****OFFICIAL college football betting THREAD****

[American Chewy 98]

Season 9-6 +2.84 units

 

taking V-TECH (-12) -108

 

was gonna pass but decided to take advantage of the line moving tech's way late.

 

Good luck.

[VoDZKABoY 0]

Season 9-6 +2.84 units

 

taking V-TECH (-12) -108

 

was gonna pass but decided to take advantage of the line moving tech's way late.

 

Good luck.

Interesting that the line has gone down that far. I'm glad I put in a teaser at 19.5 to cover myself. I think BC is a solid team that should not get blown out but VT has been playing well of late. The line is getting iffy IMHO so be careful.

[iceblumist610 0]

S. Carolina (+14) I like this one, i think the money is coming in on them also.  tennessee has done nothing but disapoint me all season and 14 is probably too many for them here.

Don't know if this has been addressed yet, but I'd like to help your point. I'm a huge Tennessee homer. A couple facts...Tennessee NEVER covers big spreads against bad teams. Tennessee's offense has generated more than 20 points once this year, in the second half against LSU. The defense is outstanding, but the offense is absolutely horrible. 7 of the 14 against UGA were essentially defensive. 7 of the 27 against Ole Miss were defensive. We only scored 17 on UAB, 7 on Florida, and 3 on Bammer (granted that 3 could've been as much as 17 had fumbles inside the 10 been converted to TDs). We scored nothing in the first half against LSU. We're 1-4-1 ATS this year (depending on your line for Bammer). We're 0-3 ATS as favorites. We're coming off an emotional game against Bammer and looking ahead to a visit to South Bend next week. We play HORRIBLY at home (last USC game in K-town went to OT). USC is the obvious play here. Our offense could wake up, but it's doubtful. Don't know what you're getting for an O/U, but I'd probably take the under as well. The over has won just two games this year, one of which was due to UT and UGA combining for 21 points in the last 6 minutes.

 

 

edit: Noticed a couple people taking the Vols. Why? The could cover if the offense plays to its potential, but the chances of that all of a sudden happening right now are slim. Another thing to point out about the loss of Riggs. Riggs has been CRAP this year. Foster ran VERY well against Bammer and most Tennnessee fans see it as an improvement.

[phillybear 366]

As of Thursday night, lopsided early action, 70% or higher...

 

Penn St 75% over Purdue

Michigan St 81% over Indiana

Wisconsin 90% over Illinois

Wake Forest 86% over Duke

Ohio U 96% over Buffalo

Western Michigan 94% over Kent

BYU 85% over Air Force

UTEP 92% over Rice

Miami Fla 73% over North Carolina

Northern Illinois 89% over Ball St

Bowling Green 70% over Akron

UCLA 79% over Stanford

TCU 90% over San Diego St

Missouri 84% over Kansas

Northwestern 72% over Michigan

Tex Tech 88% over Baylor

Oregon St 88% over Arizona

UL Lafayette 74% over Troy St

[phillybear 366]

Some early plays for Saturday, I will repost again Friday night/Sat morn with a bunch more games. I wanted to get these larger plays in before the lines move too much more.

 

Central Mich (+7.5) for 3 units

Navy (+7)@-115 for 3 units

Stanford (+7) for 3 units

Ohio (-4.5) for 3 units

Colorado (-7)@-120 for 2 units

Penn St (-16) for 2 units

BYU (-6.5) for 2 units

Clemson (+3)@-115 for 2 units

Nebraska (Pk) for 2 units

 

Edit: I think that might be it for plays over 1 units, unless something else grabs my attention.

[ratsforlunch 0]

When did BC hire Brian Billick to do its offensive playcalling? I know they are a fairly conservative offense but damn.......2 runs, pass for less yardage than you need, punt. I feel like I'm being subjected to the locally broadcast ravens-bears game.

 

 

 

I need to get directTV

 

I don't usually play half time lines and that's not gonna change here for me, but BC better start doing somethin. Tech is shredding their D and the 11 guys on O look like they've never played a down together.

[DOUBLEDOWN77 0]

Philly,

 

If you have time can you give an abbreviated write up of your Stanford pick. What stands out to you as a 3 unit play?

