Mostly Selfindulgent Sports Gambling Thread

[phillybear 364]

Feel free to post your own picks, post information, or just drop by and mock me when I have a losing day.

 

CFL: 11-6; +19.7 units

MLB: 148-114-2; +87.1097 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 93-59; +130.38 units

NCAA Football: 0-0

NFL Exhibition: 17-17-2; -1.35 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

MLB for 10 units

Philadelphia (-133) WINNER

Milwaukee (-187) LOSER

Oakland (-103) WINNER

Detroit (-172) LOSER

Toronto (-115) WINNER

Boston (-210) LOSER

Pittsburgh (-124) LOSER

Adding: LA Angels (-164) WINNER

 

NCAA Football

For 10 units

Idaho (-6.5)@-105 & (-5.5) LOSER

 

For 5 units

Western Kentucky (+17) WINNER

Arizona St (-37.5) LOSER

 

For 2 units

North Texas (+14) LOSER

Mississippi St (-31) WINNER

Wake Forest (+6) LOSER

 

NFL Exhibition for 10 units

Denver (+3)@-105 LOSER

San Diego (-3)@-105 LOSER

 

NFL Exhibition for 3 units

Detroit (-2)@-115 WINNER

NY Jets (+3.5)@-105 LOSER

St Louis (+3)@Even WINNER

Dallas (+3.5) LOSER

Green Bay (-1)@-115 PUSH

Houston (+3.5)@-115 LOSER

Pittsburgh (+2.5)@-115 WINNER

[GobbleDog 816]

Mets -112 over Marlins for 1 unit.

 

 

Why? Home team with a huge payroll. Which is probably why I suck at betting baseball.

[phillybear 364]

Mets -112 over Marlins for 1 unit.

 

 

Why? Home team with a huge payroll. Which is probably why I suck at betting baseball.

 

I will say that Hensley for Florida has been brutal this year so fading his is appealing. I am not sure about the motivation of either team in this game, so I didn't play it.

 

Good luck.

[phillybear 364]

Records will be updated in a little while...

 

Friday Afternoon

 

MLB for 10 units

Ch Cubs (-170)

[phillybear 364]

CFL: 11-6; +19.7 units

MLB: 152-118-2; +57.8097 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 97-63; +101.08 units

NCAA Football: 2-4; -13.65 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Friday Afternoon

 

MLB for 10 units

Ch Cubs (-170) LOSER

 

Friday Night

 

MLB for 10 units

NY Mets (+105) WINNER

Philadelphia (-162) WINNER

Atlanta (-170) LOSER

Milwaukee (-245) WINNER

San Francisco (-163) WINNER

NY Yankees (-172) WINNER

Boston (-117) LOSER

Cleveland (-116) WINNER

Seattle (+138) LOSER

 

NCAA for 5 units

Baylor (+3.5)@-115 WINNER

 

CFL for 5 units

British Columbia (-1.5)@-115 WINNER

 

TCU lost a lot to graduation, something like 26 seniors, including their QB and most of their WRs, and 14 starters. Baylor returns their do everything underrated multi-threat QB Robert Griffin and 5 of their top 6 WRs. Baylor has the edge when they are on offense. TCU has the edge when they are on defense. Strength vs strength and weakness vs weakness. Despite not feeling totally comfortable with the line drop of 7 to 3.5, I think Baylor has a better than 50% of winning this game. TCU will be one dimensional on offense trying to run the ball, and I think Baylor can limit their scoring opportunities. TCU comes in with the better national profile, being one of the two best teams in the country last year (along with Boise St), and people may not realize how good Baylor really is, c considering their collapse in the 2nd half of last season.

 

Toronto is a team without much of QB in Cleo Lemon. They can play competitively at times, but I had them a few weeks ago vs Saskatchewan and they needed to deflect passes in the end zone to prevent a backdoor straight up loss after building up a big lead. Much like last year, BC sucked early, but turned it around at this very point of the year and made the playoffs. Just before the bye week, they destroyed Edmonton 36-1, and after a number of close losses early, I think they might be ready to go on another run this year. They are the more talented team.

 

Edit:

CFL: 12-6; +24.7 units

MLB: 158-122-2; +62.6097 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-67; +105.88 units

NCAA Football: 3-4; -8.65 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[GobbleDog 816]

Baylor, eh? Alright but god help you if you cost me $5!!!

