4.7 yprp against an average team) and gave up 5.9 yprp to a good rushing Fresno State team in week 1. Rutgers also gave up 7.8 yards per pass play to the Bulldogs, but the 46% completions they allowed is more indicative of their great pass defense since they are not likely to continue to allow 19.6 yards per completion as they did in that game (they allowed the national average of 12.0 ypc last season). Rutgers only yielded 4.8 yards per pass play last season (against teams that would average 6.1 yppp) and they should be at least as good this season with 8 defensive starters returning, including 3 of 4 starting defensive backs. North Carolina is not likely to take full advantage of Rutgers’ porous run defense given their poor rushing game (I project a modest 4.6 yprp for UNC in this game) and the Scarlet Knights are likely to limit talented Tarheels quarterback T.J. Yates, who I rate at 0.5 yppp better than average (which is not as good as a Rutgers’ pass defense that I rate at 1.5 yppp better than average). The match-up favors Rutgers when they have the ball too, as North Carolina’s defensive strength is stopping the run while the Scarlet Knights are much better throwing the ball with veteran Mike Teel than they are running it now that Ray Rice is in the NFL. Rutgers’ new lead back Kordell Young has averaged only 4.0 ypr on his 73 career carries (against teams that would allow 4.9 ypr to an average back) and managed just 3.6 ypr on 26 carries against a mediocre Fresno State run defense. Teel is a bomber that has two major weapons in Kenny Britt (1232 receiving yards last season at 19.9 ypc) and Tiquan Underwood (1100 yards at 16.9 ypc) and Teel averaged a very impressive 8.7 yppp last season (against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average QB). Teel wasn’t at his best (6.5 yppp) against a good Fresno pass defense, but North Carolina is just average in pass defense and the Heels allowed 7.5 yppp in their opener to McNeese State quarterbacks Fourroux and Fontenot. That’s actually not as bad as it appears considering McNeese would have averaged 7.3 yppp last season against an average Division 1A defense and they’re probably going to post better numbers this season. Teel should post good passing numbers in this game (with 1 or 2 interceptions, as he’s interception prone) and my math favors Rutgers by 7 ½ points. Despite the line value in favor of the Knights I’ll be leaning with North Carolina a bit on the basis of a negative 7-36 ATS game 2 situation that applies to Rutgers and a 20-5 ATS game 2 situation that applies to North Carolina.

[new-guru 0]

Dr Bob for ALL:

 

I myself will be on North Carolina for 15 Units. Enjoy the write up!

RUTGERS (-6.0) 27 North Carolina 24

04:45 PM Pacific Time Thursday, Sep-11 - Stats Matchup

Rutgers gave up some big plays in their 7-24 home upset loss to Fresno State two weeks ago and the Scarlet Knights were out-gained 5.1 yards per play to 6.7 yppl by the Bulldogs. It’s pretty obvious that run defense is still a major problem for the Knights, who allowed 5.2 yards per rushing play last season (against teams that would average 4.7 yprp against an average team) and gave up 5.9 yprp to a good rushing Fresno State team in week 1. Rutgers also gave up 7.8 yards per pass play to the Bulldogs, but the 46% completions they allowed is more indicative of their great pass defense since they are not likely to continue to allow 19.6 yards per completion as they did in that game (they allowed the national average of 12.0 ypc last season). Rutgers only yielded 4.8 yards per pass play last season (against teams that would average 6.1 yppp) and they should be at least as good this season with 8 defensive starters returning, including 3 of 4 starting defensive backs. North Carolina is not likely to take full advantage of Rutgers’ porous run defense given their poor rushing game (I project a modest 4.6 yprp for UNC in this game) and the Scarlet Knights are likely to limit talented Tarheels quarterback T.J. Yates, who I rate at 0.5 yppp better than average (which is not as good as a Rutgers’ pass defense that I rate at 1.5 yppp better than average). The match-up favors Rutgers when they have the ball too, as North Carolina’s defensive strength is stopping the run while the Scarlet Knights are much better throwing the ball with veteran Mike Teel than they are running it now that Ray Rice is in the NFL. Rutgers’ new lead back Kordell Young has averaged only 4.0 ypr on his 73 career carries (against teams that would allow 4.9 ypr to an average back) and managed just 3.6 ypr on 26 carries against a mediocre Fresno State run defense. Teel is a bomber that has two major weapons in Kenny Britt (1232 receiving yards last season at 19.9 ypc) and Tiquan Underwood (1100 yards at 16.9 ypc) and Teel averaged a very impressive 8.7 yppp last season (against teams that would allow 6.3 yppp to an average QB). Teel wasn’t at his best (6.5 yppp) against a good Fresno pass defense, but North Carolina is just average in pass defense and the Heels allowed 7.5 yppp in their opener to McNeese State quarterbacks Fourroux and Fontenot. That’s actually not as bad as it appears considering McNeese would have averaged 7.3 yppp last season against an average Division 1A defense and they’re probably going to post better numbers this season. Teel should post good passing numbers in this game (with 1 or 2 interceptions, as he’s interception prone) and my math favors Rutgers by 7 ½ points. Despite the line value in favor of the Knights I’ll be leaning with North Carolina a bit on the basis of a negative 7-36 ATS game 2 situation that applies to Rutgers and a 20-5 ATS game 2 situation that applies to North Carolina.

what does Dr. Bob for aLL mean?