 

UCLA has a +10 turnover margin, scoring TDs 27/34 redzone opps. Stanford has been playing well of late but lost handily the only time they played a ranked opponent at home (Oregon) this season.

 

One could argue that UCLA has not been really tested other than the CAL game by a quality opponent, which they won by 7. Their victories against conf opponents have been solid but not dominating. Is this a "trap" line at +7? It seems that UCLA coming in undefeated and ranked 8th should be favored by more.

 

Would be curious to hear what suggests 3 unit here instead of a smaller play.

 

Thanks!

[phillybear 366]

When did BC hire Brian Billick to do its offensive playcalling? I know they are a fairly conservative offense but damn.......2 runs, pass for less yardage than you need, punt. I feel like I'm being subjected to the locally broadcast ravens-bears game.

 

 

 

I need to get directTV

 

I don't usually play half time lines and that's not gonna change here for me, but BC better start doing somethin. Tech is shredding their D and the 11 guys on O look like they've never played a down together.

I am really disappointed in the BC defense. V Tech scored on almost every first half possesion.

 

The only bright side, BC basically needs to play them even in the second half for a cover.

[ratsforlunch 0]

 

Here's hopin they do play 'em even man.....Come on Vick, just one pick for all of us on the BC side here.

[BattyRidas 0]

Stanford (+7) for 3 units

I agree with you on this Stanford pick. They've been playing well lately. I've won big bets on Stanford the last two weeks.

[phillybear 366]

Philly,

 

If you have time can you give an abbreviated write up of your Stanford pick. What stands out to you as a 3 unit play?

 

UCLA has a +10 turnover margin, scoring TDs 27/34 redzone opps. Stanford has been playing well of late but lost handily the only time they played a ranked opponent at home (Oregon) this season.

 

One could argue that UCLA has not been really tested other than the CAL game by a quality opponent, which they won by 7. Their victories against conf opponents have been solid but not dominating. Is this a "trap" line at +7? It seems that UCLA coming in undefeated and ranked 8th should be favored by more.

 

Would be curious to hear what suggests 3 unit here instead of a smaller play.

 

Thanks!

A 3 unit is play is a 2 unit play with a gut feeling. A gut feeling that the team is in a good situation vs a team in a bad situation.

 

Quick summary:

 

I am now looking to go against UCLA pretty much every game until they finally lose. They have not been impressive at all in accumulating their record. They have only outgained in yardage two opponents. They keep getting breaks with turnovers and special teams. They had to rally late in 3 of their last 4 games in the fourth quarter, and should have definitely lost to Cal and Wash St. Their defense is pretty bad, and give up a scary 5.1 ypr.

 

Stanford is coming with all sorts of momentum, with 3 straight upset wins over Wash St, Arizona, and Arizona St. They are playing some great football. I was impressed how they held a 31-7 half time lead on a very good Arizona St last week. The coach of UCLA is on record as saying that UCLA always struggles at Stanford. Admittedly, Stanford defense is not great, but they have enough offense to trade scores with UCLA. Rivalry game, and we have a home dog of 7 pts against an overrated ranked opponent. I would not be surprised if Stanford wins the game as the UCLA bubble bursts. I also wonder is UCLA is already starting to look ahead to their game vs USC.

[curtblick 0]

sweet fumble.

[hardboy23 0]

HOW THE HELL DOES THAT HAPPEN.....

 

BC INT FOR A TD.........................

 

FFFUUUCCCCKKKK OFF BC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[fugoondo 3]

I have a question. Im new to betting on games. What happens if its a push?

 

If a team is favored by 7, and wins by that amount?

 

Is that a cover? Or not? How does that affect your bet?

 

thanks

[hardboy23 0]

I have a question. Im new to betting on games. What happens if its a push?

 

If a team is favored by 7, and wins by that amount?

 

Is that a cover? Or not? How does that affect your bet?

 

thanks

It's a push...

 

Get your bet back.

 

 

BY THE WAY.....I HATE BC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[mikeso 0]

R U FOCKIN KIDDING ME !!!! I HAD BC +13.5 AND UNDER 45 AND A FOCKIN INT....WHAT THE FOCK WAS THAT !!!!

[fugoondo 3]

I have a question.  Im new to betting on games.  What happens if its a push?