[southcarolina 166]

I dont know if this has gotten any national airplay (i have been asleep all day) but South Carolina announced last night that they wont be starting Stephen Garcia tomorrow night vs East Carolina. Sophomore QB Connor Shaw will get the start, although there is speculation that the "benching" of Garcia is largely ceremonial and that will last only one quarter. But, given SC's penchant for playing down to its opponent, and their matchup with UGA next week, which would likely mean Steve Spurrier keeping things as vanilla as possible, this new info makes East Carolina +21 sort of inviting.If i were a betting man. Which i am not. But i thought someone else might be able to use this information. I know ECU's defense is abysmal, but their offense can score pretty well, and SC's defense gave up tons of big plays last year. Also, word is that there are still TONS of tickets available (its a neutral site game in Charlotte), so the crowd probably wont be a factor. I could see this being a 38-28 type of game. As a Gamecock fan, this game scares the crap out of me.

[SUXBNME 1,337]

I'll bet that Phillybear can fit 3 units in his mouf

[phillybear 364]

I dont know if this has gotten any national airplay (i have been asleep all day) but South Carolina announced last night that they wont be starting Stephen Garcia tomorrow night vs East Carolina. Sophomore QB Connor Shaw will get the start, although there is speculation that the "benching" of Garcia is largely ceremonial and that will last only one quarter. But, given SC's penchant for playing down to its opponent, and their matchup with UGA next week, which would likely mean Steve Spurrier keeping things as vanilla as possible, this new info makes East Carolina +21 sort of inviting.If i were a betting man. Which i am not. But i thought someone else might be able to use this information. I know ECU's defense is abysmal, but their offense can score pretty well, and SC's defense gave up tons of big plays last year. Also, word is that there are still TONS of tickets available (its a neutral site game in Charlotte), so the crowd probably wont be a factor. I could see this being a 38-28 type of game. As a Gamecock fan, this game scares the crap out of me.

 

Good to know. I was looking at E Car as they are a team that can put points on the board, but their defense is shaky. A lot of points to cover for S Carolina.

[listen2me 23 1,544]

Still Early

 

But I like these upcoming NFL plays

 

TB -2 vs. Detroit

 

Dallas +4.5 at NY JETs

 

New England -7 at Miami

[phillybear 364]

NCAA Football: 3-4; -8.65 units

CFL: 12-6; +24.7 units

MLB: 158-122-2; +62.6097 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-67; +105.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Saturday. Subject to change.

 

NCAA Football for 10 units

Boise St (-3) WINNER

Upgraded: Hawaii (-6.5) WINNER

 

NCAA Football for 6 units

Upgraded: Ohio U (-7) & (-6.5)@-115 WINNER

 

NCAA Football for 5 units

Auburn (-23) LOSER

USC (-24) LOSER

Northern Illinois (-11) WINNER

Florida (-35) WINNER

 

NCAA Football for 3 units

Boston College (-3.5)@-115 LOSER

Missouri (-20.5) LOSER

Adding: Middle Tenn St (+16.5) WINNER

Adding: Tennessee Tech (+40) WINNER

Adding: Troy (+15.5) LOSER

Adding: Western Michigan (+14)@-120 CANCELED

UCLA (+3)@-120 LOSER

Mississippi (+3)@-115 WINNER

Adding: Colorado St (-6.5) LOSER

Ball St (+6) WINNER

Oklahoma St (-38) LOSER

East Carolina (+20.5) WINNER

California (-10) WINNER

Tulsa (+25) LOSER

 

NCAA Football for 1 unit

Adding: Appalachian St (+26) LOSER

 

MLB for 5 units

Milwaukee (-140) WINNER

Ch WhiteSox (-108) LOSER

 

To me, Boise St still is the best team in the country. Yes, they lost some starters, including both starting WRs, but return 14. They are still loaded with talent and have a coach that given time, like the entire offseason in this case, tends to game plan very well for opponents . Boise is 8-0 ATS vs teams when the spread is 7 pts or less. They continue to knock off all non conference foes each year, and they get kicked for playing in a non BCS conferences. Georgia is a decent team, but the loss of AJ Green is huge as Georgia struggled to score points when he wasn't in the lineup last year. TCU had a great season last year, and then got upset as a small favorite last night. Some might expect the same thing to happen here, but I'm not as Boise St still has their Heisman worthy QB Kellen Moore. The 3 Boise St suspended players don't affect my opinion of this game. Georgia is 0-4 ATS last 4 times as a dog.