[PackYourNut 47]

Rutgers for 2 units...

[Yer mom 2]

I hope you fokkers win yer bets! Im taking the first few weeks off for the first time in years, just dont have the itch or time right now. Once I do start, tell yer man to run and hide.....run and hide.

 

Good luck!!

[Yer mom 2]

I'm playing with myself today?

 

How that different from any other day?

[Hurricane Ditka 0]

Yer Mom,

 

It Doesn't.

 

 

I was just saying.

[phillybear 366]

Here you go COPY and PASTE Boy.....sounds very simular:

 

Other than the fact the writeups are very dissimilar, I posted my bare bones brief writeup Wednesday night, and Dr Bob posted his analysis opinion Thursday afternoon. While it's true I have a DeLorean capable of going 88 MPH, I didn't use it this week. It's in the shop.

[swirvenirvin 25]

YTD 5-0

Thursday Night College 2-0

Weekend College 1-0

NFL 2-0

Rutgers -6 4-1 ATS on Thursday's in the last 3 years while NC is 0-1

Wow I dont know if I have ever seen a worse college QB in my life the guy is like 40-100 with 5 picks yet he doesnt get pulled what a focking loser, not to mentoin he tries to kill his WR's

 

LOSER

[phillybear 366]

NCAA YTD: 11-2-1; +26.4 units

CFL YTD: 1-4; -4.7 units

NFL YTD: 1-0; +3.0 units

 

I'm mystified why I'm having trouble with the CFL picks I've posted here this year, after several years of pure success. Well, I'm not throwing in the towel, as I actually am up overall in CFL, but let's see if we can get some winners posted for a change. I will turn it around, I guarantee it. Passing on the SoFlor and Kansas game. Yuck.

 

Friday

 

Toronto (-2.5) for 3 units

Toronto 2ns H (-4.5) for 3 units

Calgary (-3) for 3 units

Calgary 1st H (-1.5) for 3 units

 

Toronto switched coaches this week, and I expect the talent on this team this week to respond to this wakeup call. Toronto collapsed last week in the 2nd half, but this preseason Eastern Conference contender desperately needs a signature win. Winnepeg, in a must win game last week, gave up 20 points in the final 8 minutes of the 4th quarter, including a game tying and game winning FG in the final 1:30 of the game to lose to an injured Saskatchewan team. I can't imagine how Winnipeg can bounce back from that emotional loss.

 

Calgary beat a very good Edmonton team on the road last week, and return home to a stadium where they play their best football vs the best teams in the CFL. I expect Calgary to keep up that standard. I'm still awaiting the status of key Montreal weapon RB Avon Couburne on offense, but I'll still lay the lumber.

[VoDZKABoY 0]

NCAA YTD: 14-5; +11.94 units

NFL YTD: 1-1; +0.9 units

 

Easing into the season and not doing so bad. As for Friday, going strong on Baylor. Wash.St was shallacked 66-3 last week by Cal. Ok St came in and pounded them the week before. They are hands down the worst team in the Pac-10. I don't see how they can do any better on the road.

 

Baylor -3 for 5 units

 

As for KU and S. Florida, I'm leaning towards the under. May tease this game because I don't have a feel one way or the other unless there is a stong consensus.

 

As for the weekend my stong plays are in and will be:

 

Illinois -25.5 (5 units)

W.Michigan -8 (4 units)

OK/Wash Over 63 (3 units)

 

2 units plays

Vandy -4.5 1H

Missouri -14 1H

W. Michigan -5 1H

Michigan St -17

 

I will probably throw in some team totals and teasers later. Keep those picks coming.

[PackYourNut 47]

Rutgers for 2 units...

 

 

Damn, I suck. Rutgers is terrible. Really making me wonder about that Fresno/Wis line now.

[$epphori$ 118]

Damn, I suck. Rutgers is terrible. Really making me wonder about that Fresno/Wis line now.

 

I hope ur taking Wisc...they are gonna run all over Fresno

[$epphori$ 118]

11-6 YTD + 17 units

 

My plays.............

 

10 Unit Plays

 

Missouri -26.5

USC -11

Cal -14.5

 

5 Unit plays

 

NC +6 WINNER

Oregon -8.5

Penn St -27.5

Ohio +3.5

UNLV +22.5

Middle Ten +17

ECU -13

North Texas +42

 

it's nice to get off to a good start on Thursday.

 

adding for 5 units

 

Wisc -2

Baylor +2

Kansas +3.5

[PackYourNut 47]

I hope ur taking Wisc...they are gonna run all over Fresno

 

Yes, I was saying Fresno's win is not impressive at all.

[$epphori$ 118]

Yes, I was saying Fresno's win is not impressive at all.

 

then good luck...since we are on the same side