 

If a team is favored by 7, and wins by that amount?

 

Is that a cover?  Or not?  How does that affect your bet?

 

thanks

It's a push...

 

Get your bet back.

 

 

BY THE WAY.....I HATE BC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

and if the game is involved in a Parlay? Does the payout now become a lesser payout? Like a 5 team parlay that has a push, moves down to a 4 teamer?

 

Thanks. And sorry for the non-cover by BC.

 

I didnt touch this game at all!

[phillybear 366]

Terrible loss. 13 pt game, and BC throws the pick for a TD with 3 minutes to go. V Tech dominated the stats, but BC should have held on for the cover. One of toughest losses I have been on this year.

 

Tough start to the week.

[phillybear 366]

Like a 5 team parlay that has a push, moves down to a 4 teamer?

Yep. That is what happens.

[fugoondo 3]

Like a 5 team parlay that has a push, moves down to a 4 teamer?

Yep. That is what happens.

Grassyass!

[Guest cklennon]

Yep, tough loss indeed. Va Tech backers should be thanking a higher power right now as that last-minute INT/TD was the only thing that kept BC from a nice cover.

 

Obviously VaTech dominated the game but BC was the "right" play here if you ask me, and that fluke at the end doesn't change my mind.

[American Chewy 98]

Season 9-6 +2.84 units

 

taking V-TECH (-12) -108 WINNER

 

was gonna pass but decided to take advantage of the line moving tech's way late.

 

Good luck.

Season 10-6 +3.84 units

 

the int didn't matter to me, i was hoping we all would win.

[phillybear 366]

Since I am very likely passing on the Friday night game, here is a chunk of my Saturday card. I will add more plays, I am waiting on some lines, all for 1 unit unless indicated otherwise, in time order. Subject to change...and once Saturday morning rolls around, changes will go at the bottom of this post with an "edit".

 

College YTD: 156-131-5; +29.6 units

Subset: 2 unit or higher plays: 56-44; +16.55

 

Saturday Early

 

NC State (-6.5)@-115 LOSER

Nebraska (PK) for 2 units LOSER!!

Indiana (+18) LOSER

Illinois (+21.5) WINNER

Ohio St (-3)@-115 WINNER

Baylor (+12) LOSER

Central Michigan (+7.5) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Kansas (+5.5)@-115 WINNER

Ohio U (-4.5) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Colorado (-7)@-120 for 2 units LOSER!!

Western Michigan (-7)@-115 WINNER

Central Florida (+2) WINNER

BYU (-6.5) for 2 units WINNER!!

Utah St (+34) WINNER

Boise St (-20) WINNER

Navy (+7)@-115 for 3 units LOSER!!!!!

Penn St (-16) for 2 units WINNER!!

Georgia (+3.5) LOSER

Iowa St (+10.5) WINNER

Washington St (+30) LOSER

Clemson (+3)@-115 for 2 units WINNER!!

Northern Illinois (-28.5) LOSER

Akron (+14) WINNER

 

Early Summary:

15-9; +8.3 units

2 units or higher: 6-3; +5.95 units

 

Saturday Night

 

Stanford (+7) for 3 units WINNER!!!!!

Over Mich/Northwest (63)(62.5for1unit) LOSER

Hawaii (+13) (+12.5for2units) LOSER!!!!!

Northwestern (+3)@-115 LOSER

South Carolina (+13.5) WINNER

TCU (-6.5) WINNER

 

Parlay

Moneylines: Clemson, Navy, Stanford: .24 to win 5.63 units LOSER

 

CFL

(3:00 EST) Over Montreal/Ottawa (60.5) for 2 units WINNER

 

Good luck to all.

 

Edit: added Akron, Hawaii, Northwestern, Boise St, parlay, South Carolina, upgraded Hawaii, upgraded Mich/NW over. OK. Really. That should be it.

[VoDZKABoY 0]

BC looks like a solid play tonight based on the excellent writeup. I have decided to do a teaser with BC (+19.5) and the Over (39). Any thoughts on the over/under? I took a chance with the over.

If only I had that extra half point...

 

[wolfmanrules 0]

I like most of your picks PB. Here are some that I have placed already. One is a 5 parley ML looks almost to good to be true.