 

Edit: Added Colorado St, Middle Tenn St, Troy, Western Michigan, Tenn Tech, Appalachian St

Upgraded: Ohio U, Hawaii

 

Edit:

NCAA Football: 14-14-1; +9.7 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-1; +15.25 units

CFL: 12-6; +24.7 units

MLB: 159-123-2; +62.2097 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-67; +105.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[GobbleDog 816]

Baylor, eh? Alright but god help you if you cost me $5!!!

 

 

Philly > Jimmy The Greek

[phillybear 364]

 

Philly > Jimmy The Greek

 

That was a fun game to watch.

[southcarolina 166]

That was a fun game to watch.

 

I watched it too. It was like an Arena game.

[GobbleDog 816]

I saw it too. Baylor's WR wearing #1 was putting on a clinic.

[phillybear 364]

NCAA Football: 14-14-1; +9.7 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-1; +15.25 units

CFL: 12-6; +24.7 units

MLB: 159-123-2; +62.2097 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-67; +105.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Sunday

 

NCAA Football

West Virginia (-23.5) for 10 units CANCELED

Upgrade: SMU (+16) & (+15) for 10 units LOSER

 

West Virginia's new head coach and offensive genius is Dana Holgerson, who helped transform Tex Tech, Houston, and Oklahoma St into scoring machines. He inherits a decent bit of talent, including a good QB in Geno Smith to make it run. While it's true that they may not be clicking completely early in the year with this system and Marshall's defense isn't bad, I don't think Marshall can score enough points to stay inside the number. Unlike Auburn and USC yesterday, I think WVirg will win this game by a comfortable margin. Later in the year, WV spreads will routinely see them laying 30+ points on a regular basis, so the value isn't bad today.

 

Both Texas A&M and SMU return most of their starters for this game. And Tex A&M is a pretty good team that may have the specter of moving to another conference in their heads. But this is more of a play on June Jones and the quick rebuilding of SMU from a doormat to the class of the Conference USA. They return 10 starters on offense and a veteran QB Padron. Not only can they score bunches of points, their defense hasn't gotten exponentially better every year since Jones came on board. Last year, SMU played Texas Tech tight in a similar situation and line, and I think this game should stay within single digits. SMU is 9-2 ATS dog of 3+ points over the last 2 years.

 

CFL

Winnipeg (-2.5) for 5 units LOSER

 

Winnipeg is 7-1 SU and ATS. They are the best team in the CFL right now, and have the best defense. If QB Buck Peirce stays healthy, they could be the team to beat. On the other hand, Sask is 1-7 SU, 0-4 at home, and had to fire their head coach during their bye week. I know that teams can get an emotional jolt with a new coach coming down from the front office and inspire a win a two right off the bat. But Sask is last in the CFL in total offense and total defense. I don't know how that gets better. Their only win was over Montreal when QB Anthony Calvillo was knocked out with a head injury early in the game. Sask just doesn't seem to have much talent this year, and is missing all the intangibles they had previously, and in the CFL, you keep it simple, stupid.

 

MLB for 5 units

Philadelphia (-220) LOSER

LA Dodgers (-136) LOSER

Milwaukee (-157) WINNER

St Louis (-162) LOSER

Ch Cubs (-127) WINNER

Arizona (+109) WINNER

NY Yankees (-260) WINNER

Kansas City (-133) LOSER

 

MLB for 10 units

Upgrade: Ch WhiteSox (+126 & +127) for 10 units LOSER

 

NCAA Football: 14-15-2; -1.3 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-7; +19.2 units

MLB: 159-123-2; +39.6597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[phillybear 364]

NCAA Football: 14-15-2; -1.3 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-7; +19.2 units

MLB: 159-123-2; +39.6597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Yesterday was a bitterly disappointing day, highlighted by another weather canceled football game, which still had a good chance to cover.

 

Monday

 

Upgrade: NCAA for 5 units

Miami Florida (+4) LOSER

 

Last year, with this same QB Stephen Morris, Miami doubled Maryland's total yardage for the game 503 to 252. It was a 26-20 final, but Miami dominated the game. Everybody knows that Miami has all those suspensions and rules violation shenanigans going on. But Al Golden turned that cesspool of a Temple program around and his preparation and discipline can get Miami focused on the game itself. Maryland had a nice season last year, but I felt they overachieved to a good record. 100% of rain tonight. Two brand new coaching staffs. I expect an ugly game, and I'll take the points in a game I think is a coin flip.