 

5-TEAM PARLAY

[102] VIRGINIA TECH -600 $43 to win $50

[121] WAKE FOREST -600

[108] PENN STATE -800

[215] TB Buccaneers -650

[222] PIT Steelers -460

 

 

 

^Does this bet look to easy? All teams are at home except Wake who is playing Duke.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Also a 10 team Progressive Parlay from sportsbook.com. Odds are

Win all 250/1; (lose 1) 25/1; (lose 2) 3/1; (lose3) 1/1

 

 

It still pays even if I lose up to 3 of the 10 games. It was only $10 for fun.

 

 

1) BET ID=128742719

Progressive Parlay (10 Teams) 10/27/05 13:58 ET

10.00/2500.00 Result: Pending

AirForce

BYU 10/29/05 (15:00 ET)

BYU -6.5 (-115)

 

BostonCollege 10

VirginiaTech 30 10/27/05 (19:50 ET)

VirginiaTech -13.5 (-115)

 

Clemson

GaTech 10/29/05 (15:35 ET)

Clemson +3 (-115)

 

Kent

WMichigan 10/29/05 (14:00 ET)

WMichigan -7 (-120)

 

Michigan

Northwestern 10/29/05 (19:05 ET)

Northwestern +3 (-115)

 

Toledo

CMichigan 10/29/05 (13:00 ET)

CMichigan +7.5 (-115)

 

Bears(Chicago)

Lions(Detroit) 10/30/05 (13:00 ET)

Bears(Chicago) +3 (-115)

 

Buccaneers(TampaBay)

49ers(SanFrancisco) 10/30/05 (16:15 ET)

Buccaneers(TampaBay) -11 (-120)

 

Ravens(Baltimore)

Steelers(Pittsburgh) 10/31/05 (21:05 ET)

Steelers(Pittsburgh) -10 (-120)

 

Redskins(Washington)

Giants(NewYork) 10/30/05 (13:00 ET)

Giants(NewYork) -2 (-115)

 

I also won tonight with a 7pt teaser VA Tech -6.5 over 38.5. I did the same with the MNF. I have had good luck with these 7pt teaser with the total.

[VoDZKABoY 0]

Philly,

 

If you have time can you give an abbreviated write up of your Stanford pick.  What stands out to you as a 3 unit play? 

 

UCLA has a +10 turnover margin, scoring TDs 27/34 redzone opps.  Stanford has been playing well of late but lost handily the only time they played a ranked opponent at home (Oregon) this season. 

 

One could argue that UCLA has not been really tested other than the CAL game by a quality opponent, which they won by 7.  Their victories against conf opponents have been solid but not dominating.  Is this a "trap" line at +7?  It seems that UCLA coming in undefeated and ranked 8th should be favored by more. 

 

Would be curious to hear what suggests 3 unit here instead of a smaller play.

 

Thanks!

A 3 unit is play is a 2 unit play with a gut feeling. A gut feeling that the team is in a good situation vs a team in a bad situation.

 

Quick summary:

 

I am now looking to go against UCLA pretty much every game until they finally lose. They have not been impressive at all in accumulating their record. They have only outgained in yardage two opponents. They keep getting breaks with turnovers and special teams. They had to rally late in 3 of their last 4 games in the fourth quarter, and should have definitely lost to Cal and Wash St. Their defense is pretty bad, and give up a scary 5.1 ypr.

 

Stanford is coming with all sorts of momentum, with 3 straight upset wins over Wash St, Arizona, and Arizona St. They are playing some great football. I was impressed how they held a 31-7 half time lead on a very good Arizona St last week. The coach of UCLA is on record as saying that UCLA always struggles at Stanford. Admittedly, Stanford defense is not great, but they have enough offense to trade scores with UCLA. Rivalry game, and we have a home dog of 7 pts against an overrated ranked opponent. I would not be surprised if Stanford wins the game as the UCLA bubble bursts. I also wonder is UCLA is already starting to look ahead to their game vs USC.