 

CFL for 5 units

Calgary (-8.5) LOSER

 

Edmonton is decimated by injuries, especially at WR and offensive line, can't give their QB time to throw, and can't stop anybody on defense. They've been blown out in back to back games. Calgary is playing very well, is very tough at home, and will be very focused on this game as it's a traditional Labor Day rivalry game.

 

MLB for 5 units

Colorado (-127) LOSER

San Diego (Even) LOSER

Milwaukee (+109) WINNER

Philadelphia (-215) WINNER

Minnesota (+107) LOSER

 

 

Edit:

NCAA Football: 14-16-2; -6.8 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 161-126-2; +33.7597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[phillybear 364]

NCAA Football: 14-16-2; -6.8 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 161-126-2; +33.7597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Tuesday

 

MLB for 5 units

 

Philadelphia (-115) WINNER

Pittsburgh (-139) LOSER

LA Dodgers (+133) WINNER

NY Mets (+113) WINNER

Cincinnati (-124) WINNER

Milwaukee (-119) LOSER

Adding: San Francisco (-106) WINNER

Boston (-182) WINNER

Texas (-125) WINNER

Adding: Seattle (+116) WINNER

Adding: Oakland (-182) LOSER

 

Edit:

NCAA Football: 14-16-2; -6.8 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 169-129-2; +54.7597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[phillybear 364]

NCAA Football: 14-16-2; -6.8 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 169-129-2; +54.7597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Wednesday

 

MLB for 5 units

 

San Francisco (-133) LOSER

Houston (+123) LOSER

Atlanta (+114) LOSER

Cincinnati (-109) LOSER

Milwaukee (-103) LOSER

Colorado (-124) LOSER

Toronto (-104) WINNER

Ch WhiteSox (-133) LOSER

 

Edit:

NCAA Football: 14-16-2; -6.8 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 170-136-2; +19.6597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[phillybear 364]

NFL Football: 0-0

NCAA Football: 14-16-2; -6.8 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 170-136-2; +19.6597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

NFL for 5 units

New Orleans (+5) LOSER

 

NCAA Football for 5 units

Arizona (+14) LOSER

 

MLB for 5 units

LA Dodgers Gm #2 (+111) CANCELED

Philadelphia (-122) WINNER

Arizona (-176) WINNER

Boston (+128) LOSER

Ch WhiteSox (-152) WINNER

 

Green Bay won the Super Bowl last year, while New Orleans as the defending champs limped into Seattle with injuries and got stomped by the Seahawks in the first round. I think New Orleans has more motivation in this game. About 55% of the public's money is on Green Bay. I really liked what I saw from New Orleans offense in the preseason, and I will take the points with what may be the better team tonight. No meaningful trends for either team.

 

Rematch of last year's Alamo Bowl, where Okl St beat Arizona 36-10, which probably factored heavily into this line. However, Arizona gained more total yards in that game, 370 to 312, in this misleading final score. Arizona had a 43% to 31% edge in 3rd down conversions. But special teams break downs and Arizona losing the turnover battle 4-0 basically is why Oklahoma St won the game. I'll take the point in this natural revenge spot. Nick Foles was projected as a 1st round QB for last year's draft, and came back, so Arizona has a more than capable QB to counter Oklahoma St's offense, along with a star WR in Criner. Mike Stoops 11-0 ATS as a dog in revenge games.

 

Edit:

NFL Football: 0-1; -5.5 units

NCAA Football: 14-17-2; -12.3 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 173-137-2; +29.6597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[phillybear 364]

NFL Football: 0-1; -5.5 units

NCAA Football: 14-17-2; -12.3 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 12-8; +13.7 units

MLB: 173-137-2; +29.6597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

NCAA Football

Florida International (+3)@-115 for 5 units WINNER

Arizona St (-9.5)@-120 for 5 units LOSER

Adding: Arizona St 1st H (-6) for 5 units PUSH

 

CFL

Calgary (-3) for 5 units WINNER

Adding: Calgary 1st H (-1.5)@-105 for 5 units WINNER

 

I don’t have all my notes and stats, but I have some random thoughts about tonight’s games bouncing around in my head. But with the start to the year I've had, it may be stuff to ignore.

 

Florida International is a program on the rise. The went bowling last year, and won their game. The return a group of experienced skill position players in QB Wesley Carroll, RB Darriet Perry, and do-it-all WR T.Y.Hilton, who had 283 all purpose yards last week. Flor Internation pounded what figures to be a competitive Sun Belt team last week in North Texas, and the final score of 41-16 was somewhat deceiving in that North Texas scored their points on two defensive scores and a safety. So FIU’s very solid defense gave up zero points. Was it really that long ago that Louisville was a dominant force in college football and had a ridiculous home field advantage under Bobby Petrino? I remember maybe 4 years ago, maybe 5, when I took a top notch Sun Belt team in Middle Tenn St at Louisville with 30 points. Now, they are laying around 3.5 vs Flor International. Louisville is on their 5th starting QB in 5 years, have an entire offensive line of brand new starters. Louisville is coming off a turnover filled win over Div II Murray St, I think each team turned it 4 times, a game if I recall correctly Louisville didn’t even score in the 2nd half. Louisville has a decent RB in Victor Anderson, and that would seem to be Louisville’s best bet to score in this game. But FIU has a pretty solid defense that should be able to compete in the trenches and I think they can pull off the upset, but I’ll take the points. Since more money is coming in on Louisville and the line keeps dropping, the game sets up like a trap. I was hoping that by the time I get home from work the line rebounds to +4, but it not, I’ll take any points I can get.

 

I had Arizona St last week, and they gave up the cover by giving up a pair of 4th quarter TDs to get backdoored, but they did win by 34 against Div II UC Davis. Arizona St features a solid all around team that looks better offensively and defensively than Missouri. I watched both these teams play last week, and unless their abilities dramatically change, Jekyll and Hyde, to this week, Arizona St is a much, much better team. Arizona St has a veteran offensive line that opens up gaping holes for the stable of RB to pound through, which I will be counting on. Missouri won ugly last week over Miami OH. Every time I looked up, Miami had moved the ball to mid field and beyond, but just could not cash in their opportunities in Missouri territory and turn them into points. I think Missouri’s secondary is vulnerable, and the defense will likely be missing a couple of key defensive starters that got injured last week (ones a LB and one is a DE). While James Franklin is a dual threat in replacing Gabbert, he looked very shaky in the pocket and threw for 129 yards while running for 72. And Missouri just couldn’t get their best receiving options involved in the game. While I think Missouri’s defense is pretty decent, I don’t like what I was seeing from their offense, and I don’t see why Arizona St can’t win by double digits. Missouri went 10-3 last year, and went 2-3 SU on the road. Last year Arizona St blew out everybody at home except for a 4 point loss to Stanford and an 11 point loss to Oregon.

 

Rematch from 4 days ago, when Edmonton went to Calgary and surprisingly beat the Stamps. It’s kind of odd how in the CFL you get these head to head games two weeks in a row, but it’s rare when one team sweeps both games. Calgary was arguably playing the best ball in the CFL prior to last week, and may have suffered a let down from beating Montreal. I’ll take Calgary in a revenge spot over a still banged up Edmonton team that might get a WR or two back this week from injury, but with no time to practice in between games, I can’t see how they would get their timing back. Edmonton was running some interesting schemes at the start of the year and caught teams by surprise, but enough film has been compiled and teams are starting to figure them out.

 

MLB for 5 units

Florida (-122) WINNER

Added: Philadelphia (-121) WINNER

St Louis (-140) WINNER

Arizona (-167) WINNER

OVER Bal/Tor (9.5)@-110 LOSER

Tampa Bay (+106) WINNER

 

Edit:

NFL Football: 0-1; -5.5 units

NCAA Football: 15-18-3; -13.3 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 14-8; +23.7 units

MLB: 178-138-2; +49.4597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[cday 0]

It's been a while since I've been here. glad to see phillybear is still gambling it up. Went 1-2 last night (NO +5, NO over 22, no score in 1st 6 - only hit NO over 22). Haven't looked hard at NFL lines yet for Sunday but hope to do some research/betting tonight. Will post my picks when I do. -3 units total from Thursday's game. stupid playcall by NO at the goalline, don't know why they didn't spread them out. terrible clock management too.