As a PAC-10/west coast guy, I'd have to say this is a risky pick even though Stanford is on a 3 game winning streak. They have been fortunate to win these games and have been getting very good breaks. Case in point, Arizona gift wrapped their win with 5 turnovers and definitely outplayed them most of the game. ASU has been in a free fall with their team in disarray of late so their loss was not totally surprising. Wash St. is their only common opponent which suggests Stanford has a decent chance to cover based on how they had a much easier win than UCLA.

 

 

UCLA has also been very lucky as well which was pointed out by the Cal and Wash St. victories. A 3 unit play on this game is ballsy but makes a lot of sense. I guess whoever has the most breaks in this game will win. I think UCLA squeaks it out again by a field goal.

 

I think their first loss will be to a hungry and win-deprived Arizona team next week.

[mikeso 0]

im gonna remember todays lost for a long time......i still cant belive the INT TD with 3 mins to go.... :ph34r:

[brzrboy 0]

I didn't see any of the game, but from what you guys are saying, I'm glad I didn't. I'd have been throwing crap at the TV. Leave it to V-Tech to get a garbage defensive TD. What's anyone thinking on Colo St. at New Mexico?.....

[honhiguy 0]

BC's INT for TD not that much of a surprise. VT scores a defensive or special teams TD like every other game or close to that.

 

As posted earlier, woulda went with Tech but stayed off the game. Sorry it turned out that way. Go get em next time.

[PackYourNut 47]

The suprise was the dumbfu<k QB who thru the ball up for grabs whne he was being tackeled and half way to the ground. What a fu<king idiot!

[dain11279 968]

Still sick over last night's game. Only way to lose that game was basically a pick 6 and thats what happened. Brutal.

[2JORDAN3 0]

MONEY LINE PLAYS FOR SATURDAY...do you see any of these teams losing straight up? any info would be appreciated

 

Fla ST -850

Tex tech -500

Mich st -1000

Wisco -1300

Tenn -600

[PriestAlone 0]

I was gonna double dip last night. BC -14 and under 46. If that f*cker just takes the sack, I probably win both. That pick reminded me of Jake Plummer's left handed number last season.

[PriestAlone 0]

MONEY LINE PLAYS FOR SATURDAY...do you see any of these teams losing straight up? any info would be appreciated

 

Fla ST -850

Tex tech -500

Mich st -1000

Wisco -1300

Tenn -600

So if you want to make $250 on these games, you have to risk $2125.

 

My friend, that is a recipe for a disaster. You are a bookie's wet dream.

[ratsforlunch 0]

Lean to New Mexico for tonights game. Undefeated at home, CSU 0-3 on road. In 3 career games against CSU NM RB Dontrell Moore averages 192 yds per game and CSU is currently ranked 103rd nationally against the run (only 6 spots ahead of North Texas) allowing 198 yds per game. BYU put up 300 yds rushing on them. If NM wins this game they are bowl eligible.

 

Now.....CSU's passing game is ranked 10th nationally in passing efficiency and 18 TD's to 8 INT's. NM is tied for 4th nationally with 13 INTs on the year.

 

Basically I lean to NM due to a home sellout, balanced Offensive attack (avg 200 yds rushing and 200 yds passing per game) and a better D than CSU (99th overall for CSU vs. 70th overall for NM)

 

Hoping that some of the action will be on CSU and bring this line down a bit b/c both teams can put points on the board, but if it stays at -6 I might still roll with NM.

[Guest cklennon]

Here's my saturday card as it stands now. I may add and/or upgrade plays until just before kickoff so look out for edits. Hopefully I can get back to my winning ways as last week was pretty disappointing for me even though I only lost a little over 3 units.

 

Good luck everybody!

 

Thursday:

Boston College +14 @ VA Tech LOSER

 

Friday:

Colorado State @ New Mexico -5 LOSER

Colorado State @ New Mexico OVER 58' WINNER

 

Saturday Earlyish:

Oklahoma +1' @ Nebraska (2 units) WINNER

Ohio State @ Minnesota +4 LOSER

Texas Tech @ Baylor +11' LOSER

Southern Mississippi +7 @ NC State WINNER

Ole Miss +21 @ Auburn LOSER

Toledo @ Central Michigan +8 (2 units) WINNER

North Carolina @ Miami -20 LOSER

Miami (OH) @ Temple +22' LOSER

 

Saturday Afternoonish:

Clemson @ GA Tech -3 LOSER

WSU @ USC -29 WINNER

Kent @ Western Michigan -7 (2 units) WINNER

Arizona @ Oregon State -8' LOSER

Purdue @ Penn State -14' WINNER

Utah State +34' @ Alabama WINNER

Navy +7 @ Rutgers LOSER

Central Florida +2' @ East Carolina WINNER

Air Force @ BYU -5' WINNER

Maryland @ Florida State -17 LOSER

Georgia +4' @ Florida WINNER

 

Saturday Lateish:

UTEP -19' @ Rice LOSER

Michigan -3 @ Northwestern WINNER

Troy State @ UL-Lafayette -3 PUSH

South Carolina +14 @ Tennessee WINNER

 

This Week NCAAF.........(13-12-1) 50% +2.8 units

Last Week NCAAF.........(10-13) 43.4% -3.4 units

YTD NCAAF...............(47-36-1) 55.95% +15 units

2-unit plays NCAAF......(6-1) 85.7% +9.8 units

 

Last Week NFL...........(8-6) 57.1% +2.4 units

YTD NFL.................(8-6) 57.1% +2.4 units

2-unit plays NFL........(1-0) 100% +2 units

[GobbleDog 988]

Clemson @ GA Tech -3

Tough pick. I'm going with Clemson because I think they have one of the best QBs in all of college football and the rest of the team has looked impressive in almost every game this year.

 

But who knows. It's definately not a game that I'd want to bet the farm on.

[GobbleDog 988]

MONEY LINE PLAYS FOR SATURDAY...do you see any of these teams losing straight up? any info would be appreciated

 

Fla ST -850

Tex tech -500

Mich st -1000

Wisco -1300

Tenn -600

My website (betgameday.com) won't let me bet the money line with college games when the spread is more than 13 points.

 

I thought it was the same for everybody, but I guess not. So, what site do you use?

 

And yes, FSU, TEN and Mich St are all gauranteed to win IMO. I've got all of them in 13 point teasers. But I'd much rather bet the money line instead of using teasers.

[VoDZKABoY 0]

Lean to New Mexico for tonights game. Undefeated at home, CSU 0-3 on road. In 3 career games against CSU NM RB Dontrell Moore averages 192 yds per game and CSU is currently ranked 103rd nationally against the run (only 6 spots ahead of North Texas) allowing 198 yds per game. BYU put up 300 yds rushing on them. If NM wins this game they are bowl eligible.

 

Now.....CSU's passing game is ranked 10th nationally in passing efficiency and 18 TD's to 8 INT's. NM is tied for 4th nationally with 13 INTs on the year.

 

Basically I lean to NM due to a home sellout, balanced Offensive attack (avg 200 yds rushing and 200 yds passing per game) and a better D than CSU (99th overall for CSU vs. 70th overall for NM)

 

Hoping that some of the action will be on CSU and bring this line down a bit b/c both teams can put points on the board, but if it stays at -6 I might still roll with NM.

I like NM and the over tonight. Once again I will tease it (6pts) since the line is dicey for me.

 

NM (pk) and over 52

[ratsforlunch 0]

Saturday Earlyish:

Oklahoma +1' @ Nebraska

Ohio State @ Minnesota +4

Texas Tech @ Baylor +11'

Southern Mississippi +7 @ NC State

Ole Miss +21 @ Auburn

Toledo @ Central Michigan +8

 

Saturday Afternoonish:

Clemson @ GA Tech -3

WSU @ USC -29

Kent @ Western Michigan -7

 

Saturday Lateish:

UTEP -19' @ Rice

Michigan -3 @ Northwestern

Troy State @ UL-Lafayette -3

 

Good lookin card CK. I'm with you on all but 2 games.....I'm on the OSU side against Minny and the Texas Tech side against Baylor.

 

I posted earlier in the week that the NW game seemed really tempting and it still does, but I'm starting to be a bit skeptical about that line. Action has been more than 60% on NW all week and that damn thing hasn't budged that I've seen. I have a gut feeling that the line is gonna get slammed close to game time.....on the Michigan side (-3 right now). Anyone else have any thoughts on that? maybe I'm being a conspiracy theorist here but something doesn't feel right.