 

Anyway - hope this isn't too spammy, but I'm running a fantasy sports site with a couple other guys, and some of you gamblers may be interested. Particularly since the odds are very good -- we had a game based on Thursday night's game, gave away $100 for 1st, only 5 people entered ($5 entry fee). We're running 2 games on Sunday, $600 guaranteed prize pool for each game, $10 entry, and each game is under 20 entrants right now. So, the +EV is there, for those who are into it.

 

Any feedback would be appreciated. http://www.sportsfantology.com

 

and no, that one guy who ripped me off of that fantasy league never paid me, if anyone remembers and was wondering. :\

[shotsup 832]

I'll bet that Phillybear can fit 3 units in his mouf

 

And at least three fingers in his asss

[phillybear 364]

NFL Football: 0-1; -5.5 units

NCAA Football: 15-18-3; -13.3 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 14-8; +23.7 units

MLB: 178-138-2; +49.4597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Saturday. Subject to change. Will add more games later.

 

NCAA Football for 5 units

Oregon St (+20.5) LOSER

San Diego St (-9.5) LOSER

Auburn (+5.5) WINNER

Cincinnati (+4.5) LOSER

Hawaii (+5.5) LOSER

California (-6) LOSER

Alabama (-10) WINNER

Washington St (-14) WINNER

Upgrade: Temple (-15) WINNER

Kansas (+4.5) WINNER

OVER NoIll/Kans (62.5) WINNER

BYU (+7.5) WINNER

UAB (+24) LOSER

Vanderbilt (-2.5) WINNER

Central Florida (-7.5) WINNER

Notre Dame (-3)@-115 LOSER

Adding: Utah (+7.5) WINNER

Upgrade: San Jose St (+20.5) WINNER

Adding: San Jose St 1st H (+12)@-105 WINNER

 

NCAA Football for 3 units

Central Michigan (+10.5) LOSER

Toledo (+17) WINNER

Adding: North Carolina (-10) LOSER

Tulsa (-12) WINNER

TCU (+1) WINNER

 

NCAA Football for 1 unit

Adding: Iowa (-6.5) LOSER

 

MLB for 5 units

Arizona (-150) WINNER

LA Dodgers (+138) WINNER

 

Edit:

NFL Football: 0-1; -5.5 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

Subset: NCAA FB: 6 units plays or higher: 3-2-1; +4.25 units

CFL: 14-8; +23.7 units

MLB: 180-138-2; +61.3597 units

Subset: MLB: 10 unit plays: 103-68; +95.88 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[GobbleDog 816]

Glad to see we agree on Auburn +6. Paying players helps.

[heavy-set 39]

i got auburn today. +6, they were up 14-0 now its 14-7

[phillybear 364]

i got auburn today. +6, they were up 14-0 now its 14-7

21-21, on the seesaw, going back and forth. Hoping for a FG final.

[heavy-set 39]

21-21, on the seesaw, going back and forth. Hoping for a FG final.

28-24 right b4 half. I dont know if you are watching, but we got a TD on a pass that hit an Auburn player in the head, bounced up , was intercepted and returned. of course Auburn's QB returned the favor.

 

also, it was 14-7 with 10 minutes left in the first 1q and #27 on Auburn already had not 1 but 2 excessivse celebration penalties. one was on a special teams tackle he didnt make.

[heavy-set 39]

anyone like ND tonight? I do

[phillybear 364]

anyone like ND tonight? I do

 

It's one of those classic games where a team didn't play that well in a win (Michigan) vs a team that self destructed and played better than the final score (Notre Dame).

[phillybear 364]

NFL Football: 0-1; -5.5 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

CFL: 14-8; +23.7 units

MLB: 180-138-2; +61.3597 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

 

Sunday

 

NFL Football for 3 units

Baltimore (-1) WINNER

Tampa Bay (-1) LOSER

Chicago (+2) WINNER

Buffalo (+5.5) WINNER

Houston (-9) WINNER

St Louis (+3.5) LOSER

Cincinnati (+7)@-130 WINNER

Tennessee (+1) LOSER

Adding: OVER Ten/Jax (38) LOSER

Washington (+3)@-130 WINNER

Carolina (+7)@-130 PUSH

Seattle (+5.5) LOSER

San Diego (-8.5) LOSER

Upgrade: New York Jets (-6)&(-6.5) for 5 units LOSER

 

CFL

Hamilton (+5) for 3 units LOSER

Upgrade: Saskatchewan (+5.5)&(+6) for 5 units WINNER

 

MLB for 3 units

Upgrade: Ch Cubs (-120) for 5 units WINNER

Florida (-103) WINNER

Philadelphia (+120) LOSER

Atlanta (-115) LOSER

Arizona (-188) LOSER

San Francisco (-124) WINNER

Detroit (-252) WINNER

Cleveland (+104) WINNER

Texas (-235) WINNER

LA Angels (-105) LOSER

 

Edit:

NFL Football: 6-8-1; -12.8 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

MLB: 186-142-2; +66.2397 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

[listen2me 23 1,544]

I like the Buffalo, Tennessee, and Tampa Bay picks.

 

Seattle, Jets, and Carolina not so much.

[phillybear 364]

I like the Buffalo, Tennessee, and Tampa Bay picks.

 

Seattle, Jets, and Carolina not so much.

 

I end up taking a lot ugly dogs in the NFL, week in and week out. We will learn a lot more about these teams this week.

 

Good luck with your plays today.

[phillybear 364]

MLB: 186-142-2; +66.2397 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 6-8-1; -12.8 units

 

Monday

 

NFL Football for 5 units

OVER NE/MIA (46.5) WINNER

Miami (+7.5)@-130 LOSER

Denver (-3)@-120 LOSER

 

MLB for 5 units

St Louis (-139) LOSER

Atlanta (-220) LOSER

NY Mets (-141) LOSER

Philadelphia (-185) LOSER

LA Dodgers (-115) LOSER

San Diego (+129) LOSER

Baltimore (+131) LOSER

Detroit (-101) WINNER

LA Angels (+128) LOSER

Seattle (-122) LOSER

 

Edit:

MLB: 187-151-2; +10.1397 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

[phillybear 364]

MLB: 187-151-2; +10.1397 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

 

Ugly night last night. Tuesday.

 

MLB for 5 units

St Louis (-163) WINNER

Atlanta (-188) WINNER

Philadelphia (-220) LOSER

Milwaukee (-235) WINNER

Arizona (-133) WINNER

San Francisco (-154) WINNER

Detroit (-176) WINNER

LA Angels (-105) WINNER

 

Edit:

MLB: 194-152-2; +34.1397 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

[phillybear 364]

MLB: 194-152-2; +34.1397 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

 

Wednesday Afternoon

 

MLB for 5 units

Atlanta (-149) WINNER

St Louis (-141) WINNER

Philadelphia (-240) WINNER

Toronto (+105) WINNER

Ch WhiteSox (-110) LOSER

[phillybear 364]

MLB: 198-153-2; +48.8897 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

 

Wednesday Night

 

MLB for 5 units

Washington (+118) WINNER

Cincinnati (-184) WINNER

Milwaukee (-178) LOSER

Tampa Bay (-149) LOSER

Texas (-216) WINNER

NY Yankees (-181) LOSER

 

Edit:

MLB: 201-156-2; +39.3897 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

[phillybear 364]

MLB: 201-156-2; +39.3897 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-28-3; +9.2 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

 

MLB for 5 units

Adding: Colorado (-121) LOSER

LA Dodgers (-185) LOSER

Tampa Bay (+103) WINNER

Kansas City (+108) WINNER

Detroit (-109) LOSER

Philadelphia Gm#2 (-337) WINNER

 

NCAA Football for 5 units

Mississippi St (+3.5)@-125 LOSER

 

I didn't watch all of the Oregon LSU game as Boise St was playing at the same time, but of course I remember Oregon self destructing and LSU capitalizing on the mistakes. And Oregon generated more yardage in the game, despite losing by 13 points. LSU beat up Northwestern St last week, and the similarity to the Oregon game is that LSU starts a lot of drives in their opponents territory and scores, but has a lot of trouble moving the ball on offense from their side of the field. So, while we can all agree that LSU has a very good defense, is their offense even good enough to be called mediocre right now? This team was downright offensively challenged last year. They aren't a team likely to keep scoring 40 points a game. The key is whether Miss St can move the ball and not turn it over and keep LSU from playing with short fields. Hell, just get a couple of first downs and punt and pin LSU deep and wait for their chances. And, yes, I think MSU's offense can absolutely play well in this game. LSU is getting around 70% of the action, yet the line has been dropping. This is very telling in a weekday prime time matchup, a lot like the FIU Louisville game last week. The books are telling us that they think Miss St rebounds from the gut wrenching comeback that fell one yard short vs Auburn in a game Miss St dominated stat wise (which was just a bad situational play for Miss St in that matchup) for a positive one as a home dog with multiple revenge. Of course, when you play with multiple revenge, you are also conceding that the other team has dominated the matchup the last number of years (11). I think Miss St is about as good as LSU on their own home field and I'll take a couple of points in case they don't win straight up.

 

Edit:

MLB: 204-159-2; +34.1897 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-29-3; +2.95 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

[phillybear 364]

MLB: 204-159-2; +34.1897 units

CFL: 15-9; +25.4 units

NCAA Football: 30-29-3; +2.95 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

 

Friday

 

NCAA Football for 5 units

Iowa St (+4) WINNER

Toledo (+20.5) LOSER

 

CFL for 5 units

Hamilton (-4.5) LOSER

 

MLB for 5 units

Philadelphia (-130) LOSER

Milwaukee (-109) WINNER

LA Angels (-173) LOSER

NY Yankees (-220) LOSER

 

WNBA for 3 units

Connecticut (-3.5) LOSER

 

Random thoughts rattling around in my head, without my notes to look at…

 

U Conn is not a good team. Last week, they lost on the road to a bad Vanderbilt team 24-21, but more noteworthy is that they did not score a TD on offense. They needed a blocked punt return, a fumble return, and two FGS to get on the scoreboard. They just can’t move the ball on offense, and their QB can’t seem to complete passes. Vandy dominated that game. Conn is 6 of 23 on 3rd down conversions this year. U Conn is now coached by former Syracuse coach Paul Pasquoloni, a guy that had seemingly a number of underachieving teams, and the rebuilding process looks daunting. U Conn might be the worst Big East team this year. Iowa St came back and upset Iowa in overtime, but I’m not so sure that is noteworthy either. I watched Iowa play Tenn Tech in week one, as I had Tenn Tech (+40). Iowa won 34-7, and it was phony at that, as they needed two huge returns on INTs returned most of the field to come up with 2 of their TDs. Which probably means that I’m taking Pitt this week. So, anyway, I’m not convinced Iowa St is all that great. They played Northern Iowa to a 20-19 final. Not impressive. But their juco transfer QB Steve Jantz, a dual threat type, played extremely well last week, and Iowa St has a massive size advantage with their offensive line. I might worry about an Iowa St letdown from last week, but I think U Conn is just a much worse team.

 

I’ve been talking up Boise St for a number of years now. I had a big play on them against Georgia two weeks ago. In competitively lined games against good opponents, Boise St is a slot machine that keeps paying off. However, under head coach Chris Peterson, Boise St is 1-5 ATS when Boise St is favored by more than 7 pts vs a team with a .500 record or better. Boise St has some shaky moments as big favorites vs competitive teams. And they have struggled at times in conference on the road vs lesser opponents. So, Boise is coming off a huge win over their most dangerous opponent on their schedule, they blew out Toledo last year, and have a conference opening game on deck with highly regarded Tulsa. I’m not convinced Boise’s total focus will be on Toledo, despite Toledo nearly knocking off Ohio St last week, and it was no fluke, as they dominated most of the game. Toledo is arguably the best team in the MAC this year, and is very capable of trading points with Boise St with their two rotating QBs. The Glass Bowl has historically been a tough place to play, and it looks like Toledo is back on top after a few years of rebuilding. They returned 18 starters to begin the season, after going bowling last year. Boise is capable of beating Toledo by 40 points, but I’m thinking it will be closer to 10 with a bunch of ugly moments and trick plays that Toledo is renowned for.

 

Edmonton has lost 4 of it's last 5 games and their season is slipping away after a 5-0 start. Hamilton is an up and down team, as they blew out the defending champs Montreal 2 weeks ago, then got blown out by Montreal last week. Hamilton is 4-1 at home this year, and I like their chances to rebound and beat up Edmonton.

 

Edit:

MLB: 205-162-2; +13.0397 units

CFL: 15-10; +19.9 units

NCAA Football: 31-30-3; +2.45 units

WNBA: 9-10; -1.6 units

NFL Football: 7-10-1; -20.8 units

[GobbleDog 816]

Toledo and Iowa St, eh? What the hell, I'm in. The long write-up jiberish sold me.